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olivLaw · US equity research

Amtech Systems, Inc. ASYS

Special Industry Machinery, NEC · SIC 3559 · Vertical: Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559)

12.35USD−3.52% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Amtech Systems supplies equipment, consumables and services for semiconductor device packaging and wafer fabrication, with strong demand tied to AI infrastructure. Recent results show revenue recovering in its thermal processing segment while the silicon carbide-related fabrication segment remains weak. Quarterly net revenue of [22.4] million USD in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 and cash of [83.1] million USD at June 30, 2026 frame the current picture.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Amtech Systems, Inc. (ASYS) stock was 12.35 USD (−3.52% on the day), with market capitalisation 216.2 m USD, P/E 46.7 on diluted EPS of 0.26 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.49, 52-week range 7.05–23.99 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 22.4 m USD (+14.5% YoY), net income of 1.7 m USD (+1,464.2% YoY), diluted EPS 0.10 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
216.2 m USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
46.7
Diluted EPS TTM 0.26 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.14%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.49
Volatility (1y) 88%
52-week range
7.0523.99

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
37.7
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
11.08 – 16.26
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.24 · band width 37.9%
SMA 50 / 200
14.74 / 16.06
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.76 / -0.68
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−30.7%−2.0%−28.7 pp—
3 months−22.9%−2.2%−20.7 pp—
6 months−32.1%+4.3%−36.4 pp—
Year to date−1.6%+10.6%−12.2 pp—
1 year+71.5%+10.5%+61.1 pp+19.4%
3 years+66.7%+73.7%−7.0 pp+8.3%
5 years−17.8%+61.7%−79.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−48.6%
12 Jun 2026 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−78.4%
15 Nov 2021 → 21 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−3.8%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
22.4 m USD
+14.5% YoY
Net income
1.7 m USD
+1,464.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.10
+900.0% YoY
net / operating
7.4% / 9.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue24.1 m24.4 m15.6 m19.6 m19.8 m19.0 m20.5 m22.4 m
Cost of revenue14.3 m15.0 m15.9 m10.4 m11.0 m10.5 m10.7 m11.2 m
Gross profit9.8 m9.4 m-325.0 k9.1 m8.8 m8.5 m9.8 m11.2 m
SG&A8.8 m8.1 m7.1 m7.4 m6.4 m6.9 m7.2 m8.0 m
Operating income26.0 k339.0 k-31.6 m915.0 k1.8 m775.0 k1.8 m2.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation719.0 k752.0 k821.0 k594.0 k575.0 k614.0 k627.0 k620.0 k
Interest expense59.0 k7.0 k6.0 k5.0 k7.0 k7.0 k9.0 k2.0 k
Pre-tax income-299.0 k757.0 k-31.5 m905.0 k1.9 m689.0 k1.7 m2.3 m
Income tax237.0 k445.0 k272.0 k799.0 k818.0 k581.0 k502.0 k616.0 k
Net income-536.0 k312.0 k-31.8 m106.0 k1.1 m108.0 k1.2 m1.7 m
Diluted EPS-0.04 ≈0.02-2.230.010.07 ≈0.010.080.10
Operating cash flow879.0 k2.9 m210.0 k ≈2.5 m ≈2.3 m4.1 m2.1 m ≈1.1 m ≈
Capex-432.0 k143.0 k9.0 k ≈552.0 k ≈246.0 k277.0 k198.0 k ≈126.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 72 percentile of its own 18-quarter history (min 4.2, median 20.2, max 107.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue100.1 m85.0 m65.5 m85.2 m106.3 m113.3 m101.2 m79.4 m
Revenue YoY+20.4%−15.0%−23.0%+30.2%+24.8%+6.6%−10.7%−21.6%
Net income5.3 m-5.2 m-15.7 m1.5 m17.4 m-12.6 m-8.5 m-30.3 m
Net income YoY−41.9%−197.3%unavailableunavailable+1,051.7%−172.4%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS0.35-0.36-1.110.111.22-0.89-0.60-2.12
Diluted EPS YoY−48.5%−202.9%unavailableunavailable+1,009.1%−173.0%unavailableunavailable
net %5.3%-6.1%-24.0%1.8%16.3%-11.1%-8.4%-38.2%
Free cash flow-15.3 m-541.0 k-4.3 m-9.0 m4.1 m-10.6 m5.0 m6.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025

Cash
17.9 m USD
Financial debt
420.0 k USD
Net debt
-17.5 m USD
Equity
53.4 m USD
Total assets
92.9 m USD
Debt / equity
0.01x
Current ratio
2.94x
ROE
-44.7%
ROA
-28.6%
FCF margin
8.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
113.3 m
2024
101.2 m
2025
79.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
73.1 m
2024
64.1 m
2025
52.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
35.6 m
2024
36.2 m
2025
27.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Research & development
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Nov 2022verified

SG&A
2023
42.0 m
2024
33.8 m
2025
29.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Operating income
2023
-15.0 m
2024
-6.7 m
2025
-28.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
5.0 m
2024
3.0 m
2025
2.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
-10.0 m ≈
2024
-3.7 m ≈
2025
-25.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
520.0 k
2024
557.0 k
2025
26.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-15.2 m
2024
-7.5 m
2025
-28.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Income tax
2023
-2.6 m
2024
975.0 k
2025
2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Net income
2023
-12.6 m
2024
-8.5 m
2025
-30.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.89
2024
-0.60
2025
-2.12

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
14.1 m
2024
14.2 m
2025
14.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
13.1 m
2024
11.1 m
2025
17.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Receivables
2023
26.5 m
2024
22.0 m
2025
19.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Inventories
2023
34.8 m
2024
26.9 m
2025
18.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Current assets
2023
81.2 m
2024
64.7 m
2025
60.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
9.7 m
2024
11.6 m
2025
10.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
27.6 m
2024
21.3 m
2025
908.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
6.1 m
2024
4.0 m
2025
1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Total assets
2023
137.0 m
2024
119.3 m
2025
92.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
10.8 m
2024
5.4 m
2025
7.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.3 m
2024
101.0 k
2025
126.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
10.7 m
2024
290.0 k
2025
294.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
29.7 m
2024
20.2 m
2025
20.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
48.7 m
2024
37.0 m
2025
39.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Equity
2023
88.4 m
2024
82.4 m
2025
53.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-7.7 m
2024
9.8 m
2025
7.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Capex
2023
2.9 m
2024
4.9 m
2025
950.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
-10.6 m ≈
2024
5.0 m ≈
2025
6.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-37.8 m
2024
-2.2 m
2025
-912.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
11.7 m
2024
-10.6 m
2025
270.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Nov 2022verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-21.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-9.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
39.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
46.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
10.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
264.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
5.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
4.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
9.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
847.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
8.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
218.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
105.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
87 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
169 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
73 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
183 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
216.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
54.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
46.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
24.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
3.96
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

12.35 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 216.2 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
216.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
46.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-21.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 2719derived 168

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
5.90
USD per share
Mid
7.53
USD per share
High
8.86
USD per share
Price: 12.35 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -39.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -64.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 5.90 – 8.86 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E5.90 – 8.86 (Mid 7.53)
    6 companies used · median multiple 28.5x · quartiles 22.3x – 33.5x
    ACLS, ACMR, CRCT, ERII, LRCX, SOTK
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality4.9%33 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality218.4%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-9.3%0 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet264.6x100 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet5.4x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation46.7x13 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation4.0%51 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality67/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation29/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

AMTECH SYSTEMS, INC. (ASYS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 79.4 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -21.6%; net margin 4.9%; ROE 4.8%.

The estimated value range is 5.90–8.86 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 7.53 USD, the price of 12.35 USD leaves a potential of -39.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -64.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 218.4%
  • Interest coverage: 264.6x
  • Current ratio: 5.4x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -9.3%
  • P/E (TTM): 46.7x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
46.7x
vertical median 28.5x
above median (+64.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 21.2x
P/S
2.6x
vertical median 3.0x
below median (−12.8%)
P/B
1.9x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−11.9%)
ROE
4.8%
vertical median 9.5%
below median (−49.6%)
Net margin
4.9%
vertical median 11.7%
below median (−58.2%)
EBIT margin
8.1%
vertical median 10.3%
below median (−21.2%)
Revenue YoY
-21.6%
vertical median 2.8%
below median (−881.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.7x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LRCXLam Research Corporation288.2 bn34.470.1%32.3%+26.0%+48% / +222%
ACLSAxcelis Technologies Inc2.8 bn30.98.9%10.7%−17.6%+11% / −26%
VECOVeeco Instruments Inc2.2 bn100.52.6%3.4%−7.4%+23% / +26%
CRCTCricut, Inc.1.9 bn20.925.9%12.7%−0.5%+87% / +29%
AZTAAzenta, Inc.1.7 bn—-7.7%-20.0%+3.6%+10% / −31%
ACMRACM Research, Inc.629.9 m21.010.6%14.5%+15.2%+33% / +167%
ERIIEnergy Recovery, Inc.366.0 m26.08.6%12.7%−6.9%−50% / −62%
ASYSAmtech Systems, Inc.216.2 m46.74.8%4.9%−21.6%+72% / +67%
VELOVelo3D, Inc.181.5 m—-61.5%-89.6%+12.1%+6% / −99%
SOTKSono Tek Corp71.0 m36.010.1%9.3%+2.0%+24% / −10%
TRTTrio-Tech International51.5 m—-0.1%-0.1%+71.6%+16% / +103%
CVVCvd Equipment Corporation26.8 m2.732.7%62.0%−4.1%+10% / −19%
ASMLAsml Holding NV——50.5%29.4%+15.6%+41% / +119%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ASYS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
5.70
Total return -54% · Per year -54%
10.13
Total return -18% · Per year -18%
15.33
Total return 24% · Per year 24%
3 years
4.53
Total return -63% · Per year -28%
9.14
Total return -26% · Per year -10%
15.33
Total return 24% · Per year 7%
5 years
3.60
Total return -71% · Per year -22%
8.25
Total return -33% · Per year -8%
15.33
Total return 24% · Per year 4%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 2.29
  • Net margin± 1.60
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.45
  • Annual dilution± 0.13

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Amtech Systems supplies equipment, consumables and services for semiconductor device packaging and wafer fabrication, with strong demand tied to AI infrastructure. Recent results show revenue recovering in its thermal processing segment while the silicon carbide-related fabrication segment remains weak 123. Quarterly net revenue of [22.4] million USD in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 3 and cash of [83.1] million USD at June 30, 2026 3 frame the current picture.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company claims a leading position in reflow ovens for packaging AI chips and a portfolio covering several stages of semiconductor production 12.
  • The semi-fabless model and the rise in gross margin in the third quarter show an ability to earn operating revenue on a more flexible cost base 13.
  • Significant proceeds from the public offering in June 2026 strengthen the company's financing capacity 3.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue depends on a few customers, and losing a major one would have a significant impact on results 12.
  • The SFS segment has been declining, and demand for silicon carbide-related products remains weak 13.
  • Quarterly results depend on the timing of large system shipments, making revenue and profitability volatile 1.

Opportunities

  • AI-driven demand could continue to support advanced packaging orders, and investment in this area could expand the addressable market 13.
  • Growth in spare parts and services could provide steadier revenue and better margins 13.
  • If new factories in Southeast Asia and Mexico develop, additional demand for equipment and services could emerge 1.

Threats

  • The sharp cyclicality of the semiconductor industry could reduce demand and hurt profitability in downturns 1.
  • Competition from large groups and Chinese local manufacturers could pressure prices and market share 1.
  • Tariffs, trade restrictions and geopolitical tensions could disrupt supply chains and market access 1.

Risks

  • Demand cyclicalityhigh

    Demand for semiconductor equipment fluctuates sharply, and delays in adjusting costs could affect results 1.

  • Dependence on large customershigh

    A small number of customers account for a large share of sales and orders, and losing one could significantly reduce revenue 12.

  • Access to financingmedium

    The company may need additional financing, and new funding terms could dilute shareholders or impose restrictions 1.

  • Contract partner risksmedium

    Reliance on outside manufacturers could affect deliveries if a partner fails to meet commitments or runs into financial difficulty 1.

  • Acquisitions and integrationlow

    The acquisition-based growth strategy could falter if integration fails or unforeseen liabilities emerge 12.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If AI-related demand for advanced packaging continues, the TPS segment could sustain revenue growth, and a book-to-bill ratio above 1 suggests orders are building 3.
  • Rising gross margin and a more flexible cost base could improve profitability if volumes grow 13.
  • Cash raised in the public offering provides a financial buffer that could support investment in new products 3.

