olivLaw · US equity research
ZK International Group Co., Ltd. ZKIN
Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products · SIC 3490 · Vertical: Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products (SIC 3490)
ZK International makes and supplies stainless steel and carbon steel piping systems and fittings for construction, infrastructure and water and gas networks, mainly in China. In fiscal 2025 the company reported a steep drop in revenue to 71.24 million USD, and weak construction demand and nickel price volatility remain the key factors to watch.
The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).
At the close of 04 Nov 2026, ZK International Group Co., Ltd. (ZKIN) stock was 1.61 USD (−2.42% on the day), with market capitalisation 10.6 m USD, dividend yield 87.58%, beta -0.42, 52-week range 1.01–3.09 USD.
Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.
Price history
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Technical reading
- RSI (14)
- 53.6
- neutral
- Bollinger (20, 2)
- 1.30 – 1.84
- in the upper half of the band · %B 0.58 · band width 34.2%
- SMA 50 / 200
- 1.49 / 1.46
- uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
- MACD (12, 26, 9)
- -0.01 / -0.01
- MACD above signal
Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).
Performance
| Company | S&P 500 | vs S&P 500 | Vertical median | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | −9.0% | −1.1% | −7.9 pp | — |
| 3 months | +47.7% | −0.5% | +48.2 pp | — |
| 6 months | +13.4% | +4.4% | +9.0 pp | — |
| Year to date | +7.3% | +12.3% | −5.0 pp | — |
| 1 year | −44.7% | +13.5% | −58.2 pp | +9.4% |
| 3 years | +209.6% | +76.4% | +133.2 pp | +80.9% |
| 5 years | −43.9% | +63.7% | −107.6 pp | — |
Price returns, dividends excluded.
Quarterly results
ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).
E/P over time
E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.
Fiscal years
| Fiscal year | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 54.9 m | 63.9 m | 86.8 m | 99.4 m | 102.4 m | 111.6 m | 108.2 m | 71.2 m |
| Revenue YoY | +22.1% | +16.4% | +35.9% | +14.5% | +3.0% | +9.0% | −3.0% | −34.2% |
| Net income | 7.0 m | 8.1 m | -825.6 k | -3.8 m | -6.1 m | -61.1 m | -2.8 m | -4.0 m |
| Net income YoY | +19.5% | +15.5% | −110.2% | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| Diluted EPS | 0.51 | 0.49 | -0.05 | -0.17 | -0.21 | -10.76 | -0.57 | -0.70 |
| Diluted EPS YoY | −8.9% | −3.9% | −110.2% | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| net % | 12.8% | 12.7% | -1.0% | -3.8% | -5.9% | -54.7% | -2.6% | -5.6% |
| Free cash flow | -3.1 m | 7.6 m | -708.1 k | -3.6 m | -2.6 m | -2.6 m | -7.5 m | 147.8 k |
Reported results vs expectations
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Balance sheet & financial health
Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025
- Cash
- 2.3 m USD
- Financial debt
- unavailable USD
- Net debt
- unavailable USD
- Equity
- 24.6 m USD
- Total assets
- 62.9 m USD
- Debt / equity
- unavailable
- Current ratio
- 1.44x
- ROE
- -15.1%
- ROA
- -5.6%
- FCF margin
- 0.2%
Financial statements (source on every figure)
Revenue and net income (USD)
Margins
Income statement · USD
| Line | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 86.8 m | 99.4 m | 102.4 m | 111.6 m | 108.2 m | 71.2 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Cost of revenue | 82.9 m | 92.9 m | 94.8 m | 110.3 m | 101.7 m | 67.2 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Gross profit | 3.9 m | 6.5 m | 7.6 m | 1.3 m | 6.5 m | 4.0 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Research & development | 1.1 m | 1.2 m | 987.2 k | 1.3 m | 1.2 m | 859.7 k | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Operating income | -1.9 m | -3.7 m | -4.0 m | -60.4 m | -1.7 m | -4.3 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Interest expense | 1.0 m | 1.2 m | 3.5 m | 1.6 m | 1.2 m | 330.2 k | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Pre-tax income | -2.3 m | -4.4 m | -7.4 m | -61.8 m | -2.8 m | -4.0 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Income tax | -1.4 m | -552.1 k | -1.3 m | -459.9 k | 12.1 k | -948 | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Net income | -825.6 k | -3.8 m | -6.1 m | -61.1 m | -2.8 m | -4.0 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Diluted EPS | -0.05 | -0.17 | -0.21 | -10.76 | -0.57 | -0.70 | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Weighted average diluted shares | 16.6 m | 22.6 m | 29.4 m | 4.5 m | 4.9 m | 5.7 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Dividend per share | — | — | — | — | — | 1.41 | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
Balance sheet · USD
| Line | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 3.8 m | 13.5 m | 7.5 m | 5.0 m | 4.0 m | 2.3 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Receivables | 31.4 m | 27.1 m | 28.4 m | 15.0 m | 22.4 m | 23.1 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Inventories | 21.7 m | 20.7 m | 21.1 m | 17.9 m | 13.5 m | 13.1 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Current assets | 64.8 m | 78.7 m | 66.8 m | 43.2 m | 62.7 m | 45.8 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Property, plant & equipment, net | 7.9 m | 8.0 m | 7.1 m | 7.8 m | 8.1 m | 7.8 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Intangibles (excl. goodwill) | 929.0 k | 8.7 m | 11.4 m | 1.4 m | 1.3 m | 1.2 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Total assets | 86.5 m | 133.7 m | 128.9 m | 58.7 m | 80.0 m | 62.9 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Accounts payable | 10.4 m | 2.2 m | 10.1 m | 2.6 m | 3.1 m | 2.5 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Current liabilities | 40.9 m | 44.5 m | 43.8 m | 24.9 m | 49.9 m | 31.9 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Total liabilities | 41.1 m | 44.5 m | 43.9 m | 33.4 m | 51.7 m | 38.3 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Equity | 45.3 m | 89.1 m | 85.1 m | 25.2 m | 28.3 m | 24.6 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Shares outstanding at year end | 16.6 m | 28.9 m | 30.4 m | 33.0 m | 36.1 m | 6.6 m | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
Cash flow · USD
| Line | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | 460.2 k | -3.5 m | -2.1 m | -1.9 m | -6.9 m | 736.4 k | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Capex | 1.2 m | 114.3 k | 507.7 k | 656.2 k | 603.1 k | 588.6 k | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Free cash flow | -708.1 k ≈ | -3.6 m ≈ | -2.6 m ≈ | -2.6 m ≈ | -7.5 m ≈ | 147.8 k ≈ | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026derived |
| Investing cash flow | -1.2 m | -27.1 m | -2.1 m | -2.3 m | -2.4 m | -652.0 k | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
| Financing cash flow | 761.3 k | 40.2 m | -970.0 k | 2.1 m | 7.2 m | 478.5 k | SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified |
≈ computed by olivLaw from the reported lines of the same year: Operating cash flow − Capex.
Computed indicators
Growth
Profitability
Returns
Balance sheet
Liquidity
Cash
Efficiency
Market and valuation
Risk
Valuation
olivLaw classification
- indicators available: 5 of at least 6
- score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%
A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.
Closing price
04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series
Market cap: 10.6 m USD
Key indicators
Coverage and freshness
The data is older than the freshness threshold.
Score by group
33% · Insufficient data
Estimated value range
The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 18.53 – 24.92 USD.
Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.
Method ranges (USD per share)
— — Mid · ▏ Price
Valuation methods
- DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
- Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
- Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
- Dividend discount (DDM)18.53 – 24.92 (Mid 21.25)
Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.
Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)
- Risk-free rate
- 4.3%
- Equity risk premium
- 5.0%
- Beta (default)
- 1.00
- Cost of equity
- 9.3%
- Terminal growth
- 2.5%
Factor scorecard
Insufficient data
Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%
| Factor | Value | Score | Weight used |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROIC · Quality | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Net margin · Quality | -5.6% | 14 (vs peers) | 19% |
| FCF conversion · Quality | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth | -11.4% | 0 (on a fixed band) | 25% |
| EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Interest coverage · Balance sheet | -12.9x | 0 (on a fixed band) | 19% |
| Current ratio · Balance sheet | 1.4x | 53 (on a fixed band) | 13% |
| P/E (TTM) · Valuation | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| EV/EBITDA · Valuation | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| FCF yield · Valuation | 1.4% | 17 (on a fixed band) | 25% |
| Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns | unavailable | unavailable | — |
Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.
Score groups
- Balance sheet21/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
- Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
- Quality· partial14/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
- Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
- Valuation· partial17/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.
Memo
ZK INTERNATIONAL GROUP CO., LTD. (ZKIN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-09-30.
Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 71.2 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -34.2%; net margin -5.6%; ROE -15.1%.
The estimated value range is 18.53–24.92 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 21.25 USD, the price of 1.61 USD leaves a potential of 1,220.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 92.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.
Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%).
Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.
What supports the thesis
- The price is below the estimated value range
What contradicts it
- Net margin: -5.6%
- Revenue CAGR 3Y: -11.4%
- Interest coverage: -12.9x
- FCF yield: 1.4%
Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).
Versus the vertical median
Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products (SIC 3490) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies
Multiples and returns vs the median
Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)
Companies in the vertical
| Market cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Revenue YoY | 1A / 3A | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHParker-Hannifin Corporation | 114.7 bn | 32.0 | 25.1% | 17.0% | +8.3% | +6% / +110% |
| CRCrane Company | 11.9 bn | 35.4 | 16.2% | 12.4% | +8.2% | +13% / +95% |
| MWAMueller Water Products, Inc. | 3.8 bn | 17.0 | 21.7% | 15.0% | +8.7% | −1% / +81% |
| CXTCrane Nxt, Co. | 3.5 bn | 27.3 | 10.5% | 7.1% | +11.4% | +9% / +20% |
| HLIOHelios Technologies, Inc. | 2.2 bn | 31.2 | 7.7% | 8.0% | unavailable | +24% / +74% |
| ZKINZk International Group Co., Ltd. | 10.6 m | — | -15.1% | -5.6% | −34.2% | −45% / +210% |
| HIHOHighway Holdings Limited | 3.9 m | — | -27.3% | -31.7% | −35.2% | −26% / −58% |
| WTSWatts Water Technologies Inc | — | 30.9 | 18.8% | 14.3% | +8.3% | +28% / +84% |
1- and 3-year price returns: for ZKIN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.
olivLaw engine forecast
The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.
The engine has no published run for this company yet.
Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)
Illustrative scenarios
Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.
Estimated price (USD)
| Estimated price | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 years | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable |
| 3 years | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable |
| 5 years | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable |
AI analysis
AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.
Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Feb 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (14 Sept 2026), 6-K (21 Aug 2026), 6-K (21 May 2026), 6-K (26 Mar 2026), 6-K (19 Mar 2026), 6-K (18 Mar 2026).
In brief
ZK International makes and supplies stainless steel and carbon steel piping systems and fittings for construction, infrastructure and water and gas networks, mainly in China. In fiscal 2025 the company reported a steep drop in revenue to 71.24 million USD, and weak construction demand and nickel price volatility remain the key factors to watch 1.
SWOT
Strengths
- The company has long experience designing and manufacturing stainless steel pipes and has in-house strip production, which supports quality control 1.
- ISO certifications and recognition on reference projects strengthen client confidence in construction and infrastructure work 1.
- Thin-walled products have lower manufacturing cost and weight, which can make the offer more attractive for residential plumbing 1.
Weaknesses
- Revenue fell sharply in fiscal 2025 and the company reported a net loss, showing sensitivity to domestic demand 1.
- A significant share of sales comes from low-margin products such as electrolytic nickel, which limits gross profitability 1.
- The company recorded impairment charges and bad debt allowances on long-aged receivables, pointing to collection and asset utilization issues 1.
Opportunities
- Urban infrastructure and water projects in export regions, such as Uganda, could open new revenue if the company wins them 1.
- Moving from product supplier to engineering solution provider could raise value added for clients 1.
- Developing stainless products for food and pharmaceutical industries could diversify the customer base 1.
Risks
- Dependence on China's real estate sectorhigh
Revenue depends heavily on construction and real estate demand, a sector that has remained weak. Further deterioration could affect sales volumes 1.
- Raw material volatilityhigh
Nickel and steel strip prices have fluctuated sharply. If costs rise faster than selling prices, gross margins could be reduced further 1.
- Nasdaq listing riskmedium
The report warns there is no assurance the company will maintain compliance with listing requirements. Loss of listing could mean trading on the OTC market and harder financing 1.
- Aged receivables and asset impairmentmedium
Bad debt allowances and impairment losses were recognized, which could indicate collection and asset recovery risks 1.
- Changes in managementlow
Changes to the chief executive and board took place in October 2025, which may create uncertainty around strategy and execution 1.
