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olivLaw · US equity research

Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. FET

Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment · SIC 3533 · Vertical: Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3533)

84.94USD−4.30% · 1 dayClose 30 Oct 2026

Forum Energy Technologies makes equipment and consumables for drilling, well completions, subsea work, artificial lift and the oil industry, and also for defense and renewable energy, according to its SEC filings. Revenue dipped slightly in 2025 from the prior year, while second quarter 2026 figures show a recovery, which makes the company relevant to investors watching the oil cycle.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 30 Oct 2026, Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. (FET) stock was 84.94 USD (−4.30% on the day), with market capitalisation 974.5 m USD, P/E 33.2 on diluted EPS of 2.55 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.34, 52-week range 26.78–90.91 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 236.8 m USD (+20.7% YoY), net income of 11.2 m USD, diluted EPS 0.93 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
974.5 m USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
33.2
Diluted EPS TTM 2.55 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.01%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.34
Volatility (1y) 55%
52-week range
26.7890.91

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
50.7
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
78.18 – 91.82
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.50 · band width 16.1%
SMA 50 / 200
82.56 / 62.96
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.74 / 1.50
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+4.9%−0.9%+5.9 pp—
3 months+35.5%+1.2%+34.3 pp—
6 months+44.6%+4.8%+39.8 pp—
Year to date+129.9%+10.7%+119.1 pp—
1 year+163.6%+11.1%+152.5 pp+23.5%
3 years+290.2%+80.7%+209.4 pp+32.2%
5 years+277.3%+64.6%+212.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−27.9%
29 Apr 2026 → 06 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−59.1%
25 Jan 2023 → 14 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+30.4%
S&P 500 +10.5%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
236.8 m USD
+20.7% YoY
Net income
11.2 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.93
unavailable YoY
net / operating
4.7% / 8.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue201.0 m193.3 m199.8 m196.2 m202.2 m208.7 m226.2 m236.8 m
Cost of revenue138.6 m134.9 m140.4 m156.0 m141.1 m147.7 m154.9 m162.4 m
Gross profit62.5 m58.4 m59.4 m40.2 m61.1 m61.0 m71.4 m74.4 m
SG&A54.6 m49.4 m51.2 m50.4 m48.9 m50.0 m50.3 m53.3 m
Operating income-106.8 m8.8 m14.7 m-6.1 m12.8 m11.0 m20.5 m20.0 m
Pre-tax income-107.2 m4.9 m13.9 m-10.5 m8.3 m7.4 m16.0 m15.2 m
Income tax-3.7 m3.8 m6.2 m10.1 m6.2 m2.9 m3.6 m4.0 m
Net income-103.5 m1.1 m7.7 m-20.6 m2.1 m4.5 m12.4 m11.2 m
Diluted EPS-8.39 ≈0.090.61-1.760.18 ≈0.391.050.93
Operating cash flow38.5 m9.3 m15.8 m ≈22.9 m ≈22.4 m1.6 m12.4 m ≈32.0 m ≈
Capex2.4 m2.1 m951.0 k ≈1.4 m ≈1.6 m256.0 k2.9 m ≈1.7 m ≈
Share repurchases02.0 m4.3 m ≈14.8 m ≈13.5 m4.6 m3.0 m ≈1.4 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 33 percentile of its own 3-quarter history (min 31.7, median 390.6, max 602.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.1 bn956.5 m512.5 m541.1 m699.9 m738.9 m816.4 m791.5 m
Revenue YoY+30.0%−10.1%−46.4%+5.6%+29.4%+5.6%+10.5%−3.1%
Net income-374.1 m-567.1 m-96.9 m-82.7 m3.7 m-18.9 m-135.3 m-9.7 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−608.5%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-3.44-103.01-17.37-14.650.62-1.85-11.00-0.81
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−398.4%unavailableunavailable
net %-35.2%-59.3%-18.9%-15.3%0.5%-2.6%-16.6%-1.2%
Free cash flow-21.6 m89.0 m1.6 m-18.2 m-24.5 m239.0 k84.0 m64.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
34.7 m USD
Financial debt
135.9 m USD
Net debt
101.3 m USD
Equity
291.1 m USD
Total assets
752.5 m USD
Debt / equity
0.47x
Current ratio
2.17x
ROE
-3.2%
ROA
-1.2%
FCF margin
8.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
738.9 m
2024
816.4 m
2025
791.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
534.7 m
2024
561.4 m
2025
572.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
204.2 m
2024
255.0 m
2025
219.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
180.4 m
2024
219.3 m
2025
199.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
20.7 m
2024
-86.8 m
2025
30.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
34.7 m
2024
53.7 m
2025
33.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
55.4 m ≈
2024
-33.1 m ≈
2025
63.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-7.8 m
2024
-128.4 m
2025
16.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
11.1 m
2024
6.9 m
2025
26.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-18.9 m
2024
-135.3 m
2025
-9.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.85
2024
-11.00
2025
-0.81

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
10.2 m
2024
12.3 m
2025
11.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
46.2 m
2024
44.7 m
2025
34.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
146.7 m
2024
153.9 m
2025
142.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
299.6 m
2024
265.5 m
2025
239.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
529.6 m
2024
495.6 m
2025
448.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2022verified

Goodwill
2023
0
2024
61.7 m
2025
64.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
168.0 m
2024
109.2 m
2025
93.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
821.1 m
2024
816.0 m
2025
752.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
125.9 m
2024
109.7 m
2025
94.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
1.2 m
2024
1.9 m
2025
1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
129.6 m
2024
186.5 m
2025
134.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
204.3 m
2024
201.9 m
2025
206.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
408.4 m
2024
496.1 m
2025
461.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
412.6 m †
2024
319.9 m †
2025
291.1 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
8.2 m
2024
92.2 m
2025
70.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
7.9 m
2024
8.1 m
2025
6.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
239.0 k ≈
2024
84.0 m ≈
2025
64.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-6.6 m
2024
-137.5 m
2025
9.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-7.6 m
2024
45.2 m
2025
-91.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
6.0 m
2024
0
2025
34.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-23.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
30.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
11.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
9.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
10.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
11.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
92.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
68.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
6.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
62.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
205.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
69.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
68 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
149 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
74 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
142 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
974.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
32.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
33.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
16.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
15.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.50
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 50 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

84.94 USD

30 Oct 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 974.5 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
974.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
33.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
9.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 2479derived 132

Score by group

  • Quality70
  • Growth35
  • Valuation48
  • Balance sheet39
  • Returns33

Estimated value range

Low
58.53
USD per share
Mid
72.58
USD per share
High
100.74
USD per share
Price: 84.94 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -14.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -17.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 48.78 – 112.85 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA68.28 – 88.63 (Mid 83.36)
    5 companies used · median multiple 10.7x · quartiles 8.9x – 11.3x
    FTI, INVX, NOV, WFRD, WHD
  • Peers: P/E48.78 – 112.85 (Mid 61.79)
    10 companies used · median multiple 24.2x · quartiles 19.1x – 44.2x
    BKR, FLOC, FTI, INVX, LSE, NOV, OMSE, STAK, WFRD, WHD
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3533)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 50/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality10.1%67 (vs peers)13%
Net margin · Quality3.5%47 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality205.5%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.2%35 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.9x14 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.0x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation33.2x30 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation10.9x40 (vs peers)13%
FCF yield · Valuation6.4%80 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.3%33 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet39/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial35/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality70/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial33/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation48/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

FORUM ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (FET). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 791.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -3.1%; net margin 3.5%; ROE 9.8%; net debt/EBITDA 0.9x.

The estimated value range is 58.53–100.74 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 72.58 USD, the price of 84.94 USD leaves a potential of -14.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -17.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 50/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 205.5%
  • Current ratio: 2.0x
  • FCF yield: 6.4%

What contradicts it

  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 33.2x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Interest coverage, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3533) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 15 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
33.2x
vertical median 24.2x
above median (+37.5%)
EV/EBITDA
10.9x
vertical median 10.7x
at median
P/S
1.1x
vertical median 1.1x
at median
P/B
3.1x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+89.2%)
ROE
9.8%
vertical median 6.0%
above median (+63.7%)
Net margin
3.5%
vertical median 6.1%
below median (−43.0%)
EBIT margin
7.4%
vertical median 10.0%
below median (−26.7%)
Revenue YoY
-3.1%
vertical median 1.5%
below median (−303.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.9x
vertical median -0.3x
above median
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
BKRBaker Hughes Company54.8 bn18.915.1%10.1%−0.3%+14% / +60%
FTITechnipFMC plc26.7 bn21.638.6%12.0%+9.4%+66% / +220%
NOVNov Inc.6.9 bn48.42.3%1.6%−1.4%+32% / −3%
WFRDWeatherford International plc6.6 bn16.223.0%8.6%−10.8%+23% / −3%
WHDCactus, Inc.4.9 bn26.814.7%12.0%−4.5%+49% / +40%
DNOWDnow Inc.2.9 bn—-12.4%-4.9%+18.8%+11% / +48%
INVXInnovex International, Inc.2.0 bn31.56.0%6.2%+48.0%+40% / +30%
FETForum Energy Technologies, Inc.974.5 m33.29.8%3.5%−3.1%+164% / +290%
OISOil States International, Inc574.2 m—-16.8%-16.5%−3.4%+61% / +32%
OMSEOMS Energy Technologies Inc.170.2 m3.443.5%22.0%unavailable−32% / unavailable
LSELeishen Energy Holding Co., Ltd.73.5 m54.02.9%2.6%−30.0%−18% / unavailable
DTIDrilling Tools International Corporation56.6 m—-2.5%-2.0%+3.4%−28% / −57%
STAKSTAK Inc.30.4 m79.02.9%1.5%+13.2%+124% / unavailable
GPUSHyperscale Data, Inc.244.8 k—-159.8%-71.0%−4.3%−92% / −100%
FLOCFlowco Holdings Inc.—19.619.3%6.1%+41.9%+24% / unavailable
SEISolaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc.——8.4%7.2%+98.7%+33% / +665%

1- and 3-year price returns: for FET from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
51.57
Total return -39% · Per year -39%
91.18
Total return 7% · Per year 7%
137.36
Total return 62% · Per year 62%
3 years
49.73
Total return -41% · Per year -16%
98.97
Total return 17% · Per year 5%
163.75
Total return 93% · Per year 24%
5 years
47.96
Total return -44% · Per year -11%
107.42
Total return 26% · Per year 5%
195.20
Total return 130% · Per year 18%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 24.74
  • Net margin± 17.32
  • Annual revenue growth± 14.26
  • Annual dilution± 1.46

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Forum Energy Technologies makes equipment and consumables for drilling, well completions, subsea work, artificial lift and the oil industry, and also for defense and renewable energy, according to its SEC filings. Revenue dipped slightly in 2025 from the prior year, while second quarter 2026 figures show a recovery, which makes the company relevant to investors watching the oil cycle 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad product portfolio, from drilling and subsea equipment to industrial valves, which reduces dependence on a single segment.
  • Growing market share and backlog in the first half of 2026, supported by a clear operational strategy.
  • Lower net leverage and the ability to repurchase shares from free cash flow.

Weaknesses

  • Operating margins in the Drilling and Completions segment were very thin in 2025, under pressure from inventory write-downs.
  • Revenue declined in 2025 and the net loss that year shows sensitivity to the industry cycle.
  • Dependence on the activity of oil industry customers makes revenue difficult to forecast.

Opportunities

  • Demand for subsea and offshore wind equipment could grow if renewable projects expand.
  • Higher oil prices in 2026 could encourage customers to invest in new equipment.
  • Defense and communications products could become a more important segment.

Threats

  • Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East can quickly change prices and demand for oilfield services.
  • Larger competitors with greater financial and technical resources could pressure prices.
  • Trade tariffs and emissions rules could raise costs or reduce demand.

Risks

  • Dependence on the oil cyclehigh

    Drilling and completion activity drives demand for the company's products, and falling prices can quickly reduce revenue and margins 1.

  • Intense competitionmedium

    Large and regional competitors may offer more attractive prices or more advanced products, which could reduce market share 1.

  • Inventory and write-downsmedium

    Uncertainty about long-term prices can lead to hard-to-sell inventory and value losses, as happened in 2025 1.

  • Regulation and tariffsmedium

    U.S. government tariffs and rules on hydraulic fracturing or emissions can affect costs and demand 1.

  • Geopolitical volatilitylow

    Conflicts in the Middle East and disruption to supply chains could quickly change market conditions 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If growth in market share and backlog continues, annual results could exceed current guidance, especially in consumables.
  • Lower debt and free cash flow generation could allow share repurchases to continue without financial strain.
  • Diversifying toward defense and renewable energy could reduce dependence on the oil cycle over the long term.

What would break the thesis

  • If oil prices fall after a geopolitical spike, demand for consumables and equipment could slow quickly.
  • Margins remain weak in the Drilling and Completions segment, and facility consolidation could bring extra costs.
  • Competition from larger groups could press prices and limit profit growth.

What to watch

  • Quarterly results and delivery against the third-quarter guidanceQ3 2026
  • Trends in the global active rig count and oil prices2026
  • Backlog level and the book-to-bill ratioQ3 2026
  • Annual results and any changes to 2027 guidancenext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

FET is a global manufacturing company that optimizes customer operations through safety, efficiency and lower environmental impact. Its products include capital equipment and consumables, and its customers are oil and gas operators, oilfield service companies, pipeline and refinery operators, defense contractors and renewable energy companies 1. In 2025 about 80% of revenue came from consumables and activity-based equipment, with the rest mainly from capital products 1. The company could benefit if demand for consumables stays steady, since in 2025 revenue was affected by market conditions and tariffs 1.

The company reports two segments: Drilling and Completions and Artificial Lift and Downhole 1. The portfolio is supported by orders and a backlog that grew in 2025 1. In the first half of 2026 the share of consumables and activity-based equipment fell to about 75% of revenue, indicating a relative rise in capital products 2.

Management raised full-year 2026 guidance in July 2026, citing market share, backlog and first-half performance 3. The 'Beat the Market' strategy focuses on operational efficiency and lower net debt, which could support results if oil markets remain volatile 3.

Segments

Drilling and Completions

The segment generated 60.3% of revenue in 2025, with drilling consumables, subsea equipment, coiled tubing and wireline products 1. Revenue rose slightly in 2025, but operating margin fell to a low level, affected by inventory write-downs and facility consolidation 1. In the second quarter of 2026 segment revenue rose 10% from the prior quarter, supported by demand for coiled tubing and capital equipment 3.

Artificial Lift and Downhole

The segment accounted for 39.8% of revenue in 2025, but revenue declined, mainly due to lower sand control sales and tariff effects on valves 1. In the second quarter of 2026 revenue rose 6% from the prior quarter, helped by demand for sand and flow control solutions and artificial lift products 3.

Market context

Demand for FET products is closely tied to the global active rig count, which fell 6.7% in 2025 versus 2024 to 1818 active rigs worldwide 1. Oil prices were higher in the second quarter of 2026 than a year earlier due to Middle East tensions, but the rig count stayed below the prior year, showing capital discipline among customers 2.

Over the long term, management argues that global energy demand and declining output from mature fields will support the company's products, but commodity prices and trade policy remain sources of uncertainty 12. If geopolitical tensions ease, demand for oilfield services could weaken, while sustained high prices could support customer investment 2.

Trends

  • Customer capital disciplineheadwind

    Operators have limited spending, which reduced demand for new equipment but has kept demand for consumables 12.

  • Oil price volatilitymixed

    Higher prices in the second quarter of 2026 could lift activity, but geopolitical instability can make investment harder to predict 2.

  • Energy transition and renewablestailwind

    Products for offshore wind and subsea work could gain importance if renewable projects expand 1.

  • Trade tariffs and costsheadwind

    Tariffs imposed by the U.S. government affected valve sales and could raise raw material costs 1.

Competitive position

The markets FET serves are highly competitive, and no single competitor covers all of its product lines 1. Competitors include large national and multinational companies as well as smaller regional firms, and some have lower structural costs 1.

The main competitive factors are product quality, price, product breadth, performance and technical expertise 1. Some customers are also competitors and have stopped buying from the company in the past, which could reduce sales if they choose to build in-house 1.

  • NOV Inc.NOV

    Multinational oil equipment company named as a competitor in the company's filings.

  • Tenaris S.A.TS

    Multinational tubing and pipe manufacturer named as a competitor in the company's filings.

  • SLB

    Manufacturing arm of a major oilfield services group, named as a competitor through its production business.

  • Baker HughesBKR

    Oilfield services and equipment company whose manufacturing arm competes with FET.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. · 27 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. (FET): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw