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olivLaw · US equity research

Savers Value Village, Inc. SVV

Retail-Miscellaneous Retail · SIC 5900 · Vertical: Retail-Miscellaneous Retail (SIC 5900)

10.06USD+8.17% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Savers Value Village is the largest for-profit thrift operator in the United States and Canada, buying secondhand goods from non-profit partners and selling them through low-priced stores. In 2026 it is expanding its store network and testing a proprietary pricing platform, changes that could support longer-term margins if growth holds.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV) stock was 10.06 USD (+8.17% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.5 bn USD, P/E 63.3 on diluted EPS of 0.16 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 13.12%, beta 0.93, 52-week range 7.10–12.29 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 448.2 m USD (+7.4% YoY), net income of 21.6 m USD (+14.3% YoY), diluted EPS 0.14 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.5 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
63.3
Diluted EPS TTM 0.16 · TTM to 04 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.58%
TTM to 04 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
13.12%
DPS 12m 1.32
Beta (2y)
0.93
Volatility (1y) 49%
52-week range
7.1012.29

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
60.3
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
8.66 – 10.32
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.84 · band width 17.5%
SMA 50 / 200
9.62 / 9.41
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.03 / -0.07
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+9.5%−1.1%+10.6 pp—
3 months−7.7%−0.5%−7.3 pp—
6 months+17.5%+4.4%+13.1 pp—
Year to date+7.7%+12.3%−4.6 pp—
1 year+19.6%+13.5%+6.1 pp−30.6%
3 years−36.5%+76.4%−112.9 pp+0.4%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−38.4%
06 Feb 2026 → 19 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−74.7%
23 Aug 2023 → 14 Mar 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 04 Jul 2026

Revenue
448.2 m USD
+7.4% YoY
Net income
21.6 m USD
+14.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.14
+16.7% YoY
net / operating
4.8% / 9.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue394.8 m402.0 m370.1 m417.2 m426.9 m464.7 m403.2 m448.2 m
Cost of revenue170.8 m178.2 m168.5 m186.9 m188.2 m207.3 m183.1 m193.3 m
Gross profit101.0 m———————
SG&A83.9 m92.0 m87.1 m88.4 m99.5 m99.5 m98.5 m101.7 m
Operating income48.6 m33.1 m10.4 m34.0 m36.3 m43.3 m12.5 m42.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation17.3 m16.6 m19.4 m20.9 m18.3 m21.9 m22.8 m25.5 m
Pre-tax income35.4 m2.9 m-5.7 m26.6 m-17.3 m33.6 m-6.4 m31.5 m
Income tax13.8 m4.8 m-941.0 k7.7 m-3.3 m11.1 m-1.1 m9.8 m
Net income21.7 m-1.9 m-4.7 m18.9 m-14.0 m22.4 m-5.3 m21.6 m
Diluted EPS0.13-0.01 ≈-0.030.12-0.090.14 ≈-0.030.14
Operating cash flow23.9 m ≈55.8 m419.0 k54.4 m ≈21.6 m ≈90.8 m18.2 m74.5 m ≈
Capex26.9 m ≈25.7 m20.6 m32.6 m ≈27.9 m ≈37.6 m28.1 m29.7 m ≈
Dividends paid0 ≈0——————
Share repurchases18.1 m ≈10.7 m11.8 m23.8 m ≈0 ≈9.6 m10.3 m10.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 80 percentile of its own 10-quarter history (min 23.5, median 54.1, max 74.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2022202320242026
Revenue1.4 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.7 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+4.4%+2.5%unavailable
Net income84.7 m53.1 m29.0 m22.6 m
Net income YoYunavailable−37.3%−45.3%unavailable
Diluted EPS0.580.340.170.14
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−41.4%−50.0%unavailable
net %5.9%3.5%1.9%1.3%
Free cash flow59.3 m83.4 m28.4 m48.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 03 Jan 2026

Cash
85.9 m USD
Financial debt
715.7 m USD
Net debt
629.8 m USD
Equity
435.6 m USD
Total assets
2.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.64x
Current ratio
0.81x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
1.1%
FCF margin
2.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2026
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
619.7 m
2024
669.7 m
2026
750.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
427.6 m
2024
867.9 m ≈
2026
928.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

SG&A
2023
311.4 m
2024
337.1 m
2026
374.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
141.9 m
2024
130.2 m
2026
124.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
61.1 m
2024
69.5 m
2026
80.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
203.0 m ≈
2024
199.7 m ≈
2026
204.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
47.1 m
2024
49.4 m
2026
37.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-6.0 m
2024
20.4 m
2026
14.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
53.1 m
2024
29.0 m
2026
22.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.34
2024
0.17
2026
0.14

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
156.2 m
2024
166.7 m
2026
162.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.32
2024
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 08 Mar 2024verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
180.0 m
2024
150.0 m
2026
85.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
11.8 m
2024
16.8 m
2026
17.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
32.8 m
2024
34.3 m
2026
41.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
257.9 m
2024
230.2 m
2026
197.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2023verified

Goodwill
2023
687.4 m
2024
665.5 m
2026
677.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
166.7 m
2024
159.3 m
2026
153.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
92.6 m
2024
83.0 m
2026
75.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
4.5 m
2024
6.0 m
2026
7.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
784.6 m
2024
735.1 m
2026
708.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
241.5 m
2024
231.1 m
2026
244.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
376.1 m †
2024
421.7 m †
2026
435.6 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
175.2 m
2024
134.3 m
2026
167.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
91.7 m
2024
105.9 m
2026
118.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
83.4 m ≈
2024
28.4 m ≈
2026
48.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-92.4 m
2024
-80.5 m
2026
-118.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-17.0 m
2024
-76.6 m
2026
-116.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
262.2 m
2024
0
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
699.0 k
2024
31.7 m
2026
45.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 3Y
-24.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
-25.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
55.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
7.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Net margin
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
FCF margin
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROA
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROIC
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROCE
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
622.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
205.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
123.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
81.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
329.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
92.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
4 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Days inventory outstanding
21 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
40 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
-15 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
2.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
62.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
63.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
P/B
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/S
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
9.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
16.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/FCF
18.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
FCF yield
5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
13.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 42 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

10.06 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
63.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
P/B
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
9.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROE
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Net margin
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
13.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 04 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 04 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 674derived 58

Score by group

  • Valuation43
  • Returns57
  • Quality64
  • Balance sheet26
  • Growth16

Estimated value range

Low
9.72
USD per share
Mid
11.38
USD per share
High
13.40
USD per share
Price: 10.06 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 13.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 11.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.09 – 23.33 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E2.09 – 3.48 (Mid 2.86)
    4 companies used · median multiple 18.0x · quartiles 13.1x – 21.9x
    EZPW, FCFS, SPH, WINA
  • Dividend discount (DDM)17.35 – 23.33 (Mid 19.90)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Miscellaneous Retail (SIC 5900)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 42/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality7.6%43 (on a fixed band)11%
Net margin · Quality1.4%64 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality329.7%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.8%32 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-25.6%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.8x35 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.8x3 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation63.3x20 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation9.7x48 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation5.3%66 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.9%28 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns0.0%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet26/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth16/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality64/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns57/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation43/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-07-04.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.7 bn USD in 2026; net margin 1.4%; ROE 5.7%; net debt/EBITDA 2.8x.

The estimated value range is 9.72–13.40 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 11.38 USD, the price of 10.06 USD leaves a potential of 13.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 11.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 42/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 329.7%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 0.0%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -25.6%
  • Current ratio: 0.8x
  • P/E (TTM): 63.3x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.9%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Miscellaneous Retail (SIC 5900) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
63.3x
vertical median 20.9x
above median (+202.2%)
EV/EBITDA
9.7x
vertical median —
P/S
0.9x
vertical median 1.1x
below median (−16.8%)
P/B
3.5x
vertical median 1.8x
above median (+96.4%)
ROE
5.7%
vertical median -4.7%
above median
Net margin
1.4%
vertical median -0.6%
above median
EBIT margin
7.7%
vertical median 1.4%
above median (+445.6%)
Revenue YoY
—
vertical median 6.9%
Net debt/EBITDA
2.8x
vertical median 4.4x
below median (−36.0%)
Dividend yield
13.1%
vertical median 0.4%
above median (+2,920.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
FCFSFirstcash Holdings, Inc.8.3 bn20.918.2%9.5%+8.0%+22% / +73%
REALTheRealReal, Inc.1.7 bn——-1.4%+15.4%−6% / +500%
SVVSavers Value Village, Inc.1.5 bn63.35.7%1.4%unavailable+20% / −37%
SPHSuburban Propane Partners LP1.1 bn7.3—9.4%+7.9%−12% / +0%
WINAWinmark Corporation987.7 m24.8—45.1%+5.9%−32% / −35%
TMSTeamshares Inc344.7 m—-6.7%—unavailable−54% / unavailable
PLBYPlayboy, Inc.164.1 m609.512.4%0.2%+4.1%−29% / +161%
LIVELIVE VENTURES Inc22.9 m—-2.8%-0.6%−5.9%−19% / −70%
WBUYWebuy Global Ltd1.3 m—-160.3%-45.3%−63.0%−66% / −100%
NEXRNexera Technologies Ltd62.0 k—-43.2%-21.8%+23.0%−100% / −100%
POMPOMDOCTOR Ltd———-32.7%unavailable−98% / unavailable
WSHPWeShop Holdings Ltd——-946.5%-14,972.7%−67.3%−98% / unavailable
EZPWEzcorp, Inc.—15.114.7%10.0%+9.7%+53% / +260%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SVV from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
5.99
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
10.60
Total return 5% · Per year 5%
15.97
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
5.74
Total return -43% · Per year -17%
11.43
Total return 14% · Per year 4%
18.91
Total return 88% · Per year 23%
5 years
5.49
Total return -45% · Per year -11%
12.32
Total return 22% · Per year 4%
22.40
Total return 123% · Per year 17%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 2.86
  • Net margin± 2.00
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.65
  • Annual dilution± 0.17

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Savers Value Village is the largest for-profit thrift operator in the United States and Canada, buying secondhand goods from non-profit partners and selling them through low-priced stores. In 2026 it is expanding its store network and testing a proprietary pricing platform, changes that could support longer-term margins if growth holds.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company is the leader in for-profit thrift, with a large store network and extensive partner relationships. Its local sourcing model is hard for competitors to replicate 1.
  • Loyalty program members drive a large share of retail sales, providing stability and useful data for pricing 1.
  • Investment in automated processing and the pricing platform could improve sales yield per pound processed 12.

Weaknesses

  • The company depends on the quantity and quality of donated goods, and the lack of long-term supply agreements with partners can make sourcing less certain 1.
  • Debt is significant, and interest costs and loan terms can limit financial flexibility 12.
  • Rising labor and insurance costs can reduce margins, and staff turnover in stores and processing centers remains a challenge 1.

Opportunities

  • The secondhand market is fragmented and growing, and many US regions have few thrift stores of this kind 1.
  • Rolling out the pricing platform across the network and lower interest costs could support margin expansion 23.
  • Offsite processing and smaller store formats could allow growth in areas with limited commercial space 1.

Threats

  • A drop in discretionary consumer spending could weigh on demand and store sales 1.
  • Rising competition for donated goods from other stores and online platforms could reduce available volume 1.
  • Cybersecurity risks, personal data rules and unexpected events could disrupt operations and raise costs 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on donationshigh

    The business depends on obtaining enough quality secondhand goods at good prices. If supply falls, sales and profitability could be hit 1.

  • Debt and financing termsmedium

    The company carries significant debt that must be serviced, and loan terms restrict some operations. Higher interest rates could raise costs 12.

  • Labor costsmedium

    Wages and employee benefits are rising, and the company cannot assure that revenue will grow at the same pace, which could reduce profitability 1.

  • Cybersecurity and datamedium

    Cyber-attacks and data breaches could disrupt operations and harm reputation. Personal data rules are complex and evolving across several countries 1.

  • Control by principal shareholderlow

    The company is controlled by funds managed by Ares Management, whose interests may differ from those of other shareholders, and the share price may be volatile 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If interest in secondhand keeps growing, the company could benefit from a large store network and a sourcing model that is hard to copy 1.
  • Stronger comparable sales and maturing new stores could support margin improvement, according to the updated guidance 23.
  • The ThriftIQ platform and other efficiency investments could lower costs and raise sales yield as they spread 2.