Investment thesis
What would need to be true (bull case)
- If construction and infrastructure demand recovers, the company could regain lost volume, especially through its thin-walled products and integrated in-house production 1.
- Expansion into infrastructure projects in Uganda and into complete engineering solutions could diversify revenue away from the Chinese market 1.
What would break the thesis
- If weakness in China's real estate sector persists, revenue could stay below fiscal 2024 levels and losses could continue 1.
- Low gross margins and reliance on low-margin products such as electrolytic nickel could limit the company's ability to generate profit 1.
- Delisting risk and repeated share issuances for services could dilute existing shareholders and make capital harder to obtain 1.
What to watch
- Compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements2026
- Nickel price trends and their effect on costs2026
Products, market & competition
AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.
Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Feb 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (14 Sept 2026), 6-K (21 Aug 2026), 6-K (21 May 2026), 6-K (26 Mar 2026), 6-K (19 Mar 2026), 6-K (18 Mar 2026).
The business
The core business runs through the subsidiary Zhejiang Zhengkang, which designs and manufactures pipes and fittings and offers urban planners and real estate developers systematic solutions for water and gas transmission networks 1. Products are sold mainly in China and exported to Europe, Africa and Southeast Asia 1. The company has said it intends to move from being a product supplier to a provider of complete engineering solutions 1.
Segments
Manufacturing segment (stainless steel pipes)
The single reportable segment covers the design, manufacture and sale of stainless and carbon steel pipes and fittings, with steel strip produced in-house and thin-walled pipes aimed at drinking water and gas transmission 1. Low-margin electrolytic nickel products made up 55.81% of total sales in fiscal 2025 1.
Former technology segment
The company previously operated a technology segment covering distributed finance and blockchain-related digital asset initiatives, but the annual report no longer presents it as reportable 1. Entities tied to those initiatives, such as xSigma, are described as having no material operations 1.
Market context
Demand for piping systems depends on residential and urban infrastructure construction in China, where the report says the recovery in real estate remained slow in fiscal 2025 1. Nickel, a key input for stainless steel, stayed at high and volatile levels, affecting both selling prices and margins 1.
Trends
- Weaker construction demandheadwind
Management attributed the sales decline to weaker demand from the construction and real estate sectors, particularly in China. If this weakness persists, volumes could stay below earlier levels 1.
- Nickel price volatilityheadwind
Nickel, a key input for stainless steel, remained at high and fluctuating levels. The company adjusted selling prices, but cost pressure still eroded gross margins 1.
- Operating efficiency and cost controlmixed
Selling and administrative costs fell in fiscal 2025, and the company pointed to operating efficiency improvements. These reductions could support results if volumes recover 1.
- Demand for infrastructure solutionstailwind
Stainless steel products are used in urban water supply, housing, food and beverage production and agricultural irrigation, which could support demand if infrastructure investment grows 1.
Competitive position
The report describes intense competition in the pipe industry, which pushed sales down in fiscal 2025, especially among price-sensitive customers 1. The company differentiates itself through ISO certifications, in-house strip production and reference projects such as Olympic stadiums and international hotels 1.
- Other Chinese stainless steel pipe and fitting manufacturers
The source does not name competitors; the report only describes intense competition in the local market and in exports 1.
- Carbon steel and steel strip producers
The company also sells strip to manufacturers in other industries, so it faces competitors on that line as well 1.
- Piping system suppliers for construction in Europe and Southeast Asia
Export activity in these regions means competing where local suppliers are active, as the report describes 1.
- Regional distributors and fitting producers
The report mentions distributors and market competition but does not name specific companies 1.
Links, dependencies and risks
Who the company is tied to, from its own SEC filings (customers, suppliers, production, partners, competitors, countries, regulation), from the 5 %+ holders' statements (13D/13G) and from what other companies say about it. Click a node for its evidence; on a listed company the graph moves to it.
Loading the links…
News & filings
In the press
No news in our archive over the last 180 days.
SEC filings
- Current report (foreign issuer)14 Sept 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)21 Aug 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)21 May 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)26 Mar 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)19 Mar 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)18 Mar 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)02 Mar 2026
- Annual report (foreign issuer)04 Feb 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)17 Nov 2025
- Current report (foreign issuer)22 Oct 2025
Sources
- [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / ZK International Group Co., Ltd. · 04 Feb 2026
Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.