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olivLaw · US equity research

Willis Lease Finance Corporation WLFC

Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies · SIC 5080 · Vertical: Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 5080)

47.65USD+10.69% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) is a lessor of commercial aircraft and engines that earns from lease rents, maintenance reserves and parts sales, and its third-party asset management has grown quickly. In the first half of 2026 the company accelerated growth in assets under management while quarterly revenue stayed nearly flat, which makes the trend worth watching in coming quarters. For context, total revenue in 2025 was 730.2 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) stock was 47.65 USD (+10.69% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.0 bn USD, P/E 3.1 on diluted EPS of 15.39 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.29%, beta 1.46, 52-week range 36.96–79.97 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 246.3 m USD (+34.3% YoY), net income of 11.7 m USD (−52.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.47 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.0 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
3.1
Diluted EPS TTM 15.39 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
32.30%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
3.29%
DPS 12m 1.57
Beta (2y)
1.46
Volatility (1y) 51%
52-week range
36.9679.97

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
62.5
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
35.16 – 45.15
above the upper band · %B 1.25 · band width 24.9%
SMA 50 / 200
47.70 / 60.13
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.96 / -2.38
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+11.2%−1.1%+12.3 pp—
3 months−26.9%−0.5%−26.5 pp—
6 months−40.2%+4.4%−44.6 pp—
Year to date+5.4%+12.3%−6.9 pp—
1 year+20.5%+13.5%+7.0 pp+15.2%
3 years+222.9%+76.4%+146.5 pp−13.4%
5 years+249.9%+63.7%+186.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−53.8%
06 Jul 2026 → 20 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−53.8%
06 Jul 2026 → 20 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+28.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
246.3 m USD
+34.3% YoY
Net income
11.7 m USD
−52.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.47
−56.5% YoY
net / operating
4.7% / 4.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue152.8 m157.7 m195.5 m183.4 m193.6 m194.3 m194.0 m246.3 m
Operating income29.4 m23.9 m28.3 m38.0 m14.1 m33.8 m34.0 m11.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation24.2 m25.0 m27.6 m28.7 m30.3 m30.2 m29.1 m31.4 m
Interest expense29.4 m32.1 m33.6 m34.2 m32.2 m32.6 m29.7 m32.2 m
Pre-tax income30.4 m25.3 m74.3 m43.2 m17.8 m36.8 m38.1 m18.8 m
Income tax9.3 m8.4 m13.9 m18.9 m5.7 m11.8 m7.8 m7.1 m
Net income21.1 m16.9 m60.4 m24.3 m12.2 m25.1 m30.2 m11.7 m
Diluted EPS3.02 ≈2.212.811.08—3.261.310.47
Operating cash flow68.0 m41.0 m104.2 m ≈63.9 m ≈74.2 m56.7 m77.5 m ≈104.8 m ≈
Capex12.9 m7.5 m9.6 m ≈6.0 m ≈7.9 m3.5 m2.7 m ≈2.0 m ≈
Dividends paid1.8 m1.8 m1.9 m ≈1.9 m ≈3.1 m3.1 m3.0 m ≈3.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 65 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 0.9, median 2.4, max 416.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue348.3 m409.2 m288.7 m274.2 m311.9 m418.6 m569.2 m730.2 m
Revenue YoY+26.7%+17.5%−29.4%−5.0%+13.8%+34.2%+36.0%+28.3%
Net income43.2 m66.9 m9.7 m3.4 m5.4 m43.8 m108.6 m113.8 m
Net income YoY−30.4%+54.8%−85.4%−65.6%+62.3%+704.9%+148.1%+4.7%
Diluted EPS6.6010.501.050.000.336.2315.3415.39
Diluted EPS YoY−31.9%+59.1%−90.0%−100.0%unavailable+1,787.9%+146.2%+0.3%
net %12.4%16.4%3.4%1.2%1.7%10.5%19.1%15.6%
Free cash flow185.2 m224.0 m90.5 m88.5 m137.8 m224.6 m268.8 m252.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
16.4 m USD
Financial debt
2.7 bn USD
Net debt
2.7 bn USD
Equity
662.1 m USD
Total assets
3.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
4.08x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
18.8%
ROA
3.1%
FCF margin
34.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
418.6 m
2024
569.2 m
2025
730.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
64.2 m
2024
144.4 m
2025
104.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
90.9 m
2024
92.5 m
2025
111.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
155.1 m ≈
2024
236.9 m ≈
2025
215.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
78.8 m
2024
104.8 m
2025
132.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
67.1 m
2024
152.6 m
2025
160.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
23.3 m
2024
44.0 m
2025
46.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
43.8 m
2024
108.6 m
2025
113.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
6.23
2024
15.34
2025
15.39

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
6.5 m
2024
6.8 m
2025
7.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
1.50
2025
1.15

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
7.1 m
2024
9.1 m
2025
16.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
58.5 m
2024
38.3 m
2025
35.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Mar 2021verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
1.0 m
2025
300.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 05 May 2023verified

Total assets
2023
2.7 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
3.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
439.0 m †
2024
549.3 m †
2025
662.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
229.7 m
2024
284.4 m
2025
283.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
5.1 m
2024
15.6 m
2025
31.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
224.6 m ≈
2024
268.8 m ≈
2025
252.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-92.8 m
2024
-764.9 m
2025
-256.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-57.9 m
2024
445.0 m
2025
387.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
0
2024
10.7 m
2025
8.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
9.4 m
2024
0
2025
3.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
28.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
32.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
20.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-27.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
175.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
63.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
259.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
71.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
11.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
35.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
11.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
11.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
313.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
16.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
296.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
375.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
146.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
12.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
37.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
4.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
3.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
29.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 54 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

47.65 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
11.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
28.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

27/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 1965derived 164

Score by group

  • Valuation57
  • Balance sheet0
  • Quality55
  • Growth100
  • Returns54

Estimated value range

Low
253.82
USD per share
Mid
378.90
USD per share
High
722.19
USD per share
Price: 47.65 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 695.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 87.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 89.39 – 1,324.22 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)418.25 – 1,324.22 (Mid 659.11)
    WACC 5.7% · starting FCFF 386.9 m USD · terminal value share of EV 86%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E89.39 – 120.15 (Mid 98.69)
    3 companies used · median multiple 26.4x · quartiles 23.9x – 32.1x
    AIT, HDSN, TLIH
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate15.11 – 20.32 (Mid 17.33)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 5080)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 54/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality2.2%1 (on a fixed band)11%
Net margin · Quality9.6%100 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality375.3%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth32.8%100 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth259.9%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet11.7x0 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.7x0 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation12.7x78 (on a fixed band)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation16.4x0 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation29.4%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.6%23 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns4.1%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality55/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns54/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation57/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

WILLIS LEASE FINANCE CORP (WLFC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 730.2 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 28.3%; net margin 9.6%; ROE 11.5%; net debt/EBITDA 11.7x.

The estimated value range is 253.82–722.19 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 378.90 USD, the price of 47.65 USD leaves a potential of 695.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 87.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 54/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 9.6%
  • FCF conversion: 375.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 32.8%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 259.9%
  • P/E (TTM): 12.7x
  • FCF yield: 29.4%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 4.1%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 2.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 11.7x
  • Interest coverage: 0.7x
  • EV/EBITDA: 16.4x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.6%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Current ratio.

Versus the vertical median

Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 5080) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
12.7x
vertical median 32.1x
below median (−60.3%)
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
vertical median —
P/S
1.2x
vertical median 0.8x
above median (+54.3%)
P/B
1.4x
vertical median 2.5x
below median (−44.1%)
ROE
11.5%
vertical median 3.6%
above median (+216.7%)
Net margin
9.6%
vertical median 3.5%
above median (+172.1%)
EBIT margin
11.3%
vertical median 4.5%
above median (+149.1%)
Revenue YoY
28.3%
vertical median 8.8%
above median (+220.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
11.7x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
3.3%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.10.9 bn26.422.5%8.4%+8.8%+15% / +86%
DSGRDistribution Solutions Group, Inc.1.6 bn180.01.4%0.4%+9.8%+26% / +38%
WLFCWillis Lease Finance Corp1.0 bn12.711.5%9.6%+28.3%+21% / +223%
ASLEAerSale Corporation237.2 m—-0.9%-1.2%−2.8%−23% / −64%
HDSNHudson Technologies Inc185.6 m21.43.6%3.5%+4.0%−35% / −64%
TLIHTen-League International Holdings Limited167.1 m37.949.6%7.3%+38.4%+59% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for WLFC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
31.14
Total return -34% · Per year -34%
54.80
Total return 16% · Per year 16%
82.20
Total return 74% · Per year 74%
3 years
36.93
Total return -20% · Per year -7%
72.47
Total return 55% · Per year 16%
118.36
Total return 152% · Per year 36%
5 years
43.81
Total return -4% · Per year -1%
95.84
Total return 107% · Per year 16%
170.44
Total return 266% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 18.12
  • Net margin± 12.68
  • Annual revenue growth± 9.46
  • Annual dilution± 1.07

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

In brief

Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) is a lessor of commercial aircraft and engines that earns from lease rents, maintenance reserves and parts sales, and its third-party asset management has grown quickly. In the first half of 2026 the company accelerated growth in assets under management while quarterly revenue stayed nearly flat, which makes the trend worth watching in coming quarters. For context, total revenue in 2025 was 730.2 million USD 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A diversified portfolio of engines and aircraft with many customers across multiple countries, which reduces dependence on any single customer.
  • Vertical integration through the parts subsidiary and maintenance services, which can capture value across the asset life cycle.
  • Ability to attract partnerships with funds and institutional investors, extending asset management without growing the balance sheet alone.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on the financial condition of aviation customers, which can delay payments or require restructuring.
  • Quarterly lease rent and maintenance revenue stayed largely flat in 2026, pointing to sensitivity to utilisation cycles.
  • Significant write-downs of some assets have led to carrying-value adjustments in recent years.

Opportunities

  • Expected growth of the global fleet and of leased engine share could widen the addressable market.
  • Growing third-party asset management could bring fee income that is less capital-intensive.
  • Acquisitions of new portfolios, such as the one announced in 2026, could strengthen market position if completed.

Threats

  • Environmental rules and emissions schemes could reduce the value of older engines.
  • A drop in air travel demand from economic or geopolitical shocks could weigh on customer payments.
  • Trade tariffs and interest rate volatility could raise financing costs and affect acquisitions.

Risks

  • Counterparty riskhigh

    Customers may face financial difficulties, which could lead to non-payment, rescheduling or asset repossession.

  • Residual value of assetshigh

    A decline in engine values, especially after host aircraft are retired, could reduce gains on sale.

  • Regulation and compliancemedium

    Changes to noise, emissions and export rules could limit the use or sale of engines.

  • Financing and interest ratesmedium

    A high-rate environment could raise the cost of financing new acquisitions and refinancing.

  • Cybersecuritylow

    Cyberattacks could disrupt operations and expose sensitive customer data.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Growth of the global fleet and of leasing could support long-term demand for the company's portfolio.
  • Third-party asset management has grown quickly, which could diversify income without proportionally growing the balance sheet.
  • Integration with parts and maintenance services could help the company extract value from assets over their full life.

What would break the thesis

  • Quarterly revenue stayed nearly flat in the second quarter of 2026, which could signal slower underlying growth.
  • Revenue concentration in a few large customers could amplify the impact of financial trouble at any one of them.
  • The announced acquisition depends on unmet closing conditions and price adjustments, which could change the outcome.

What to watch

  • Completion of the WNG portfolio acquisition and its effect on the balance sheetQ3 2026
  • Trend in lease rent and maintenance revenue as portfolio utilisation evolvesQ3 2026
  • Growth of assets under management and performance of fund partnerships2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

The business

Total revenue rose 28.3% in 2025 to 730.2 million USD, supported by higher lease rent and parts sales revenue 1. In the third quarter of 2026 the company announced the acquisition of a portfolio of aircraft and engines for a base price of about 379.3 million USD, whose completion depends on closing conditions not yet met 2.

Asset management has become a strategic pillar: as of 30 June 2026, assets under management, including on-balance-sheet and fund assets, reached 4.4 billion USD, and partnerships with institutional investors began operating in 2026 3. This direction diversifies income beyond simply owning assets.

Market context

The engine leasing market depends on the number of aircraft in fleets and on the share of engines leased rather than owned by operators. Boeing projects 3.1% annual growth in the global commercial jet fleet, to 49,640 aircraft by 2044 1. Airlines increasingly treat spare engines as capital assets, which can support leasing penetration 1.

Trends

  • Growth of the global fleettailwind

    If the commercial fleet grows as manufacturers expect, demand for spare engines could support long-term leasing revenue 1.

  • Leasing penetrationtailwind

    Operators that treat spare engines as capital assets might prefer leasing over purchase, which could support the company's portfolio 1.

  • Environmental regulationheadwind

    Emissions rules and schemes such as ETS and CORSIA could favour newer, more efficient aircraft, making it harder to re-lease older engines 1.

  • Tariffs and macroeconomic conditionsmixed

    Uncertainty over interest rates, inflation and tariffs could affect customers and asset values, although the company does not currently see a material tariff impact 2.

Competitive position

The company operates in a global market for engine and aircraft leasing, competing with other specialised lessors and with investment funds in aviation assets. The sources reviewed do not detail competitors' relative positions, so the comparison stays limited to what the company's own documents describe.

WLFC's stated advantage lies in vertical integration across parts, maintenance and asset management, which could support margins against competitors that only lease 13.

  • Other independent aircraft engine lessors

    Specialised engine lessors competing with WLFC for aviation customers, as described in the company's market overview.

  • Aviation asset investment funds

    Institutional investors that finance aircraft and engine portfolios, sometimes in partnership with lessors and sometimes as a competing channel for capital and assets.

  • Maintenance, repair and overhaul providers

    Providers that may own or lease their own engines and compete in some services WLFC offers through its repair subsidiaries.

  • Engine parts suppliers

    Companies selling used serviceable material in the same niche as WLFC's parts segment, where competition can be relevant.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 20 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report03 Nov 2026
  • Current report03 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report30 Oct 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report26 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report30 Sept 2026
    Amendments to articles or bylaws · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report22 Sept 2026
    Item 3.02 · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report25 Aug 2026
    Acquisition or disposition of assets · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report06 Aug 2026
    Material agreement
  • Quarterly report04 Aug 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Willis Lease Finance Corporation · 10 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Willis Lease Finance Corporation · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Willis Lease Finance Corporation · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw