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olivLaw · US equity research

Atkore Inc. ATKR

Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies · SIC 3690 · Vertical: Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690)

94.96USD+0.04% · 1 dayClose 16 Oct 2026

Atkore manufactures electrical products (conduit, cable, accessories) and safety and infrastructure solutions, holding #1 or #2 U.S. positions in many products. The company is subject to an agreed acquisition by Prysmian, which changes the outlook for investors; net sales were 2,850.4 million USD in fiscal 2025.

At the close of 16 Oct 2026, Atkore Inc. (ATKR) stock was 94.96 USD (+0.04% on the day), with beta 1.49, 52-week range 55.30–94.96 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 794.8 m USD (+8.1% YoY), net income of 745.0 k USD (−98.3% YoY), diluted EPS 0.02 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -4.84 · TTM to 26 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-5.09%
TTM to 26 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.49
Volatility (1y) 44%
52-week range
55.3094.96

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
72.5
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
94.34 – 95.07
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.85 · band width 0.8%
SMA 50 / 200
94.15 / 76.60
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.58 / 0.75
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+0.5%−1.1%+1.6 pp—
3 months+29.3%−0.5%+29.8 pp—
6 months+37.4%+4.4%+33.0 pp—
Year to date+50.1%+12.3%+37.8 pp—
1 year+43.0%+13.5%+29.5 pp−60.2%
3 years−31.7%+76.4%−108.1 pp−50.2%
5 years+8.1%+63.7%−55.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−24.8%
22 Jan 2026 → 18 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−73.1%
01 Apr 2024 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+1.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 26 Jun 2026

Revenue
794.8 m USD
+8.1% YoY
Net income
745.0 k USD
−98.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.02
−98.4% YoY
net / operating
0.1% / 8.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue788.3 m661.6 m701.7 m735.0 m752.0 m655.5 m731.4 m794.8 m
Cost of revenue572.2 m490.5 m516.6 m563.0 m604.2 m529.6 m595.3 m618.5 m
Gross profit216.1 m171.1 m185.1 m172.1 m147.8 m125.9 m136.1 m176.3 m
SG&A100.4 m91.5 m99.0 m98.1 m108.0 m99.6 m107.9 m108.7 m
Operating income102.1 m67.9 m-51.8 m63.8 m-56.8 m20.1 m10.4 m64.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation32.6 m29.3 m29.2 m29.0 m36.9 m36.1 m33.3 m23.2 m
Pre-tax income91.9 m58.6 m-66.5 m55.1 m-65.8 m15.5 m-158.7 m-5.6 m
Income tax18.8 m12.3 m-16.5 m12.1 m-11.4 m465.0 k-34.7 m-6.3 m
Net income73.1 m46.3 m-50.1 m43.0 m-54.4 m15.0 m-124.1 m745.0 k
Diluted EPS2.05 ≈1.31-1.461.25-1.65 ≈0.44-3.650.02
Operating cash flow199.1 m74.4 m86.6 m ≈31.4 m ≈210.4 m-55.5 m28.3 m ≈-63.1 m ≈
Capex44.8 m41.3 m22.3 m ≈21.3 m ≈22.2 m11.8 m14.5 m ≈14.2 m ≈
Dividends paid11.2 m11.1 m10.9 m ≈11.1 m ≈11.1 m11.1 m11.1 m ≈11.1 m ≈
Share repurchases100.0 m50.0 m50.0 m ≈0 ≈000 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.8 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn2.9 bn3.9 bn3.5 bn3.2 bn2.9 bn
Revenue YoY+22.0%+4.4%−7.9%+65.9%+33.7%−10.1%−9.0%−11.0%
Net income136.6 m139.1 m152.3 m587.9 m913.4 m689.9 m472.9 m-15.2 m
Net income YoY+61.4%+1.8%+9.5%+286.0%+55.4%−24.5%−31.5%−103.2%
Diluted EPS2.482.833.1012.1920.3017.2712.69-0.45
Diluted EPS YoY+95.3%+14.1%+9.5%+293.2%+66.5%−14.9%−26.5%−103.5%
net %7.4%7.3%8.6%20.1%23.3%19.6%14.8%-0.5%
Free cash flow107.2 m174.8 m215.0 m508.4 m651.1 m588.7 m399.2 m295.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025

Cash
506.7 m USD
Financial debt
760.5 m USD
Net debt
253.8 m USD
Equity
1.4 bn USD
Total assets
2.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.54x
Current ratio
3.05x
ROE
-1.0%
ROA
-0.5%
FCF margin
10.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.5 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
676.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

SG&A
2023
388.2 m
2024
397.5 m
2025
396.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Operating income
2023
893.5 m
2024
624.8 m
2025
23.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
115.5 m
2024
121.0 m
2025
124.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
1.0 bn ≈
2024
745.8 m ≈
2025
147.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025derived

Pre-tax income
2023
850.3 m
2024
587.2 m
2025
-18.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
160.4 m
2024
114.4 m
2025
-3.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
689.9 m
2024
472.9 m
2025
-15.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
17.27
2024
12.69
2025
-0.45

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
39.3 m
2024
36.8 m
2025
34.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
388.1 m
2024
351.4 m
2025
506.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Receivables
2023
559.9 m
2024
489.9 m
2025
447.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Inventories
2023
493.9 m
2024
524.7 m
2025
484.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Current assets
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
559.0 m
2024
652.1 m
2025
594.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
311.1 m
2024
314.0 m
2025
294.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
394.4 m
2024
340.4 m
2025
160.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
2.9 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
292.7 m
2024
262.2 m
2025
241.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
3.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
762.7 m
2024
764.8 m
2025
756.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
564.6 m
2024
510.9 m
2025
524.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
1.5 bn †
2024
1.5 bn †
2025
1.4 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
807.6 m
2024
549.0 m
2025
402.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
218.9 m
2024
149.9 m
2025
107.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
588.7 m ≈
2024
399.2 m ≈
2025
295.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-302.2 m
2024
-154.3 m
2025
-85.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-506.8 m
2024
-435.3 m
2025
-160.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
0
2024
34.5 m
2025
44.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
491.0 m
2024
381.0 m
2025
100.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-11.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-10.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-96.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-103.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-103.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-25.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
20.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Net margin
-5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
FCF margin
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
ROA
-5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
ROIC
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
ROCE
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
77.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
414.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
120.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
62.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
57.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
71.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
70 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
35 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
input data missing
Earnings yield
unavailable
input data missing
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 27 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

94.96 USD

16 Oct 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

The price is older than the freshness threshold; market indicators are unavailable.

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
input data missing
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Net margin
-5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-11.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Aug 2026
verified 1812derived 137

Score by group

  • Balance sheet60
  • Growth8
  • Quality29

Estimated value range

Low
45.86
USD per share
Mid
83.61
USD per share
High
151.76
USD per share
Price: unavailable
Potential to the central value: unavailable (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: unavailable (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 33.47 – 232.90 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Sales58.25 – 232.90 (Mid 126.10)
    15 companies used · median multiple 1.6x · quartiles 0.8x – 2.8x
    CHPT, DFLI, ELVA, ENR, ENS, EOSE, EPOW, GAUZ, MVST, NOVT, NRGV, SPB, UCAR, ULBI, XPON
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA33.47 – 70.62 (Mid 41.11)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.8x · quartiles 9.2x – 16.7x
    ENS, NOVT, NVX, SPB
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 27/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality20.0%0 (on a fixed band)16%
EBIT margin · Quality1.3%85 (vs peers)13%
FCF margin · Quality2.0%8 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-10.0%0 (on a fixed band)26%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth-11.0%25 (vs peers)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.5x20 (vs peers)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.7x100 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet60/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth8/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality29/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Atkore Inc. (ATKR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -11.0%; net margin -5.5%; ROE -11.9%; net debt/EBITDA 2.5x.

The estimated value range is 45.86–151.76 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 27/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns, valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EBIT margin: 1.3%
  • Current ratio: 2.7x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 20.0%
  • FCF margin: 2.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -10.0%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): -11.0%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 2.5x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EV/Sales, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 38 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 21.3x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 10.8x
P/S
—
vertical median 1.4x
P/B
—
vertical median 1.7x
ROE
-11.9%
vertical median -62.0%
above median
Net margin
-5.5%
vertical median -52.2%
above median
EBIT margin
1.3%
vertical median -42.4%
above median
Revenue YoY
-11.0%
vertical median 9.0%
below median (−222.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.5x
vertical median 0.8x
above median (+196.4%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ENSEnerSys5.6 bn16.718.4%9.3%+3.7%+9% / +76%
NOVTNovanta Inc.5.5 bn92.85.1%6.0%+3.3%+28% / +1%
ATKRAtkore Inc.3.2 bn—-11.9%-5.5%−11.0%+43% / −32%
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn28.04.2%2.8%−5.2%+54% / +32%
NVXNOVONIX Ltd1.9 bn—-62.0%-1,650.8%−4.1%−81% / −88%
ENREnergizer Holdings, Inc.1.7 bn21.342.2%2.7%+2.3%+38% / −18%
AMPXAmprius Technologies, Inc.1.2 bn—-36.1%-33.4%+202.1%−25% / +106%
EMATEvolution Metals & Technologies Corp.1.2 bn———unavailableunavailable / unavailable
EOSEEos Energy Enterprises, Inc.779.3 m——-246.8%+631.8%−86% / +95%
ENVXEnovix Corporation612.3 m—-82.2%-473.9%+37.9%−64% / −75%
NRGVEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc.578.2 m—-225.9%-48.6%+340.9%−8% / +38%
SLDPSolid Power, Inc.515.7 m—-20.5%-1,152.2%+8.0%−57% / +60%
FLNCFluence Energy, Inc.312.1 m—-20.7%-3.1%−16.1%−69% / −76%
CHPTChargePoint Holdings, Inc.306.4 m—-1,015.1%-40.6%−1.4%+39% / −69%
SESSES AI Corporation286.4 m—-31.2%-289.6%+929.4%−60% / −63%
ULBIEnerSys260.3 m1.4-4.8%-3.5%+16.2%+175% / +109%
MVSTMicrovast Holdings, Inc.255.7 m—11.4%13.9%+12.6%−81% / −43%
ELVAElectrovaya Inc.173.4 m—-673.8%-3.4%+170.8%+7% / +94%
ELPWElong Power Holding Ltd.145.7 m——-271.3%+430.7%−100% / −100%
NEOVNeoVolta, Inc.134.6 m—-101.1%-161.0%+58.2%−44% / +28%
GAUZGauzy Ltd.127.5 m——-51.4%+32.8%−86% / unavailable
BYRNByrna Technologies Inc.97.4 m—-14.9%-9.2%+37.7%−77% / −29%
EPOWE-Power Inc.88.8 m——-35.8%−28.6%−88% / −87%
BLNKBlink Charging Co.65.4 m—-79.9%-52.2%−18.0%−66% / −86%
STISolidion Technology, Inc.37.8 m—-1,382.4%-23,852.8%unavailable−59% / −99%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ATKR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Atkore manufactures electrical products (conduit, cable, accessories) and safety and infrastructure solutions, holding #1 or #2 U.S. positions in many products. The company is subject to an agreed acquisition by Prysmian, which changes the outlook for investors; net sales were 2,850.4 million USD in fiscal 2025 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading positions in several products in the U.S. market, a national distribution network and strong brands 1.
  • Broad product range and short order cycle times that serve distributors and contractors well 1.
  • Proprietary manufacturing technology, such as in-line galvanizing, that lowers production costs 1.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy reliance on U.S. non-residential construction and on a single major customer in sales 1.
  • Sales are generally made on a spot basis, so lower raw material prices pass quickly into revenue 1.
  • Quarterly results were hit by litigation charges and transaction-related costs 2.

Opportunities

  • Demand from data centers, solar and electrification could expand sales 1.
  • Infrastructure and security product sales could grow if public investment accelerates 1.
  • Plant consolidation and divestitures could improve margins over the medium term 1.

Threats

  • Volatility in steel, copper and resins can cut margins if costs cannot be passed to customers 1.
  • Imports and tariffs can pressure prices and volumes for U.S.-made products 12.
  • PVC antitrust litigation and possible delays in regulatory approvals could affect results 2.

Risks

  • PVC antitrust litigationhigh

    The company has settled one of the putative classes, and other proceedings could add further expenses.

  • Completion of the transactionhigh

    Closing depends on stockholder approval, HSR clearance and other regulatory approvals, and failure could affect the share price.

  • Raw material costsmedium

    Swings in steel, copper and resin prices could compress margins when selling prices lag costs.

  • Non-residential construction cyclemedium

    A pullback in construction investment could reduce demand and pricing for the company's products.

  • Cybersecuritylow

    Attacks on IT systems could disrupt manufacturing, shipments and financial reporting.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Leading positions in many U.S. products and an extensive distribution network could support sales over the long term.
  • Volume growth in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 suggests underlying demand remains firm 2.
  • The merger provides all-cash consideration, giving shareholders a defined value if the transaction closes.

What would break the thesis

  • Margins were compressed as input costs rose faster than average selling prices 2.
  • Litigation and transaction costs substantially reduced net income in the recent quarter 23.
  • If the Prysmian transaction fails, the company could still face the same structural pressures without the acquisition premium.

What to watch

  • Closing of the Prysmian transaction and regulatory approvals2027
  • Evolution of Adjusted EBITDA margins in the Electrical segmentQ4 2026
  • Effect of tariffs on input costs and selling prices2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Atkore Inc. is a leading manufacturer of electrical products for non-residential construction and renovation and residential markets, and of safety and infrastructure solutions for construction and industrial markets 1. The Electrical segment supplies conduit, cable and accessories through the electrical distribution channel, while the Safety & Infrastructure segment produces metal framing, mechanical tube, perimeter security and cable management 1. Sales to U.S. customers represent about 88% of net sales 1.

Segments

Safety & Infrastructure

The Safety & Infrastructure segment produces metal framing, mechanical pipe, perimeter security and cable management for critical infrastructure 1. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 sales edged up, while Adjusted EBITDA margin fell as input costs outpaced average selling price increases 3.

Market context

Demand depends heavily on U.S. non-residential construction, which is cyclical and sensitive to credit and interest rates 1. Maintenance, repair and remodel activity can help stabilize revenue when new construction slows 1. Uncertainty from tariffs and trade policy has increased, according to recent filings 2.

Trends

  • Electrification and data centerstailwind

    Demand for renewable power, building electrification and data centers could support sales of Atkore products 1.

  • Raw material pricesheadwind

    Steel, copper and PVC and HDPE resins are volatile, and the company generally sells on a spot basis, which could compress margins if input costs rise faster than selling prices 1.

  • Trade policy and tariffsmixed

    Tariffs and trade policy changes can raise import costs and affect pricing, with mixed effects on competitiveness 12.

  • Prysmian transactionmixed

    The all-cash merger agreement brings uncertainty around regulatory approvals and closing conditions 2.

Competitive position

Competition varies by product line, from national manufacturers to smaller regional producers, and some rivals have greater financial resources 1. Competition is based on product offering, innovation, quality, service and price 1.

  • Zekelman Industries

    Main competitor in conduit and tube lines and in the Safety & Infrastructure segment, per the filing 1.

  • Prysmian

    Competitor in the Electrical segment and the proposed acquirer under the merger agreement 12.

  • Hubbell IncorporatedHUBB

    Competitor in the Safety & Infrastructure segment, named in the annual report 1.

  • Eaton Corporation plc

    Listed among the main competitors for the Safety & Infrastructure segment 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 03 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 19 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report19 Oct 2026
    Termination of a material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Delisting notice · Item 3.03 · Item 5.01 · Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report07 Oct 2026
    Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report15 Sept 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report04 Aug 2026
  • Current report03 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report03 Aug 2026
    Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 May 2026
  • Current report05 May 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / Atkore Inc. · 26 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-26 · SEC / Atkore Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Atkore Inc. · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.