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olivLaw · US equity research

NeoVolta Inc. NEOV

Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies · SIC 3690 · Vertical: Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690)

2.28USD+9.62% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

NeoVolta Inc. makes energy storage systems and is moving from a residential maker to an integrated platform spanning residential, commercial and industrial, and utility markets. Fiscal 2026 revenue grew 58%, but losses remain large, and the Georgia plant could change the company's profile if it reaches planned production.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) stock was 2.28 USD (+9.62% on the day), with market capitalisation 134.6 m USD, beta 1.94, 52-week range 1.60–5.80 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2026): revenue of 13.5 k USD (−99.7% YoY), net income of -11.7 m USD, diluted EPS -0.24 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
134.6 m USD
shares as of 23 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.55 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-24.12%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.94
Volatility (1y) 139%
52-week range
1.605.80

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
46.5
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.90 – 2.61
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.54 · band width 31.5%
SMA 50 / 200
2.85 / 2.99
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.18 / -0.20
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−23.0%−1.1%−21.9 pp—
3 months−20.6%−0.5%−20.1 pp—
6 months−9.2%+4.4%−13.6 pp—
Year to date−25.0%+12.3%−37.3 pp—
1 year−42.7%+13.5%−56.3 pp−60.2%
3 years+5.1%+76.4%−71.3 pp−50.2%
5 years−67.0%+63.7%−130.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−72.4%
22 Jan 2026 → 18 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−90.4%
06 Jan 2022 → 14 Mar 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
−19.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
13.5 k USD
−99.7% YoY
Net income
-11.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.24
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-86,628.4% / -75,670.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26
Revenue590.2 k1.1 m2.0 m4.8 m6.7 m4.6 m2.0 m13.5 k
Cost of revenue497.4 k747.7 k1.5 m4.2 m5.1 m3.9 m1.1 m1.2 m
Gross profit92.8 k323.9 k514.5 k575.4 k1.6 m772.5 k927.8 k-1.1 m
Research & development8.6 k42.3 k27.9 k78.4 k56.9 k58.8 k403.9 k1.0 m
Operating income-965.9 k-946.9 k-1.4 m-1.4 m-854.3 k-4.5 m-2.6 m-10.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation—000—108.3 k128.5 k171.3 k
Interest expense-1.4 k-33978.5 k217.4 k-140-42551.8 k22.1 k
Net income-964.5 k-971.1 k-1.4 m-1.6 m-1.2 m-5.5 m-3.0 m-11.7 m
Diluted EPS-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.05 ≈-0.04-0.16-0.08-0.24 ≈
Operating cash flow-593.0 k-858.3 k ≈-2.1 m ≈-924.2 k-2.5 m-2.1 m ≈-3.6 m ≈-7.0 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202120222023202420252026
Revenue4.8 m4.5 m3.5 m2.6 m8.4 m13.3 m
Revenue YoYunavailable−7.3%−22.7%−23.5%+218.6%+58.2%
Net income-7.6 m-5.8 m-2.6 m-2.3 m-5.0 m-21.5 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.43-0.28-0.08-0.07-0.15-0.55
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-158.5%-129.8%-76.4%-87.1%-59.7%-161.0%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
22.2 m USD
Financial debt
1.1 m USD
Net debt
-21.1 m USD
Equity
39.6 m USD
Total assets
53.6 m USD
Debt / equity
0.03x
Current ratio
4.92x
ROE
-101.1%
ROA
-71.0%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
2.6 m
2025
8.4 m
2026
13.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
2.1 m
2025
6.9 m
2026
11.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
510.3 k
2025
1.5 m
2026
2.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Research & development
2024
19.2 k
2025
157.3 k
2026
1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-2.3 m
2025
-4.7 m
2026
-18.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
—
2025
0
2026
411.6 k

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
—
2025
-4.7 m ≈
2026
-17.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
0
2025
320.4 k
2026
667.7 k

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Income tax
2024
0
2025
0
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Net income
2024
-2.3 m
2025
-5.0 m
2026
-21.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-0.07
2025
-0.15
2026
-0.55

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
33.2 m
2025
33.6 m
2026
39.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
986.4 k
2025
794.8 k
2026
22.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Receivables
2024
1.8 m
2025
3.0 m
2026
2.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Inventories
2024
1.8 m
2025
2.1 m
2026
2.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Current assets
2024
4.7 m
2025
6.7 m
2026
32.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
—
2025
0
2026
9.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
—
2025
0
2026
1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Total assets
2024
4.7 m
2025
6.8 m
2026
53.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
5.3 k
2025
689.2 k
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Sept 2025verified

Short-term debt
2024
0
2025
2.6 m
2026
1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Sept 2022verified

Current liabilities
2024
61.1 k
2025
3.5 m
2026
6.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
61.1 k
2025
3.9 m
2026
14.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Equity
2024
4.6 m †
2025
2.9 m †
2026
39.6 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
-1.0 m
2025
-4.4 m
2026
-15.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2024
—
2025
0
2026
-8.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
0
2025
4.2 m
2026
48.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Sept 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
58.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
56.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
22.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
16.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
-133.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBIT margin
-136.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
-161.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-101.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-71.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-131.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-38.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-21.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-27.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
3.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-15.2 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
81 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
134.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
113.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-24.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
3.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
10.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
8.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 53 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.28 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 134.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
134.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
3.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-101.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-161.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
58.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 23 Sept 2026
verified 607derived 49

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Growth93
  • Valuation19
  • Quality13

Estimated value range

Low
0.55
USD per share
Mid
0.71
USD per share
High
0.95
USD per share
Price: 2.28 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -68.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -222.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.55 – 0.95 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Sales0.55 – 0.95 (Mid 0.71)
    16 companies used · median multiple 1.6x · quartiles 0.8x – 2.6x
    ATKR, CHPT, DFLI, ELVA, ENR, ENS, EOSE, EPOW, GAUZ, MVST, NOVT, NRGV, SPB, UCAR, ULBI, XPON
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 53/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality16.0%0 (on a fixed band)16%
EBIT margin · Quality-136.1%29 (vs peers)13%
FCF margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth56.8%100 (on a fixed band)25%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth58.2%78 (vs peers)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.9x100 (on a fixed band)9%
EV/Sales · Valuation8.5x19 (vs peers)25%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth93/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality13/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial19/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

NeoVolta, Inc. (NEOV). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 13.3 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 58.2%; net margin -161.0%; ROE -101.1%.

The estimated value range is 0.55–0.95 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 0.71 USD, the price of 2.28 USD leaves a potential of -68.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -222.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 53/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance, returns, valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 56.8%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 58.2%
  • Current ratio: 4.9x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 16.0%
  • EBIT margin: -136.1%
  • EV/Sales: 8.5x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF margin, Net debt / EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 38 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 21.3x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.5x
P/S
10.1x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+704.7%)
P/B
3.4x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+98.8%)
ROE
-101.1%
vertical median -36.1%
below median
Net margin
-161.0%
vertical median -51.4%
below median
EBIT margin
-136.1%
vertical median -41.2%
below median
Revenue YoY
58.2%
vertical median 5.8%
above median (+896.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ENSEnerSys5.6 bn16.718.4%9.3%+3.7%+9% / +76%
NOVTNovanta Inc.5.5 bn92.85.1%6.0%+3.3%+28% / +1%
ATKRAtkore Inc.3.2 bn—-11.9%-5.5%−11.0%+37% / −24%
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn28.04.2%2.8%−5.2%+54% / +32%
NVXNOVONIX Ltd1.9 bn—-62.0%-1,650.8%−4.1%−81% / −88%
ENREnergizer Holdings, Inc.1.7 bn21.342.2%2.7%+2.3%+38% / −18%
AMPXAmprius Technologies, Inc.1.2 bn—-36.1%-33.4%+202.1%−25% / +106%
EMATEvolution Metals & Technologies Corp.1.2 bn———unavailableunavailable / unavailable
EOSEEos Energy Enterprises, Inc.779.3 m——-246.8%+631.8%−86% / +95%
ENVXEnovix Corporation612.3 m—-82.2%-473.9%+37.9%−64% / −75%
NRGVEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc.578.2 m—-225.9%-48.6%+340.9%−8% / +38%
SLDPSolid Power, Inc.515.7 m—-20.5%-1,152.2%+8.0%−57% / +60%
FLNCFluence Energy, Inc.312.1 m—-20.7%-3.1%−16.1%−69% / −76%
CHPTChargePoint Holdings, Inc.306.4 m—-1,015.1%-40.6%−1.4%+39% / −69%
SESSES AI Corporation286.4 m—-31.2%-289.6%+929.4%−60% / −63%
ULBIEnerSys260.3 m1.4-4.8%-3.5%+16.2%+175% / +109%
MVSTMicrovast Holdings, Inc.255.7 m—11.4%13.9%+12.6%−81% / −43%
ELVAElectrovaya Inc.173.4 m—-673.8%-3.4%+170.8%+7% / +94%
ELPWElong Power Holding Ltd.145.7 m——-271.3%+430.7%−100% / −100%
NEOVNeoVolta, Inc.134.6 m—-101.1%-161.0%+58.2%−43% / +5%
GAUZGauzy Ltd.127.5 m——-51.4%+32.8%−86% / unavailable
BYRNByrna Technologies Inc.97.4 m—-14.9%-9.2%+37.7%−77% / −29%
EPOWE-Power Inc.88.8 m——-35.8%−28.6%−88% / −87%
BLNKBlink Charging Co.65.4 m—-79.9%-52.2%−18.0%−66% / −86%
STISolidion Technology, Inc.37.8 m—-1,382.4%-23,852.8%unavailable−59% / −99%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NEOV from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 23 Sept 2026; since then the company filed 10-K/A (28 Oct 2026).

    In brief

    NeoVolta Inc. makes energy storage systems and is moving from a residential maker to an integrated platform spanning residential, commercial and industrial, and utility markets. Fiscal 2026 revenue grew 58%, but losses remain large, and the Georgia plant could change the company's profile if it reaches planned production.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A safety-certified product range with LFP chemistry and fast availability for independent installers.
    • Cooperation agreements with a Korean cell maker that support the plan for U.S. production.
    • A commercial pipeline that includes a letter of intent for utility and data-centre projects.

    Weaknesses

    • Repeated net losses and a short revenue history, with no proven profitability.
    • Reliance on a few single-source suppliers for cells and inverters, with delay risk.
    • Negative operating cash flow, with the company depending on share issuance and borrowing.

    Opportunities

    • If the Georgia plant enters production, the company could deliver at utility and C&I scale.
    • The TPO model could open a new market for residential products.
    • Data-centre demand could support long-term contracts.

    Threats

    • Tax and legislative changes could reduce residential demand for a long period.
    • Larger competitors have superior resources and could cut prices.
    • Eligibility for tax credits depends on complex and changing foreign-sourcing rules.

    Risks

    • Funding continuityhigh

      The company could need extra capital if the Georgia production is delayed or if sales do not rise. The recent secured loan involves high monthly repayments.

    • Plant executionhigh

      Commissioning and production ramp at the Georgia plant are still under way, and delays could affect the whole plan.

    • Supplier dependencemedium

      Some suppliers are sole-source, and a disruption could delay deliveries and require recertification.

    • Tax and tariff policymedium

      Changes to tax credits and import tariffs could substantially alter project economics.

    • Dilution riskmedium

      If the company cannot meet its contributions, the partner could admit new members, reducing the company's majority stake.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the Georgia plant reaches production on time and the SK On agreement turns into firm orders, the company could become a relevant supplier of utility-scale storage.
    • Rising energy demand from data centres and industry could support a pipeline of orders larger than historical sales.
    • Safety certifications and support for U.S. production could give an advantage over competitors that rely on imports.

    What would break the thesis

    • Net losses and negative cash flow could force the company into new share issuance or borrowing on difficult terms.
    • Residential sales fell sharply, and if the recovery is delayed, revenue could stay below expectations.
    • The SK On and IGC arrangements are not firm commitments, so volume estimates may not materialise.

    What to watch

    • Completion of commissioning and start of production ramp at PendergrassQ2 2027
    • Conversion of utility and C&I pipeline into firm orders2027
    • Residential sales trend through the TPO modelQ1 2027
    • Funding position and repayments under the secured loannext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 23 Sept 2026; since then the company filed 10-K/A (28 Oct 2026).

    The business

    NeoVolta was founded in 2018 as a maker of storage systems for homes and small commercial customers and now aims for a three-market platform: residential, commercial and industrial (C&I), and utilities. Fiscal 2026 revenue was 13.3 million USD 2, but residential sales fell sharply in 2026 because of federal tax changes. The company's future rests on NeoVolta Power, LLC, a joint venture with a Georgia plant in Pendergrass.

    The company launched NeoVolta Power, LLC in January 2026, in which it holds 80%, to produce utility-scale batteries with initial capacity of 2 GWh per year, expandable to 8 GWh 1. Total funding to the joint venture is estimated at about 40 million USD through June 30, 2027 1.

    In August 2026, an agreement with SK On provides for supply of 9 GWh of U.S.-made LFP cells from 2027 to 2031 2. The company says support for a second production line could take site capacity toward 8 GWh in 2028, but this depends on execution.

    Segments

    Residential

    The legacy line, with the NV14, NV24, NVPlus and NV7600 inverter, sold through solar installers. Sales fell after federal tax changes, and the company is working on a third-party ownership (TPO) model.

    Commercial and industrial

    A new segment focused on demand-charge management and backup power for businesses and developers. The pipeline includes a non-binding letter of intent with Infinite Grid Capital 2.

    Utility-scale

    The segment is built around the Georgia plant, which could serve utility and data-centre projects, but so far it has only non-binding orders and an execution timeline that is still uncertain.

    Market context

    The company estimates the addressable U.S. market across its three areas at about 45 billion USD by 2030 1. The utility-scale storage market is estimated at 20 billion USD by 2030 1, and residential at 15 billion USD 1.

    Trends

    • Federal tax changesheadwind

      Changes under the OBBBA sharply reduced demand for residential products sold through installers, and sales have fallen since early 2026. If the TPO model proves effective, the negative impact could be limited.

    • Rising grid demandtailwind

      The company cites projections of rising electricity use from data centres and electric vehicles, which could support demand for large-scale storage.

    • Incentives for U.S. productionmixed

      The Georgia plant is designed to qualify for the advanced manufacturing credit (section 45X), but eligibility depends on strict foreign-sourcing rules.

    • Tariffs on Chinese importsheadwind

      Batteries and inverters are imported from China. Tariffs rose from April 2025, and the company has stockpiled inventory, but an unfavourable development could reduce margins.

    Competitive position

    The company competes with established players including Tesla, LG Chem, Sonnen, Enphase, SunPower, Sunrun and Fluence 1. Many of these firms have far greater financial resources and manufacturing capacity.

    NeoVolta points to advantages in product availability, installer service and safety certification, but in utility-scale the competition is more intense and price pressure could rise.

    • TeslaTSLA

      A large storage player with far greater resources and brand recognition, named as a competitor in the company's filing.

    • Enphase EnergyENPH

      A supplier of inverters and solar systems competing in residential, with established distribution channels.

    • SunrunRUN

      A provider of solar and storage through third-party financing, with a strong position in the models the company is pursuing.

    • FluenceFLNC

      A competitor in utility-scale storage with experience in large projects, named in the company's filing.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 31 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    • Current report30 Oct 2026
      Amendments to articles or bylaws · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Annual report23 Sept 2026
    • Current report23 Sept 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report04 Sept 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report29 May 2026
      Material agreement · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report15 May 2026
    • Current report14 May 2026
      Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report21 Apr 2026
      Material agreement · Item 3.02 · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report27 Mar 2026
      Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / NeoVolta Inc. · 23 Sept 2026
    2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / NeoVolta Inc. · 23 Sept 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.