olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

AMRZ AMRZ

Cement, Hydraulic · SIC 3241 · Vertical: Cement, Hydraulic (SIC 3241)

44.15USD+5.19% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) is a North American building solutions company spun off from Holcim in June 2025. For fiscal 2025 it reported revenues of 11815 mn USD and adjusted EBITDA of 3007 mn USD. In the second quarter of 2026 revenues rose 8.6%, and the company raised its revenue guidance but lowered adjusted EBITDA guidance because of oil-driven cost inflation.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, AMRZ (AMRZ) stock was 44.15 USD (+5.19% on the day), with market capitalisation 23.5 bn USD, P/E 19.5 on diluted EPS of 2.27 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.24, 52-week range 36.09–65.86 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.8 bn USD (+2.2% YoY), net income of 559.0 m USD (+3.1% YoY), diluted EPS 1.02 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
23.5 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.5
Diluted EPS TTM 2.27 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.14%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.24
Volatility (1y) 37%
52-week range
36.0965.86

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
71.0
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
34.45 – 43.86
above the upper band · %B 1.03 · band width 24.0%
SMA 50 / 200
39.61 / 50.39
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.03 / 0.33
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+18.7%−1.1%+19.8 pp—
3 months−16.5%−0.5%−16.1 pp—
6 months−19.7%+4.4%−24.0 pp—
Year to date−18.4%+12.3%−30.7 pp—
1 year−13.4%+13.5%−26.9 pp−15.4%
3 yearsunavailable+76.4%unavailable+55.0%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−45.2%
24 Feb 2026 → 12 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−45.2%
24 Feb 2026 → 12 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
3.8 bn USD
+2.2% YoY
Net income
559.0 m USD
+3.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.02
+4.1% YoY
net / operating
14.8% / 21.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.8 bn2.1 bn3.2 bn3.7 bn2.8 bn2.2 bn3.5 bn3.8 bn
Cost of revenue2.1 bn1.9 bn2.3 bn2.6 bn2.1 bn2.0 bn2.5 bn2.7 bn
Gross profit777.0 m237.0 m941.0 m1.1 bn764.0 m208.0 m993.0 m1.1 bn
SG&A262.0 m243.0 m286.0 m313.0 m286.0 m285.0 m283.0 m291.0 m
Operating income537.0 m-5.0 m657.0 m783.0 m471.0 m-72.0 m711.0 m793.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation194.0 m181.0 m187.0 m200.0 m190.0 m198.0 m217.0 m223.0 m
Interest expense141.0 m132.0 m143.0 m94.0 m92.0 m78.0 m94.0 m93.0 m
Pre-tax income361.0 m-133.0 m537.0 m694.0 m388.0 m-145.0 m621.0 m706.0 m
Income tax75.0 m-28.0 m122.0 m158.0 m74.0 m-41.0 m146.0 m153.0 m
Net income291.0 m-94.0 m417.0 m542.0 m320.0 m-105.0 m478.0 m559.0 m
Diluted EPS0.53 ≈-0.170.750.980.58 ≈-0.190.861.02
Operating cash flow1.7 bn-847.0 m406.0 m ≈858.0 m ≈1.8 bn-893.0 m418.0 m ≈697.0 m ≈
Capex84.0 m213.0 m235.0 m ≈189.0 m ≈151.0 m275.0 m245.0 m ≈266.0 m ≈
Dividends paid———0 ≈———60.0 m ≈
Share repurchases———0 ≈———572.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 17 percentile of its own 6-quarter history (min 16.5, median 23.7, max 26.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202320242025
Revenue11.7 bn11.7 bn11.8 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+0.2%+0.9%
Net income956.0 m1.3 bn1.2 bn
Net income YoYunavailable+33.3%−7.0%
Diluted EPS1.732.302.14
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+32.9%−7.0%
net %8.2%10.9%10.0%
Free cash flow1.4 bn1.6 bn1.4 bn

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.9 bn USD
Financial debt
4.9 bn USD
Net debt
3.0 bn USD
Equity
13.1 bn USD
Total assets
24.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.38x
Current ratio
1.60x
ROE
10.3%
ROA
4.9%
FCF margin
12.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
11.7 bn
2024
11.7 bn
2025
11.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
8.9 bn
2024
8.6 bn
2025
8.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.8 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
898.0 m
2024
944.0 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
1.9 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
689.0 m
2024
736.0 m
2025
758.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
2.6 bn ≈
2024
2.9 bn ≈
2025
2.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
564.0 m
2024
547.0 m
2025
461.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
361.0 m
2024
368.0 m
2025
326.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
956.0 m
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.73
2024
2.30
2025
2.14

