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olivLaw · US equity research

Canaan Inc. CAN

Finance Services · SIC 6199 · Vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

0.21USD+2.94% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Canaan Inc. designs ASIC chips and sells Bitcoin mining machines under the AvalonMiner brand, and in 2025 extended its offer to home users through the Avalon Home line. The company matters now because its revenue depends directly on the profitability of Bitcoin mining, which has fluctuated sharply, and because it has shifted away from the Chinese market. Revenue from mining machines and parts reached 412.6 million USD in 2025.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Canaan Inc. (CAN) stock was 0.21 USD (+2.94% on the day), with market capitalisation 954.7 m USD, beta 3.07, 52-week range 0.17–1.29 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
954.7 m USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2024
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -2.99 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
-1,445.14%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
3.07
Volatility (1y) 109%
52-week range
0.171.29

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
33.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
0.17 – 0.30
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.26 · band width 52.4%
SMA 50 / 200
0.31 / 0.39
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.03 / -0.03
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−37.9%−2.0%−35.9 pp—
3 months+5.0%−2.2%+7.2 pp—
6 months−62.7%+4.3%−66.9 pp—
Year to date−70.0%+10.6%−80.6 pp—
1 year−81.4%+10.5%−91.8 pp−47.5%
3 years−88.9%+73.7%−162.6 pp−48.3%
5 years−97.6%+61.7%−159.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−86.8%
05 Nov 2025 → 31 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−98.4%
16 Nov 2021 → 31 Jul 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−52.7%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year201820192020⚠ 20212022202320242025
Revenueunavailable204.3 m68.6 m772.8 m651.5 m211.5 m269.3 m529.7 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable−66.4%—−15.7%−67.5%+27.4%+96.7%
Net incomeunavailable-148.6 m-33.0 m309.1 m69.9 m-414.2 m-249.8 m-210.3 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—−77.4%−692.6%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-6.90-1.4112.002.71-16.06-6.13-2.99
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—−77.4%−692.6%unavailableunavailable
net %unavailable-72.7%-48.0%40.0%10.7%-195.8%-92.7%-39.7%
Free cash flowunavailable-41.4 m6.1 m196.6 m-200.3 m-126.9 m-218.6 m-295.8 m

The series breaks before 2021: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
80.8 m USD
Financial debt
52.2 m USD
Net debt
-28.5 m USD
Equity
437.4 m USD
Total assets
602.9 m USD
Debt / equity
0.12x
Current ratio
3.31x
ROE
-59.8%
ROA
-39.5%
FCF margin
-55.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
211.5 m
2024
269.3 m
2025
529.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
452.3 m
2024
353.6 m
2025
488.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
-240.8 m
2024
-84.3 m
2025
41.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Research & development
2023
64.8 m
2024
61.3 m
2025
63.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-410.9 m
2024
-227.1 m
2025
-112.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
521.0 k
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-465.5 m
2024
-172.3 m
2025
-207.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-51.3 m
2024
77.5 m
2025
2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2023
-414.2 m
2024
-249.8 m
2025
-210.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-16.06
2024
-6.13
2025
-2.99

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
2.6 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
7.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
96.2 m
2024
96.5 m
2025
80.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Receivables
2023
3.0 m
2024
1.5 m
2025
19.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Inventories
2023
142.3 m
2024
94.6 m
2025
180.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2023
363.7 m
2024
334.0 m
2025
433.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
29.5 m
2024
40.2 m
2025
44.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
901.0 k
2025
689.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Total assets
2023
493.3 m
2024
463.0 m
2025
602.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
6.2 m
2024
14.0 m
2025
25.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
16.7 m
2025
28.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
7.3 m
2025
23.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
135.2 m
2024
178.6 m
2025
131.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
145.1 m
2024
196.8 m
2025
165.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2023
348.2 m †
2024
266.3 m †
2025
437.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-123.6 m
2024
-199.3 m
2025
-271.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2023
3.3 m
2024
19.3 m
2025
24.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-126.9 m ≈
2024
-218.6 m ≈
2025
-295.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
39.6 m
2024
61.0 m
2025
56.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
90.0 m
2024
139.7 m
2025
197.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
96.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
50.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-21.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
-39.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
-55.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
-59.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
-39.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
-31.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
-23.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-28.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
-57.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
-271.2 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
24.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
-295.8 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
7 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
103 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days payables outstanding
15 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash conversion cycle
95 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
954.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
926.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-1,445.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
1.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
1.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-31.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

0.21 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 954.7 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
954.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-59.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
-39.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
96.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 15 Apr 2026
verified 206

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-31.3%50 (vs peers)21%
Net margin · Quality-39.7%54 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-6.7%0 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-57.1x0 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.3x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-31.0%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.5%7 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality52/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial7/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Canaan Inc. (CAN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 529.7 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 96.7%; net margin -39.7%; ROE -59.8%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 3.3x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -6.7%
  • Interest coverage: -57.1x
  • FCF yield: -31.0%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Finance Services (SIC 6199) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 23.7x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
1.8x
vertical median 4.7x
below median (−61.5%)
P/B
2.2x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+66.5%)
ROE
-59.8%
vertical median -17.4%
below median
Net margin
-39.7%
vertical median -99.7%
above median
EBIT margin
-21.2%
vertical median -116.6%
above median
Revenue YoY
96.7%
vertical median 21.9%
above median (+341.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.6%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AXPAmerican Express Co218.3 bn18.335.9%27.9%+6.4%−11% / +91%
ARBKArgo Blockchain PLC45.2 bn——-117.2%−7.0%−97% / −99%
COINCoinbase Global, Inc.38.5 bn—-4.7%-12.5%+9.4%−47% / +17%
SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.21.7 bn35.07.1%104.3%+23.1%−44% / +130%
MARAMara Holdings, Inc.2.7 bn—-107.2%-430.2%+38.2%−42% / −43%
UPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc.2.3 bn39.98.0%4.9%+64.0%−48% / −13%
PURRHyperliquid Strategies Inc1.9 bn3.032.6%3,229.8%unavailableunavailable / unavailable
CLSKCleanSpark, Inc.1.7 bn—-68.6%-130.2%+102.2%−55% / +9%
BTDRBitdeer Technologies Group1.5 bn—-196.7%-171.3%−5.1%−51% / +45%
RHLDResolute Holdings Management, Inc.1.0 bn24.1—4.2%+9.9%−26% / unavailable
CANCanaan Inc.954.7 m—-59.8%-39.7%+96.7%−81% / −89%
CDChaince Digital Holdings Inc.741.4 m—-12.3%-182.5%+277.9%−30% / +622%
GDOTGreen Dot Corp727.1 m—-2.8%-1.1%+20.7%+2% / +59%
TRONTron Inc.664.1 m96.83.8%135.6%+10.0%−24% / −48%
JFU9F Inc.536.7 m23.24.7%125.2%+12.2%−52% / −43%
BTBTBit Digital, Inc.300.9 m—-56.7%-237.2%+5.1%−65% / −68%
CANGCango Inc.272.7 m—-130.8%-90.4%+524.3%−92% / −76%
CNTNCanton Strategic Holdings, Inc.172.1 m—-43.1%—unavailable−17% / −83%
USBCUsbc, Inc.166.5 m—-414.1%—−100.0%−47% / −97%
SNFCASecurity National Financial Corporation166.1 m6.59.0%11.1%+3.0%+15% / +37%
TONXTon Strategy Company159.7 m—-75.5%-532.8%+1,327.8%−15% / −93%
BMHLBluemount Holdings Limited79.0 m61,098.226.2%18.8%unavailable−8% / unavailable
UPXIUpexi, Inc.62.9 m—-1,356.3%-984.3%+58.1%−73% / −95%
SGRXSangrix Inc.40.8 m—-300.3%-36,190.3%−98.6%−99% / −100%
AVXAvax One Technology Ltd.34.9 m—-189.6%-1,533.9%+8,709.3%−80% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CAN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 15 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (19 Oct 2026), 6-K (15 Oct 2026), 6-K (14 Sept 2026), 6-K (11 Sept 2026), 6-K (08 Sept 2026), 6-K (17 Aug 2026).

    In brief

    Canaan Inc. designs ASIC chips and sells Bitcoin mining machines under the AvalonMiner brand, and in 2025 extended its offer to home users through the Avalon Home line. The company matters now because its revenue depends directly on the profitability of Bitcoin mining, which has fluctuated sharply, and because it has shifted away from the Chinese market. Revenue from mining machines and parts reached 412.6 million USD in 2025 1.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has more than a decade of experience in ASIC design and produces its own mining machines, giving it control over its technology.
    • The customer base has diversified geographically, reducing dependence on a single market.
    • The product portfolio has grown through containerized solutions and a line for home users.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue depends largely on equipment sales, which are sensitive to the Bitcoin price.
    • The company has recorded significant write-downs of inventory and supplier prepayments in recent years.
    • A funding history based on repeated share issuances has diluted shareholders.

    Opportunities

    • If the home mining market develops, the Avalon Home line could open a new category of customers.
    • The company's own mining segment could stabilize revenue if its operations become profitable.
    • Containerized solutions could attract industrial operators looking for rapid deployment.

    Threats

    • A prolonged decline in the Bitcoin price could reduce demand and force further price cuts.
    • Regulations on cryptocurrencies and policy in the home country could affect operations.
    • Dependence on a few fabrication partners could delay deliveries.

    Risks

    • Dependence on the Bitcoin pricehigh

      Mining returns and demand for equipment fall if the Bitcoin price drops and fails to recover, and the company may have to reduce its prices 1.

    • Inventory write-downshigh

      Inventory and prepayments can be written down if the Bitcoin price drops sharply, as happened in the past 1.

    • Dependence on fabrication partnersmedium

      Delays or yield problems at external wafer foundries can postpone deliveries and affect customer orders 1.

    • Regulatory risks in Chinamedium

      Legislative changes and government control over overseas offerings may limit the company's ability to raise capital 1.

    • Dilution from share issuancesmedium

      At-the-market programs and direct placements can reduce the value of existing shares for investors 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the Bitcoin price recovers and demand for mining equipment rises, the company could quickly recover sales, given its high share of external revenue.
    • The own mining segment and containerized solutions could add recurring revenue, reducing dependence on cyclical equipment sales.
    • Technical experience in ASIC design could allow more efficient new generations of machines, supporting competitiveness.

    What would break the thesis

    • If the Bitcoin price stays low, equipment revenue could fall again, as it did in earlier periods of write-downs.
    • Repeated dilution through share issuances could continue to limit gains for existing shareholders.
    • Dependence on a few fabrication partners and on external markets could expose the company to unexpected disruptions.

    What to watch

    • Development of revenue from Bitcoin mining and machine salesQ1 2027
    • Level of inventory write-downs relative to the Bitcoin price2027
    • Commercial success of the Avalon Home series2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 15 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (19 Oct 2026), 6-K (15 Oct 2026), 6-K (14 Sept 2026), 6-K (11 Sept 2026), 6-K (08 Sept 2026), 6-K (17 Aug 2026).

    The business

    Canaan Inc. is a Cayman Islands holding company that conducts its operations through operating subsidiaries and specializes in designing ASIC integrated circuits for Bitcoin mining. The company works as a fabless designer: chips are fabricated by external wafer foundry partners, while machines are assembled in-house in China and, through partners, in Southeast Asia and the United States 1. Its principal executive offices are in Singapore 1. Besides selling equipment, the company develops its own Bitcoin mining business through collaborations with mining farms and self-owned facilities, which generated 113.2 million USD in revenue in 2025 1.

    The company was founded in 2013 by a team led by its chairman and chief executive officer, which shipped the first ASIC-based mining machines in Bitcoin history, and was reorganized under Canaan Inc. in the Cayman Islands in 2018 1. It has been listed on Nasdaq since November 2019 1. Funding has relied largely on share issuances and at-the-market programs, which have diluted existing shareholders 1.

    The product line includes the AvalonMiner series, the Avalon Box containerized mining solution for industrial operations, and the Avalon Home series for individual users, commercialized in 2025 1.

    Segments

    Bitcoin mining machines (AvalonMiner)

    This is the main revenue driver, with sales of machines and parts of 412.6 million USD in 2025 1. Sales are determined by the demand and pricing of the machines, which depend on the expected economic returns of Bitcoin mining 1. Customers outside China represented 58.9% of these sales in 2025 1.

    Bitcoin mining business

    The company's own mining segment generated revenue of 113.2 million USD in 2025, developed through collaborations with mining farms and self-owned facilities, with the aim of supporting equipment sales 1. Mining equipment located in North America and Ethiopia is carried on the balance sheet 1.

    Avalon Home and containerized solutions

    The Avalon Home series for home users was formally commercialized in 2025, and the Avalon Box offers containerized solutions for industrial mining operations 1. Both are new extensions of the offer, with no separate revenue figures given in the analyzed source 1.

    Market context

    The Bitcoin mining market is dominated by demand that follows the economic return of mining, and Canaan's revenue depends on the Bitcoin price, energy costs and network difficulty 1. The company recorded inventory write-downs of 190.2 million USD in 2023 and 18.6 million USD in 2025 amid price volatility 1. Demand outside China has become essential after regulatory restrictions in the company's home market 1.

    Halving events, the most recent in April 2024, reduce mining rewards per unit of computing power and may slow investment in new equipment 1.

    Trends

    • Expansion into external marketstailwind

      The share of customers outside China has grown, which could reduce dependence on regulations in China, according to the company 1.

    • Volatility of the Bitcoin priceheadwind

      Declines in the Bitcoin price have produced stock write-downs and price cuts, and if the price falls significantly, such losses could reappear 1.

    • Demand for mining with new equipmentmixed

      Launching new generations of machines with better energy efficiency can support sales, if demand for equipment stays high 1.

    • Energy costsheadwind

      Rising energy prices, including those driven by geopolitical conflicts, can reduce the attractiveness of mining and demand for the company's products 1.

    Competitive position

    Canaan competes in the global market for ASIC Bitcoin mining machines, where energy efficiency and speed of launching new chip generations are key 1. The company says its experience in ASIC design and access to foundry capacity give it an advantage 1.

    Competitive risk is amplified because demand is variable and a limited number of fabrication partners can influence deliveries 1.

    • Listed bitcoin mining machine producers

      The analyzed source does not name competitors but describes the general market of mining machine producers.

    • Asian ASIC producers

      Competition comes from producers with similar access to wafer suppliers, but the source does not name them.

    • Vertically integrated mining operators

      Operators that produce their own equipment can reduce external demand, though the source gives no names.

    • Fabless chip designers

      Companies designing similar chips can compete for the same customers and fabrication suppliers.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 23 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 19 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Canaan Inc. · 15 Apr 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.