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olivLaw · US equity research

Baxter International Inc. BAX

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus · SIC 3841 · Vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

26.50USD+3.96% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Baxter is a global medical technology company making IV solutions, infusion systems, injectable pharmaceuticals and connected care devices, selling in more than 100 countries. Global net sales reached 11.24 billion USD in 2025, and the company is working to stabilise the business and reduce debt after the Kidney Care sale, with a modest rebound in the second quarter of 2026.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Baxter International Inc. (BAX) stock was 26.50 USD (+3.96% on the day), with market capitalisation 13.7 bn USD, dividend yield 0.15%, beta 0.92, 52-week range 15.80–28.35 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.0 bn USD (+5.0% YoY), net income of 294.0 m USD, diluted EPS 0.57 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
13.7 bn USD
shares as of 22 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.43 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-5.40%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.15%
DPS 12m 0.04
Beta (2y)
0.92
Volatility (1y) 42%
52-week range
15.8028.35

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
61.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
23.28 – 26.45
above the upper band · %B 1.02 · band width 12.7%
SMA 50 / 200
24.52 / 21.42
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.19 / 0.11
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+9.4%−1.1%+10.5 pp—
3 months−3.0%−0.5%−2.6 pp—
6 months+56.1%+4.4%+51.7 pp—
Year to date+38.7%+12.3%+26.4 pp—
1 year+47.7%+13.5%+34.2 pp−7.2%
3 years−22.0%+76.4%−98.4 pp−14.1%
5 years−66.0%+63.7%−129.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−29.1%
11 Feb 2026 → 30 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−82.3%
09 Feb 2022 → 30 Mar 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−19.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
3.0 bn USD
+5.0% YoY
Net income
294.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.57
unavailable YoY
net / operating
9.9% / 7.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.8 bn2.6 bn2.8 bn2.8 bn3.0 bn2.7 bn3.0 bn3.0 bn
Cost of revenue1.8 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn2.4 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn
Gross profit959.0 m861.0 m991.0 m950.0 m577.0 m891.0 m1.0 bn994.0 m
Research & development211.0 m140.0 m134.0 m118.0 m126.0 m139.0 m129.0 m125.0 m
SG&A761.0 m703.0 m718.0 m708.0 m761.0 m728.0 m735.0 m730.0 m
Operating income-435.0 m58.0 m191.0 m172.0 m-729.0 m66.0 m217.0 m225.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation245.0 m247.0 m257.0 m ≈237.0 m ≈240.0 m237.0 m239.0 m ≈239.0 m ≈
Interest expense465.0 m-17.0 m-14.0 m-10.0 m331.0 m-12.0 m-13.0 m-13.0 m
Pre-tax income-521.0 m-3.0 m133.0 m121.0 m-756.0 m-6.0 m158.0 m417.0 m
Income tax-33.0 m-67.0 m11.0 m172.0 m279.0 m11.0 m23.0 m119.0 m
Net income-512.0 m126.0 m91.0 m-46.0 m-1.1 bn-15.0 m126.0 m294.0 m
Diluted EPS-1.000.250.18-0.09-2.21 ≈-0.030.240.57
Operating cash flow488.0 m-193.0 m217.0 m ≈237.0 m ≈584.0 m213.0 m285.0 m ≈558.0 m ≈
Dividends paid147.0 m87.0 m87.0 m ≈87.0 m ≈87.0 m5.0 m5.0 m ≈5.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue11.1 bn11.4 bn11.7 bn12.1 bn10.1 bn10.4 bn10.6 bn11.2 bn
Revenue YoY+4.9%+2.4%+2.7%+4.1%−17.2%+3.0%+2.7%+5.7%
Net income1.5 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn1.3 bn-2.4 bn2.7 bn-649.0 m-957.0 m
Net income YoY+156.8%−35.3%+10.1%+16.5%−289.5%unavailable−124.4%unavailable
Diluted EPS2.831.932.132.53-4.835.23-1.27-1.87
Diluted EPS YoY+162.0%−31.8%+10.4%+18.8%−290.9%unavailable−124.3%unavailable
net %13.9%8.8%9.4%10.6%-24.2%25.6%-6.1%-8.5%
Free cash flow1.4 bn1.4 bn1.2 bn1.5 bn834.0 m1.3 bn573.0 m332.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
2.0 bn USD
Financial debt
9.4 bn USD
Net debt
7.5 bn USD
Equity
6.1 bn USD
Total assets
20.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.55x
Current ratio
2.31x
ROE
-14.6%
ROA
-4.2%
FCF margin
3.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
10.4 bn
2024
10.6 bn
2025
11.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
6.2 bn
2024
6.7 bn
2025
7.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
4.2 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
518.0 m
2024
590.0 m
2025
518.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
707.0 m
2024
14.0 m
2025
-308.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
984.0 m
2024
997.0 m
2025
981.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.7 bn ≈
2024
1.0 bn ≈
2025
673.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
508.0 m
2024
408.0 m
2025
290.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
242.0 m
2024
-289.0 m
2025
-505.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
61.0 m
2024
37.0 m
2025
395.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
2.7 bn
2024
-649.0 m
2025
-957.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
5.23
2024
-1.27
2025
-1.87

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
508.0 m
2024
510.0 m
2025
513.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.16
2024
1.04
2025
0.52

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
3.1 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.9 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
9.6 bn
2024
8.9 bn
2025
6.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
5.8 bn
2024
5.3 bn
2025
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
5.9 bn
2024
5.2 bn
2025
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
28.3 bn
2024
25.8 bn
2025
20.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
881.0 m
2024
968.0 m
2025
999.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
2.1 bn
2025
1.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
13.9 bn
2024
13.2 bn
2025
9.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
6.5 bn
2024
6.5 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
19.8 bn
2024
18.8 bn
2025
14.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
8.5 bn
2024
7.0 bn
2025
6.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
845.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
432.0 m
2024
446.0 m
2025
513.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.3 bn ≈
2024
573.0 m ≈
2025
332.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
3.2 bn
2024
-626.0 m
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-3.5 bn
2024
-1.1 bn
2025
-4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
586.0 m
2024
590.0 m
2025
348.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Feb 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-2,300.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-42.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
30.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-6.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
-3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
-1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
-0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
513.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
223.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
56 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
107 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
44 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
119 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
13.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
11.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
12.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 57 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

26.50 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 13.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
13.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
-10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-6.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

36/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 22 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 3261derived 252

Score by group

  • Valuation80
  • Balance sheet67
  • Quality41
  • Growth32
  • Returns46

Estimated value range

Low
26.08
USD per share
Mid
29.23
USD per share
High
32.19
USD per share
Price: 26.50 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 10.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 9.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 6.83 – 55.80 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)38.11 – 55.80 (Mid 45.02)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 1.4 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -20.2%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA26.08 – 32.19 (Mid 29.23)
    9 companies used · median multiple 17.9x · quartiles 15.7x – 20.0x
    BDX, BSX, HAE, ICUI, MMM, PODD, RMD, SYK, WST
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)6.83 – 9.19 (Mid 7.84)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 57/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-3.7%35 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality-6.2%50 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.8%32 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-2.7x100 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-0.8x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x83 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation16.0x64 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuation8.2%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.7%11 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns9.1%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet67/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial32/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality41/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns46/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation80/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

BAXTER INTERNATIONAL INC. (BAX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 11.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 5.7%; net margin -6.2%; ROE -10.5%; net debt/EBITDA -2.7x.

The estimated value range is 26.08–32.19 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 29.23 USD, the price of 26.50 USD leaves a potential of 10.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 9.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 57/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net debt / EBITDA: -2.7x
  • Current ratio: 1.8x
  • FCF yield: 8.2%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 9.1%

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: -0.8x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.7%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM).

Versus the vertical median

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 34.8x
EV/EBITDA
16.0x
vertical median 19.2x
below median (−16.8%)
P/S
1.2x
vertical median 5.1x
below median (−76.9%)
P/B
2.1x
vertical median 3.3x
below median (−36.1%)
ROE
-10.5%
vertical median -11.2%
above median
Net margin
-6.2%
vertical median -6.3%
at median
EBIT margin
-1.9%
vertical median -4.7%
above median
Revenue YoY
5.7%
vertical median 10.5%
below median (−45.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-2.7x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−262.7%)
Dividend yield
0.2%
vertical median 1.0%
below median (−85.3%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SYKStryker Corp129.3 bn36.216.0%13.8%+11.2%−8% / +15%
MMM3m Company100.2 bn28.980.8%14.0%+1.5%+13% / +134%
BSXBoston Scientific Corporation66.4 bn19.414.3%16.6%+19.9%−55% / −18%
BDXBecton, Dickinson And Company57.0 bn63.23.8%4.0%+8.2%+37% / +13%
RMDResMed Inc.33.8 bn21.926.4%27.8%+9.9%−6% / +52%
DXCMDexcom, Inc.33.0 bn34.837.7%19.4%+15.6%+39% / −23%
WSTWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.28.5 bn45.921.2%18.8%+6.3%+47% / +17%
GKOSGLAUKOS Corp14.6 bn—-22.8%-24.6%+32.3%+132% / +286%
BAXBaxter International Inc.13.7 bn—-10.5%-6.2%+5.7%+48% / −22%
PODDInsulet Corporation11.4 bn26.928.9%13.4%+30.7%−50% / −13%
TFXTeleflex Incorporated6.4 bn—-28.9%-45.8%+17.2%+31% / −34%
HAEHaemonetics Corporation5.8 bn62.311.2%7.1%−2.0%+57% / +58%
ICUIIcu Medical Inc4.3 bn144.21.4%1.4%−6.3%+16% / +97%
LMATLemaitre Vascular, Inc.2.0 bn30.916.8%25.0%+13.5%+6% / +67%
KMTSKestra Medical Technologies, Ltd.1.8 bn—-73.7%-140.4%+59.0%+13% / unavailable
IARTIntegra Lifesciences Holdings Corp1.2 bn88.31.2%0.8%+1.5%+13% / −62%
SIBNSi-Bone, Inc.1.1 bn—-7.7%-6.2%+20.2%+28% / +32%
MDXGMimedx Group, Inc.467.0 m—-8.5%-6.3%+20.0%−53% / −59%
CARLCarlsmed, Inc.439.3 m—-6,196.9%-57.4%+85.9%−1% / unavailable
BWAYBrainsway Ltd.439.0 m224.25.6%7.1%+29.0%+28% / +258%
OFIXOrthofix Medical Inc.395.9 m—-13.9%-7.4%+2.9%−40% / −12%
CTSOCytosorbents Corporation286.6 m—-336.2%-48.9%+4.1%−72% / −81%
UTMDUtah Medical Products, Inc.230.6 m22.18.8%29.0%−5.8%+29% / −14%
LUNGPulmonx Corporation123.2 m—-90.3%-47.9%+8.0%+75% / −74%
LUCDLucid Diagnostics Inc.90.4 m—-556.3%-959.8%+8.3%−58% / −70%

1- and 3-year price returns: for BAX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

    In brief

    Baxter is a global medical technology company making IV solutions, infusion systems, injectable pharmaceuticals and connected care devices, selling in more than 100 countries 1. Global net sales reached 11.24 billion USD in 2025 1, and the company is working to stabilise the business and reduce debt after the Kidney Care sale, with a modest rebound in the second quarter of 2026 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Broad portfolio of essential products and strong relationships with hospitals, group purchasing organisations and patients using home therapies 1.
    • Extensive global footprint with manufacturing in several countries and sales in more than 100 countries 1.
    • Sales recovery in the second quarter of 2026, with growth in all segments and divisions 3.

    Weaknesses

    • Significant indebtedness absorbs a large share of cash flow and limits investment flexibility 1.
    • Dependence on major contracts with group purchasing organisations and on some single-source suppliers 1.
    • The Novum LVP recall halted sales of that product, and resuming them depends on further approvals 2.

    Opportunities

    • Growing demand for connected products and digital care solutions could support longer-term sales 1.
    • Debt reduction and stabilisation of operations could allow renewed investment and shareholder returns 1.
    • Supply chain adjustments and tariff recoveries could reduce costs in coming periods 23.

    Threats

    • Trade tariffs and policy uncertainty may raise costs and weigh on margins 2.
    • Pricing pressure from consolidated customers and competitors could limit profitability 1.
    • Regulatory requirements, litigation and FDA actions can lead to fines, recalls or restrictions 1.

    Risks

    • High indebtednesshigh

      Large debt obliges the company to use a substantial part of cash flow for debt service, with possible effects on investment and credit ratings 1.

    • Novum LVP recallhigh

      The halt in shipments and the need for further approvals could delay the return of sales and create additional costs 12.

    • Tariffs and supply chainmedium

      Tariffs and supply disruptions could raise costs and reduce deliveries, particularly where single-source suppliers are involved 12.

    • Pricing pressuremedium

      Customer consolidation and competition could limit the ability to pass on costs or hold prices 1.

    • Litigation and regulationmedium

      Pending lawsuits, compliance requirements and rules on privacy and artificial intelligence could create further liability 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the sales recovery seen in the second quarter of 2026 holds and the raised outlook is confirmed, performance could improve gradually 3.
    • Debt reduction after the Kidney Care sale could free capacity for investment in connected products and innovation 1.
    • The broad portfolio and global presence could support long-term demand, especially in emerging markets 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • If tariffs and costs remain elevated, margins could stay under pressure even as sales grow 2.
    • If the resumption of Novum LVP shipments is delayed, sales in some product lines could remain weak 2.
    • High indebtedness could limit financial flexibility and lead to further rating downgrades 1.

    What to watch

    • Progress toward the net leverage target and any changes in credit ratings2026
    • Resumption of Novum LVP shipments in the US and CanadaQ3 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

    The business

    Baxter International Inc. develops, manufactures and sells a broad range of essential healthcare products, including sterile IV solutions, infusion systems, parenteral nutrition, inhaled anesthetics, generic injectables, hemostat products, advanced surgical equipment, smart bed systems and respiratory devices 1. Products are used in hospitals, dialysis centres, ambulatory surgery centres and at patients' homes 1. The company was incorporated in Delaware in 1931 1.

    The current strategy emphasises connected care and innovation, with investment in digital solutions such as smart bed systems and infusion pumps, alongside active portfolio management through divestitures and market exits 1. The company aims to reach its net leverage target by the end of 2026 and has, for now, suspended share repurchases 1.

    Andrew Hider was appointed President and CEO in July 2025, and the company has introduced a new operating model and the Baxter Growth and Performance system 12. From the second quarter of 2026 reporting was simplified to two segments 2.

    Segments

    Healthcare Systems & Technologies

    The segment covers smart bed systems, patient monitoring, respiratory devices and surgical-space equipment 13. Second-quarter 2026 sales were about 801 million USD, up 4% 3.

    Market context

    The medical device market remains competitive, and pricing is shaped by group purchasing contracts and customer consolidation 1. Exposure to tariffs and shipping costs can affect margins, particularly under long-term customer contracts 2.

    Competitive position

    Baxter says it faces substantial competition in every segment from international and domestic healthcare and pharmaceutical companies, with decisions driven by cost-effectiveness, price, service and innovation 1. Competition could increase if new companies enter the market or launch similar products 1.

    Consolidation among customers and competitors has created pricing pressure, and because no single rival competes in all lines, the landscape is fragmented 1. The company remains exposed if competitors respond faster to new technologies 1.

    • International medical device companies

      The source describes competitors only in general terms without naming them, so no ticker is given.

    • Injectable pharmaceutical suppliers

      Competition in the pharmaceutical area is described generically in the source, without individual names.

    • Surgical equipment manufacturers

      The source mentions competitors of all sizes but does not list them.

    • Connected hospital systems providers

      Competitors in connected care are referred to without named identification in the source.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 21 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    • Quarterly report29 Oct 2026
    • Current report29 Oct 2026
      Results of operations · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report19 Aug 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report18 Aug 2026
      Material agreement · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report04 Aug 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers
    • Current report04 Aug 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report30 Jul 2026
    • Current report30 Jul 2026
      Results of operations · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report14 Jul 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report08 May 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Baxter International Inc. · 12 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Baxter International Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Baxter International Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.