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
553.1 m
2024
553.1 m
2025
553.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
—
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2023
—
2024
4.8 bn
2025
4.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
9.0 bn
2024
8.9 bn
2025
9.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
—
2024
23.8 bn
2025
24.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
—
2024
—
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
—
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
—
2024
13.9 bn
2025
11.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2023
9.2 bn
2024
9.8 bn
2025
13.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Aug 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
—
2025
553.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
630.0 m
2024
642.0 m
2025
788.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.4 bn ≈
2024
1.6 bn ≈
2025
1.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.0 bn
2024
-1.2 bn
2025
-361.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
734.0 m
2024
-537.0 m
2025
-1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
0.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
-13.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
-7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-13.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
24.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
22.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
15.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
8.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
9.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
4.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
5.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
937.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
85.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
73.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
61 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
50 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
23.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
28.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
18.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
14.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
2.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
21.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 56 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

44.15 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 23.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
23.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
9.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 392derived 28

Score by group

  • Quality66
  • Valuation48
  • Balance sheet54

Estimated value range

Low
25.19
USD per share
Mid
33.07
USD per share
High
46.18
USD per share
Price: 44.15 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -25.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -33.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 25.19 – 46.18 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)25.19 – 46.18 (Mid 33.07)
    WACC 8.5% · starting FCFF 1.4 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 11.3%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Cement, Hydraulic (SIC 3241)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 56/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality10.0%61 (on a fixed band)14%
Net margin · Quality10.2%60 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Quality85.9%80 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.8x64 (on a fixed band)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet5.3x59 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x22 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation19.5x48 (on a fixed band)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation10.4x42 (on a fixed band)14%
FCF yield · Valuation4.6%57 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet54/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Quality66/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation48/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Amrize Ltd (AMRZ). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 11.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 0.9%; net margin 10.2%; ROE 9.8%; net debt/EBITDA 1.8x.

The estimated value range is 25.19–46.18 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 33.07 USD, the price of 44.15 USD leaves a potential of -25.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -33.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 56/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 85.9%

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 1.1x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Cement, Hydraulic (SIC 3241) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
19.5x
vertical median 18.6x
at median
EV/EBITDA
10.4x
vertical median —
P/S
1.9x
vertical median 2.5x
below median (−22.1%)
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 3.8x
below median (−50.9%)
ROE
9.8%
vertical median 16.6%
below median (−41.1%)
Net margin
10.2%
vertical median 10.1%
at median
EBIT margin
15.5%
vertical median 13.7%
above median (+13.1%)
Revenue YoY
0.9%
vertical median 1.4%
below median (−33.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.8x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CXCemex Sab De Cv155.4 bn502.87.8%5.8%−2.1%−1% / +55%
CRHCRH public limited company65.7 bn18.614.8%9.2%+5.3%−18% / +57%
AMRZAmrize Ltd23.5 bn19.59.8%10.2%+0.9%−13% / unavailable
EXPEagle Materials Inc.5.8 bn15.724.5%16.1%+2.1%−15% / +5%
LOMALoma Negra Compania Industrialargentina Sociedad Anonima——21.5%22.0%−23.9%−29% / +35%
CPACHolcim Ltd——16.6%10.1%+1.4%+90% / +170%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AMRZ from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
26.10
Total return -41% · Per year -41%
46.22
Total return 5% · Per year 5%
69.74
Total return 58% · Per year 58%
3 years
23.55
Total return -47% · Per year -19%
47.11
Total return 7% · Per year 2%
78.28
Total return 77% · Per year 21%
5 years
21.26
Total return -52% · Per year -14%
48.00
Total return 9% · Per year 2%
87.87
Total return 99% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 11.78
  • Net margin± 8.24
  • Annual revenue growth± 7.01
  • Annual dilution± 0.69

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 10 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) is a North American building solutions company spun off from Holcim in June 2025. For fiscal 2025 it reported revenues of 11815 mn USD 1 and adjusted EBITDA of 3007 mn USD 1. In the second quarter of 2026 revenues rose 8.6% 3, and the company raised its revenue guidance but lowered adjusted EBITDA guidance because of oil-driven cost inflation 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A diversified Building Envelope portfolio with established brands in roofing and insulation 1.
  • Revenue growth in the second quarter of 2026, driven by demand and pricing, shows the company's ability to expand 3.

Weaknesses

  • Energy and fuel costs have a significant effect on results, and the company has already lowered EBITDA guidance because of them 13.
  • The cost base includes large fixed and semi-fixed costs, so earnings are sensitive to volume changes 1.
  • The company has a short history as an independent listed entity, which limits comparison with earlier results 1.

Opportunities

  • Bolt-on acquisitions in fragmented aggregates and concrete markets could extend the business, in line with the stated strategy 12.
  • If large data centre and energy projects continue, demand for cement and building solutions could stay elevated 3.
  • The ASPIRE cost programme could ease operating cost pressure in the second half of the year 3.

Threats

  • Inflationary pressure and higher energy costs could weigh on margins in the period ahead 13.
  • Public infrastructure funding depends on government decisions, and delays or cuts could slow demand 1.
  • Competition in cement, aggregates and roofing is intense, and larger players could gain market share 1.

Risks

  • Energy and fuel costshigh

    Higher energy and fuel prices can compress margins, and the company has already adjusted guidance for this factor 13.

  • Dependence on construction activityhigh

    Demand depends on construction activity and public funding, and a downturn could affect results 1.

  • Environmental regulationmedium

    Operations are subject to environmental laws and permits, and regulatory changes could raise costs or delay projects 1.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    The company may struggle to integrate acquisitions and capture the expected benefits, especially in aggregates and roofing 1.

  • Holcim separation costslow

    Non-recurring separation costs could exceed expectations, and the short history as an independent company limits comparability 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand from large projects and aggregates pricing hold, revenue growth could continue through the second half of the year 3.
  • Strong positions in aggregates and roofing, together with the ASPIRE programme, could support margins over the longer term 13.
  • If the share repurchase programme and dividends continue, the company could keep returning capital to shareholders 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If oil prices stay high, freight and raw material costs could reduce EBITDA by more than currently expected 3.
  • Residential demand and public infrastructure are sensitive to economic cycles and government decisions, which could slow growth 1.
  • If separation and integration costs extend, profitability could remain below expectations in the period ahead 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery against 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidancenext 10-K
  • Trend in energy and diesel costs in the second half of the yearQ3 2026
  • Progress and savings from the ASPIRE programme2026
  • Holcim separation and rebranding costs2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 10 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Amrize earns revenue from cement, aggregates, ready-mix concrete, asphalt, roofing systems and other building solutions, serving infrastructure, commercial and residential construction customers in the United States and Canada 1. It has more than 19000 employees and more than 1000 sites 1. Its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange and the SIX Swiss Exchange under the symbol AMRZ 1.

The strategy centres on profitable growth through disciplined acquisitions, especially in aggregates and in the Building Envelope segment, while keeping an investment grade credit rating 1. In 2025 the company reduced external borrowings and streamlined its corporate cost structure after the separation from Holcim 1.

Repair and refurbishment (R&R) work accounted for 43% of overall revenues in 2025 1, so demand depends not only on new construction but also on maintaining existing buildings.

Segments

Building Materials

The Building Materials segment includes cement, aggregates, ready-mix concrete and asphalt 1. Beyond cement and aggregates sales, the segment benefits from higher aggregates prices, according to the August 2026 release 3.

Building Envelope

The Building Envelope segment covers roofing and wall systems, insulation, membranes and the Duro-Last, Malarkey and Elevate brands 1. It made up 27.9% of revenues in 2025 1, and the company intends to expand it through acquisitions and new products 1.

Residential roofing

For residential roofing, the August 2026 release points to high single digit volume growth for the full year 3. This line is more exposed to the residential cycle than commercial roofing, which was guided to low single digit growth 3.

Market context

Demand in the United States and Canada is tied to construction activity, infrastructure and public investment 1. The company expects long-term demand growth from urbanisation, ageing infrastructure and underinvestment in housing 1.

Trends

  • Demand from large projectstailwind

    Demand from large projects, including data centres, energy and advanced manufacturing, supported revenue growth in the second quarter of 2026 3. If this project pipeline slows, growth could weaken.

  • Oil priceheadwind

    Higher oil prices raised freight, diesel and raw material costs, and the company lowered its EBITDA guidance as a result 3. If this pressure persists, margins could stay under strain.

  • Cement and aggregates pricingtailwind

    The company expects continued strong pricing for cement and aggregates in the second half of 2026 3. This could partly offset higher costs, though the effect depends on how well prices are realised.

  • Separation costsmixed

    Spin-off and separation costs, including rebranding, are expected to continue through fiscal 2027 12. They weigh on reported results for now, although they are largely non-recurring.

Competitive position

In the United States, the principal competitors in cement and aggregates are Cemex, Buzzi-Unicem, Heidelberg Materials and CRH, alongside many local and regional players 1. Ready-mix concrete is highly fragmented and competitive 1.

In Building Envelope, competitors include Carlisle, CertainTeed, GAF, Johns Manville, Owens Corning and RPM 1. Competition turns on scale, innovation, distribution and customer service 1.

  • Cemex

    Principal competitor in cement and aggregates in the United States, named in the annual report 1.

  • Heidelberg Materials

    Cement and aggregates producer named as a principal competitor in the United States 1.

  • CRH

    Construction materials company named as a principal competitor in cement and aggregates 1.

  • Owens Corning

    Competitor in insulation and roofing systems within the Building Envelope segment 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report29 Oct 2026
  • Current report28 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report11 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Current report24 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report10 Aug 2026
  • Current report06 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report07 May 2026
  • Current report29 Apr 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure
  • Current report21 Apr 2026
    Shareholder vote · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / AMRZ · 18 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / AMRZ · 10 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / AMRZ · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.