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olivLaw · US equity research

Xylem Inc. XYL

Pumps & Pumping Equipment · SIC 3561 · Vertical: Pumps & Pumping Equipment (SIC 3561)

101.05USD+4.97% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Xylem Inc. is a global water technology group with 2025 revenue of $9,035 million (+5.5%) and a 13.5% operating margin. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported revenue of $2,336 million and orders of $3,086 million, up 42%. Its 2026 guidance calls for revenue of about $9.2 billion.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Xylem Inc. (XYL) stock was 101.05 USD (+4.97% on the day), with market capitalisation 23.2 bn USD, P/E 22.3 on diluted EPS of 4.52 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.67%, beta 0.80, 52-week range 88.23–151.31 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.2 bn USD (−3.0% YoY), net income of 291.0 m USD (+28.2% YoY), diluted EPS 1.25 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
23.2 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.3
Diluted EPS TTM 4.52 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.47%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.67%
DPS 12m 1.69
Beta (2y)
0.80
Volatility (1y) 31%
52-week range
88.23151.31

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
49.9
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
89.14 – 112.86
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.50 · band width 23.5%
SMA 50 / 200
104.11 / 116.63
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-2.44 / -2.18
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−1.3%−1.1%−0.2 pp—
3 months−17.3%−0.5%−16.9 pp—
6 months−14.8%+4.4%−19.2 pp—
Year to date−25.8%+12.3%−38.1 pp—
1 year−32.5%+13.5%−46.0 pp+24.1%
3 years+4.3%+76.4%−72.2 pp+98.9%
5 years−22.9%+63.7%−86.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−41.7%
07 Nov 2025 → 28 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−45.4%
09 Nov 2021 → 17 Jun 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−5.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.2 bn USD
−3.0% YoY
Net income
291.0 m USD
+28.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.25
+34.4% YoY
net / operating
13.2% / 17.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.3 bn2.1 bn2.3 bn2.3 bn2.4 bn2.1 bn2.3 bn2.2 bn
Cost of revenue1.4 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.3 bn
Gross profit857.0 m768.0 m892.0 m883.0 m932.0 m803.0 m963.0 m907.0 m
Research & development58.0 m56.0 m58.0 m52.0 m60.0 m56.0 m59.0 m56.0 m
SG&A507.0 m460.0 m503.0 m474.0 m486.0 m472.0 m503.0 m458.0 m
Operating income267.0 m231.0 m305.0 m334.0 m353.0 m244.0 m390.0 m385.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation142.0 m———143.0 m———
Interest expense9.0 m8.0 m9.0 m6.0 m6.0 m4.0 m7.0 m21.0 m
Pre-tax income375.0 m217.0 m299.0 m297.0 m368.0 m244.0 m364.0 m365.0 m
Income tax49.0 m50.0 m75.0 m71.0 m35.0 m55.0 m103.0 m77.0 m
Net income326.0 m169.0 m226.0 m227.0 m335.0 m193.0 m263.0 m291.0 m
Diluted EPS1.34 ≈0.690.930.931.37 ≈0.791.111.25
Operating cash flow575.0 m33.0 m305.0 m ≈360.0 m ≈543.0 m108.0 m290.0 m ≈331.0 m ≈
Capex100.0 m71.0 m98.0 m ≈79.0 m ≈83.0 m90.0 m89.0 m ≈89.0 m ≈
Dividends paid87.0 m98.0 m98.0 m ≈97.0 m ≈98.0 m106.0 m101.0 m ≈100.0 m ≈
Share repurchases1.0 m13.0 m0 ≈1.0 m ≈1.0 m563.0 m680.0 m ≈337.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 7 percentile of its own 44-quarter history (min 19.5, median 36.3, max 72.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue5.2 bn5.2 bn4.9 bn5.2 bn5.5 bn7.4 bn8.6 bn9.0 bn
Revenue YoY+10.6%+0.8%−7.1%+6.5%+6.3%+33.4%+16.3%+5.5%
Net income549.0 m401.0 m254.0 m427.0 m355.0 m609.0 m890.0 m957.0 m
Net income YoY+65.9%−27.0%−36.7%+68.1%−16.9%+71.5%+46.1%+7.5%
Diluted EPS3.032.211.402.351.962.793.653.92
Diluted EPS YoY+65.6%−27.1%−36.7%+67.9%−16.6%+42.3%+30.8%+7.4%
net %10.5%7.6%5.2%8.2%6.4%8.3%10.4%10.6%
Free cash flow349.0 m613.0 m641.0 m330.0 m388.0 m566.0 m942.0 m910.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.5 bn USD
Financial debt
1.9 bn USD
Net debt
463.0 m USD
Equity
11.5 bn USD
Total assets
17.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.17x
Current ratio
1.63x
ROE
8.6%
ROA
5.6%
FCF margin
10.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
7.4 bn
2024
8.6 bn
2025
9.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
4.6 bn
2024
5.4 bn
2025
5.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.7 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
232.0 m
2024
230.0 m
2025
226.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
652.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
436.0 m
2024
562.0 m
2025
575.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.1 bn ≈
2024
1.6 bn ≈
2025
1.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
49.0 m
2024
44.0 m
2025
29.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
635.0 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
26.0 m
2024
197.0 m
2025
231.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
609.0 m
2024
890.0 m
2025
957.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.79
2024
3.65
2025
3.92

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
218.2 m
2024
243.5 m
2025
244.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.32
2024
1.44
2025
1.60

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.0 bn
2024
996.0 m
2025
983.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.9 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
4.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
7.6 bn
2024
8.0 bn
2025
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
16.1 bn
2024
16.5 bn
2025
17.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
968.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
16.0 m
2024
38.0 m
2025
534.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
5.9 bn
2024
5.6 bn
2025
5.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
10.2 bn
2024
10.6 bn
2025
11.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
837.0 m
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
271.0 m
2024
321.0 m
2025
331.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
566.0 m ≈
2024
942.0 m ≈
2025
910.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-628.0 m
2024
-482.0 m
2025
-471.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-157.0 m
2024
-615.0 m
2025
-501.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
299.0 m
2024
350.0 m
2025
391.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
25.0 m
2024
20.0 m
2025
15.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
5.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
17.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
13.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
21.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
39.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
30.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
26.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
22.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
39.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
21.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
15.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
10.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
9.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
37.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
44.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
36.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
351.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
921.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
85.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
65.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
76 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
70 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
68 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
78 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
23.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
25.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
21.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
18.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
2.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
25.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
3.24
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 72 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

101.05 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 23.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
23.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
10.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

36/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Oct 2026
verified 2959derived 221

Score by group

  • Balance sheet81
  • Valuation56
  • Quality53
  • Growth100
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
91.20
USD per share
Mid
110.33
USD per share
High
136.33
USD per share
Price: 101.05 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 9.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 8.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 21.03 – 178.14 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)63.27 – 105.61 (Mid 79.43)
    WACC 8.8% · starting FCFF 951.3 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 25.6%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA121.67 – 167.04 (Mid 141.24)
    4 companies used · median multiple 17.9x · quartiles 15.6x – 21.0x
    FLS, GGG, GRC, ITT
  • Peers: P/E119.13 – 178.14 (Mid 146.61)
    5 companies used · median multiple 32.4x · quartiles 26.3x – 39.4x
    FLS, GGG, GRC, IEX, ITT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)21.03 – 28.28 (Mid 24.12)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Pumps & Pumping Equipment (SIC 3561)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 72/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality9.0%33 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality11.9%60 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality85.1%79 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth17.8%100 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth26.0%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.1x82 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet36.1x100 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x49 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation22.3x100 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation13.1x17 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation4.0%50 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns8.6%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns44.0%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet81/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality53/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation56/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Xylem Inc. (XYL). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 9.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 5.5%; net margin 11.9%; ROE 10.1%; net debt/EBITDA 1.1x.

The estimated value range is 91.20–136.33 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 110.33 USD, the price of 101.05 USD leaves a potential of 9.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 8.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 72/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 85.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 17.8%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 26.0%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 1.1x
  • Interest coverage: 36.1x
  • P/E (TTM): 22.3x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 8.6%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 44.0%

What contradicts it

  • EV/EBITDA: 13.1x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Pumps & Pumping Equipment (SIC 3561) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 6 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
22.3x
vertical median 32.4x
below median (−31.1%)
EV/EBITDA
13.1x
vertical median 17.9x
below median (−26.7%)
P/S
2.6x
vertical median 3.8x
below median (−32.6%)
P/B
2.3x
vertical median 4.4x
below median (−48.3%)
ROE
10.1%
vertical median 12.4%
below median (−18.8%)
Net margin
11.9%
vertical median 10.2%
above median (+17.0%)
EBIT margin
15.1%
vertical median 16.1%
below median (−6.2%)
Revenue YoY
5.5%
vertical median 5.8%
at median
Net debt/EBITDA
1.1x
vertical median 1.8x
below median (−38.4%)
Dividend yield
1.7%
vertical median 1.0%
above median (+67.3%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
XYLXylem Inc.23.2 bn22.310.1%11.9%+5.5%−32% / +4%
ITTItt Inc.18.0 bn39.411.5%8.9%+8.5%+9% / +86%
IEXIdex Corp17.2 bn32.413.3%14.6%+5.8%+34% / +16%
GGGGraco Inc.11.2 bn22.520.4%22.4%+5.8%−15% / −14%
FLSFlowserve Corp10.3 bn40.711.1%—unavailable+14% / +112%
GRCThe Gorman-Rupp Company2.0 bn26.317.0%10.2%+3.4%+59% / +134%
APAmpco-Pittsburgh Corp142.8 m—-126.3%-13.8%+3.8%+167% / +149%

1- and 3-year price returns: for XYL from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
68.90
Total return -30% · Per year -30%
121.26
Total return 22% · Per year 22%
181.88
Total return 82% · Per year 82%
3 years
81.73
Total return -14% · Per year -5%
160.36
Total return 66% · Per year 18%
261.91
Total return 168% · Per year 39%
5 years
96.94
Total return 5% · Per year 1%
212.08
Total return 123% · Per year 17%
377.15
Total return 291% · Per year 31%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 40.09
  • Net margin± 28.06
  • Annual revenue growth± 20.93
  • Annual dilution± 2.36

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 28 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Xylem Inc. is a global water technology group with 2025 revenue of $9,035 million (+5.5%) and a 13.5% operating margin. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported revenue of $2,336 million and orders of $3,086 million, up 42% 23. Its 2026 guidance calls for revenue of about $9.2 billion 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Long-established brands, a global installed base and recurring revenue from services and spare parts 1.
  • Organic growth across all segments in 2025 and rising operating margins 1.
  • A broad water technology portfolio, from pumps to smart meters and data analytics 1.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on global supply chains and electronic components from sensitive regions 1.
  • Large projects can be delayed or over budget, affecting results 1.
  • Sales in emerging markets declined organically in 2025 1.

Opportunities

  • Industrial demand linked to AI infrastructure and semiconductors could grow 3.
  • Network modernization and smart meters could open new municipal contracts 1.
  • If service margins grow, the company could build larger recurring revenue 1.

Threats

  • Trade tariffs and protection measures could raise costs and reduce competitiveness 1.
  • China-Taiwan tensions could disrupt the supply of electronic components 1.
  • Cyberattacks could affect operations and customer data 1.

Risks

  • Geopolitical and trade riskshigh

    Tariffs, sanctions and international conflicts could raise costs and delay shipments 1.

  • Supply chainhigh

    Disruptions in components, including chips, could affect production 1.

  • Cybersecuritymedium

    Security incidents could affect the company's systems and the data of customers and partners 1.

  • Competition and innovationmedium

    If new technology competitors gain ground, margins could come under pressure 1.

  • Large projects and performance guaranteeslow

    Failure to execute large projects could create extra costs and claims 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Orders rose strongly in the second quarter of 2026, and the company raised its 2026 revenue and EPS guidance 23.
  • Water demand from industry and AI infrastructure could extend the market beyond utilities 3.
  • The installed base and service revenue provide long-term stability 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Revenue in the second quarter of 2026 rose only slightly, and organic growth was small 2.
  • Tariffs and component costs could compress margins if they cannot be passed on to customers 1.
  • Dependence on municipal budgets and large projects could slow growth 1.

What to watch

  • Development of AI-linked industrial ordersQ3 2026
  • Effect of tariffs on production costs2026
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin versus guidanceQ4 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 28 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Xylem designs, manufactures and services engineered products for the water cycle, from delivering and measuring drinking water to collecting and treating wastewater 1. The company operates in approximately 150 countries and has about 22,000 employees, with revenue of $9.0 billion in 2025 1. A key asset is its global installed base, which generates steady parts, replacement and service revenue 1.

Strategy rests on five pillars: customer centricity, profitable growth, operational excellence, sustainability leadership and a high-impact culture 1. The company aims to build high-margin recurring revenue in growing markets, including smart solutions and services 1.

Reportable segments are Water Infrastructure, Applied Water, Measurement and Control Solutions and Water Solutions and Services, serving utility and industrial end markets 1. Sales go through direct channels, independent distributors and channel partners 1.

Segments

Measurement and Control Solutions

The segment provides smart meters, communication networks, data analytics and water quality instruments 1. Revenue in 2025 was $2,086 million, of which about 83% came from smart metering and other products 1.

Market context

Growth in AI infrastructure and in food, life sciences and energy could extend water demand beyond utilities 23. Orders rose strongly in the second quarter of 2026 2.

Trends

  • Water scarcity and tougher regulationtailwind

    Water demand, aging infrastructure and environmental rules increase the need for efficient equipment 1.

  • Industrial demand linked to AItailwind

    Growth in AI infrastructure could raise the importance of water in semiconductors, power and mining 3.

  • Tariffs and input costsheadwind

    Tariffs and rising component, energy and logistics costs could increase production costs that Xylem cannot always pass on 1.

  • Dependence on public budgetsmixed

    Municipal project funding depends on public budgets, and delays could affect orders 1.

Competitive position

The water industry is highly fragmented, and Xylem competes with many businesses in each segment, with no single competitor covering every market 1. Competition turns on performance, life-cycle cost, energy efficiency and brand reputation 1.

New competitors from outside the industry, including large technology firms, could enter and pressure prices 1. The company says it defends its position through distribution networks and innovation 1.

  • Pump and industrial equipment makers

    Competitors in pumps and water treatment, named only generically in the source.

  • Smart meter and network suppliers

    Competitors in Measurement and Control Solutions, including new technology entrants.

  • Independent distributors and service firms

    Channel partners and competing service firms in Applied Water and Water Solutions and Services.

  • Large technology firms

    Non-traditional entrants noted in the risk factors, active in digitalization and AI.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report27 Oct 2026
  • Current report27 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Sept 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report18 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report28 Jul 2026
  • Current report28 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 May 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report18 May 2026
    Shareholder vote

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Xylem Inc. · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Xylem Inc. · 28 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Xylem Inc. · 28 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.