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olivLaw · US equity research

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. VNDA

Pharmaceutical Preparations · SIC 2834 · Vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

3.88USD+3.47% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Vanda Pharmaceuticals is a Washington, D.C. biopharmaceutical company developing and selling treatments for psychiatric conditions, sleep disorders and multiple sclerosis. The company's relevance now rests on Fanapt growth and the launch of BYSANTI, while HETLIOZ sales decline under generic competition and full-year 2026 total revenue guidance is 240-290 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) stock was 3.88 USD (+3.47% on the day), with market capitalisation 234.6 m USD, beta 0.65, 52-week range 3.75–9.56 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 69.8 m USD (+24.1% YoY), net income of -22.6 m USD, diluted EPS -0.37 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
234.6 m USD
shares as of 22 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -4.62 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-119.05%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.65
Volatility (1y) 76%
52-week range
3.759.56

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
35.6
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.64 – 4.56
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.26 · band width 22.5%
SMA 50 / 200
4.70 / 6.16
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.25 / -0.26
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−15.3%−1.1%−14.2 pp—
3 months−23.8%−0.5%−23.3 pp—
6 months−47.8%+4.4%−52.2 pp—
Year to date−56.0%+12.3%−68.3 pp—
1 year−10.8%+13.5%−24.3 pp+19.3%
3 years−14.2%+76.4%−90.6 pp+13.0%
5 years−78.3%+63.7%−142.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−60.8%
10 Mar 2026 → 03 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−81.4%
09 Nov 2021 → 09 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−26.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
69.8 m USD
+24.1% YoY
Net income
-22.6 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.37
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-32.3% / -33.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue53.2 m50.0 m52.6 m56.3 m57.2 m51.7 m50.5 m69.8 m
Cost of revenue2.6 m3.5 m2.7 m3.0 m3.8 m3.2 m3.6 m4.2 m
Research & development19.8 m35.7 m22.0 m22.6 m29.0 m28.4 m37.0 m27.6 m
SG&A39.3 m50.1 m64.6 m60.3 m63.0 m68.4 m71.8 m59.6 m
Operating income-10.3 m-41.0 m-38.5 m-31.3 m-40.4 m-50.2 m-63.8 m-23.5 m
Pre-tax income-6.5 m-37.4 m-34.9 m-28.4 m-38.0 m-48.4 m-62.4 m-22.4 m
Income tax-1.6 m-7.9 m-7.7 m-5.8 m103.2 m143.0 k129.0 k174.0 k
Net income-4.9 m-29.5 m-27.2 m-22.6 m-141.2 m-48.6 m-62.5 m-22.6 m
Diluted EPS-0.08 ≈-0.50-0.46-0.38-2.39 ≈-0.82-1.04-0.37
Operating cash flow-1.8 m-33.1 m-15.3 m ≈-31.6 m ≈-29.4 m-50.2 m-31.1 m ≈-28.4 m ≈
Capex214.0 k436.0 k299.0 k ≈161.0 k ≈102.0 k221.0 k190.0 k ≈311.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue193.1 m227.2 m248.2 m268.7 m254.4 m192.6 m198.8 m216.1 m
Revenue YoY+17.0%+17.6%+9.2%+8.3%−5.3%−24.3%+3.2%+8.7%
Net income25.2 m115.6 m23.3 m33.2 m6.3 m2.5 m-18.9 m-220.5 m
Net income YoYunavailable+358.4%−79.8%+42.1%−81.1%−60.0%−853.3%unavailable
Diluted EPS0.482.110.420.580.110.04-0.33-3.74
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+339.6%−80.1%+38.1%−81.0%−63.6%−925.0%unavailable
net %13.1%50.9%9.4%12.3%2.5%1.3%-9.5%-102.0%
Free cash flow29.6 m44.9 m50.0 m63.7 m31.3 m12.4 m-16.2 m-110.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
84.9 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
327.2 m USD
Total assets
488.9 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.39x
ROE
-50.9%
ROA
-38.5%
FCF margin
-51.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
192.6 m
2024
198.8 m
2025
216.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
14.8 m
2024
11.3 m
2025
13.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
177.8 m ≈
2024
187.5 m ≈
2025
203.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
76.8 m
2024
74.4 m
2025
109.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
112.9 m
2024
146.4 m
2025
238.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-14.0 m
2024
-40.7 m
2025
-151.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
6.3 m
2024
-22.9 m
2025
-138.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
3.8 m
2024
-4.0 m
2025
81.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
2.5 m
2024
-18.9 m
2025
-220.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.04
2024
-0.33
2025
-3.74

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
57.6 m
2024
58.1 m
2025
58.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
135.8 m
2024
102.3 m
2025
84.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
34.2 m
2024
47.1 m
2025
54.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.4 m
2024
1.7 m
2025
1.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
432.9 m
2024
438.9 m
2025
347.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.0 m
2024
2.1 m
2025
2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
121.4 m
2024
114.1 m
2025
117.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
648.4 m
2024
656.2 m
2025
488.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
38.5 m
2024
39.1 m
2025
68.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
87.7 m
2024
100.0 m
2025
145.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
103.5 m
2024
117.7 m
2025
161.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
544.9 m †
2024
538.5 m †
2025
327.2 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
12.8 m
2024
-15.8 m
2025
-109.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
383.0 k
2024
490.0 k
2025
998.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
12.4 m ≈
2024
-16.2 m ≈
2025
-110.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-12.1 m
2024
-17.4 m
2025
94.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
0
2024
-155.0 k
2025
-2.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
93.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-77.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-119.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-61.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-82.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-55.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-78.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-139.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
824.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-140.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
88 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
44 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
1,343 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
-1,210 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
234.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-119.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-59.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

3.88 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 234.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
234.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-82.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-119.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

27/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 22 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2184derived 139

Score by group

27% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-119.9%24 (vs peers)23%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.3%0 (on a fixed band)31%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.5x62 (on a fixed band)15%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-59.7%0 (on a fixed band)31%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial62/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial24/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS INC. (VNDA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 216.1 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.7%; net margin -119.9%; ROE -82.5%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -119.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.3%
  • FCF yield: -59.7%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 38.6x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 25.4x
P/S
1.0x
vertical median 7.3x
below median (−86.0%)
P/B
1.2x
vertical median 6.1x
below median (−80.6%)
ROE
-82.5%
vertical median -9.5%
below median
Net margin
-119.9%
vertical median 3.6%
below median (−3,406.7%)
EBIT margin
-77.6%
vertical median -4.2%
below median
Revenue YoY
8.7%
vertical median 5.9%
above median (+48.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LLYEli Lilly And Company1,334.0 bn46.086.1%31.9%+44.7%+32% / +140%
JNJJohnson & Johnson665.2 bn41.920.0%16.2%+6.0%+34% / +79%
ONCBeone Medicines Ltd.558.4 bn869.914.7%10.7%+40.2%+11% / +102%
ABBVAbbVie Inc.521.1 bn50.7—15.7%+8.6%+29% / +107%
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.370.7 bn154.75.1%3.6%+1.3%+43% / +47%
ABTAbbott Laboratories200.1 bn43.09.2%9.7%+5.7%−10% / +11%
PFEPfizer Inc175.5 bn43.94.4%6.3%−1.6%+20% / +1%
VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals Inc139.2 bn35.320.8%30.7%+8.9%+27% / +55%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company131.2 bn14.244.1%18.5%−0.2%+30% / +30%
TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited48.8 bn97.46.6%3.6%+4.3%+56% / +326%
ZTSZoetis Inc.36.9 bn14.764.4%27.5%+2.3%−30% / −50%
ROIVRoivant Sciences Ltd.27.6 bn—-6.2%-3,535.0%−71.6%+84% / +300%
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc26.2 bn47.76.9%25.7%+5.1%+69% / +150%
UTHRUnited Therapeutics Corporation25.9 bn23.019.1%38.6%+10.6%+25% / +154%
INSMInsmed Inc24.1 bn—-72.5%-39.9%+66.7%−47% / +340%
VTRSViatris Inc.22.1 bn—-23.6%-23.9%−3.0%+80% / +109%
ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.21.6 bn8.1126.6%52.8%+65.2%−64% / −4%
TGTXTg Therapeutics, Inc.9.4 bn22.5100.3%55.2%+87.3%+85% / +381%
BLRXBioLineRx Ltd4.9 bn—-12.8%-171.7%−95.9%−46% / −97%
BHCBausch Health Companies Inc.3.1 bn——-7.6%+6.7%+31% / +17%
ANABAnaptysbio, Inc.1.4 bn11.5—82.4%+157.0%+71% / +404%
KURAKura Oncology, Inc.677.0 m—-167.7%-384.3%+25.2%−37% / −21%
DMACDiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.580.8 m—-114.6%—unavailable+25% / +341%
PHATPhathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc.461.7 m——-30.2%+216.9%−64% / −19%
ALTAltimmune, Inc.412.4 m—-28.9%-223,804.9%+105.0%−60% / −33%

1- and 3-year price returns: for VNDA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

    In brief

    Vanda Pharmaceuticals is a Washington, D.C. biopharmaceutical company developing and selling treatments for psychiatric conditions, sleep disorders and multiple sclerosis. The company's relevance now rests on Fanapt growth and the launch of BYSANTI, while HETLIOZ sales decline under generic competition and full-year 2026 total revenue guidance is 240-290 million USD 123.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Fanapt shows sustained growth in prescriptions and sales, and the company has invested in its brand and commercial infrastructure 23.
    • The portfolio includes several approved products and late-stage candidates, offering diversification beyond a single product 12.
    • The company has expertise in pharmacogenetics and pharmacogenomics, used in product development and positioning 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue is concentrated in a few products, and the decline of HETLIOZ shows dependence on a small number of revenue sources 13.
    • The pre-tax loss grew in 2026, reflecting heavy spending on launches and clinical studies 3.
    • The company has no Canadian operations and no prior history of commercialising products there, which limits direct expansion 1.

    Opportunities

    • The BYSANTI launch and label expansions could create new revenue streams if approved and accepted by physicians 23.
    • Approval of QuimilzaTM for GPP could open a new market if the FDA decision is positive 2.

    Threats

    • Generic competition for HETLIOZ in the U.S. may continue to pressure prices and volumes 13.
    • Changes to U.S. pricing and reimbursement policy could adversely affect product sales 1.
    • Failed clinical studies or an FDA rejection could delay expected future revenue 12.

    Risks

    • Generic competition for HETLIOZhigh

      U.S. generic launches have already affected sales, and further entrants could continue to reduce revenue and margins.

    • Dependence on a few productshigh

      Most revenue comes from Fanapt and a few other products, so a problem in their sales could weigh heavily on financial results.

    • Operating losses and funding needsmedium

      Losses grew in 2026 and the company relies on cash and future revenue; if spending does not fall as planned, funding could become a concern.

    • Clinical study outcomesmedium

      Several Phase III studies are expected in 2026 and 2027; unfavourable results could delay or stop development programmes.

    • Pricing and reimbursement policylow

      Changes to U.S. pricing and reimbursement rules could affect product sales, particularly if they are unfavourable.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If Fanapt growth and the BYSANTI launch are sustained, the company could reduce its reliance on HETLIOZ and other products under generic pressure.
    • The 2026 revenue guidance and the funding runway through the end of 2027 offer clear reference points if execution matches plan 3.
    • A broader portfolio with several candidates under review or in advanced studies could generate new revenue streams after 2026 2.

    What would break the thesis

    • Falling HETLIOZ sales and generic competition could keep pressing revenue if no faster offsets emerge.
    • Rising losses and launch spending could prolong a period of high costs before cost reductions take effect.
    • An FDA rejection or delay, together with uncertain study results, could postpone revenue expected from new products.

    What to watch

    • BYSANTI launch and its contribution to Fanapt salessecond half 2026
    • FDA decision on QuimilzaTM for GPPDecember 2026
    • Trend in operating expenses and cash position2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

    The business

    Vanda was incorporated in 2002, began operations in 2003 and is headquartered in Washington, D.C. 1. Its strategy combines maximising sales of existing products, strategic partnerships, clinical development and portfolio expansion through acquisitions 1. The pipeline includes late-stage candidates and QuimilzaTM for generalized pustular psoriasis, with a PDUFA target date of December 12, 2026 2.

    Revenue depends heavily on Fanapt, which grew in 2026, while HETLIOZ is under pressure from approved generic versions in the U.S. 3. The company notes that commercial expansion and research carry significant spending and that results can vary substantially from quarter to quarter 12.

    Market context

    Vanda's markets are dominated by atypical antipsychotics for schizophrenia and by sleep medicines, the most commonly prescribed being hypnotics 1. The company faces pricing and reimbursement pressure in the U.S., which may affect the commercial success of its products 1.

    Trends

    • Fanapt growth and BYSANTI launchtailwind

      Rising Fanapt prescriptions and the BYSANTI approval could widen the revenue base if the second-half 2026 launch proceeds as planned 23.

    • Generic competition for HETLIOZheadwind

      Generic launches in the U.S. have reduced HETLIOZ sales and could keep weighing on revenue if further entrants arrive 13.

    • Lower operating costs after launchesmixed

      The company expects operating expenses to decline from the end of 2026 if Phase III programmes and launch preparations conclude as anticipated 3.

    • Regulatory decisions and ongoing studiesmixed

      The calendar includes a December 2026 PDUFA date for QuimilzaTM, a formal FDA hearing on HETLIOZ for jet lag, and Phase III readouts in 2026 and early 2027, the outcomes of which could shape portfolio value 2.

    Competitive position

    Fanapt competes with other atypical antipsychotics commonly prescribed for schizophrenia and bipolar disorder, while HETLIOZ faces approved generic versions in the U.S. 13. Sleep treatment competition includes frequently prescribed hypnotics, and PONVORY faces several approved multiple sclerosis drugs 1.

    Generic companies that launched HETLIOZ versions in the U.S., including Teva, Apotex and MSN, have changed market dynamics, and additional entrants could reduce prices or volumes 1.

    • Apotex

      Generic company that launched a version of HETLIOZ in the U.S. and is party to the patent litigation.

    • MSN Pharmaceuticals

      Generic company that launched a version of HETLIOZ in the U.S. after a licence agreement with Vanda.

    • Makers of atypical antipsychotics

      Drug class frequently used for schizophrenia and bipolar disorder, in direct competition with Fanapt.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 21 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. · 12 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.