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olivLaw · US equity research

CPI Aerostructures, Inc. CVU

Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC · SIC 3728 · Vertical: Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC (SIC 3728)

4.83USD0.00% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

CPI Aerostructures makes structural assemblies and integrated systems for aerospace and defense, mainly as a Tier 1 subcontractor to large defense primes and as a prime contractor to the U.S. Department of Defense. The company returned to growth in the first half of 2026 after a 2025 year hit by an unfavorable A-10 contract adjustment, and its backlog reaches 533 million USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, CPI Aerostructures, Inc. (CVU) stock was 4.83 USD (+0.00% on the day), with market capitalisation 64.0 m USD, P/E 17.0 on diluted EPS of 0.28 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.91, 52-week range 2.05–5.86 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 17.6 m USD (+15.8% YoY), net income of 685.6 k USD, diluted EPS 0.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
64.0 m USD
shares as of 10 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.0
Diluted EPS TTM 0.28 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.87%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.91
Volatility (1y) 58%
52-week range
2.055.86

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
44.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
4.64 – 5.18
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.35 · band width 10.9%
SMA 50 / 200
5.05 / 4.59
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.06 / -0.07
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−5.3%−1.1%−4.2 pp—
3 months−2.6%−0.5%−2.2 pp—
6 months+29.8%+4.4%+25.4 pp—
Year to date+22.0%+12.3%+9.7 pp—
1 year+118.6%+13.5%+105.0 pp−4.3%
3 years+62.1%+76.4%−14.3 pp+45.2%
5 years+62.1%+63.7%−1.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−32.9%
04 Mar 2026 → 07 Apr 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−73.5%
11 Mar 2022 → 15 Sept 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+10.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
17.6 m USD
+15.8% YoY
Net income
685.6 k USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.05
unavailable YoY
net / operating
3.9% / 6.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue19.4 m21.8 m15.4 m15.2 m19.3 m19.4 m17.4 m17.6 m
Cost of revenue15.2 m17.4 m13.8 m14.5 m15.0 m15.5 m12.9 m13.7 m
Gross profit4.2 m4.3 m1.6 m663.4 k4.3 m3.9 m4.5 m3.9 m
SG&A2.7 m2.3 m2.8 m2.7 m2.6 m2.7 m2.7 m2.7 m
Operating income1.5 m2.1 m-1.2 m-2.0 m1.8 m1.2 m1.8 m1.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation102.8 k ≈124.7 k98.8 k88.6 k ≈78.9 k ≈154.1 k39.7 k26.4 k ≈
Interest expense573.4 k495.4 k488.1 k287.5 k387.9 k404.3 k291.9 k312.9 k
Pre-tax income904.3 k1.6 m-1.7 m-2.3 m1.4 m834.3 k1.6 m882.8 k
Income tax154.6 k607.8 k-349.0 k-947.7 k253.3 k142.5 k331.3 k197.2 k
Net income749.7 k971.5 k-1.3 m-1.3 m1.1 m691.8 k1.2 m685.6 k
Diluted EPS0.060.08 ≈-0.10-0.100.090.05 ≈0.090.05
Operating cash flow715.1 k ≈4.4 m-2.7 m-596.3 k ≈212.1 k ≈-2.1 m-424.7 k-1.0 k ≈
Capex128.3 k ≈73.6 k59.4 k3.5 k ≈963 ≈1.1 k53.1 k7.5 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 76 percentile of its own 25-quarter history (min 1.7, median 7.9, max 210.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue70.4 m87.5 m87.6 m103.4 m83.3 m86.5 m81.1 m69.3 m
Revenue YoY−13.4%+24.4%+0.1%+18.0%−19.4%+3.8%−6.2%−14.6%
Net income-7.5 m-6.8 m-3.7 m6.8 m9.2 m17.2 m3.3 m-843.4 k
Net income YoY−230.8%unavailableunavailableunavailable+34.5%+87.5%−80.8%−125.6%
Diluted EPS-0.80-0.57-0.310.560.741.380.26-0.07
Diluted EPS YoY−223.1%unavailableunavailableunavailable+32.1%+86.5%−81.2%−126.9%
net %-10.7%-7.7%-4.2%6.6%11.0%19.9%4.1%-1.2%
Free cash flow-3.2 m-814.0 k-1.7 m2.8 m903.5 k3.8 m3.2 m-5.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
unavailable USD
Financial debt
10.0 m USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
25.8 m USD
Total assets
75.2 m USD
Debt / equity
0.39x
Current ratio
1.89x
ROE
-3.3%
ROA
-1.2%
FCF margin
-7.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
86.5 m
2024
81.1 m
2025
69.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
69.4 m
2024
63.8 m
2025
58.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
17.1 m
2024
17.2 m
2025
10.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
10.8 m
2024
10.5 m
2025
10.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
6.3 m
2024
6.7 m
2025
-176.4 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
471.0 k
2024
430.0 k
2025
420.4 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
6.8 m ≈
2024
7.2 m ≈
2025
244.0 k ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
2.5 m
2024
2.3 m
2025
1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
3.9 m
2024
4.4 m
2025
-1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-13.3 m
2024
1.1 m
2025
-900.9 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
17.2 m
2024
3.3 m
2025
-843.4 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.38
2024
0.26
2025
-0.07

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
12.5 m
2024
12.7 m
2025
12.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Aug 2022verified

Receivables
2023
4.4 m
2024
3.7 m
2025
5.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.4 m
2024
918.3 k
2025
800.8 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
46.9 m
2024
43.6 m
2025
43.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
794.1 k
2024
767.9 k
2025
412.6 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.8 m
2024
1.8 m
2025
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Aug 2022verified

Total assets
2023
74.4 m
2024
68.0 m
2025
75.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
10.5 m
2024
11.1 m
2025
14.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
44.5 k
2024
26.5 k
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
71.0 k
2024
—
2025
10.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
31.5 m
2024
26.5 m
2025
23.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
52.3 m
2024
42.0 m
2025
49.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
22.1 m †
2024
25.9 m †
2025
25.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Dec 2021verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
3.9 m
2024
3.6 m
2025
-5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
140.5 k
2024
403.9 k
2025
65.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
3.8 m ≈
2024
3.2 m ≈
2025
-5.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-140.5 k
2024
-403.9 k
2025
-65.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-2.5 m
2024
-2.8 m
2025
673.3 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-14.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-6.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-4.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-102.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-125.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-126.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-266.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
22.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
14.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
4.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
-2.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
62.6 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-2.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
-63.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
-36.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
39 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
5 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
100 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
-55 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
64.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
17.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
5.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
1.46
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

4.83 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 64.0 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
64.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
14.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-14.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 10 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Aug 2026
verified 2422derived 196

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
2.50
USD per share
Mid
9.14
USD per share
High
9.74
USD per share
Price: 4.83 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 89.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 47.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.50 – 9.74 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E2.50 – 9.74 (Mid 9.14)
    6 companies used · median multiple 32.3x · quartiles 8.8x – 34.4x
    ATRO, ESLT, LOAR, PKE, PRZO, TDG
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC (SIC 3728)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality5.1%40 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality-63.6%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-6.0%0 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet4.3x43 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.0x98 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation17.0x71 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-3.7%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet65/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality20/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

CPI AEROSTRUCTURES, INC. (CVU). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 69.3 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -14.6%; net margin 5.1%; ROE 14.4%.

The estimated value range is 2.50–9.74 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 9.14 USD, the price of 4.83 USD leaves a potential of 89.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 47.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.0x
  • P/E (TTM): 17.0x

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -63.6%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -6.0%
  • FCF yield: -3.7%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC (SIC 3728) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
17.0x
vertical median 34.1x
below median (−50.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 29.0x
P/S
0.9x
vertical median 6.7x
below median (−87.1%)
P/B
2.3x
vertical median 4.4x
below median (−48.6%)
ROE
14.4%
vertical median 5.8%
above median (+146.0%)
Net margin
5.1%
vertical median 6.5%
below median (−22.3%)
EBIT margin
8.2%
vertical median 10.9%
below median (−25.1%)
Revenue YoY
-14.6%
vertical median 11.8%
below median (−224.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.9%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TDGTransDigm Group Incorporated67.3 bn34.1—21.3%+11.2%−11% / +26%
ESLTElbit Systems Ltd32.7 bn61.814.4%6.7%+16.3%+50% / +248%
LOARLoar Holdings Inc.6.5 bn0.55.8%11.6%+23.2%+2% / unavailable
KRMNKarman Holdings Inc.4.5 bn118.59.5%6.3%+36.6%−49% / unavailable
DCODucommun Incorporated2.4 bn—-3.0%-2.4%+4.9%+70% / +210%
ATROAstronics Corporation1.9 bn30.433.7%8.4%+8.4%+32% / +385%
PKEPark Aerospace Corp.544.8 m34.411.1%18.4%+18.2%+28% / +64%
CVUCpi Aerostructures, Inc.64.0 m17.014.4%5.1%−14.6%+119% / +62%
AIRIAir Industries Group12.5 m—-10.6%-3.8%−13.0%−14% / −11%
PRZOParaZero Technologies Ltd.9.8 m1.6-380.5%-517.1%+12.3%−66% / −34%
EHEHang Holdings Limited——-27.8%-66.0%−4.4%−71% / −77%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CVU from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
2.56
Total return -47% · Per year -47%
4.55
Total return -6% · Per year -6%
6.89
Total return 43% · Per year 43%
3 years
2.04
Total return -58% · Per year -25%
4.11
Total return -15% · Per year -5%
6.89
Total return 43% · Per year 13%
5 years
1.62
Total return -67% · Per year -20%
3.71
Total return -23% · Per year -5%
6.89
Total return 43% · Per year 7%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 1.03
  • Net margin± 0.72
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.65
  • Annual dilution± 0.06

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

CPI Aerostructures makes structural assemblies and integrated systems for aerospace and defense, mainly as a Tier 1 subcontractor to large defense primes and as a prime contractor to the U.S. Department of Defense. The company returned to growth in the first half of 2026 after a 2025 year hit by an unfavorable A-10 contract adjustment, and its backlog reaches 533 million USD 123.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Ability to combine the scale of a large contractor with the flexibility of a small company, backed by over four decades of aerostructures experience 1.
  • Position as a prime contractor to the Department of Defense combined with Tier 1 roles for large primes 1.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue concentration in a few customers and programs makes the company sensitive to rate changes or delays 1.
  • Fixed-price contracts and negative cost adjustments produced a net loss in 2025, showing margin vulnerability 1.
  • High working capital needs and reliance on a credit line to fund production before customer payment 1.

Opportunities

  • New next-generation product awards and expansion in pod and missile structure programs could support growth 3.
  • The OEM shift toward build-to-print contracts and supplier consolidation could open new customer relationships 1.
  • Expanding the role of subassembly integrator in aerostructures and aerosystems could raise the manufacturing content of contracts 1.

Threats

  • Cuts or delays in military program funding, as well as shifts in priorities, could affect orders 1.
  • Consolidation in the aerospace industry could create larger competitors with greater resources 1.
  • Termination or negative adjustments on programs, such as A-10, can quickly affect revenue and margins 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on a small number of customershigh

    A few prime contractors and the Air Force generate most revenue, and a change in production rates at any of them would have a material effect 1.

  • Fixed-price contract adjustmentshigh

    Rising estimated costs on fixed-price contracts can reduce profitability, as seen in the A-10 program 1.

  • Working capital needsmedium

    Costly production before customer payment could strain liquidity if payments are delayed 1.

  • Government fundingmedium

    Budget timing, appropriation gaps or contract terminations could delay or reduce orders 1.

