olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Ambow Education Holding Ltd. AMBO

Services-Educational Services · SIC 8200 · Vertical: Services-Educational Services (SIC 8200)

1.61USD+0.63% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Ambow Education Holding Ltd. is a Cayman Islands holding company whose U.S. subsidiaries run NewSchool of Architecture & Design and the HybriU AI platform for education, corporate conferencing and live events. Revenue remains very small and rose slightly in the first half of 2026 to 5.2 million USD, while HybriU licensing and sales declined.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Ambow Education Holding Ltd. (AMBO) stock was 1.61 USD (+0.63% on the day), with market capitalisation 62.3 m USD, P/E 68.2 on diluted EPS of 0.02 USD over the last 12 months, beta -0.27, 52-week range 1.35–4.83 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 2.4 m USD (−13.5% YoY), net income of -146.0 k USD (−108.2% YoY), diluted EPS -0.00 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
62.3 m USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2016
P/E (TTM)
68.2
Diluted EPS TTM 0.02 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
1.47%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
-0.27
Volatility (1y) 81%
52-week range
1.354.83

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
44.0
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.40 – 1.90
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.42 · band width 30.6%
SMA 50 / 200
1.88 / 2.18
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.11 / -0.11
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−12.1%−1.1%−11.0 pp—
3 months−19.1%−0.5%−18.6 pp—
6 months−25.5%+4.4%−29.9 pp—
Year to date−41.7%+12.3%−54.0 pp—
1 year−54.0%+13.5%−67.5 pp−30.3%
3 years+10.3%+76.4%−66.1 pp−18.2%
5 years−87.4%+63.7%−151.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−72.0%
02 Dec 2025 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−92.3%
09 Nov 2021 → 20 Aug 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
−33.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
2.4 m USD
−13.5% YoY
Net income
-146.0 k USD
−108.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.00
−108.4% YoY
net / operating
-6.1% / -5.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue2.3 m2.8 m2.8 m2.4 m
Cost of revenue978.0 k1.3 m1.1 m1.2 m
Gross profit1.3 m1.5 m1.7 m1.2 m
Research & development101.0 k102.0 k156.0 k220.0 k
Operating income138.0 k329.0 k442.0 k-128.0 k
Interest expense12.0 k29.0 k-16.0 k5.0 k
Pre-tax income109.0 k1.8 m434.0 k-142.0 k
Income tax—47.0 k10.0 k4.0 k
Net income109.0 k1.8 m424.0 k-146.0 k
Diluted EPS0.000.030.01-0.00
Operating cash flow-923.0 k1.9 m ≈-1.2 m1.1 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 3-quarter history (min 116.9, median 339.4, max 388.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year201820192020⚠ 20212022202320242025
Revenue77.3 m83.9 m81.5 m17.8 m14.8 m9.2 m9.4 m9.5 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+8.5%−2.8%—−16.7%−38.3%+2.5%+0.8%
Net income6.5 m-14.4 m-9.6 m470.0 k-14.3 m-3.2 m309.0 k1.4 m
Net income YoY−8.4%−319.4%unavailable—−3,144.3%unavailableunavailable+339.8%
Diluted EPS0.16-0.33-0.22-0.14-0.19-0.060.010.02
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−306.3%unavailable—unavailableunavailableunavailable+337.0%
net %8.5%-17.1%-11.8%2.6%-96.4%-34.7%3.3%14.4%
Free cash flow3.7 munavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable435.0 k-463.0 k

The series breaks before 2021: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
831.0 k USD
Financial debt
3.2 m USD
Net debt
2.4 m USD
Equity
8.3 m USD
Total assets
20.8 m USD
Debt / equity
0.39x
Current ratio
2.20x
ROE
18.1%
ROA
7.1%
FCF margin
-4.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
9.2 m
2024
9.4 m
2025
9.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
6.7 m
2024
4.4 m
2025
4.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.5 m
2024
5.0 m
2025
5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
484.0 k
2024
438.0 k
2025
628.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-4.3 m
2024
-722.0 k
2025
112.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
18.0 k
2024
16.0 k
2025
77.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-4.3 m ≈
2024
-706.0 k ≈
2025
189.0 k ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
57.0 k
2024
63.0 k
2025
-103.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-3.2 m
2024
-530.0 k
2025
1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
14.0 k
2024
-839.0 k
2025
6.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-3.2 m
2024
309.0 k
2025
1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.06
2024
0.01
2025
0.02

