olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Ramaco Resources, Inc. METCB

Silver Ores · SIC 1220 · Vertical: Coal mining (SIC 122x)

4.23USD+2.30% · 1 dayClose 02 Nov 2026

Ramaco Resources is an operator and developer of high-quality, low-cost metallurgical coal in Central Appalachia that is expanding into rare earths and critical minerals through the Brook Mine project in Wyoming. The company reported revenue of and liquidity of, while the Brook project could become an important pillar if the study and financing steps are confirmed.

At the close of 02 Nov 2026, Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METCB) stock was 4.23 USD (+2.30% on the day), with market capitalisation 187.6 m USD, dividend yield 1.34%, beta 1.07, 52-week range 3.78–16.17 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 144.8 m USD (−5.3% YoY), net income of -15.4 m USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
187.6 m USD
shares as of 30 Apr 2023
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.99 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
-23.43%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
1.34%
DPS 12m 0.06
Beta (2y)
1.07
Volatility (1y) 72%
52-week range
3.7816.17

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
45.3
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.66 – 4.66
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.56 · band width 24.2%
SMA 50 / 200
5.12 / 8.89
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.22 / -0.32
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−2.4%−2.3%−0.1 pp—
3 months−38.7%−0.8%−37.9 pp—
6 months−57.9%+4.7%−62.7 pp—
Year to date−63.2%+10.2%−73.3 pp—
1 year−70.5%+10.3%−80.8 pp+0.9%
3 years−65.0%+73.0%−138.1 pp−16.4%
5 yearsunavailable+61.8%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−76.6%
12 Nov 2025 → 21 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−82.1%
13 Oct 2025 → 21 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
144.8 m USD
−5.3% YoY
Net income
-15.4 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-10.6% / -12.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue167.4 m170.9 m134.7 m153.0 m121.0 m128.0 m121.6 m144.8 m
Cost of revenue134.7 m136.1 m114.1 m134.2 m101.8 m107.1 m108.5 m128.2 m
SG&A12.9 m11.4 m14.6 m15.2 m16.1 m19.6 m20.3 m17.6 m
Operating income1.6 m6.4 m-12.0 m-13.8 m-14.5 m-15.6 m-24.3 m-18.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation17.8 m16.7 m17.5 m17.0 m17.1 m16.5 m16.6 m16.8 m
Interest expense1.7 m-10.6 m-2.2 m-2.8 m2.3 m-15.1 m-334.0 k-1.5 m
Pre-tax income-178.0 k6.1 m-13.7 m-16.0 m-16.6 m-15.8 m-24.2 m-19.6 m
Income tax61.0 k2.2 m-4.3 m-2.0 m-3.3 m-1.1 m-5.8 m-4.2 m
Net income-239.0 k3.9 m-9.5 m-14.0 m-13.3 m-14.7 m-18.3 m-15.4 m
Diluted EPS-0.03———————
Operating cash flow37.4 m ≈15.7 m26.0 m-4.3 m ≈-1.4 m ≈-18.4 m-34.6 m12.2 m ≈
Dividends paid8.0 m ≈128.0 k2.5 m1.9 m ≈0 ≈0——
Share repurchases——————11.9 m54.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue227.6 m168.9 m168.9 m283.4 m565.7 m693.5 m666.3 m536.6 m
Revenue YoY+272.9%−25.8%0.0%+67.8%+99.6%+22.6%−3.9%−19.5%
Net income25.1 m24.9 m-4.9 m39.8 m116.0 m82.3 m11.2 m-51.4 m
Net income YoYunavailable−0.6%−119.7%unavailable+191.9%−29.1%−86.4%−559.7%
Diluted EPS0.620.61-0.120.902.601.730.11-0.99
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−1.6%−119.7%unavailable+188.9%−33.5%−93.6%−1,000.0%
net %11.0%14.8%-2.9%14.0%20.5%11.9%1.7%-9.6%
Free cash flow-12.0 m-3.3 m-11.4 m23.9 m64.9 m78.1 munavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
440.3 m USD
Financial debt
467.6 m USD
Net debt
27.3 m USD
Equity
483.6 m USD
Total assets
1.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.97x
Current ratio
5.46x
ROE
-12.2%
ROA
-5.7%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
693.5 m
2024
666.3 m
2025
536.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
493.8 m
2024
533.3 m
2025
453.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
199.7 m ≈
2024
133.0 m ≈
2025
83.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