What would break the thesis

  • If discretionary consumer spending weakens, sales could slow, especially in newer stores that have not yet matured 1.
  • Competition for donations could raise sourcing costs and compress margins, particularly if partner relationships weaken 1.
  • Existing debt and refinancing costs could limit flexibility if operating results do not improve enough 12.

What to watch

  • Quarterly results and the pace of comparable store sales growthQ3 2026
  • Progress of Adjusted EBITDA margin toward the high-teens target2027
  • Updates to fiscal 2026 guidance and the store opening plannext 10-K
  • Rollout of the ThriftIQ platform across US and Canadian stores2028

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Savers Value Village operates a chain of secondhand stores in the United States, Canada and Australia under several banners, including Savers and Value Village. It buys textiles, shoes, housewares and books from non-profit partners, then processes, prices and displays them in stores where the average unit retail price is about $5 1. Unsold items are sold to wholesale customers for reuse or repurposing, and the loyalty program drives a large share of retail sales 1.

The supply model relies on local donations through on-site donation centers, GreenDrop locations and delivered supply. The company reports that these channels, which carry a lower contractual cost, rose as a share of pounds processed in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 2. Offsite processing and automated book systems let it open stores where onsite processing is not feasible 1.

The long-term strategy rests on three pillars: store growth, innovation including the ThriftIQ pricing platform, and disciplined capital allocation that includes debt reduction and share repurchases 13. Guidance for fiscal 2026 calls for net sales of $1.77 billion to $1.79 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of $265 million to $275 million 3.

Segments

Wholesale and reuse

Textiles unsuited for retail are sold in volume to wholesale customers worldwide, who reuse them or convert them into other textile products or fibers 1. This recovers part of the cost of acquiring the goods.

Expansion and new stores

The company opened 26 new stores in fiscal 2025 and had 375 stores by July 4, 2026 12. Guidance for 2026 calls for about 25 new openings, and the first North Carolina store had a record grand opening 3.

Market context

The company competes in the secondhand market, described as large, fragmented and fast-growing, within the broader retail market 1. Over 90% of North American consumers engage with a thrift store through shopping, donating or both, supporting demand for the category 1.

The market is exposed to competition for secondhand goods from other thrift stores, consignment retailers and online platforms 1. If discretionary consumer spending falls, demand could be affected, and management has pointed to macroeconomic uncertainty tied to trade policy and tariffs 1.

Trends

  • Growing interest in secondhandtailwind

    Consumers are increasingly open to buying secondhand goods, and the company says this adoption supports traffic and engagement 1. If the trend holds, it could support sales growth in existing stores.

  • Macroeconomic uncertainty and tariffsheadwind

    Management notes that the economic environment is uncertain, including due to trade policy and tariffs, and that consumers may cut discretionary spending in weak periods 1. The company says tariffs do not directly affect it because of its local sourcing model.

  • Competition for donated goodsheadwind

    Rising popularity of secondhand draws more competitors into buying donated goods, which could raise costs or reduce available volume 1. The effect depends on the company keeping its partner relationships strong.

  • Pricing and efficiency innovationmixed

    The ThriftIQ platform, launched in 58 stores, lifted gross profit dollars by about 100 basis points in pilot stores and cut grader training time 2. If the rollout succeeds, it could support margins as new stores mature.

Competitive position

The company competes with non-profit secondhand operators, smaller for-profit thrift chains, value and off-price retailers, and online platforms for secondhand goods 1. The for-profit sector is typically made up of chains with fewer than 40 locations, and the company says it is nearly ten times larger than the next largest for-profit operator 1.

Competition for secondhand goods turns on the quality and quantity of local donations, and the company's advantage rests on its extensive partner network, which it says is unmatched in the industry 1. It has no long-term supply agreements with these partners, which could leave the relationships more exposed.

  • For-profit thrift operators in the US and Canada

    Smaller chains of fewer than 40 locations that compete for customers and donated goods, according to the filing 1.

  • Non-profit secondhand stores

    Decentralized networks run by local chapters that compete for customers and donations 1.

  • Value and off-price retailers

    Value retailers compete for customer spending, according to the filing 1.

  • Online secondhand platforms

    Online marketplaces and digital resellers compete for the same donated goods and customers 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-03 · SEC / Savers Value Village, Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-04 · SEC / Savers Value Village, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Savers Value Village, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.