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olivLaw · US equity research

AECOM ACM

Services-Engineering Services · SIC 8711 · Vertical: Services-Engineering Services (SIC 8711)

68.20USD+2.94% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

AECOM is one of the largest global providers of consulting, design and program management services for infrastructure, serving government and private clients in transportation, water, facilities and energy. In its third quarter of fiscal 2026 the company reported a 337 million USD pre-tax loss on a construction management project, while its backlog rose to a record level, which puts project execution and cash flow in focus.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, AECOM (ACM) stock was 68.20 USD (+2.94% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.8 bn USD, P/E 31.3 on diluted EPS of 2.18 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.74%, beta 0.83, 52-week range 58.02–133.80 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.6 bn USD (−14.2% YoY), net income of -86.7 m USD (−166.2% YoY), diluted EPS -0.67 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.8 bn USD
shares as of 07 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.3
Diluted EPS TTM 2.18 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.20%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.74%
DPS 12m 1.19
Beta (2y)
0.83
Volatility (1y) 38%
52-week range
58.02133.80

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
74.7
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
55.54 – 66.74
above the upper band · %B 1.13 · band width 18.3%
SMA 50 / 200
62.22 / 75.67
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.26 / 0.24
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+14.1%−2.0%+16.1 pp—
3 months−8.9%−2.2%−6.8 pp—
6 months−18.7%+4.3%−23.0 pp—
Year to date−28.5%+10.6%−39.0 pp—
1 year−47.9%+10.5%−58.3 pp−0.4%
3 years−13.7%+73.7%−87.3 pp+152.3%
5 years−2.5%+61.7%−64.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−56.6%
13 Nov 2025 → 19 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−56.8%
31 Oct 2025 → 19 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−0.5%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
3.6 bn USD
−14.2% YoY
Net income
-86.7 m USD
−166.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.67
−168.4% YoY
net / operating
-2.4% / -2.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue4.1 bn4.0 bn3.8 bn4.2 bn4.2 bn3.8 bn3.8 bn3.6 bn
Cost of revenue3.8 bn3.7 bn3.5 bn3.9 bn3.8 bn3.5 bn3.5 bn3.6 bn
Gross profit294.2 m268.4 m290.8 m327.0 m330.6 m281.0 m296.5 m-34.0 m
Operating income236.4 m237.5 m257.6 m294.1 m237.4 m222.0 m247.8 m-76.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation44.9 m42.3 m41.5 m ≈44.5 m ≈47.5 m52.0 m59.5 m ≈55.9 m ≈
Interest expense45.1 m43.0 m42.2 m40.2 m58.9 m45.3 m50.6 m47.6 m
Pre-tax income217.9 m218.0 m221.1 m268.8 m207.7 m198.3 m221.5 m-106.6 m
Income tax34.8 m29.2 m51.2 m65.1 m58.4 m39.1 m26.8 m-26.6 m
Net income172.5 m167.0 m143.4 m131.0 m120.4 m74.5 m179.9 m-86.7 m
Diluted EPS1.28 ≈1.251.080.980.90 ≈0.561.39-0.67
Operating cash flow298.8 m151.1 m190.7 m ≈283.7 m ≈196.1 m70.2 m3.8 m ≈95.2 m ≈
Capex24.3 m40.2 m12.4 m ≈22.0 m ≈62.0 m28.3 m31.2 m ≈40.3 m ≈
Dividends paid29.9 m29.1 m35.5 m ≈34.5 m ≈34.4 m35.4 m40.4 m ≈39.8 m ≈
Share repurchases315.4 m55.2 m78.5 m ≈4.7 m ≈250.1 m325.9 m116.0 m ≈-6.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 50 percentile of its own 26-quarter history (min 16.3, median 31.5, max 211.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue13.9 bn13.6 bn13.2 bn13.3 bn13.1 bn14.4 bn16.1 bn16.1 bn
Revenue YoY−23.8%−1.7%−3.0%+0.8%−1.4%+9.4%+12.0%+0.2%
Net income136.5 m-261.1 m-186.4 m173.2 m310.6 m55.3 m402.3 m561.8 m
Net income YoY−59.8%−291.3%unavailableunavailable+79.4%−82.2%+627.0%+39.7%
Diluted EPS0.84-1.63-1.161.162.180.392.954.21
Diluted EPS YoY−60.6%−294.0%unavailableunavailable+87.9%−82.1%+656.4%+42.7%
net %1.0%-1.9%-1.4%1.3%2.4%0.4%2.5%3.5%
Free cash flow661.3 m677.0 m215.0 m568.4 m576.6 m590.4 m707.9 m684.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025

Cash
1.6 bn USD
Financial debt
66.3 m USD
Net debt
-1.5 bn USD
Equity
2.7 bn USD
Total assets
12.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.02x
Current ratio
1.14x
ROE
22.2%
ROA
4.6%
FCF margin
4.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
14.4 bn
2024
16.1 bn
2025
16.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
13.4 bn
2024
15.0 bn
2025
14.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
945.5 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Operating income
2023
324.1 m
2024
827.4 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
175.7 m
2024
178.8 m
2025
175.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
499.9 m ≈
2024
1.0 bn ≈
2025
1.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
159.3 m
2024
185.4 m
2025
184.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
213.4 m
2024
718.2 m
2025
915.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
56.1 m
2024
152.9 m
2025
204.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
55.3 m
2024
402.3 m
2025
561.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.39
2024
2.95
2025
4.21

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
140.1 m
2024
136.5 m
2025
133.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Receivables
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Current assets
2023
6.2 bn
2024
7.1 bn
2025
6.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
382.6 m
2024
354.4 m
2025
416.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
3.4 bn
2024
3.5 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
17.8 m
2024
6.9 m
2025
183.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
11.2 bn
2024
12.1 bn
2025
12.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
89.5 m
2024
66.9 m
2025
66.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
5.9 bn
2024
6.4 bn
2025
5.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
8.8 bn
2024
9.7 bn
2025
9.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
696.0 m
2024
827.5 m
2025
821.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
105.6 m
2024
119.6 m
2025
136.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
590.4 m ≈
2024
707.9 m ≈
2025
684.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-138.2 m
2024
-210.6 m
2025
-413.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-472.9 m
2024
-295.5 m
2025
-403.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
96.2 m
2024
115.2 m
2025
133.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
379.3 m
2024
478.5 m
2025
388.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
24.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
39.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
21.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
42.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
24.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
42.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
54.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
73.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-950.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
3.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
365.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
161.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
203.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
70.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
43.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
59 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
61 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
7.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
30.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
4.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
9.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
12.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
43.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 61 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

68.20 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
4.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
9.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 07 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 Aug 2026
verified 2623derived 119

Score by group

  • Valuation45
  • Balance sheet62
  • Quality56
  • Growth79
  • Returns86

Estimated value range

Low
53.82
USD per share
Mid
57.30
USD per share
High
70.07
USD per share
Price: 68.20 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -16.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -19.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 47.26 – 138.39 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)47.26 – 68.06 (Mid 55.37)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 367.8 m USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 18.1%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA105.19 – 138.39 (Mid 113.67)
    4 companies used · median multiple 16.2x · quartiles 14.9x – 19.9x
    MG, TTEK, VSEC, WLDN
  • Peers: P/E53.82 – 70.07 (Mid 57.30)
    5 companies used · median multiple 26.3x · quartiles 24.7x – 32.1x
    ACFN, JLHL, MG, TTEK, WLDN
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Engineering Services (SIC 8711)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 61/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality42.3%80 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality1.9%13 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality70.6%58 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth7.1%59 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth24.5%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-1.1x100 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.1x25 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x21 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation31.3x50 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation9.2x52 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation2.3%29 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns9.6%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns73.7%66 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet62/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth79/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality56/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns86/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation45/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

AECOM (ACM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 16.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 0.2%; net margin 1.9%; ROE 12.3%; net debt/EBITDA -1.1x.

The estimated value range is 53.82–70.07 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 57.30 USD, the price of 68.20 USD leaves a potential of -16.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -19.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 61/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 42.3%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 24.5%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -1.1x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 9.6%

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 1.9%
  • Interest coverage: 3.1x
  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • FCF yield: 2.3%

Versus the vertical median

Services-Engineering Services (SIC 8711) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
31.3x
vertical median 29.2x
above median (+7.1%)
EV/EBITDA
9.2x
vertical median 16.2x
below median (−42.8%)
P/S
0.6x
vertical median 3.4x
below median (−83.2%)
P/B
4.0x
vertical median 3.2x
above median (+24.1%)
ROE
12.3%
vertical median 17.6%
below median (−30.2%)
Net margin
1.9%
vertical median 7.3%
below median (−74.2%)
EBIT margin
4.1%
vertical median 7.1%
below median (−42.6%)
Revenue YoY
0.2%
vertical median 6.6%
below median (−96.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-1.1x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−170.6%)
Dividend yield
1.7%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TTEKTetra Tech Inc10.5 bn24.724.3%8.6%+4.7%+18% / +29%
ACMAecom8.8 bn31.312.3%1.9%+0.2%−48% / −14%
VSECVse Corporation4.6 bn59.93.8%5.5%+41.5%−9% / +171%
WLDNWilldan Group, Inc.1.1 bn17.421.2%8.8%unavailable−26% / +271%
MGMistras Group, Inc.644.7 m32.18.8%2.8%−0.8%+69% / +206%
JLHLJulong Holding Ltd152.3 m39.437.5%10,226.0%unavailable+76% / unavailable
ACFNAcorn Energy, Inc.40.4 m26.319.7%16.1%+4.5%+8% / +133%
OFALOFA Group7.6 m—-68.9%-1,119.1%+254.9%−97% / unavailable
STNStantec Inc.——15.5%5.9%+8.6%−18% / +6%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ACM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
42.41
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
74.89
Total return 12% · Per year 12%
112.68
Total return 68% · Per year 68%
3 years
43.32
Total return -32% · Per year -12%
85.86
Total return 32% · Per year 10%
141.53
Total return 115% · Per year 29%
5 years
44.24
Total return -28% · Per year -6%
98.43
Total return 55% · Per year 9%
177.76
Total return 175% · Per year 22%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 21.46
  • Net margin± 15.02
  • Annual revenue growth± 12.04
  • Annual dilution± 1.26

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

AECOM is one of the largest global providers of consulting, design and program management services for infrastructure, serving government and private clients in transportation, water, facilities and energy 1. In its third quarter of fiscal 2026 the company reported a 337 million USD pre-tax loss on a construction management project, while its backlog rose to a record level, which puts project execution and cash flow in focus 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading global position in infrastructure design and consulting, with top rankings in several market categories 1.
  • Record backlog and a high book-to-burn ratio give visibility on future revenue 3.
  • Balance sheet described by management as strong, with moderate leverage and capacity to fund organic growth 3.

Weaknesses

  • A single construction management project produced a significant loss in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, showing exposure to older contracts with risky terms 3.
  • Margins and cash flow are sensitive to cost estimates and subcontractor productivity, which can lead to additional charges 13.
  • Variable-rate debt and covenant restrictions in credit agreements limit financial flexibility 1.

Opportunities

  • Demand for water, transportation and energy infrastructure could grow if public investment is sustained 1.
  • AI and data-driven consulting services could open new market segments and improve margins 1.
  • A faster return of delayed construction management projects could support revenue if the postponed starts materialize 3.

Threats

  • Intense competition and price pressure in government procurement could reduce margins 1.
  • Interruption of public funding or delays in budget appropriations could postpone large projects 1.
  • The Middle East conflict and international trade risks could affect projects abroad 3.

Risks

  • Loss on construction management projecthigh

    A project awarded years ago has produced a significant charge, and recovery through claims and litigation could take several years 3.

  • Dependence on government contractshigh

    Annual appropriations and the possibility of contract modification or termination can reduce expected revenue 1.

  • Government auditsmedium

    Audits can adjust reimbursable costs and, in extreme cases, lead to suspension from government programs 1.

  • International exposuremedium

    Political, currency and inflation risks could affect results from the share of revenue earned outside the United States 1.

  • Interest rate sensitivitylow

    Higher interest rates would raise the cost of variable-rate debt and reduce cash available after debt service 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • A record backlog and a high book-to-burn ratio could support revenue growth if projects run to plan 3.
  • Management says profitability excluding the problem project remains strong, which could signal a healthy core business 3.
  • The global leadership position and structural infrastructure demand could support market share over the long term 1.

What would break the thesis

  • The loss on the construction management project shows how legacy contract risk can seriously affect quarterly results 3.
  • Fiscal 2026 net service revenue guidance was lowered, which could mean slower growth than anticipated 3.
  • Reliance on public budgets and on contracts that can be terminated leaves revenue exposed to political decisions 1.

What to watch

  • Progress of the construction management project and recoveries through litigationQ4 2026
  • Delivery of the guidance for about 300 million USD of free cash flowfiscal 2026
  • Resumption of net service revenue growth as delayed projects start2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

AECOM provides advisory, consulting, architectural and engineering design, construction and program management services, and investment and development services to public and private clients worldwide 1. Revenue comes mainly from fee-based services billed on employee time and project costs, and in fiscal 2025 revenue was 16.14 billion USD, of which about half came from government entities 1. The company employed about 51,000 people at the end of fiscal 2025, a central factor in its ability to win and deliver projects 1.

Segments

Americas

The Americas segment offers planning, consulting, design and program management to public and private clients in the United States, Canada and Latin America, across transportation, water, government, facilities, environmental and energy markets 1. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 it posted an operating loss because of the construction management project, while its backlog grew to a record high 3.

AECOM Capital (ACAP)

ACAP invests in and develops real estate, usually as a co-general partner alongside experienced investors and developers 1. The team moved to a third-party platform in the third quarter of fiscal 2024, and segment income is smaller and more volatile than professional services income 1.

Market context

The engineering and infrastructure services market is fragmented, with many regional, national and international competitors, and demand depends on government budgets and private spending 1. The sources point to support from aging infrastructure, urbanization and rising energy demand, but also to the risk of project delays in an economic slowdown 1.

In the short term, company guidance depends on the resumption of delayed construction management project starts and on how the Middle East conflict develops, which could affect revenue growth 3.

Trends

  • Government demand for infrastructuretailwind

    Aging infrastructure and urbanization support demand for design and management services, especially in transportation and water 1.

  • Dependence on public fundingheadwind

    Government contracts are funded annually, and budget constraints or administrative delays can postpone or reduce revenue 1.

  • Investment in artificial intelligencemixed

    The company is investing in AI and data libraries to speed design and reduce costs, which could improve margins if the investments deliver 1.

  • Geopolitical and trade tensionsheadwind

    Risks in the Middle East, tariffs and changing trade policy can affect international projects and supply chains 13.

Competitive position

The company competes with regional, national and international firms, some with greater financial resources and others more specialized 1. Clients choose on qualifications, experience, reputation, technology, price and the ability to deliver safely and on time 1.

Entry barriers are low in many professional services because no large upfront capital is required, which can attract new competitors and pressure margins 1.

  • Jacobs SolutionsJ

    Well-known competitor in engineering and consulting services, active in infrastructure markets.

  • WSP Global

    International engineering and consulting firm active in the same transportation and infrastructure markets.

  • Stantec

    Design and engineering firm operating in the Americas and other regions, competing on infrastructure projects.

  • FluorFLR

    Engineering and construction management company that can compete for large infrastructure and energy projects.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Current report17 Sept 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report16 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Quarterly report11 Aug 2026
  • Current report10 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report11 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report03 Jun 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report12 May 2026
  • Current report11 May 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report10 Mar 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report05 Mar 2026
    Shareholder vote · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / AECOM · 19 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-03 · SEC / AECOM · 11 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / AECOM · 10 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.