What would break the thesis

  • The SFS segment is weakening, and demand for silicon carbide products does not appear to recover quickly, which could limit overall growth 13.
  • Dependence on a few customers and large orders makes revenue hard to predict from quarter to quarter 12.
  • Competition from larger groups and Chinese manufacturers could reduce prices and margins over the long term 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery against the fourth-quarter revenue outlookQ4 2026
  • Development of orders and the book-to-bill ratio in the TPS segmentQ4 2026
  • Stabilization of SFS segment revenue2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Amtech designs, manufactures and sells reflow equipment for advanced semiconductor packaging, conveyor furnaces and diffusion furnaces, plus consumables, cleaning equipment and process chemicals for silicon and silicon carbide wafers 1. The company operates through two reportable segments, Thermal Processing Solutions and Semiconductor Fabrication Solutions, each made up of subsidiaries acquired or founded at different times 1. Its semi-fabless model, in which contract partners manufacture most capital equipment, aims to reduce fixed costs and sensitivity to demand swings 1.

Customers are semiconductor device and module makers, outsourced assembly and test providers and electronics assemblers worldwide 13. Sales are concentrated among a relatively small number of customers, and a few individual customers account for a significant share of backlog 12. Dependence on a few large accounts makes quarterly results sensitive to the timing of large system shipments 1.

The company is therefore in a transition: the advanced packaging business tied to AI is growing while the silicon carbide-related fabrication business declines, and management is seeking to offset this with parts and services 23.

Segments

Thermal Processing Solutions

This segment, which accounted for 73% of fiscal 2025 revenue 1, includes reflow ovens for advanced packaging and electronics assembly, high-temperature belt furnaces and diffusion furnaces for wafers 1. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, TPS revenue rose 24.9% year over year, supported by AI-related demand 3.

Semiconductor Fabrication Solutions

The SFS segment, which accounted for 27% of fiscal 2025 revenue 1, supplies CMP polishing consumables, templates, carriers, wafer cleaning equipment and process chemicals through PR Hoffman, Entrepix and Intersurface Dynamics 1. Revenue fell in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 due to weak demand for products serving silicon carbide wafer production 3.

Market context

The semiconductor market is historically cyclical, and equipment demand depends on capacity utilization and manufacturers' capital budgets 1. Demand for AI infrastructure, advanced packaging and the relocation of factories outside mainland China supports reflow equipment 13.

Weakness in mature-node and silicon carbide segments remains a pressure, and the current contraction is longer than the historical average 13. Geopolitical tensions and tariffs could change market access and supply chains 1.

Trends

  • Demand for AI advanced packagingtailwind

    The company says its reflow systems are the favored choice of outsourced assembly providers packaging AI chips, and AI-related orders have grown strongly 23. If AI infrastructure investment continues, the TPS segment could remain the main growth driver.

  • Factory relocation outside Chinatailwind

    The trend toward more resilient supply chains, with operations moving to Southeast Asia and Mexico, could create new demand for equipment and services 12.

  • Decline in mature nodes and silicon carbideheadwind

    Weak demand for silicon carbide wafers and mature nodes has reduced SFS revenue and pressured prices and inventories 13. If this weakness persists, margin pressure in the segment could continue.

  • Cyclicality of capital investmentmixed

    Equipment orders can swing sharply from quarter to quarter due to industry cycles and the timing of large shipments, making results hard to anticipate 12. This creates a constant risk of volatility.

  • Production through contract partnersmixed

    Moving production to outside partners could lower fixed costs and add flexibility, but it introduces dependence on partners and execution risk 1.

Competitive position

The industry includes large, diversified manufacturers with greater financial and research resources, as well as emerging companies offering lower-priced products for specialized markets 1. Chinese equipment makers, supported locally by customers and government agencies, are also direct competitors with more favorable prices and payment terms 1.

The company stresses that it is relatively small compared with rivals, which could limit its ability to compete across all segments 1. Its differentiation rests on temperature uniformity and flatness technology in reflow products, according to company communications 3.

  • Large diversified semiconductor equipment makers

    The sources describe competitors with greater research, engineering and service resources that can bundle products into commercial packages 1.

  • Emerging specialized equipment makers

    New companies offering some products at lower prices and with innovative technology for niche markets 1.

  • Chinese equipment manufacturers

    Local suppliers that may receive more support from customers and authorities and offer more flexible payment terms 1.

  • Process chemicals and consumables suppliers

    Companies offering similar polishing and cleaning consumables, not named individually in the sources 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / Amtech Systems, Inc. · 10 Dec 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Amtech Systems, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Amtech Systems, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Amtech Systems, Inc. (ASYS): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw