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olivLaw · US equity research

Cricut, Inc. CRCT

Special Industry Machinery, NEC · SIC 3559 · Vertical: Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559)

8.88USD+48.74% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Cricut sells connected cutting machines, accessories, materials and design subscriptions that together form a platform for do-it-yourself creation. The company entered 2026 with falling revenue but rising net income, and its platform and subscriptions are becoming more important to the stability of the business.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Cricut, Inc. (CRCT) stock was 8.88 USD (+48.74% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.9 bn USD, P/E 20.9 on diluted EPS of 0.42 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 10.85%, beta 0.90, 52-week range 3.74–8.88 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 156.3 m USD (−9.2% YoY), net income of 39.1 m USD (+59.5% YoY), diluted EPS 0.19 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.9 bn USD
shares as of 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.9
Diluted EPS TTM 0.42 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.78%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
10.85%
Beta (2y)
0.90
Volatility (1y) 58%
52-week range
3.748.88

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
82.0
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
5.28 – 7.63
above the upper band · %B 1.53 · band width 36.4%
SMA 50 / 200
6.13 / 4.89
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.20 / 0.09
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+37.2%−2.0%+39.2 pp—
3 months+46.3%−2.2%+48.5 pp—
6 months+100.0%+4.3%+95.7 pp—
Year to date+79.4%+10.6%+68.8 pp—
1 year+77.2%+10.5%+66.8 pp+19.4%
3 years+4.6%+73.7%−69.1 pp+8.3%
5 years−68.3%+61.7%−130.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−28.6%
11 Dec 2025 → 31 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−87.5%
09 Nov 2021 → 31 Mar 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−20.5%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
156.3 m USD
−9.2% YoY
Net income
39.1 m USD
+59.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.19
+72.7% YoY
net / operating
25.0% / 30.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue167.9 m209.3 m162.6 m172.1 m170.4 m203.6 m159.5 m156.3 m
Cost of revenue90.5 m115.3 m64.3 m70.6 m76.3 m107.1 m66.8 m39.9 m
Gross profit77.4 m94.0 m98.3 m101.5 m94.1 m96.4 m92.7 m116.4 m
Research & development15.2 m16.0 m15.7 m16.8 m16.9 m17.2 m16.6 m16.9 m
Operating income10.6 m13.9 m29.3 m30.1 m22.7 m13.9 m22.9 m47.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation7.2 m ≈6.7 m6.1 m6.0 m ≈6.1 m ≈6.3 m5.6 m6.1 m ≈
Interest expense84.0 k81.0 k79.0 k81.0 k183.0 k224.0 k80.0 k80.0 k
Pre-tax income14.2 m16.6 m32.6 m33.8 m25.6 m15.8 m25.1 m50.3 m
Income tax2.7 m4.7 m8.7 m9.4 m5.1 m8.0 m4.8 m11.3 m
Net income11.5 m11.9 m23.9 m24.5 m20.5 m7.8 m20.3 m39.1 m
Diluted EPS0.050.06 ≈0.110.110.100.03 ≈0.100.19
Operating cash flow70.2 m ≈103.1 m61.2 m36.2 m ≈20.5 m ≈82.4 m26.9 m50.4 m ≈
Dividends paid108.2 m ≈197.0 k21.5 m0 ≈180.6 m ≈29.0 k21.2 m0 ≈
Share repurchases10.4 m ≈8.0 m12.0 m4.7 m ≈2.4 m ≈5.7 m12.3 m7.5 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 45 percentile of its own 22-quarter history (min 10.3, median 23.0, max 55.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue486.6 m959.0 m1.3 bn886.3 m765.1 m712.5 m708.8 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+97.1%+36.2%−32.1%−13.7%−6.9%−0.5%
Net income39.2 m154.6 m140.5 m60.7 m53.6 m62.8 m76.7 m
Net income YoYunavailable+294.2%−9.1%−56.8%−11.6%+17.1%+22.1%
Diluted EPS0.190.740.640.280.240.290.35
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+289.5%−13.5%−56.3%−14.3%+20.8%+20.7%
net %8.1%16.1%10.8%6.8%7.0%8.8%10.8%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
256.2 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
343.6 m USD
Total assets
580.8 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.26x
ROE
18.9%
ROA
12.0%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
765.1 m
2024
712.5 m
2025
708.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
421.9 m
2024
359.8 m
2025
318.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
343.3 m
2024
352.8 m
2025
390.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
65.0 m
2024
60.4 m
2025
66.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
70.0 m
2024
76.1 m
2025
96.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
30.0 m
2024
29.0 m
2025
24.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
100.0 m ≈
2024
105.1 m ≈
2025
120.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
323.0 k
2024
326.0 k
2025
567.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
79.8 m
2024
88.9 m
2025
107.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
26.1 m
2024
26.0 m
2025
31.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
53.6 m
2024
62.8 m
2025
76.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.24
2024
0.29
2025
0.35

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
219.7 m
2024
215.6 m
2025
217.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
142.2 m
2024
232.1 m
2025
256.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
111.2 m
2024
102.0 m
2025
92.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
277.5 m
2024
134.3 m
2025
113.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
620.0 m
2024
580.2 m
2025
499.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
47.6 m
2024
37.5 m
2025
40.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2024verified

Total assets
2023
750.1 m
2024
693.0 m
2025
580.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
76.9 m
2024
53.4 m
2025
71.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
196.5 m
2024
203.4 m
2025
221.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
215.2 m
2024
226.3 m
2025
237.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
534.9 m †
2024
466.8 m †
2025
343.6 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
288.1 m
2024
265.0 m
2025
200.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-48.8 m
2024
-18.3 m
2025
60.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-322.2 m
2024
-156.4 m
2025
-237.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
294.1 m
2024
110.0 m
2025
202.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
20.3 m
2024
38.5 m
2025
24.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
26.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
22.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
8.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-13.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
20.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-13.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
57.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
19.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
15.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
13.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
27.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
188.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
180.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
137.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
159 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
80 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
120 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
21.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
5.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
7.62
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

8.88 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
5.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 919derived 86

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
11.56
USD per share
Mid
13.84
USD per share
High
15.09
USD per share
Price: 8.88 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 55.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 35.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 11.56 – 15.09 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E11.56 – 15.09 (Mid 13.84)
    6 companies used · median multiple 32.6x · quartiles 27.2x – 35.6x
    ACLS, ACMR, ASYS, ERII, LRCX, SOTK
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality12.7%58 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-7.2%0 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth7.7%51 (on a fixed band)17%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet188.5x100 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.5x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation20.9x88 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns12.3%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth26/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial58/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial88/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Cricut, Inc. (CRCT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 708.8 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -0.5%; net margin 12.7%; ROE 25.9%.

The estimated value range is 11.56–15.09 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 13.84 USD, the price of 8.88 USD leaves a potential of 55.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 35.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Interest coverage: 188.5x
  • Current ratio: 2.5x
  • P/E (TTM): 20.9x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 12.3%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -7.2%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
20.9x
vertical median 32.6x
below median (−35.9%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 21.2x
P/S
2.7x
vertical median 3.0x
below median (−11.2%)
P/B
5.0x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+170.0%)
ROE
25.9%
vertical median 8.7%
above median (+196.6%)
Net margin
12.7%
vertical median 10.0%
above median (+26.9%)
EBIT margin
15.5%
vertical median 9.2%
above median (+69.1%)
Revenue YoY
-0.5%
vertical median 2.8%
below median (−119.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.7x
Dividend yield
10.9%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LRCXLam Research Corporation288.2 bn34.470.1%32.3%+26.0%+48% / +222%
ACLSAxcelis Technologies Inc2.8 bn30.98.9%10.7%−17.6%+11% / −26%
VECOVeeco Instruments Inc2.2 bn100.52.6%3.4%−7.4%+23% / +26%
CRCTCricut, Inc.1.9 bn20.925.9%12.7%−0.5%+77% / +5%
AZTAAzenta, Inc.1.7 bn—-7.7%-20.0%+3.6%+10% / −31%
ACMRACM Research, Inc.629.9 m21.010.6%14.5%+15.2%+33% / +167%
ERIIEnergy Recovery, Inc.366.0 m26.08.6%12.7%−6.9%−50% / −62%
ASYSAmtech Systems, Inc.216.2 m46.74.8%4.9%−21.6%+57% / +60%
VELOVelo3D, Inc.181.5 m—-61.5%-89.6%+12.1%+6% / −99%
SOTKSono Tek Corp71.0 m36.010.1%9.3%+2.0%+24% / −10%
TRTTrio-Tech International51.5 m—-0.1%-0.1%+71.6%+16% / +103%
CVVCvd Equipment Corporation26.8 m2.732.7%62.0%−4.1%+10% / −19%
ASMLAsml Holding NV——50.5%29.4%+15.6%+41% / +119%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CRCT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
4.69
Total return -47% · Per year -47%
8.33
Total return -6% · Per year -6%
12.60
Total return 42% · Per year 42%
3 years
3.72
Total return -58% · Per year -25%
7.51
Total return -15% · Per year -5%
12.60
Total return 42% · Per year 12%
5 years
2.95
Total return -67% · Per year -20%
6.78
Total return -24% · Per year -5%
12.60
Total return 42% · Per year 7%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 1.88
  • Net margin± 1.31
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.19
  • Annual dilution± 0.11

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Cricut sells connected cutting machines, accessories, materials and design subscriptions that together form a platform for do-it-yourself creation. The company entered 2026 with falling revenue but rising net income, and its platform and subscriptions are becoming more important to the stability of the business 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The user community is loyal, and word-of-mouth referrals bring in an important share of new customers.
  • The integrated platform, from idea to finished project, supports repeat purchases of accessories and materials.
  • The company has stayed profitable and generated enough operating cash to fund dividends and share repurchases.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue has declined in recent years, and the Products segment is sensitive to consumer spending and inventory levels.
  • The company relies on three contract manufacturers for connected machines and on limited sources for components.
  • The heavy weight of the fourth-quarter holiday season exposes the company to promotions that reduce gross margin.

Opportunities

  • International expansion and rising online sales could open markets where the company is still underrepresented.
  • AI features in the app could raise user engagement and support subscription sales.
  • Entrepreneurs who sell home-made products form a segment that could sustain demand for materials and machines.

Threats

  • Tariffs and trade restrictions could raise import costs and reduce margins.
  • Cheaper competing products and second-hand machines could reduce sales of new machines and user engagement.
  • A weaker economy and lower consumer confidence could cut budgets for do-it-yourself activities.

Risks

  • Attracting and keeping usershigh

    If the rate of new user additions keeps falling, revenue from the platform and accessories could decline.

  • Dependence on connected machineshigh

    A drop in machine sales would also weigh on platform and accessories revenue, which depends on the use of these machines.

  • Tariffs and supply chainmedium

    Tariffs and reliance on a few manufacturers could lead to higher costs and stock disruptions.

  • Demand forecastingmedium

    Wrong demand estimates could leave excess inventory or lost revenue, affecting margins.

  • Security and intellectual propertylow

    Cyber incidents or intellectual property breaches could damage user trust.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the platform and subscriptions keep growing, the company could maintain steadier revenue even when machine sales decline.
  • The high gross margin reported in Q2 2026 and operating cash flow could give room for investment and for returning capital to shareholders.
  • International expansion and AI features could bring new users, especially if engagement rises.

What would break the thesis

  • If product revenue keeps declining, the company could stay dependent on a Platform segment that grows more slowly.
  • Tariff and shipping pressures could compress margins during promotional periods.
  • If the user base stays flat, revenue per user could become hard to sustain over time.

What to watch

  • Trend in Products revenue and connected machine salesQ3 2026
  • Number of Paid Subscribers and Platform ARPUQ3 2026
  • Effect of supply-chain and tariff costs on gross margin2026
  • Fourth-quarter results, the period with the highest share of salesQ4 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

Cricut, Inc. is a creative platform company that links its connected cutting machines to the Cricut Design Space cloud app, the Cricut Access subscription and a broad range of accessories and materials. The company reported total revenue of 708.8 million USD in fiscal 2025, compared with 712.5 million USD in 2024, and net income of 76.7 million USD 1. Its users, the community of Active Users, numbered nearly 5.9 million as of December 31, 2025 1.

Segments

Platform

The Platform segment includes Cricut Design Space, digital content and the Cricut Access and Cricut Access Premium subscriptions. As of June 30, 2026, the company had 3.1 million Paid Subscribers 2. In Q2 2026, Platform revenue was 85.0 million USD, up over 5% from Q2 2025 3.

Market context

The company describes its market through trends such as personalization and the digitization of creative tools, including generative AI, and about 23% of its users make projects to sell 1. Sales run through retailers such as Amazon, Best Buy, Costco, Target and Walmart as well as Cricut.com, and 69% of 2025 revenue came from online channels 1.

Trends

  • Personalization and digital creationtailwind

    Buyers increasingly want personalized items, and AI tools lower the barrier to design. This could support user numbers and content sales if the platform stays attractive.

  • Consumer demand under pressureheadwind

    The company flags slowing user additions and possibly flat or falling subscribers, amid weaker economic conditions and heightened price sensitivity.

  • Tariffs and supply costsmixed

    Tariffs have raised costs, and supply-chain pressures linked to the Middle East conflict could raise fuel and petrochemical input costs. Tariff refunds approved in Q2 2026 partly offset this effect.

  • Shift to online channelsmixed

    The online share of sales rose from 62% in 2023 to 69% in 2025, which may reduce reliance on physical retailers but requires continued digital marketing spend.

Competitive position

Cricut competes with other cutting and crafting products, but its edge comes from an integrated ecosystem of machines, software and materials. The company names competition as a risk in both its Platform and Products segments, and rival products may be sold at lower prices.

  • Retailers and third-party marketplaces

    Amazon, Walmart, Target and other retailers sell Cricut products and can influence their price and visibility in the market.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 25 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report03 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report27 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report04 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Jun 2026
    Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 May 2026
  • Current report05 May 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement21 Apr 2026
  • Annual report04 Mar 2026
  • Current report03 Mar 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Cricut, Inc. · 04 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Cricut, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cricut, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Cricut, Inc. (CRCT): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw