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olivLaw · US equity research

Ovid Therapeutics Inc. OVID

Pharmaceutical Preparations · SIC 2834 · Vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

2.39USD−5.91% · 1 dayClose 02 Nov 2026

Ovid Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company developing small molecule medicines for brain disorders, mainly epilepsies and psychoses, by quelling neuronal hyperexcitation. It matters now because first clinical data for OV329 and the entry of OV4071 into the clinic open a new phase in which the company still relies on financing and warrant exercises, with cash of 169.8 million USD as of June 30, 2026.

At the close of 02 Nov 2026, Ovid Therapeutics Inc. (OVID) stock was 2.39 USD (−5.91% on the day), with market capitalisation 466.8 m USD, beta 1.46, 52-week range 1.20–2.96 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 733.0 k USD (−88.3% YoY), net income of -15.0 m USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
466.8 m USD
shares as of 11 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.47 · TTM to 30 Sept 2024
E/P (TTM)
-19.53%
TTM to 30 Sept 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.46
Volatility (1y) 75%
52-week range
1.202.96

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
49.6
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
2.07 – 2.59
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.62 · band width 22.0%
SMA 50 / 200
2.53 / 2.35
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.02 / -0.05
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+0.4%−2.3%+2.8 pp—
3 months+2.6%−0.8%+3.4 pp—
6 months−18.4%+4.7%−23.2 pp—
Year to date+46.6%+10.2%+36.5 pp—
1 year+71.9%+10.3%+61.7 pp+6.1%
3 years−33.1%+73.0%−106.1 pp+29.0%
5 years−34.5%+61.8%−96.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−27.4%
14 Apr 2026 → 16 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−93.7%
12 Feb 2024 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−8.1%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
733.0 k USD
−88.3% YoY
Net income
-15.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-2,047.6% / -2,141.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue173.0 k76.0 k130.0 k6.3 m132.0 k718.0 k0733.0 k
Research & development7.9 m5.9 m6.7 m6.5 m5.9 m6.6 m11.2 m10.0 m
Operating income-13.2 m-10.7 m-12.6 m-5.1 m-12.5 m-12.3 m-17.8 m-15.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation169.0 k ≈160.0 k141.0 k99.0 k ≈16.0 k ≈17.0 k35.0 k16.0 k ≈
Pre-tax income-14.0 m-9.3 m-10.2 m-4.7 m-12.2 m9.7 m-17.0 m-15.0 m
Income tax00000000
Net income-14.0 m-9.3 m-10.2 m-4.7 m-12.2 m9.7 m-17.0 m-15.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.20———————
Operating cash flow-15.0 m ≈-10.0 m-10.3 m-4.8 m ≈-12.9 m ≈-10.4 m-13.9 m-17.6 m ≈
Capex-4.0 k ≈22.0 k00 ≈0 ≈0——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year201820192020⚠ 20212022⚠ 202320242025
Revenueunavailableunavailable12.6 m208.4 m1.5 m392.0 k566.0 k7.3 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—−99.3%—+44.4%+1,181.3%
Net income-52.0 m-60.5 m-81.0 m122.8 m-54.2 m-52.3 m-26.4 m-17.4 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—−144.1%—unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-1.391.76-0.77-0.74unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—−143.8%—unavailableunavailable
net %unavailableunavailable-642.3%58.9%-3,604.7%-13,351.8%-4,670.1%-240.1%
Free cash flow-45.6 m-51.1 m-51.7 m118.4 m-56.5 m-45.8 m-56.0 m-38.3 m

The series breaks before 2021, 2023: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
13.2 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
130.7 m USD
Total assets
150.9 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
8.97x
ROE
-17.5%
ROA
-14.3%
FCF margin
-528.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
392.0 k
2024
566.0 k
2025
7.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
28.6 m
2024
36.8 m
2025
25.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-59.3 m
2024
-61.9 m
2025
-42.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
568.0 k
2024
613.0 k
2025
273.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-58.7 m ≈
2024
-61.3 m ≈
2025
-42.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-52.3 m
2024
-26.4 m
2025
-17.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-52.3 m
2024
-26.4 m
2025
-17.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.74
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 08 Mar 2024verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
70.6 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 08 Mar 2024verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
27.0 m
2024
26.3 m
2025
13.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
109.6 m
2024
55.9 m
2025
74.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
769.0 k
2024
433.0 k
2025
252.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
200.0 k
2024
100.0 k
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2023
144.0 m
2024
92.2 m
2025
150.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
3.7 m
2024
3.2 m
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
11.5 m
2024
10.5 m
2025
8.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
56.2 m
2024
23.9 m
2025
20.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
87.8 m †
2024
68.2 m †
2025
130.7 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-45.8 m
2024
-56.0 m
2025
-38.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
40.0 k
2024
71.0 k
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-45.8 m ≈
2024
-56.0 m ≈
2025
-38.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.6 m
2024
54.6 m
2025
-49.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
30.5 m
2024
622.0 k
2025
75.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1,181.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
69.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
-3,681.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-3,686.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-2,178.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-3,460.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-26.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-22.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-26.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
12.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-54.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
0 USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
-54.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
466.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
294.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-11.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.39 USD

02 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 466.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
466.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-26.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-2,178.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1,181.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

24/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 11 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Aug 2026
verified 1058derived 90

Score by group

27% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-2,178.9%11 (vs peers)23%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth69.0%100 (on a fixed band)31%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet12.4x100 (on a fixed band)15%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-11.7%0 (on a fixed band)31%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial11/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Ovid Therapeutics Inc. (OVID). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.3 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 1,181.3%; net margin -2,178.9%; ROE -26.0%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 69.0%
  • Current ratio: 12.4x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -2,178.9%
  • FCF yield: -11.7%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 30.8x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.0x
P/S
294.9x
vertical median 4.8x
above median (+6,010.8%)
P/B
2.2x
vertical median 3.4x
below median (−33.7%)
ROE
-26.0%
vertical median 5.0%
below median (−621.1%)
Net margin
-2,178.9%
vertical median 5.0%
below median (−43,628.6%)
EBIT margin
-3,686.7%
vertical median -5.7%
below median
Revenue YoY
1,181.3%
vertical median 8.6%
above median (+13,583.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.3x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LLYEli Lilly And Company1,327.4 bn45.886.1%31.9%+44.7%+31% / +139%
JNJJohnson & Johnson651.3 bn41.020.0%16.2%+6.0%+31% / +75%
ONCBeone Medicines Ltd.534.0 bn831.914.7%10.7%+40.2%+6% / +93%
ABBVAbbVie Inc.510.4 bn81.6—9.8%+8.6%+27% / +103%
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.366.0 bn118.57.0%4.8%+1.3%+42% / +45%
ABTAbbott Laboratories191.9 bn30.812.4%13.9%+5.7%−15% / +6%
PFEPfizer Inc174.8 bn40.35.0%6.8%−1.6%+19% / +1%
VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals Inc140.2 bn32.223.5%35.0%+8.9%+28% / +56%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company128.8 bn14.044.1%18.5%−0.2%+28% / +28%
TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited47.4 bn67.99.7%5.0%+4.3%+51% / +314%
ZTSZoetis Inc.34.4 bn13.764.4%27.5%+2.3%−35% / −53%
ROIVRoivant Sciences Ltd.25.9 bn—-6.2%-3,535.0%−71.6%+72% / +275%
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc25.8 bn37.78.5%32.1%+5.1%+66% / +146%
UTHRUnited Therapeutics Corporation25.6 bn21.319.3%41.6%+10.6%+23% / +148%
INSMInsmed Inc24.0 bn—-72.5%-39.9%+66.7%−47% / +337%
VTRSViatris Inc.21.4 bn—-23.6%-23.9%−3.0%+75% / +103%
ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.21.2 bn8.0126.6%52.8%+65.2%−65% / −6%
RDYDr. Reddy’s Laboratories Limited11.8 bn17.917.0%17.4%+13.8%+1% / +1%
HCMHutchMED (China) LIMITED11.6 bn25.545.7%83.3%−13.0%−8% / −31%
MDGLMadrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.10.0 bn—-53.3%-25.3%+432.1%−28% / +112%
TVTXTravere Therapeutics, Inc.4.7 bn—-252.7%-18.7%+110.5%+39% / +684%
SUPNSupernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.2.4 bn—-4.2%-5.1%+8.6%−24% / +76%
HRMYHarmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc.2.2 bn12.320.5%18.9%+21.5%+7% / +30%
LKFTGalapagos NV2.1 bn6.610.5%28.9%+303.5%+2% / −14%
URGNUroGen Pharma Ltd.1.7 bn——-51.7%+21.4%+19% / +161%

1- and 3-year price returns: for OVID from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Ovid Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company developing small molecule medicines for brain disorders, mainly epilepsies and psychoses, by quelling neuronal hyperexcitation. It matters now because first clinical data for OV329 and the entry of OV4071 into the clinic open a new phase in which the company still relies on financing and warrant exercises, with cash of 169.8 million USD as of June 30, 2026 2.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company holds a differentiated portfolio of molecules with new mechanisms, including a KCC2 activator library it considers unique 1.
    • Phase 1 data for OV329 and OV350 report a favorable safety profile and no treatment-related serious adverse events 3.
    • The company has raised capital through private placements and has warrant-based funding options that support its programmes 2.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has no approved products and no drug sales revenue, depending on licensing income and external financing 1.
    • Net losses and the accumulated deficit are growing, so continued capital raising is needed 2.
    • The company relies on third parties for manufacturing and for conducting trials, which limits direct control over execution 1.

    Opportunities

    • Extending OV329 into TSC seizures and infantile spasms could open paediatric indications with unmet medical need 3.
    • If OV4071 confirms its effects in clinical studies, the programme could apply to several neuropsychiatric disorders 3.
    • Strategic interest in epilepsy and psychiatry assets could facilitate partnerships or licensing for secondary indications 1.

    Threats

    • Clinical development is uncertain, and early study results may not be confirmed in larger trials 1.
    • If financing cannot be obtained on acceptable terms, programmes could be slowed or stopped 2.
    • Competition from approved therapies and from companies with advanced programmes could reduce the company's market space 1.

    Risks

    • Need for additional capitalhigh

      The company will need further financing, and if it cannot obtain it on acceptable terms it could have to delay or stop programmes 1.

    • Continuing operating losseshigh

      The company expects operating losses for a long period and may never achieve profitability 1.

    • Uncertainty of clinical resultshigh

      Preclinical and early clinical results may not predict later study outcomes or regulatory approval 1.

    • Reliance on third partiesmedium

      The company has no own manufacturing capacity and relies on outside organisations for studies and production, which could affect timelines 1.

    • Shareholder dilutionmedium

      Additional share or warrant issuance could dilute existing shareholders and impose operating restrictions 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If clinical data for OV329 confirm a differentiated safety profile, the company could become a relevant player in drug-resistant epilepsies.
    • The KCC2 portfolio, unique in its design, could offer several indications across psychoses and mood disorders if studies confirm the mechanism.
    • Warrant exercise and existing financing could extend the funding runway, giving time for Phase 2 results.

    What would break the thesis

    • The company has no sales revenue and depends on external financing, which could lead to significant dilution if clinical results are delayed.
    • Safety data from early studies do not guarantee efficacy in patients, and a Phase 2 failure could weigh on the whole pipeline.
    • The market is competitive, and existing or in-development drugs from other companies could limit adoption of Ovid's products.

    What to watch

    • First Phase 2 results for OV329 in drug-resistant focal seizures2026
    • Start of the OV4071 Phase 1 study and initial resultsQ2 2026
    • Exercise of Series A warrants and the financing amount obtainedQ2 2026
    • Start of the OV329 study in TSC-associated seizuresQ4 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Ovid Therapeutics focuses on small molecule medicines for the central nervous system designed to restore the balance between excitation and inhibition in neurons and to treat drug-resistant focal seizures, developmental and epileptic encephalopathies and psychosis associated with Parkinson's disease and Lewy body dementia 1. Its strategy combines translational research with in-licensing of assets with new mechanisms of action, including a portfolio of KCC2 direct activators 1. The company has no approved drug and has not generated drug sales revenue, its revenue coming from licensing and royalties 1.

    In fiscal 2025 the company recorded royalty and licensing revenue of 7.3 million USD, compared with 0.6 million USD in 2024, and a net loss of 17.4 million USD 1. For the six months ended June 30, 2026 the net loss rose to 32.0 million USD and the accumulated deficit reached 353.7 million USD 2. Funding has relied mainly on equity sales, the 2021 upfront payment from Takeda and the 2023 royalty monetization agreement with Ligand 1.

    In March 2026 the company announced a private placement with gross proceeds of 60.0 million USD to expand OV329 into TSC-associated seizures and infantile spasms and for general research and development 1. If all Series A warrants are exercised, the company could receive an additional 53.9 million USD gross, which could extend its cash runway into 2029 3.

    Segments

    OV329 (GABA-AT inhibitor)

    OV329 is a next-generation GABA-aminotransferase inhibitor for drug-resistant epilepsies. Phase 1 studies reported a favorable safety profile with no treatment-related serious adverse events, and a placebo-controlled Phase 2 trial in focal onset seizures was expected to start in the second quarter of 2026 3. The programme is being extended to TSC seizures and infantile spasms 3.

    OV4071 (oral KCC2 activator)

    OV4071 is an oral direct activator of KCC2 and the most advanced programme in the company's KCC2 library. It received ethics committee approval and acknowledgement of its clinical trial notification from Australia's TGA, and a Phase 1 study was planned for the second quarter of 2026, followed by a ketamine challenge study 13. The initial focus is psychosis associated with Parkinson's disease and Lewy body dementia 2.

    OV350 (IV KCC2 activator)

    OV350 is an intravenous direct KCC2 activator whose Phase 1 results, reported in December 2025, were the first clinical validation of direct KCC2 activation in humans, with no treatment-related serious adverse events 3. The data support the company's oral KCC2 programmes, notably OV4071 1.

    Market context

    The regulatory environment appears more open to new approaches, and the FDA has encouraged basket labels covering more than one disease for a single agent, such as DEE 1. For the company this could facilitate multiple indications, but progress depends on clinical results and continued financing 1.

    Trends

    • Shortage of drugs with new mechanismstailwind

      Relatively few drugs with new mechanisms of action have been approved in recent decades, and at least one therapy with a novel mechanism was approved in schizophrenia in 2024, for the first time in 50 years 1. This gap leaves room for differentiated therapies.

    • Demand for better tolerated therapiestailwind

      Many epilepsy and psychosis patients use polypharmacy regimens, creating tolerability problems and drug interactions, which supports the search for molecules with better profiles 1. If the OV329 safety profile is confirmed in patient studies, the company could benefit from this demand.

    • Financing conditions and inflationheadwind

      The company notes that high interest rates and economic uncertainty could make it harder to obtain financing on acceptable terms, and clinical trial costs could rise 2. This context could slow programmes if new funds are not secured.

    • Trade policy and tariffsmixed

      The company points to uncertainty around tariffs, trade regulations and sanctions, which could affect supplier costs and global economic volatility 2. The net effect remains unclear and depends on how these policies evolve.

    Competitive position

    The current standard of care for psychosis associated with Parkinson's disease is pimavanserin, to which only a small proportion of patients fully respond, and atypical antipsychotics are contraindicated in these diseases 1. In epilepsy, many approved anti-seizure medications are already used, and earlier GABA-AT inhibitors have safety limitations 3. The company says it holds the only portfolio of direct KCC2 activators 2.

    Competition comes both from companies developing new antiseizure and antipsychotic drugs and from existing products that already have patient access and reimbursement 1. The company's differentiated advantage depends on clinical confirmation of a better safety and efficacy profile.

    • Nuplazid (pimavanserin)

      Current standard of care for psychosis associated with Parkinson's disease, to which only a small share of patients fully respond 1.

    • Earlier-generation GABA-AT inhibitors

      The drug class to which OV329 belongs, but with safety limitations that restrict wider use 3.

    • Approved anti-seizure medications

      Numerous approved drugs used in polytherapy, which could limit room for new molecules unless they offer a clear advantage 1.

    • Atypical antipsychotics

      Therapies contraindicated in psychosis associated with Parkinson's disease and Lewy body dementia, but relevant in schizophrenia 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Ovid Therapeutics Inc. · 18 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Ovid Therapeutics Inc. · 13 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Ovid Therapeutics Inc. · 18 Mar 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

    Ovid Therapeutics Inc. (OVID): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw