Modules · Analyses
Analyses archive
Every published analysis, newest first.
America today, 5 November 2026 — the 10 stories that matter
America today: the 10 highest-impact stories of 5 November 2026, ranked by the olivLaw desk — geopolitics (5), defense (3), domestic (1).
Europe today, 5 November 2026 — the 10 stories that matter
Europe today: the 10 highest-impact stories of 5 November 2026, ranked by the olivLaw desk — defense (5), geopolitics (5).
Congress goes to the Democrats, stocks rise — who wins, who loses and what it means for Romania
Democrats took both chambers and the S&P 500 rose 1.58%. Firms that fund Republicans more lagged, a pattern measured at six elections. For Romania, the stake remains the decision on American troops, expected in December.
America today, 4 November 2026 — the 10 stories that matter
America today: the 10 highest-impact stories of 4 November 2026, ranked by the olivLaw desk — geopolitics (5), defense (3), finance (1).
Europe today, 4 November 2026 — the 10 stories that matter
Europe today: the 10 highest-impact stories of 4 November 2026, ranked by the olivLaw desk — geopolitics (4), defense (3), economy (2).
What the Bulgarian Elections Reveal About European Democracy: A Clear Majority, Low Turnout, and the Diaspora Moving in the Opposite Direction
Iliana Iotova wins the second round clearly in Bulgaria, but turnout and the diaspora vote point to a fragile mandate. What the figures say about European democracy.
What Ankara Can Offer in the Black Sea After the Erdogan–Zelensky Meeting, and What Romania Still Has to Pay
After the Erdogan–Zelensky meeting, the analysis shows why the Istanbul agreement could remain without effect and how risk premiums are being transferred to Romania.
Why American Ambitions in Artificial Intelligence Remain Tied to Taiwan, Regardless of Who Wins Congress
Americans will elect all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 Senate seats on November 3, 2026. Americans will elect all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 Senate seats on [November 3, 2026, all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100
What the Appointment of Dan Driscoll at OpenAI Reveals About the Convergence of AI and National Security
OpenAI names Dan Driscoll senior adviser for national security modernization. What it means for the convergence of AI and defense.
Layoffs in Romania: What the Schaeffler Restructuring Reveals About the Risk of a Wave in the Auto Industry
The user's message seems to be a Romanian excerpt, but they wrote it as the content to translate. The excerpt itself is a headline and question. I'll translate it. Schaeffler closes five plants and cuts 3,460 jobs in Europe. What does this mean for automotive suppliers in Brașov, Sibiu, Timișoara and Iași?
What the Oil Price Decline Reveals About US–Iran Negotiations and What Remains Unclear in Hormuz
Brent fell below $110 following signals from Tehran. Analysis: a genuine decline in supply, or merely the unwinding of the risk premium? What remains unclear in Hormuz.
FBI Attributes Binance Theft to North Korea — What Is Known, What Remains Unclear, and What It Means for Europe
The FBI has attributed TraderTraitor, a North Korea-linked group, to the theft of $6.3 billion from Binance. What remains unclear, and the impact for Europe.
Victoria Belous, PAS Candidate for the Chișinău City Hall: A Test of Notoriety, Not a Verdict
Finance Minister Victoria Belous, nominated by PAS as candidate for the Chișinău mayoralty for 2027. An analysis of the political stakes and the popularity test.
America today, 3 November 2026 — the 10 stories that matter
America today: the 10 highest-impact stories of 3 November 2026, ranked by the olivLaw desk — defense (4), geopolitics (4), domestic (1).
Europe today, 3 November 2026 — the 10 stories that matter
Europe today: the 10 highest-impact stories of 3 November 2026, ranked by the olivLaw desk — geopolitics (4), defense (3), domestic (1).
Hormuz and the New Stakes of the Negotiations: Who Yields First, Who Pays the Price
Iran proposes reopening the Strait of Hormuz, Brent below $107. Analysis of the stakes of US-Iran negotiations, the scenarios, and the cost for energy markets.
Transilvania Motorway: What the Opening of 30 Kilometres by 15 December Could Mean
The Nădășelu–Zimbor section of the A3, 30.6 km long, could be opened to traffic by 15 December. What the sources say and what it would change for Cluj and Sălaj.
Patriot for Ukraine: a €2.1 billion contract that does not deliver quickly
The United States has approved the sale of 500 Patriot PAC-3 missiles to Ukraine, worth $2.1 billion. Production has not yet begun, and rapid deliveries are uncertain.
The Departure of Christina Verchere and the Stakes of Neptun Deep: What the Timeline of a Leadership Transition Reveals
Christina Verchere will not run for a new term at OMV Petrom. What the leadership transition timeline shows and how it connects to the Neptun Deep project.
America today, 2 November 2026 — the 10 stories that matter
America today: the 10 highest-impact stories of 2 November 2026, ranked by the olivLaw desk — defense (4), geopolitics (4), domestic (1).
What a sovereign rating is — and what it means for Romania
How the agencies' scale works, why the line between investment and speculative grade matters, and what a downgrade would change for Romania.
How to read a balance sheet — five questions for a single page
What a balance sheet shows, how it is laid out in Romania and the five questions to ask of it, with a real example: Coca-Cola at 31 December 2025.
What PEAD is — why a share price keeps moving after the earnings announcement
Post-earnings announcement drift: what Ball and Brown found in 1968, why it became an anomaly, why some say it has died, and what our own study found.
Europe today, 2 November 2026 — the 10 stories that matter
Europe today: the 10 highest-impact stories of 2 November 2026, ranked by the olivLaw desk — geopolitics (5), defense (3), domestic (1).
America today, 1 November 2026 — the 10 stories that matter
America today: the 10 highest-impact stories of 1 November 2026, ranked by the olivLaw desk — geopolitics (5), defense (3), domestic (2).
Europe today, 1 November 2026 — the 10 stories that matter
Europe today: the 10 highest-impact stories of 1 November 2026, ranked by the olivLaw desk — geopolitics (4), defense (2), domestic (2).
Wall Street no longer pays any price for AI — Alphabet, Meta and the test of $740 billion in spending
Alphabet had the worst day in its history after investing $51.4 billion in one quarter and running out of free cash. Microsoft, the only one that spent below plan, held up. Why the market changed the rule, what the history of post-earnings drops shows and three scenarios for Alphabet to the end of January.
The US AI giants' correction — why Alphabet lost 12.6% in one day and what it means for Romanian investors
Alphabet lost 12.6% in a single day, and Meta, AMD and Nvidia fell too, while the S&P 500 stayed 3% below its high. The market is not rejecting artificial intelligence, but investment that outruns the cash generated. What olivLaw's data show, what happened historically after similar drops and three scenarios for the US index.
The Biggest Electricity Price Increase in the EU: What Eurostat Data Shows About Romania
Household electricity prices rose by 51.6% in the first half of 2026, the largest increase in the EU. What the Eurostat data show and why.
America today, 31 October 2026 — the 10 stories that matter
America today: the 10 highest-impact stories of 31 October 2026, ranked by the olivLaw desk — defense (3), finance (3), geopolitics (3).