  • Concentration on a few programsmedium

    A small number of programs generates a large share of revenue, so delays on one can affect quarterly results 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the margin recovery seen in the first half of 2026 holds and new awards convert into revenue, the company could show a durable improvement in profitability 23.
  • A backlog supported by multi-year programs gives visibility that could reduce medium-term uncertainty 2.
  • Its position as a supplier on critical defense programs could attract new contracts if defense budgets stay supportive 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If negative contract adjustments recur, margins could fall back and losses could return 1.
  • Dependence on a few large customers means a change in program or funding could seriously affect revenue 1.
  • Working capital needs and reliance on credit could limit financial flexibility if collections slow 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in gross margin and contract adjustmentsQ3 2026
  • Execution of new next-generation awards totalling 62 million USD2026
  • Level of working capital and use of the credit linenext 10-K
  • Funding status of military programs in the U.S. budget2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

CPI Aero manufactures structural assemblies for fixed wing aircraft and helicopters, along with electronic warfare pod structures and ISR structures, on a build-to-print basis, and provides engineering, program management, supply chain, kitting and MRO services 1. The company has over 45 years of experience as a contractor and presents itself as combining large-contractor capability with small-company flexibility 1. Its strategy targets growth through aerospace and defense programs, welding and tube bending, wire harnesses, and multi-year contracts 1.

Revenue for fiscal 2025 fell from 2024, mainly due to an unfavorable contract adjustment tied to the termination of the A-10 program and lower revenue on the T-38 program 1. For the first half of 2026 the company reports higher revenue and gross margin, with a gross margin of 23.9% 3. The business depends on working capital financing, because many contracts require costs before payment 1.

The customer base is concentrated: Raytheon, Sikorsky, Lockheed Martin and the United States Air Force together accounted for most of 2025 revenue 1. International exposure is limited, with revenue from customers outside the U.S. of a few million dollars 1.

Segments

Military subcontracts with primes

Military subcontracts form the core of the business, with programs such as NGJ-MB, UH-60 Black Hawk and E-2D Advanced Hawkeye. Military subcontract revenue rose in the first half of 2026 compared with the same period a year earlier, according to the quarterly report 2.

Direct U.S. government contracts

The T-38 Pacer Classic program, run directly with the Air Force and the Defense Logistics Agency, is a smaller part of revenue, but it declined in 2025 and in the first half of 2026 because of the timing of material receipts 12.

Commercial

Commercial sales relate to engine inlets for Embraer Phenom business jets and Collins Compac enclosures, with a small share of total revenue 12.

Market context

The reference market is the U.S. and allied aerospace and defense industry, where demand for structures and subassemblies built to customer specifications is supported by long-running military programs 1. The company sees OEMs shifting toward more build-to-print contracts, which fits its model 1.

The civil commercial market is a small part of the company's business and is dominated by large business jet manufacturers 1. Dependence on defense budgets and congressional funding decisions makes demand fairly predictable over the medium term but sensitive to shifts in priorities 1.

Trends

  • Multi-year programs with stable production ratestailwind

    The NGJ-MB and electronic warfare pod programs offer visibility over several years, with new orders in 2025 and 2026 13.

  • Shift to build-to-print contractstailwind

    OEM preference for manufacturing to specification, rather than design-and-build, fits the company's capabilities 1.

  • Dependence on defense budgetsheadwind

    Program funding depends on annual congressional appropriations and possible funding interruptions, which can delay orders 1.

  • Cost estimate adjustmentsmixed

    Revenue recognized on a cost-to-complete basis means cost adjustments affect results quickly, as seen in the A-10 program 1.

Competitive position

In structures, the company competes with much larger Tier 1 suppliers such as Spirit AeroSystems, Kaman, GKN, Ducommun and LMI Aerospace, and says it competes through comparable quality and competitive pricing 1. In electronic warfare pod systems competition is lighter, and the main rival is often the customer's internal manufacturing 1.

For unrestricted U.S. government contracts the company may compete with large primes such as Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin and Boeing, but its advantage is the flexibility of a smaller supplier; for set-aside contracts competition comes from many small businesses 1.

  • Spirit AeroSystems

    Much larger Tier 1 aerostructures supplier named as a competitor in structures 1.

  • Ducommun

    Supplier of structures and subassemblies for aerospace and defense, named among larger aerostructures competitors 1.

  • Kaman Aerospace

    Aerostructures competitor with greater resources, named by the company 1.

  • Northrop GrummanNOC

    Large prime contractor that can compete for unrestricted government contracts and is also a customer of the company 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / CPI Aerostructures, Inc. · 31 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / CPI Aerostructures, Inc. · 13 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / CPI Aerostructures, Inc. · 13 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.