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olivLaw · US equity research

Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. AEIS

Electronic Components, NEC · SIC 3679 · Vertical: Electronic Components, NEC (SIC 3679)

211.56USD−11.15% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Advanced Energy designs and manufactures precision power conversion, measurement and control solutions for demanding equipment, with a large share of sales to semiconductor and data center customers. Revenue grew strongly in fiscal 2025 on AI-related demand, and second quarter 2026 results exceeded guidance, which keeps its trajectory under close watch. Growth has been driven mainly by the data center market, which more than doubled, while the industrial and medical market declined.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS) stock was 211.56 USD (−11.15% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.6 bn USD, P/E 30.4 on diluted EPS of 6.95 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.05%, beta 2.14, 52-week range 188.88–389.05 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 696.4 m USD (+50.3% YoY), net income of 115.6 m USD (+150.2% YoY), diluted EPS 2.79 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.6 bn USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
30.4
Diluted EPS TTM 6.95 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.29%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.05%
DPS 12m 0.10
Beta (2y)
2.14
Volatility (1y) 67%
52-week range
188.88389.05

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
37.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
196.78 – 289.88
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.16 · band width 38.3%
SMA 50 / 200
263.86 / 308.27
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-14.24 / -13.17
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−28.8%−1.1%−27.7 pp—
3 months−35.7%−0.5%−35.3 pp—
6 months−41.4%+4.4%−45.8 pp—
Year to date+1.0%+12.3%−11.3 pp—
1 year+8.5%+13.5%−5.1 pp+14.7%
3 years+130.6%+76.4%+54.2 pp+31.5%
5 years+122.3%+63.7%+58.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−45.6%
01 May 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−45.6%
01 May 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+17.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
696.4 m USD
+50.3% YoY
Net income
115.6 m USD
+150.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.79
+132.5% YoY
net / operating
16.6% / 20.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue415.4 m404.6 m441.5 m463.3 m489.4 m511.0 m574.1 m696.4 m
Cost of revenue260.8 m254.1 m278.1 m288.9 m300.3 m310.1 m338.0 m407.3 m
Gross profit154.6 m150.5 m163.4 m174.4 m189.1 m200.9 m236.1 m289.1 m
Research & development56.1 m54.2 m59.0 m59.1 m60.1 m62.4 m65.0 m67.1 m
SG&A58.2 m59.0 m60.2 m59.8 m63.4 m62.3 m69.4 m73.8 m
Operating income33.8 m30.6 m31.6 m49.2 m56.6 m68.3 m95.1 m143.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation16.7 m16.1 m15.6 m ≈15.1 m ≈15.2 m15.8 m16.5 m ≈17.2 m ≈
Interest expense4.6 m4.2 m4.2 m4.2 m4.1 m4.1 m3.3 m3.0 m
Pre-tax income40.5 m29.9 m29.3 m52.3 m57.2 m70.0 m66.6 m151.9 m
Income tax-8.5 m5.0 m3.8 m5.9 m4.7 m2.7 m12.1 m36.1 m
Net income48.9 m24.7 m25.2 m46.2 m52.3 m66.8 m54.1 m115.6 m
Diluted EPS1.29 ≈0.650.671.201.30 ≈1.581.282.79
Operating cash flow82.6 m28.9 m45.2 m ≈78.7 m ≈80.5 m-6.0 m85.0 m ≈65.1 m ≈
Capex12.8 m13.9 m28.1 m ≈27.9 m ≈37.5 m36.6 m49.5 m ≈31.1 m ≈
Dividends paid3.8 m3.8 m3.9 m ≈3.9 m ≈4.0 m3.8 m4.1 m ≈4.1 m ≈
Share repurchases0500.0 k23.2 m ≈0 ≈6.5 m500.0 k0 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 65 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 11.5, median 26.4, max 93.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue718.9 m788.9 m1.4 bn1.5 bn1.8 bn1.7 bn1.5 bn1.8 bn
Revenue YoY+58.7%+9.7%+79.5%+2.8%+26.8%−10.3%−10.5%+21.4%
Net income147.0 m64.9 m134.7 m134.7 m199.7 m128.3 m54.2 m148.4 m
Net income YoY+6.6%−55.8%+107.4%+0.0%+48.2%−35.7%−57.7%+173.7%
Diluted EPS3.741.693.503.515.293.401.433.84
Diluted EPS YoY+9.0%−54.8%+107.1%+0.3%+50.7%−35.7%−57.9%+168.5%
net %20.5%8.2%9.5%9.3%10.8%7.7%3.7%8.2%
Free cash flow130.9 m23.2 m164.9 m111.4 m124.7 m147.9 m74.0 m125.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
791.2 m USD
Financial debt
1.1 bn USD
Net debt
343.8 m USD
Equity
1.4 bn USD
Total assets
2.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.83x
Current ratio
1.59x
ROE
11.6%
ROA
6.2%
FCF margin
7.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.1 bn
2024
952.7 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
592.4 m
2024
529.3 m
2025
677.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
202.4 m
2024
211.8 m
2025
232.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
221.0 m
2024
224.6 m
2025
242.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
113.7 m
2024
36.6 m
2025
168.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
66.5 m
2024
68.5 m
2025
62.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
180.2 m ≈
2024
105.1 m ≈
2025
230.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
16.6 m
2024
25.1 m
2025
16.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
122.5 m
2024
52.4 m
2025
168.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-8.3 m
2024
-3.9 m
2025
19.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
128.3 m
2024
54.2 m
2025
148.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.40
2024
1.43
2025
3.84

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
37.8 m
2024
37.8 m
2025
38.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.10
2024
0.10
2025
0.10

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.0 bn
2024
722.1 m
2025
791.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
282.4 m
2024
265.3 m
2025
325.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
336.1 m
2024
360.4 m
2025
411.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
167.7 m
2024
185.6 m
2025
272.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
283.8 m
2024
296.0 m
2025
300.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
161.5 m
2024
139.4 m
2025
117.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
141.9 m
2024
143.5 m
2025
224.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
20.0 m
2024
—
2025
567.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
895.7 m
2024
564.7 m
2025
567.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
335.8 m
2024
314.3 m
2025
991.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
208.9 m
2024
130.8 m
2025
233.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
61.0 m
2024
56.8 m
2025
107.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
147.9 m ≈
2024
74.0 m ≈
2025
125.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-64.7 m
2024
-73.6 m
2025
-109.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
445.7 m
2024
-377.1 m
2025
-56.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
15.2 m
2024
15.4 m
2025
15.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
40.0 m
2024
1.8 m
2025
30.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
21.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
359.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
173.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-9.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
2.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
168.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
70.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
40.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
18.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
16.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
19.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
23.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
12.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
22.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-158.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
25.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
224.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
154.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
69.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
24.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
52.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
62 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
75 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
8.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
29.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
30.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
5.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
3.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
19.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
23.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
3.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
122.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 36 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

211.56 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
30.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
5.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
19.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
19.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
21.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

36/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 2701derived 194

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Growth19
  • Quality21
  • Returns38
  • Valuation36

Estimated value range

Low
48.35
USD per share
Mid
119.95
USD per share
High
215.99
USD per share
Price: 211.56 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -43.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -76.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 29.15 – 388.34 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)29.15 – 43.64 (Mid 34.67)
    WACC 8.8% · starting FCFF 82.1 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/Sales67.55 – 388.34 (Mid 205.23)
    6 companies used · median multiple 3.6x · quartiles 1.1x – 6.9x
    MVIS, NSYS, OST, PI, VREX, VRT
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electronic Components, NEC (SIC 3679)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 36/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality40.3%1 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality16.0%55 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality3.1%12 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.8%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth21.4%58 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.4x100 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.6x100 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation3.7x50 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation0.8%16 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.3%38 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth19/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality21/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns38/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation36/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

ADVANCED ENERGY INDUSTRIES, INC. (AEIS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 21.4%; net margin 12.7%; ROE 19.9%; net debt/EBITDA -0.4x.

The estimated value range is 48.35–215.99 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 119.95 USD, the price of 211.56 USD leaves a potential of -43.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -76.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 36/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.4x
  • Current ratio: 3.6x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 40.3%
  • FCF margin: 3.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.8%
  • FCF yield: 0.8%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Electronic Components, NEC (SIC 3679) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
30.4x
vertical median 29.4x
at median
EV/EBITDA
19.6x
vertical median —
P/S
3.8x
vertical median 4.8x
below median (−21.0%)
P/B
5.4x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+160.9%)
ROE
19.9%
vertical median 3.8%
above median (+421.5%)
Net margin
12.7%
vertical median 1.6%
above median (+714.2%)
EBIT margin
16.0%
vertical median 8.3%
above median (+91.6%)
Revenue YoY
21.4%
vertical median 8.0%
above median (+167.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.4x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 0.1%
below median (−60.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
VRTVertiv Holdings Co79.1 bn38.446.6%16.0%+27.7%+14% / +371%
AEISAdvanced Energy Industries, Inc.8.6 bn30.419.9%12.7%+21.4%+8% / +131%
PIImpinj, Inc.5.6 bn—-3.8%-2.5%−1.4%+5% / +116%
VICRVicor Corporation1.9 bn41.723.5%32.2%+26.1%+78% / +335%
VREXVarex Imaging Corp779.3 m35.44.6%2.6%+4.1%+60% / −2%
MPTIM-tron Industries, Inc.277.8 m23.512.4%16.3%+11.0%+24% / +85%
ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.152.7 m12.920.1%24.2%+4.9%+29% / +197%
LGLLgl Group Inc84.6 m—-0.6%-5.0%−2.9%+15% / +38%
MVISMicroVision, Inc.42.2 m—-197.8%-2,230.6%−74.3%−91% / −97%
NSYSNortech Systems Incorporated31.2 m29.43.0%0.6%+723.6%+59% / +26%
OSTOstin Technology Group Co., Ltd.23.7 m—-169.1%-26.0%+22.2%−97% / −99%
NEONNeonode Inc.10.5 m1.348.6%397.8%−33.7%−72% / −52%
LPLLG Display Co., Ltd.——-37.2%-9.6%+24.8%−39% / −45%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AEIS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
121.38
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
215.17
Total return 2% · Per year 2%
324.90
Total return 54% · Per year 54%
3 years
105.47
Total return -50% · Per year -21%
211.53
Total return 0% · Per year 0%
352.44
Total return 67% · Per year 19%
5 years
91.65
Total return -57% · Per year -15%
207.95
Total return -1% · Per year -0%
382.30
Total return 81% · Per year 13%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 52.88
  • Net margin± 37.02
  • Annual revenue growth± 32.03
  • Annual dilution± 3.11

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

In brief

Advanced Energy designs and manufactures precision power conversion, measurement and control solutions for demanding equipment, with a large share of sales to semiconductor and data center customers. Revenue grew strongly in fiscal 2025 on AI-related demand, and second quarter 2026 results exceeded guidance, which keeps its trajectory under close watch. Growth has been driven mainly by the data center market, which more than doubled, while the industrial and medical market declined.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a strong position in power conversion solutions and sees high demand for products used in AI data centers 1.
  • Recent results were strong, with revenue and earnings above guidance in the second quarter of 2026 3.
  • The company generated record cash flow from continuing operations in the second quarter of 2026 3.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue depends on a few large customers, which raises the risk if one contract is lost 1.
  • The data center market carries lower margins, and its growth could dilute gross margin 1.
  • The company carries significant convertible debt, which can bring dilution and financial pressure 2.

Opportunities

  • If investment in AI continues, the company could win new contracts and gain market share 1.
  • New plasma products could open advanced applications in semiconductors 1.
  • A recovery in the industrial and medical market could reduce dependence on the data center market 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs and export restrictions could affect demand and production costs 1.
  • Price pressure from customers and competitors could reduce margins 1.
  • A sudden slowdown in AI investment could quickly affect orders and revenue 1.

Risks

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    A small number of customers generate a large part of revenue and receivables, and losing one could affect results 1.

  • Cyclical demandhigh

    The markets the company serves are volatile, and downturns can reduce revenue and margins 1.

  • Design winsmedium

    The company must keep winning design wins, which do not always translate into substantial revenue 1.

  • Debt and dilutionmedium

    Convertible notes can create dilution for shareholders and refinancing costs 2.

  • Trade and geopoliticsmedium

    Tariffs, export controls and global conflicts could affect the supply chain and demand 12.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for AI infrastructure stays strong, growth in the data center segment could keep supporting revenue and margins 13.
  • Second quarter 2026 results and third quarter guidance suggest the pace of growth could be sustained 3.
  • If production optimization programs meet their goals, gross margin could keep improving 13.

What would break the thesis

  • If AI investment slows, revenue from data centers could fall quickly, given the large weight of this segment 1.
  • Dependence on a few large customers could make results more volatile, especially if one of them reduces orders 1.
  • Dilution from convertible notes and redemption costs could limit gains for shareholders 2.

What to watch

  • Revenue and non-GAAP EPS against third quarter 2026 guidanceQ3 2026
  • Completion of the 2028 notes redemption and effects on the capital structureQ3 2026
  • Trend in gross margin and savings from production optimization2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

The business

Advanced Energy operates as a single segment of power electronics conversion products and sells into four markets: semiconductor equipment, data center computing, industrial and medical, and telecom and networking. It transforms raw electrical power from the utility or building into controllable power for complex equipment, including plasma power for etch and deposition processes. Revenue reached $1,798.8 million in fiscal 2025 1 and $574.1 million in the second quarter of 2026 3. Customers are mainly original equipment manufacturers, distributors and end users, and a few large customers account for a significant part of revenue 1.

Research and development is central to the strategy, since products are designed into customers' next-generation equipment during their development phase. Research and development expenses were $232.4 million in fiscal 2025 1, and the company employs approximately 13,000 people 1. Manufacturing is concentrated in factories in the Philippines, Malaysia and Mexico, and a new factory in Thailand is in progress 1.

The company has recently reshaped its financing and production: in May 2026 it issued convertible notes due 2031 with a principal of $1.15 billion 2, and part of the 2028 notes was exchanged or converted 2. Operations at the Zhongshan, China factory ceased in the second quarter of 2025, with site closure expected to conclude in 2026 1.

Market context

The company operates in highly competitive and cyclical markets, where product performance, reliability and price are decisive factors 1. In 2025, semiconductor demand was supported by AI chips but partly offset by weaker demand for trailing-edge logic 1. The company expects the semiconductor market to accelerate in the second half of 2026 1.

Trends

  • AI infrastructure demandtailwind

    Investment in AI infrastructure has increased substantially and supports demand for data center and semiconductor products 1. If demand remains high, the company could benefit directly; if it shifts sharply, the company could experience volatility 1.

  • Cyclicality of industriesheadwind

    Several of the company's markets are cyclical, with downturns that can reduce demand, inventories and prices 1. This could affect revenue and margins in the short term 1.

  • Tariffs and trade restrictionsmixed

    Tariffs and export controls were managed in 2025 without a significant impact, but their effects could become material in future periods 1. The company continuously monitors the impact on its supply chain 1.

  • Manufacturing optimizationmixed

    Factory consolidation and lower production costs have helped improve gross margin 1. If savings turn out lower than estimated, the benefit could be smaller 1.

Competitive position

The company faces numerous competitors, both foreign and domestic, some with greater financial resources and others smaller but well established in specific niches 1. In data center computing, some Asian competitors may benefit from local government funding 1. Customer pressure for lower prices is a constant risk 1.

Competition is differentiated by performance, compatibility, price, quality, reliability and the level of customer service 1. The company argues that innovation and service support are competitive advantages 1.

  • MKS Instruments, Inc.MKSI

    Competitor in semiconductor equipment, named in the annual report 1.

  • Delta Electronics, Inc.

    Competitor in data center, industrial and telecom segments, named in the annual report 1.

  • Flex Ltd.

    Competitor in semiconductor equipment, named in the annual report 1.

  • TDK-Lambda Corp.

    Competitor in industrial and medical segments, named in the annual report 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 27 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report02 Nov 2026
  • Current report02 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report03 Aug 2026
  • Current report03 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report12 Jun 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report18 May 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report14 May 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 May 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report04 May 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. · 13 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. · 03 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.