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
56.3 m
2024
57.1 m
2025
57.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
274.0 k
2024
1.1 m
2025
831.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
2.3 m
2024
2.5 m
2025
2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
—
2024
—
2025
80.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
12.5 m
2024
11.6 m
2025
10.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
6.0 k
2024
1.2 m
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 May 2022verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
522.0 k
2024
512.0 k
2025
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
20.6 m
2024
17.4 m
2025
20.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.4 m
2024
749.0 k
2025
1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
3.9 m
2024
2.7 m
2025
500.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
2.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
9.8 m
2024
6.8 m
2025
4.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
14.1 m
2024
10.6 m
2025
12.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
6.4 m
2024
6.7 m
2025
8.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
—
2024
1.6 m
2025
137.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
—
2024
1.2 m
2025
600.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
—
2024
435.0 k ≈
2025
-463.0 k ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
—
2024
-2.0 m
2025
-987.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
—
2024
-1.2 m
2025
500.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
0.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-13.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-35.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
339.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
337.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-206.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
55.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-16.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-1.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-35.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-963.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
600.0 k USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
-1.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
-2,675.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
32 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
34 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
62.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
61.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
7.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
6.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
1,695.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
6.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 32 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

1.61 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 62.3 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
62.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
7.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
1,695.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
-2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 14 Aug 2026
verified 515

Score by group

  • Balance sheet70
  • Growth0
  • Valuation0
  • Quality37

Estimated value range

Low
0.04
USD per share
Mid
0.04
USD per share
High
0.04
USD per share
Price: 1.61 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -97.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -3,889.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.04 – 0.04 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA0.04 – 0.04 (Mid 0.04)
    6 companies used · median multiple 8.1x · quartiles 7.7x – 8.8x
    APEI, LAUR, LFS, LGCY, LINC, LRN
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Educational Services (SIC 8200)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 32/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-0.5%33 (vs peers)16%
Net margin · Quality-2.6%42 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-13.9%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-35.3x100 (vs peers)16%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-0.3x0 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.4x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation1,695.5x0 (vs peers)16%
FCF yield · Valuation-2.5%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet70/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality37/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

AMBOW EDUCATION HOLDING LTD. (AMBO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 9.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 0.8%; net margin -2.6%; ROE -2.9%; net debt/EBITDA -35.2x.

The estimated value range is 0.04–0.04 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 0.04 USD, the price of 1.61 USD leaves a potential of -97.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -3,889.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 32/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net debt / EBITDA: -35.2x
  • Current ratio: 2.4x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -13.9%
  • Interest coverage: -0.3x
  • EV/EBITDA: 1,695.5x
  • FCF yield: -2.5%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM), Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Educational Services (SIC 8200) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 15.5x
EV/EBITDA
1,695.5x
vertical median 7.9x
above median (+21,453.5%)
P/S
6.5x
vertical median 1.5x
above median (+340.7%)
P/B
7.3x
vertical median 2.7x
above median (+169.8%)
ROE
-2.9%
vertical median 10.0%
below median (−128.8%)
Net margin
-2.6%
vertical median 3.8%
below median (−167.7%)
EBIT margin
-0.4%
vertical median 3.2%
below median (−113.4%)
Revenue YoY
0.8%
vertical median 5.9%
below median (−86.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-35.3x
vertical median -0.3x
below median
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
EDUNew Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.80.7 bn169.712.4%8.4%+15.5%+2% / −36%
LAURLaureate Education, Inc.4.8 bn12.934.1%20.3%+8.6%+14% / +168%
CVSACovista Inc.4.1 bn17.017.9%12.8%+9.3%+34% / +118%
COE51Talk Online Education Group4.1 bn——-17.6%+88.6%−73% / +43%
LOPEGrand Canyon Education, Inc.3.9 bn18.231.0%19.6%+7.1%−4% / +10%
LRNStride, Inc.3.3 bn10.920.9%13.2%+4.7%+25% / +31%
NAMIJinxin Technology Holding Company2.6 bn—-89.7%-22.8%+6.1%−89% / unavailable
DAOYoudao, Inc.2.5 bn159.2—1.6%+9.6%+105% / +397%
PRDOPerdoceo Education Corp1.9 bn10.917.6%20.6%+24.2%+7% / +72%
STRAStrategic Education, Inc.1.7 bn12.48.2%10.5%+4.0%−5% / −16%
YQ17 Education & Technology Group Inc.1.5 bn—-46.5%-145.6%−41.5%−41% / +14%
UTIUniversal Technical Institute, Inc1.2 bn36.310.5%3.9%+14.0%−3% / +91%
PXEDPhoenix Education Partners, Inc.794.4 m9.530.1%8.7%+1.0%−36% / unavailable
APEIAmerican Public Education, Inc.776.2 m17.515.6%6.8%+3.9%+22% / +439%
LINCLincoln Educational Services Corporation637.9 m28.011.9%4.0%+17.8%−2% / +117%
JZJianzhi Education Technology Group Company Limited522.3 m—-44.4%-22.4%−70.6%−98% / −100%
GOTUGaotu Techedu Inc.373.9 m—-20.8%-5.3%+40.9%−0% / −9%
IHiHuman Inc.245.2 m22.810.0%11.8%−8.7%−60% / −59%
FEDUFour Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc.210.5 m46.66.8%12.1%+7.6%−30% / +13%
LXEHLixiang Education Holding Co. Ltd.155.2 m—-83.1%-395.4%−1.9%−63% / −99%
LGCYLegacy Education Inc.118.1 m14.019.5%11.4%+24.8%−12% / unavailable
EEIQEpicQuest Education Group International Limited93.6 m—-34.8%-27.2%+9.6%−23% / −81%
VSAVisionSys AI Inc81.8 m0.3—164,963.8%−99.9%−97% / −100%
CHGGChegg, Inc71.1 m—-30.7%-17.2%−39.0%−34% / −94%
AMBOAmbow Education Holding Ltd.62.3 m—-2.9%-2.6%+0.8%−54% / +10%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AMBO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Ambow Education Holding Ltd. is a Cayman Islands holding company whose U.S. subsidiaries run NewSchool of Architecture & Design and the HybriU AI platform for education, corporate conferencing and live events. Revenue remains very small and rose slightly in the first half of 2026 to 5.2 million USD, while HybriU licensing and sales declined.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has relatively controlled costs, with gross margin rising and general and administrative expenses reduced in recent years.
    • The HybriU product portfolio is broad, covering education, conferencing, events and translation, which gives several options for development.
    • NewSchool holds regional accreditation and access to federal student aid programs, which supports student recruitment.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue is very small and profitability in recent years has depended on a one-time gain from a lease settlement.
    • HybriU licensing revenue fell in the second quarter of 2026, showing dependence on individual orders and contracts with limited history.
    • The company depends on a small number of senior executives, and losing them could disrupt operations.

    Opportunities

    • Further international partnerships for HybriU could increase licensing revenue, as in the agreement with a Singapore-based company.
    • New AI product launches and a wider HybriU offering could attract customers in education, corporate and event industries.
    • Micro-credential programs and institutional partnerships could diversify sources of education revenue.

    Threats

    • Competition from larger institutions and technology providers could reduce market share and pressure margins.
    • Legislative changes on student financing and regulation of for-profit institutions could affect enrollment.
    • Reputational risks linked to AI algorithms or data practices could undermine customer trust in HybriU.

    Risks

    • Dependence on student enrollmenthigh

      If enrollment falls or fees must be cut because of competition, revenue and profitability could decline.

    • Adoption and success of AI technologyhigh

      The company cannot assure that its HybriU investments will generate sufficient revenue, and products could be harder to adopt than expected.

    • Volatile licensing revenuemedium

      HybriU licensing and sales revenue has fluctuated, and individual orders can significantly influence quarterly results.

    • Dependence on key personnelmedium

      Loss of senior management or qualified teaching staff could affect program quality and the company's reputation.

    • Structure of the investmentlow

      Investors hold shares in the Cayman holding company rather than directly in the U.S. subsidiaries, which could complicate the exercise of their rights.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If HybriU attracts more corporate and institutional clients, licensing revenue could return to a higher level and support more durable growth.
    • Rising gross margin and cost control could lead to better operating results if revenue continues to grow.
    • International partnerships and product launches could widen the customer base and diversify revenue sources.

    What would break the thesis

    • Revenue is very small and fell in the second quarter of 2026, which could signal difficulty in turning HybriU into a stable source of income.
    • Recent profit was influenced by an unusual gain, and without it results could be negative.
    • Competition in higher education and hybrid technology could limit growth and pressure margins over the long term.

    What to watch

    • Trend in HybriU licensing revenue and new ordersQ3 2026
    • Enrollment at NewSchool and the evolution of tuition2027
    • Research and development spending on HybriU and its effect on profitabilitynext 10-K
    • Level of cash and working capital, including restricted cashQ3 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Ambow Education Holding Ltd. has no operating business of its own; its operations are conducted by U.S. subsidiaries delivering educational programs and technology solutions. The company was founded in 2000, expanded into the U.S. in 2017 through the acquisition of a higher education institution, and after exiting China in 2022 and closing Bay State College in 2023 focused on NewSchool and HybriU.

    Net revenues were 9.5 million USD in fiscal 2025 and 5.2 million USD in the first half of 2026, according to the 10-K, 10-Q and results release. Growth in the first half was driven by educational programs and services, while HybriU revenue fell in the second quarter of 2026.

    The company states that investors hold equity only in the Cayman holding company and not directly in its U.S. operating subsidiaries, a structural point that could matter when assessing an investment.

    Segments

    Educational programs and services

    This line includes NewSchool of Architecture & Design in San Diego, a for-profit institution of higher education with bachelor's and master's programs in architecture and design. It was the main driver of total revenue growth in the first half of 2026.

    HybriU licensing and sales

    HybriU combines AI solutions for education, corporate conferencing, live events, real-time translation and knowledge capture. Revenue in this line fell in the second quarter of 2026 and no cost of revenue was recorded in the first half, which points to sensitivity to individual orders.

    AI product development

    The company has increased research and development spending on the HybriU platform, which could generate future revenue if adoption grows. The commercial timing remains uncertain because revenue from this direction has so far been modest.

    Market context

    Ambow operates at the intersection of hybrid communication, digital events and education technology. Demand depends on the adoption of hybrid formats, technological progress and the need for scalable solutions serving both in-person and remote participants, factors that could affect revenue if the market expands.

    In U.S. higher education, enrollment and tuition depend on legislative uncertainty, regulatory activity and macroeconomic conditions, which could affect over the long term the company's ability to attract students.

    Trends

    • Adoption of hybrid formatstailwind

      Wider use of hybrid formats in education and conferencing could favor the HybriU platform if institutions and companies adopt the proposed solutions.

    • Artificial intelligence in educationmixed

      Interest in AI in education could open commercial opportunities, but the technology evolves rapidly and the company acknowledges uncertainty about the success of its investments.

    • Competitive pressure in higher educationheadwind

      Competition from public and private institutions, some with greater resources or lower tuition, could reduce enrollment and margins at NewSchool.

    • Regulatory and macroeconomic uncertaintyheadwind

      Legislative changes, regulatory activity and economic conditions can affect demand for educational programs in ways that are hard to anticipate over the long term.

    Competitive position

    In U.S. higher education Ambow competes with public and private two-year and four-year colleges, other for-profit schools and alternatives to higher education. Competitors can have substantially greater resources and can offer lower tuition through government subsidies or donations.

    In the HybriU area the company faces firms that focus on a single business line and can adapt more quickly to technology and student preferences, which could limit Ambow's market share.

    • Public and private U.S. higher education institutions

      Compete with NewSchool through similar programs, sometimes at lower tuition thanks to public funding or donations.

    • Other for-profit higher education institutions

      Offer competing programs to the same students and may have larger resources for marketing and development.

    • Specialized educational technology firms

      Compete with the HybriU platform through hybrid learning solutions adapted more quickly to technological change.

    • Providers of hybrid conferencing and event solutions

      Offer remote participation and real-time translation systems that compete directly with HybriU Conference and WeSpeak.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Ambow Education Holding Ltd. · 13 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Ambow Education Holding Ltd. · 14 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Ambow Education Holding Ltd. · 14 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.