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olivLaw · US equity research

Cineverse Corp. CNVS

Services-Video Tape Rental · SIC 7841 · Vertical: Motion pictures (SIC 78xx)

1.51USD−5.03% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Cineverse is a technology and entertainment company whose core streaming business runs owned enthusiast channels, distributes films and TV programs, and develops the Matchpoint platform. Acquisitions closed in the last quarter of fiscal 2026 changed the company's profile, and quarterly revenue rose 175%.

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Cineverse Corp. (CNVS) stock was 1.51 USD (−5.03% on the day), with market capitalisation 35.9 m USD, beta 1.33, 52-week range 1.45–3.15 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 30.6 m USD (+175.2% YoY), net income of -5.7 m USD, diluted EPS -0.28 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
35.9 m USD
shares as of 07 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.58 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-38.25%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.33
Volatility (1y) 59%
52-week range
1.453.15

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
34.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.34 – 1.86
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.33 · band width 32.5%
SMA 50 / 200
1.94 / 2.39
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.13 / -0.15
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−21.8%−5.9%−15.8 pp—
3 months−43.2%−4.6%−38.6 pp—
6 months−42.6%+0.2%−42.8 pp—
Year to date−28.4%+7.4%−35.9 pp—
1 year−45.3%+8.2%−53.5 pp−33.2%
3 years+31.3%+68.4%−37.1 pp−30.9%
5 years−96.9%+56.5%−153.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−54.0%
26 Jun 2026 → 27 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−98.4%
08 Nov 2021 → 09 Sept 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
−49.9%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
30.6 m USD
+175.2% YoY
Net income
-5.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.28
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-18.6% / -16.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue12.7 m40.7 m15.6 m11.1 m12.4 m16.3 m26.0 m30.6 m
SG&A6.4 m9.4 m5.4 m9.0 m11.4 m10.7 m12.3 m11.6 m
Operating income-861.0 k9.4 m2.1 m-3.7 m-5.4 m-656.0 k-5.4 m-5.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation974.0 k946.0 k1.0 m1.1 m1.1 m1.2 m2.6 m2.8 m
Interest expense337.0 k2.3 m1.3 m—————
Pre-tax income-1.2 m7.2 m945.0 k-3.5 m-5.5 m-856.0 k-1.6 m-5.7 m
Income tax6.0 k6.0 k87.0 k14.0 k20.0 k19.0 k-2.9 m19.0 k
Net income-1.2 m7.2 m858.0 k-3.5 m-5.5 m-875.0 k1.3 m-5.7 m
Diluted EPS-0.090.340.05 ≈-0.21-0.31-0.050.06 ≈-0.28
Operating cash flow-85.0 k ≈7.4 m ≈12.4 m-14.3 m-7.4 m ≈-1.6 m ≈-3.2 m-994.0 k
Share repurchases27.0 k ≈0 ≈000 ≈0 ≈0—

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue53.5 m39.3 m31.4 m56.1 m68.0 m49.1 m78.2 m65.7 m
Revenue YoY−20.9%−26.6%−20.0%+78.4%+21.4%−27.8%+59.1%−15.9%
Net income-16.2 m-14.7 m-62.9 m2.3 m-9.7 m-21.3 m3.8 m-8.7 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−526.9%unavailableunavailable−330.0%
Diluted EPSunavailable-0.34-0.490.20-1.13-1.780.16-0.49
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−665.0%unavailableunavailable−406.3%
net %-30.3%-37.5%-200.2%4.1%-14.3%-43.3%4.8%-13.2%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailable-26.5 m4.6 m-10.1 m-11.7 munavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Cash
3.4 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
43.4 m USD
Total assets
130.3 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
0.81x
ROE
-21.3%
ROA
-8.5%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
49.1 m
2025
78.2 m
2026
65.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2022verified

Gross profit
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2022derived

SG&A
2024
27.9 m
2025
27.7 m
2026
43.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-15.7 m
2025
7.9 m
2026
-15.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
3.8 m
2025
3.8 m
2026
6.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
-11.9 m ≈
2025
11.7 m ≈
2026
-9.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
1.1 m
2025
4.4 m
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jun 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2024
-21.3 m
2025
3.9 m
2026
-11.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Income tax
2024
10.0 k
2025
106.0 k
2026
-2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Net income
2024
-21.3 m
2025
3.8 m
2026
-8.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-1.78
2025
0.16
2026
-0.49

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
12.3 m
2025
17.8 m
2026
18.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
5.2 m
2025
13.9 m
2026
3.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Receivables
2024
15.1 m
2025
15.8 m
2026
38.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Inventories
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jun 2023verified

Current assets
2024
32.7 m
2025
38.1 m
2026
50.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
2.3 m
2025
2.9 m
2026
3.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
6.8 m
2025
6.8 m
2026
21.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
18.3 m
2025
18.2 m
2026
44.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Total assets
2024
64.4 m
2025
72.5 m
2026
130.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
5.8 m
2025
7.3 m
2026
7.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jul 2021verified

Current liabilities
2024
31.2 m
2025
34.4 m
2026
63.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
32.2 m
2025
34.7 m
2026
86.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Equity
2024
32.2 m
2025
37.8 m
2026
43.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
-10.6 m
2025
17.4 m
2026
-26.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Capex
2024
1.1 m
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2024verified

Free cash flow
2024
-11.7 m ≈
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jun 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-531.0 k
2025
-635.0 k
2026
-14.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
9.1 m
2025
-8.0 m
2026
30.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
0
2025
215.0 k
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jun 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
-291.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
-330.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-406.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
-10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-19.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-28.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-11.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-27.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-13.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
127 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
35.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-38.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.51 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 35.9 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
35.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-28.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 07 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Aug 2026
verified 2088derived 136

Score by group

25% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Motion pictures (SIC 78xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-12.7%29 (vs peers)25%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.1%0 (on a fixed band)33%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.7x0 (on a fixed band)17%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)25%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial29/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

CINEVERSE CORP. (CNVS). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 65.7 m USD in 2026; YoY growth -15.9%; net margin -12.7%; ROE -28.1%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -12.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -1.1%
  • Current ratio: 0.7x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Motion pictures (SIC 78xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 20.3x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 12.5x
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 1.1x
below median (−60.7%)
P/B
0.9x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−56.5%)
ROE
-28.1%
vertical median -1.6%
below median
Net margin
-12.7%
vertical median -0.7%
below median
EBIT margin
-19.5%
vertical median -0.3%
below median
Revenue YoY
-15.9%
vertical median 3.8%
below median (−514.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 4.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.9%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NFLXNetflix, Inc.269.2 bn18.953.5%29.7%+15.9%−39% / +38%
CNKCinemark Holdings, Inc.4.8 bn31.9—5.3%+2.1%+46% / +181%
LIONLionsgate Studios Corp.3.7 bn——-0.7%+1.8%+68% / +19%
AMCAmc Entertainment Holdings, Inc.2.7 bn——-2.6%+4.6%+26% / −54%
FUBOFuboTV Inc.2.6 bn—-5.8%-0.7%+18.6%−79% / −80%
ANGXAngel Studios, Inc.617.3 m——-37.5%+233.2%−32% / unavailable
MCSMarcus Corp511.7 m20.35.4%3.1%+3.1%+71% / +93%
STRZStarz Entertainment Corp.419.7 m—-87.9%-32.5%−1.6%+122% / unavailable
IQiQIYI, Inc.308.7 m—-1.6%-0.8%−2.5%−59% / −80%
CURICuriositystream Inc.149.5 m484.20.1%0.0%+40.1%−48% / +265%
MPUMega Matrix Inc46.3 m—-213.2%-131.4%−27.9%−95% / −95%
CNVSCineverse Corp.35.9 m—-28.1%-12.7%−15.9%−45% / +31%
TOONKartoon Studios, Inc.30.3 m9.921.7%26.9%+20.7%−34% / −70%
RDIReading International, Inc———-5.9%−3.6%+28% / −10%
GAIAGaia, Inc——-9.3%-1,090.3%+55.2%−67% / −52%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CNVS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Cineverse is a technology and entertainment company whose core streaming business runs owned enthusiast channels, distributes films and TV programs, and develops the Matchpoint platform. Acquisitions closed in the last quarter of fiscal 2026 changed the company's profile, and quarterly revenue rose 175% 13.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a large content library, long-standing relationships with digital platforms and a proprietary platform for operating at scale 1.
    • Revenue growth has been driven by recent acquisitions, and technology is now the largest source of revenue 3.
    • The content library is valued well above its book value, which suggests a significant asset not fully reflected on the balance sheet 3.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has incurred long-term losses and has negative working capital, which limits financial flexibility 12.
    • The direct operating margin has fallen sharply due to high revenue-share costs on advertising 3.
    • Liquidity is tight, with little room left on the credit line and convertible notes that could dilute shareholders 23.

    Opportunities

    • If synergies and cost reductions materialise, profitability could rise in the second half of fiscal 2027 3.
    • Expanding CTV advertising services and premium streaming channels could add recurring revenue 3.
    • Automating media services on the Matchpoint platform could improve margins and support studio work 3.

    Threats

    • Strong competition from better-resourced companies could pressure prices and market share 1.
    • Falling physical sales and dependence on third-party platforms could affect revenue 1.
    • If financing becomes more expensive or harder to obtain, the company could be forced to cut investment or refinance its debt 12.

    Risks

    • Net losses and negative working capitalhigh

      The company says it may continue to generate losses and cannot predict when or whether it will reach sustained profitability 12.

    • Debt and restrictive covenantshigh

      The credit line and future financing include covenants that could limit operations and access to new credit 1.

    • Dilution from convertibles and the ATM programmemedium

      Convertible notes issued in February 2026 and the at-the-market programme could dilute existing shareholders if converted or sold 23.

    • Acquisition integration riskmedium

      Integrating Giant Worldwide and IndiCue could meet difficulties or unexpected costs, and benefits could fall short of expectations 13.

    • Goodwill impairmentlow

      The company has recorded goodwill impairment charges in the past and could record more if asset values decline 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If cost reductions and synergies are realised in the seasonally stronger quarters, margins could rise significantly from current levels 3.
    • Technology is now the largest revenue source, with long-term clients and high retention at IndiCue, which could make revenue more predictable 3.
    • The content library, valued far above its book value, could support the company's value if upcoming films perform well 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • The direct operating margin has dropped sharply, and revenue-share costs could limit the benefit of growth 3.
    • The company has debt, negative working capital and limited cash, which could force costly or dilutive financing 23.
    • If integration of the acquisitions or synergies is delayed, guidance for fiscal 2027 could become hard to reach 3.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of the 13 million USD annualized cost reduction and synergy programmeQ3 2027
    • Direct operating margin trend after moving Giant operations onto MatchpointQ2 2027
    • Reaffirmation or change of fiscal 2027 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidancenext 10-K
    • Use of convertible notes, the ATM programme and the credit line, and the dilution effectQ2 2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    The Matchpoint platform offers clients AVOD, SVOD, TVOD and linear capabilities, automates content distribution and includes a data analytics system 1. Through the integration of Giant Worldwide, it was extended with digital delivery, master quality control and content localization 1. The IndiCue CTV monetization technology provides location-based advertising, and a platform for DOOH networks manages advertising inventory 1. The stated aim is profitable growth through acquisitions and cost reduction 13.

    Segments

    Advertising technology and services

    IndiCue, acquired in the last quarter of fiscal 2026, generated 15.9 million USD of revenue in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 23. This line is the main source of growth but carries high revenue-share costs paid to supplier partners 3.

    Base distribution

    Base distribution revenue fell to 0.3 million USD in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, from 1.0 million USD, driven by lower physical sales 2. The company noted it had no wide theatrical releases in the quarter 3.

    Market context

    The market Cineverse serves includes distribution of films and content to streaming platforms, CTV advertising and automated media services 1. The company describes the enthusiast niche as a significant and underserved opportunity on a global basis 1. Sales of DVD and Blu-ray discs are in decline, as the company itself notes 1.

    Growth in CTV advertising and digital production services could support revenue if the integration of the acquisitions succeeds 13. The size of the overall market is not clear from the analysed sources, and year-over-year comparisons are affected by acquisitions 3.

    Trends

    • Consolidation of CTV ad technologytailwind

      The IndiCue acquisition brought recurring advertising revenue on connected TVs and net revenue retention of about 98% 3. If this continues, it could support quarterly revenue 3.

    • Decline of physical salesheadwind

      Sales of DVD and Blu-ray discs continue to fall, and the company has listed this decline as a risk to its distribution business 12.

    • Automation of media workflowstailwind

      Moving Giant Worldwide operations onto the Matchpoint platform could reduce manual costs and improve margins, the company says 3.

    • Pressure from revenue-share costsheadwind

      Revenue-share payments to supplier partners have reduced the direct operating margin, which fell to 35% in the current quarter 3.

    Competitive position

    The company acknowledges that competition is intense and that many rivals have longer operating histories, greater financial resources and stronger brand recognition 1. Pricing pressure could affect revenue and margins 1.

    In advertising technology and streaming, competition comes from companies that can build similar capabilities and from platforms expanding their own services 1. The analysed sources do not name specific competitors, so the competitive picture remains general 1.

    • Large streaming and digital distribution platforms

      Companies the filings cite as distribution channels for the content include Netflix, Hulu, Amazon Prime and Apple iTunes, which are also partners rather than only rivals 1.

    • Larger distribution companies

      The company states that some competitors have longer operating histories and greater financial resources, without naming them in the analysed sources 1.

    • Major film and TV production companies

      Cineverse says it operates with flexibility that larger entertainment companies, which must protect legacy businesses, may not have 1.

    • CTV advertising technology providers

      Competition in CTV advertising includes companies able to develop similar technology, as the company's risk factors state 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-03-31 · SEC / Cineverse Corp. · 26 Jun 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Cineverse Corp. · 13 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cineverse Corp. · 13 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.