SG&A
2023
48.8 m
2024
49.3 m
2025
69.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
95.2 m
2024
16.6 m
2025
-56.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
54.3 m
2024
65.6 m
2025
68.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
149.5 m ≈
2024
82.3 m ≈
2025
12.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
-8.9 m
2024
-6.1 m
2025
-7.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
104.7 m
2024
14.9 m
2025
-62.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
22.4 m
2024
3.7 m
2025
-10.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
82.3 m
2024
11.2 m
2025
-51.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.73
2024
0.11
2025
-0.99

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Mar 2023verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Apr 2022verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
42.0 m
2024
33.0 m
2025
440.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
96.9 m
2024
73.6 m
2025
54.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
37.2 m
2024
43.4 m
2025
87.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
189.7 m
2024
167.6 m
2025
597.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
459.1 m
2024
482.0 m
2025
511.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
665.8 m
2024
674.7 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
51.6 m
2024
48.9 m
2025
41.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
56.5 m
2024
359.0 k
2025
56.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
349.0 k
2024
57.0 k
2025
467.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
170.0 m
2024
122.4 m
2025
109.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
296.2 m
2024
311.9 m
2025
657.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
369.6 m †
2024
362.8 m †
2025
483.6 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
161.0 m
2024
112.7 m
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
82.9 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Mar 2024verified

Free cash flow
2023
78.1 m ≈
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Mar 2024derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-72.2 m
2024
-70.8 m
2025
-83.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-82.5 m
2024
-50.8 m
2025
489.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
25.8 m
2024
24.6 m
2025
4.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-19.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-1.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
26.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-436.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-559.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-1,000.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
13.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-14.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
-4.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
3.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-42.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
65 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
44 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
63 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
187.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-32.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
0.81
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 31.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

4.23 USD

02 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 187.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
187.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-19.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Apr 2023
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 1452derived 112

Score by group

31% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
0.75
USD per share
Mid
0.85
USD per share
High
1.00
USD per share
Price: 4.23 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -79.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -394.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.75 – 1.00 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)0.75 – 1.00 (Mid 0.85)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Coal mining (SIC 122x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 31.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-12.0%8 (vs peers)20%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.7%0 (on a fixed band)27%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-4.9x0 (on a fixed band)20%
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.2x100 (on a fixed band)13%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.3%33 (on a fixed band)20%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial8/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial33/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METCB). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 536.6 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -19.5%; net margin -12.0%; ROE -17.1%.

The estimated value range is 0.75–1.00 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 0.85 USD, the price of 4.22 USD leaves a potential of -79.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -394.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 31.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 4.2x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -12.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -1.7%
  • Interest coverage: -4.9x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Coal mining (SIC 122x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 14.2x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 10.1x
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 1.0x
below median (−62.2%)
P/B
0.5x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−57.5%)
ROE
-17.1%
vertical median -0.1%
below median
Net margin
-12.0%
vertical median 0.1%
below median (−21,143.3%)
EBIT margin
-14.1%
vertical median -0.2%
below median
Revenue YoY
-19.5%
vertical median -15.4%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.5x
Dividend yield
1.3%
vertical median 0.9%
above median (+56.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc.4.3 bn19.810.0%13.0%−14.1%+5% / +47%
CNRCore Natural Resources, Inc.4.2 bn42.42.7%2.3%+86.2%+5% / −21%
ARLPAlliance Resource Partners LP3.4 bn12.7—12.3%−10.4%+8% / +25%
BTUPeabody Energy Corp2.6 bn—-5.0%-4.3%−8.9%−23% / −12%
AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.2.0 bn—-3.0%-2.2%−28.0%−3% / −45%
NRPNatural Resource Partners LP1.5 bn14.2——−16.6%+9% / +50%
METCRamaco Resources, Inc.292.7 m—-17.1%-12.0%−19.5%−58% / −60%
ARECAmerican Resources Corporation116.1 m1.7718.3%—−100.0%−61% / −35%

1- and 3-year price returns: for METCB from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Ramaco Resources is an operator and developer of high-quality, low-cost metallurgical coal in Central Appalachia that is expanding into rare earths and critical minerals through the Brook Mine project in Wyoming. The company reported revenue of 1 and liquidity of 2, while the Brook project could become an important pillar if the study and financing steps are confirmed.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Cash costs in the first quartile of the US cost curve and high-quality reserves provide a solid operating base.
    • High liquidity and a balance sheet that management describes as among the strongest in the company's history.
    • Extensive property and resource portfolio allows capital flexibility during difficult market periods.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue depends on volatile metallurgical coal prices and the company does not enter into long-term coal sales contracts.
    • The rare earths segment has no reserves yet and generates no revenue, making future performance uncertain.
    • 2026 production and sales guidance were reduced, reflecting weakness in the high-vol coal market.

    Opportunities

    • Growing the share of low-vol coal could improve prices and margins, especially through the planned Maben underground development.
    • The Brook project could attract public or private financing and long-term offtake contracts if studies confirm viability.
    • Political interest in domestic critical mineral supply chains could ease permitting and bring government support.

    Threats

    • Global steel oversupply and Chinese steel exports could keep coal prices below expectations.
    • Brook project capital costs are large and start-up timing could slip further.
    • Changes in trade policy or tariffs could affect exports and supply costs.

    Risks

    • Dependence on coal priceshigh

      The company does not enter into long-term coal sales contracts, so revenue can fluctuate significantly with the market.

    • Brook project developmenthigh

      The project has no rare earth reserves yet and depends on successfully turning the deposit into a commercial-scale mine.

    • Customer concentrationmedium

      Loss of or a significant reduction in purchases by the largest coal customers could affect revenue and cash flows.

    • Debt and covenantsmedium

      Convertible notes and credit agreements impose restrictions that could limit operating and financial flexibility.

    • Regulation and permitsmedium

      Mining and environmental permits are costly and slow to obtain, and legislative changes could raise operating costs.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the Brook project studies confirm the estimated value, the company could become a dual-platform producer of coal and critical minerals with significant growth potential.
    • Low cash costs and the growing share of low-vol coal could support better margins when the market recovers.
    • High liquidity and share repurchases could strengthen the capital structure and support shareholder value.

    What would break the thesis

    • If the metallurgical coal market stays weak for a long period, revenue and profitability could remain below expected levels.
    • The Brook project requires very large investment and a long timeline, and delays could push the estimated benefits far into the future.
    • Diversifying into critical minerals could add new risks if the technical process or project economics do not hold up.

    What to watch

    • Interim economic update for the Brook projectyear-end 2026
    • Delivery against 2026 production and sales guidanceQ4 2026
    • Completion of the Maben rail loadoutQ4 2026
    • Trend in low-vol and high-vol coal pricesnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Ramaco Resources, Inc. is a Delaware corporation headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky, which operates and develops low-cost metallurgical coal in southern West Virginia and southwestern Virginia 1. The company holds 85 million reserve tons and 1,337 million measured and indicated resource tons of metallurgical coal 1. Since mid-2025 it has also started developing rare earth and critical mineral operations at the Brook Mine near Sheridan, Wyoming 1. The business is organized in two reportable segments: metallurgical coal and rare earths and critical minerals 1.

    Segments

    Metallurgical Coal

    This is the main revenue source, with coal sold to North American steel mills and coke plants as well as to export markets 1. In the first six months of 2026 revenue was 2, and the company cut its 2026 production guidance because of weak high-vol coal markets, while keeping cash costs below 100 dollars per ton in the second quarter 3.

    Market context

    The metallurgical coal market remained soft in 2026 because of limited economic growth in some regions and oversupply in steel, with some contract prices below second-quarter averages 2 3. Over the longer term the company sees support from limited investment in new coking coal capacity and urbanization in emerging economies 2. Demand for rare earths and critical minerals is meanwhile driven by permanent magnets, defense and semiconductors, while China dominates the supply chain 1 3.

    Trends

    • Weak steel demandheadwind

      Global steel demand slowed, especially in China, reducing the price steelmakers are willing to pay for coal; cuts by high-cost producers could support prices 2.

    • Low-vol coal strengthtailwind

      The low-vol coal market has been stronger than the high-vol market, which is why the company is shifting its mix toward this product 3.

    • Demand for critical mineralsmixed

      US dependence on China-controlled supply chains has increased interest in domestic rare earth and critical mineral production, but new projects require long lead times and large capital 1 3.

    • Fuel costs and trade policyheadwind

      High fuel costs linked to Middle East conflicts and tariff uncertainty could pressure margins, although exports have not yet been significantly affected 2 3.

    Competitive position

    In metallurgical coal the company competes with other US and Australian producers, with Australia enjoying lower costs but a longer logistics route to Atlantic buyers 1. In rare earths competition comes mainly from Chinese producers, who control much of global refining and production 1. The company also notes that consolidation in the critical minerals industry could increase competition 1.

    • Chinese rare earth producers

      Control most of global refining and production capacity, and their export restrictions can influence prices in the US market.

    • Australian metallurgical coal producers

      Produce at lower cost and have logistical advantages for Pacific Basin customers.

    • Other US Appalachian metallurgical coal producers

      Compete for the same steel and export customers, especially in the high-vol segment.

    • Canadian metallurgical coal producers

      Partly supply Pacific Basin markets, particularly when there is a supply shortfall from Australia.

    News & filings

    In the press

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Ramaco Resources, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Ramaco Resources, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Ramaco Resources, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

    Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METCB): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw