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olivLaw · US equity research

CNX Resources Corporation CNX

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · SIC 1311 · Vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

35.93USD−1.78% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

CNX Resources is an independent natural gas producer with operations concentrated in the Appalachian Basin, producing 629 billion cubic feet equivalent in 2025. The company completed the Apex Energy II acquisition in January 2025 and guides to sales volumes of 605 - 620 Bcfe for 2026.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) stock was 35.93 USD (−1.78% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.1 bn USD, P/E 5.8 on diluted EPS of 6.17 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 0.29, 52-week range 31.17–42.61 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 580.0 m USD (−0.7% YoY), net income of 165.2 m USD (−18.2% YoY), diluted EPS 1.12 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.1 bn USD
shares as of 14 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
5.8
Diluted EPS TTM 6.17 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
17.18%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
0.29
Volatility (1y) 29%
52-week range
31.1742.61

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
51.1
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
33.38 – 38.62
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.49 · band width 14.6%
SMA 50 / 200
35.07 / 36.42
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.74 / 0.75
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+11.4%−1.1%+12.5 pp—
3 months+4.0%−0.5%+4.5 pp—
6 months−1.7%+4.4%−6.1 pp—
Year to date−2.3%+12.3%−14.6 pp—
1 year+4.8%+13.5%−8.7 pp+19.1%
3 years+60.8%+76.4%−15.7 pp+4.3%
5 years+140.8%+63.7%+77.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−26.8%
05 Mar 2026 → 30 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−38.2%
07 Jun 2022 → 03 May 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+19.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
580.0 m USD
−0.7% YoY
Net income
165.2 m USD
−18.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.12
−7.4% YoY
net / operating
28.5% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue136.6 m82.4 m962.4 m583.8 m610.5 m786.7 m618.5 m580.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation128.3 m127.1 m152.6 m149.3 m145.1 m134.6 m136.2 m134.6 m
Interest expense36.6 m41.6 m44.0 m43.0 m42.0 m40.5 m39.0 m39.6 m
Income tax-49.4 m-75.1 m153.1 m63.6 m28.2 m80.3 m34.0 m53.9 m
Net income-144.6 m-197.7 m432.5 m202.1 m196.3 m348.1 m202.9 m165.2 m
Diluted EPS-2.28 ≈-1.342.531.211.55 ≈2.181.321.12
Operating cash flow268.8 m215.7 m282.5 m ≈233.8 m ≈297.0 m277.5 m279.5 m ≈253.5 m ≈
Capex105.5 m131.5 m113.6 m ≈75.5 m ≈174.4 m169.9 m142.0 m ≈139.2 m ≈
Share repurchases25.0 m125.1 m115.7 m ≈182.4 m ≈100.3 m54.0 m200.4 m ≈180.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 70 percentile of its own 20-quarter history (min 1.7, median 4.9, max 258.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.7 bn1.9 bn1.3 bn756.8 m1.3 bn3.4 bn1.3 bn2.2 bn
Revenue YoY+18.9%+11.1%−34.6%−39.8%+66.7%+172.4%−63.1%+76.8%
Net income796.5 m-80.7 m-483.8 m-498.6 m-142.1 m1.7 bn-90.5 m633.2 m
Net income YoY+109.2%−110.1%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−105.3%unavailable
Diluted EPS3.71-0.42-2.43-2.31-0.758.99-0.603.98
Diluted EPS YoY+124.8%−111.3%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−106.7%unavailable
net %46.0%-4.2%-38.5%-65.9%-11.3%50.1%-7.1%28.3%
Free cash flow-230.6 m-212.0 m307.8 m460.5 m669.3 m135.2 m275.4 m534.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
779.0 k USD
Financial debt
2.4 bn USD
Net debt
2.4 bn USD
Equity
4.3 bn USD
Total assets
9.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.56x
Current ratio
0.44x
ROE
15.0%
ROA
7.2%
FCF margin
23.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.4 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
433.6 m
2024
485.8 m
2025
574.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
143.3 m
2024
150.6 m
2025
170.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
502.2 m
2024
-29.9 m
2025
169.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.7 bn
2024
-90.5 m
2025
633.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
8.99
2024
-0.60
2025
3.98

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
192.0 m
2024
151.3 m
2025
160.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.00
2024
0.00
2025
0.00

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
443.0 k
2024
17.2 m
2025
779.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
116.1 m
2024
179.5 m
2025
264.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
19.8 m
2024
14.6 m
2025
26.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
421.8 m
2024
370.6 m
2025
490.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
7.3 bn
2024
7.4 bn
2025
7.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
323.3 m
2024
323.3 m
2025
323.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
70.4 m
2024
63.9 m
2025
57.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
8.6 bn
2024
8.5 bn
2025
9.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
147.4 m
2024
123.2 m
2025
158.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
325.7 m
2024
327.8 m
2025
208.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
823.0 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.4 bn
2024
4.1 bn †
2025
4.3 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Oct 2022verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
814.6 m
2024
815.8 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
679.4 m
2024
540.3 m
2025
495.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
135.2 m ≈
2024
275.4 m ≈
2025
534.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-509.4 m
2024
-484.5 m
2025
-900.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-326.1 m
2024
-276.7 m
2025
-169.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
319.9 m
2024
184.2 m
2025
523.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
76.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
21.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
12.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
93.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
35.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
18.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
20.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
10.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
625.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
482.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
52.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
20 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
7.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
5.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
5.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
17.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
2.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
2.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
10.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
9.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

35.93 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
5.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
20.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
35.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
76.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 14 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2693derived 168

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
60.69
USD per share
Mid
75.93
USD per share
High
103.06
USD per share
Price: 35.93 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 111.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 52.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 52.51 – 128.59 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)68.87 – 128.59 (Mid 90.61)
    WACC 8.0% · starting FCFF 617.4 m USD · terminal value share of EV 78%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -15.3%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E52.51 – 77.52 (Mid 61.26)
    23 companies used · median multiple 9.9x · quartiles 8.5x – 12.6x
    AMPY, APA, AR, BKV, CHRD, CRK, DMLP, DVN, EOG, EQT, EXE, GPRK, HESM, INR, KGEI, MXC, OVV, OXY, PR, REPX, SM, TTE, WDS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality35.2%97 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality52.8%33 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth21.1%100 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x23 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation5.8x100 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation9.4%100 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns10.4%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial23/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality65/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

CNX Resources Corporation (CNX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 76.8%; net margin 35.2%; ROE 20.4%.

The estimated value range is 60.69–103.06 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 75.93 USD, the price of 35.93 USD leaves a potential of 111.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 52.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 35.2%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 21.1%
  • P/E (TTM): 5.8x
  • FCF yield: 9.4%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 10.4%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 1.1x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
5.8x
vertical median 11.2x
below median (−47.9%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 5.2x
P/S
2.0x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+24.3%)
P/B
1.1x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−13.9%)
ROE
20.4%
vertical median 9.2%
above median (+122.7%)
Net margin
35.2%
vertical median 12.1%
above median (+190.9%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 23.0%
Revenue YoY
76.8%
vertical median -1.5%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.9x
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 2.5%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TTETotalEnergies SE199.6 bn15.711.3%6.5%−6.2%+38% / +33%
EOGEog Resources, Inc.77.1 bn11.422.5%25.4%−4.5%+36% / +19%
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation57.3 bn8.618.9%33.7%−1.9%+37% / −3%
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.51.1 bn25.05.3%11.0%+35.8%+20% / +18%
DVNDevon Energy Corp48.5 bn10.511.5%16.7%+7.8%+19% / −2%
WDSWoodside Energy Group Ltd40.9 bn15.17.6%20.9%−1.5%+31% / +6%
EQTEqt Corporation32.9 bn12.510.9%28.4%+63.9%−14% / +31%
EXEExpand Energy Corporation20.2 bn7.614.6%19.8%+186.3%−28% / +9%
PRPermian Resources Corporation18.8 bn14.911.5%21.5%+1.3%+55% / +71%
OVVOvintiv Inc.16.8 bn12.712.1%12.8%−2.7%+53% / +41%
APAApa Corporation15.6 bn9.425.9%—unavailable+78% / +24%
ARAntero Resources Corporation11.5 bn8.417.6%21.7%+22.0%+3% / +58%
SMSm Energy Co7.3 bn7.515.0%13.7%+17.2%+63% / −17%
CHRDChord Energy Corporation7.2 bn8.910.3%13.4%−7.1%+41% / −18%
CNXCNX Resources Corporation5.1 bn5.820.4%35.2%+76.8%+5% / +61%
CRGYCrescent Energy Company5.0 bn79.81.3%1.3%+22.1%+24% / +3%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp4.3 bn—-15.5%-18.1%+14.7%+1% / −6%
HESMHess Midstream LP4.1 bn10.9—23.2%+8.4%−6% / −2%
CRKComstock Resources, Inc.3.9 bn7.621.1%23.3%+77.0%−50% / +36%
PHXE-PPhoenix Energy One, LLC2.6 bn332.249.7%0.7%+144.4%+26% / unavailable
NOGNorthern Oil And Gas, Inc.2.4 bn—-22.1%-25.4%+11.2%−1% / −40%
BKVBKV Corp2.1 bn6.814.1%19.5%+9.9%−31% / unavailable
DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P.1.4 bn15.6—45.5%−5.4%+27% / −5%
TBNTamboran Resources Corporation982.4 m—-4.8%—unavailable+18% / unavailable
REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.948.6 m9.216.8%17.3%−4.4%+57% / +74%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CNX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
24.30
Total return -32% · Per year -32%
42.77
Total return 19% · Per year 19%
64.15
Total return 79% · Per year 79%
3 years
28.83
Total return -20% · Per year -7%
56.56
Total return 57% · Per year 16%
92.38
Total return 157% · Per year 37%
5 years
34.19
Total return -5% · Per year -1%
74.80
Total return 108% · Per year 16%
133.03
Total return 270% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 14.14
  • Net margin± 9.90
  • Annual revenue growth± 7.38
  • Annual dilution± 0.83

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

In brief

CNX Resources is an independent natural gas producer with operations concentrated in the Appalachian Basin, producing 629 billion cubic feet equivalent in 2025 1. The company completed the Apex Energy II acquisition in January 2025 and guides to sales volumes of 605 - 620 Bcfe for 2026 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Extensive acreage position and a significant proved reserve base, nearly all operated by the company 1.
  • Broadly owned midstream infrastructure that reduces reliance on third parties for gathering gas in Pennsylvania and West Virginia 1.
  • Hedging coverage for a significant share of future production, which stabilizes cash flows 1.

Weaknesses

  • Geographic concentration in the Appalachian Basin exposes the company to regional prices weaker than benchmarks 1.
  • The company reported a net loss in the prior year, and results are sensitive to natural gas price movements 1.
  • The company flags exposure to inflation in steel, fuel and labor costs 1.

Opportunities

  • Stronger gas demand from electricity generators could support long-term volumes and prices 1.
  • Development of the mineral rights obtained with the Apex acquisition could expand the drilling inventory 1.
  • Pipeline projects that free up takeaway capacity from Appalachia could narrow the discount to benchmark prices 1.

Threats

  • Oversupply of U.S. natural gas and falling prices could significantly reduce revenues 1.
  • Delays or cancellations of regional transport projects could widen the discount to Henry Hub 1.
  • Competition from larger companies and from customers building their own systems could limit growth 1.

Risks

  • Natural gas price volatilityhigh

    Natural gas and NGL prices fluctuate widely and could hurt results if they stay low for an extended period 1.

  • Regional price discounthigh

    Gas produced in Appalachia sells at a discount to Henry Hub, and this discount could widen if regional output keeps growing 1.

  • Impairment and write-downsmedium

    Lower prices or weaker results could lead to write-downs of gas properties and goodwill impairment 1.

  • Hedging effectsmedium

    Hedges can cap the benefit of price increases and can create cash losses if prices rise sharply 1.

  • Economic and credit conditionsmedium

    A downturn in customer industries or tighter credit could affect liquidity and access to capital 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If U.S. natural gas demand rises and prices stabilize, large volumes and the operating position could generate significant cash flow.
  • Owned midstream infrastructure and extensive proved reserves offer a cost and control advantage over producers that rely on third parties.
  • The Apex acquisition and rights to Utica assets could expand the drilling inventory over the long term.

What would break the thesis

  • If regional oversupply persists and the discount to Henry Hub widens, revenues could decline significantly.
  • Price volatility and existing hedges could limit gains from price increases or create losses.
  • Rising operating costs and competition from larger companies could compress margins over time.

What to watch

  • Delivery against 2026 sales volume and capex guidance2026
  • Trend in the regional price discount to Henry HubQ3 2026
  • Progress of Appalachian pipeline projects2027
  • Updates to hedge positions and exposure for 2027next 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

The business

CNX Resources Corporation presents itself as an independent ultra-low carbon intensity natural gas company active in development, production, midstream and technology, with operations centered in the Appalachian Basin, especially the Marcellus and Utica shales in Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia 1. It also operates coalbed methane properties in Virginia and describes its strategy as responsibly developing resources to create long-term per share value 1. In 2025, natural gas made up 92% of production and 94% of volumes came from shale 1.

The company holds rights to approximately 557,000 net Marcellus Shale acres and 612,000 net Utica Shale acres at December 31, 2025 1. It owns or operates approximately 2,600 miles of natural gas gathering pipelines as well as several processing facilities 1. Because local gas is priced at a discount to benchmark Henry Hub, the company notes regional basis exposure 1.

At December 31, 2025, proved reserves were 9.7 Tcfe, of which 72.2% were proved developed and 99.1% were operated by the company 1. For 2026, the company expects capital expenditures between 556 and 586 million USD 1. The second quarter of 2026 produced net income of 203 million USD 2.

Segments

Coalbed Methane (CBM)

The CBM segment in Virginia produces mainly from the Pocahontas #3 seam and captures mine gas from active and abandoned mines that would otherwise be vented 1. CBM output remained relatively stable, at around 38 Bcfe in 2025 1.

Other gas

Other gas includes shale and shallow oil and gas formations across several states, on roughly 946,000 net acres, mostly held by production by third parties 1. The contribution of this segment to total volume is minor 1.

Market context

Appalachian natural gas prices are volatile and depend on regional supply and takeaway capacity, which can widen the discount to Henry Hub 1. The company notes that domestic oversupply has depressed domestic prices for much of the period since 2012 1. In the second quarter of 2026, prices and volatility were influenced by geopolitical developments in the Middle East 2.

Demand depends on weather, industrial consumption, electricity generators and the availability of alternative fuels, and international exports can influence prices 1. The company hedges part of its production with financial instruments, which limits both gains and losses from price moves 1.

Trends

  • Rising power-sector gas demandtailwind

    U.S. natural gas demand is linked to electricity generators, and stronger demand from this sector could support prices and volumes for the company 1.

  • Appalachian gas oversupplyheadwind

    Higher regional output and limited takeaway capacity could widen the discount to benchmark prices if pipeline projects are delayed 1.

  • Geopolitical volatilitymixed

    Middle East developments and OPEC decisions contribute to energy price volatility, which could affect cash flows if it persists 2.

  • Inflationary pressuresheadwind

    Steel, fuel and labor costs could raise operating costs if inflation accelerates over an extended period 1.

Competitive position

The company competes with other U.S. natural gas producers, many of them larger and with more resources to acquire new properties 1. Competition also comes from stand-alone midstream companies and oil producers whose associated gas reaches the market 1.

Sector consolidation could reduce the number of partners available for development projects and could raise costs 1. Large customers building their own midstream systems are an additional threat 1.

  • Larger U.S. natural gas producers

    Larger rivals have more resources to acquire new properties, which can limit the company's ability to replace its production 1.

  • Oil producers with associated gas

    Oil-focused drilling produces gas as a byproduct, and this inelastic supply can depress regional prices 1.

  • Stand-alone midstream companies

    These competitors can reduce partnership opportunities for gathering and transmission infrastructure 1.

  • Customers building their own midstream systems

    Large customers can develop processing infrastructure independently, reducing reliance on the company's systems 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / CNX Resources Corporation · 10 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / CNX Resources Corporation · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / CNX Resources Corporation · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.