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olivLaw · US equity research

Data I/O Corporation DAIO

Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals · SIC 3825 · Vertical: Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals (SIC 3825)

2.43USD+0.21% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Data I/O Corporation designs and sells programming and security deployment systems that prepare flash memory, microcontrollers and secure elements for electronics manufacturers. The company is in the middle of a strategic transformation, with net sales of 21.5 million USD in fiscal 2025 and sales of 5.2 million USD in the second quarter of 2026, which shows how cyclical its equipment base remains.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) stock was 2.43 USD (+0.21% on the day), with market capitalisation 25.2 m USD, beta 0.77, 52-week range 2.17–4.26 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 5.1 m USD (−13.4% YoY), net income of -1.6 m USD, diluted EPS -0.17 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
25.2 m USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.73 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-30.28%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.77
Volatility (1y) 54%
52-week range
2.174.26

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
36.7
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
2.23 – 2.92
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.28 · band width 26.9%
SMA 50 / 200
2.75 / 2.98
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.12 / -0.11
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−16.1%−1.1%−15.0 pp—
3 months−19.2%−0.5%−18.7 pp—
6 months−14.6%+4.4%−19.0 pp—
Year to date−23.5%+12.3%−35.8 pp—
1 year−19.4%+13.5%−33.0 pp+73.7%
3 years−19.7%+76.4%−96.1 pp+51.5%
5 years−56.5%+63.7%−120.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−44.8%
01 Jun 2026 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−65.1%
09 Nov 2021 → 16 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−15.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
5.1 m USD
−13.4% YoY
Net income
-1.6 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.17
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-31.6% / -14.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue5.4 m5.2 m6.2 m5.9 m5.4 m4.0 m3.3 m5.1 m
Cost of revenue2.5 m2.5 m3.0 m3.0 m2.7 m2.3 m1.6 m2.2 m
Gross profit2.9 m2.7 m3.2 m3.0 m2.7 m1.7 m1.6 m2.9 m
Research & development1.5 m1.7 m1.5 m1.7 m1.7 m1.6 m1.3 m1.4 m
SG&A1.7 m2.3 m2.1 m2.1 m2.4 m2.6 m3.5 m2.3 m
Operating income-325.0 k-1.3 m-377.0 k-844.0 k-1.4 m-2.5 m-3.1 m-724.0 k
Depreciation & amortisation111.0 k ≈113.0 k127.0 k110.0 k ≈132.0 k ≈126.0 k115.0 k102.0 k ≈
Interest expense———0———873.0 k
Pre-tax income-307.0 k-1.2 m-361.0 k-762.0 k-1.4 m-2.5 m-3.2 m-1.6 m
Income tax0-779.0 k21.0 k20.0 k0238.0 k00
Net income-307.0 k-1.2 m-382.0 k-742.0 k-1.4 m-2.8 m-3.2 m-1.6 m
Diluted EPS-0.03-0.03 ≈-0.04-0.08-0.15-0.07 ≈-0.34-0.17
Operating cash flow839.0 k ≈-1.6 m109.0 k-342.0 k ≈-343.0 k ≈-1.7 m-2.2 m-2.9 m ≈
Capex115.0 k ≈188.0 k56.0 k291.0 k ≈5.0 k ≈206.0 k8.0 k221.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue29.2 m21.6 m20.3 m25.8 m24.2 m28.1 m21.8 m21.5 m
Revenue YoY−14.2%−26.2%−5.7%+27.1%−6.3%+15.9%−22.4%−1.2%
Net income1.6 m-1.2 m-4.0 m-555.0 k-1.1 m486.0 k-3.1 m-5.2 m
Net income YoY−70.5%−173.9%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−736.4%unavailable
Diluted EPS0.19-0.14-0.48-0.06-0.130.05-0.34-0.56
Diluted EPS YoY−70.8%−173.7%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−780.0%unavailable
net %5.5%-5.5%-19.5%-2.1%-4.6%1.7%-14.2%-24.4%
Free cash flow1.2 m-2.7 m-229.0 k787.0 k-2.1 m1.2 m-1.5 m-2.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
7.9 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
13.5 m USD
Total assets
20.2 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
3.46x
ROE
-33.6%
ROA
-23.2%
FCF margin
-13.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
28.1 m
2024
21.8 m
2025
21.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
11.9 m
2024
10.2 m
2025
10.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
16.2 m
2024
11.6 m
2025
10.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Research & development
2023
6.5 m
2024
6.2 m
2025
6.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

SG&A
2023
9.2 m
2024
8.4 m
2025
9.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Operating income
2023
448.0 k
2024
-3.0 m
2025
-5.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
608.0 k
2024
564.0 k
2025
495.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.1 m ≈
2024
-2.5 m ≈
2025
-4.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
680.0 k
2024
-2.7 m
2025
-5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2023
194.0 k
2024
-386.0 k
2025
240.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2023
486.0 k
2024
-3.1 m
2025
-5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.05
2024
-0.34
2025
-0.56

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
9.1 m
2024
9.2 m
2025
9.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
12.3 m
2024
10.3 m
2025
7.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Receivables
2023
5.7 m
2024
4.0 m
2025
2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Inventories
2023
5.9 m
2024
6.2 m
2025
5.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2023
24.6 m
2024
21.2 m
2025
17.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.4 m
2024
1.0 m
2025
807.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Total assets
2023
27.4 m
2024
25.0 m
2025
20.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.3 m
2024
820.0 k
2025
1.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
6.2 m
2024
5.1 m
2025
5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2023
20.3 m †
2024
17.6 m †
2025
13.5 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
2.4 m
2024
-995.0 k
2025
-2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.2 m
2024
467.0 k
2025
558.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.2 m ≈
2024
-1.5 m ≈
2025
-2.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.2 m
2024
-467.0 k
2025
-558.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-356.0 k
2024
-232.0 k
2025
-107.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Apr 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2021verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
50.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-41.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-43.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-50.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-42.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-61.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-36.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-59.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-7.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
440.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-7.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
84 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
253 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
56 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
280 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
25.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-30.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-30.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.43 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 25.2 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
25.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-61.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-50.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 14 Aug 2026
verified 2307derived 236

Score by group

27% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals (SIC 3825)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-50.1%0 (vs peers)23%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-3.9%0 (on a fixed band)31%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.9x94 (on a fixed band)15%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-30.1%0 (on a fixed band)31%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial94/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

DATA I/O CORPORATION (DAIO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 21.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -1.2%; net margin -50.1%; ROE -61.2%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 1.9x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -50.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -3.9%
  • FCF yield: -30.1%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals (SIC 3825) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 35.8x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 22.2x
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 3.7x
below median (−61.2%)
P/B
2.1x
vertical median 4.1x
below median (−48.6%)
ROE
-61.2%
vertical median 3.0%
below median (−2,113.7%)
Net margin
-50.1%
vertical median 3.7%
below median (−1,463.5%)
EBIT margin
-43.7%
vertical median 3.6%
below median (−1,304.4%)
Revenue YoY
-1.2%
vertical median 4.6%
below median (−126.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.1x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TERTeradyne, Inc.39.2 bn28.842.9%27.5%+13.1%+38% / +172%
VLTOVeralto Corporation28.5 bn28.933.0%17.3%+6.0%+16% / +51%
ITRIItron, Inc.4.5 bn16.416.5%12.1%−3.0%+3% / +51%
COHUCohu, Inc.2.1 bn—-2.8%-4.0%+12.7%+81% / +39%
AEHRAehr Test Systems2.0 bn—-4.2%-14.3%−15.2%+165% / +165%
ALNTAllient Inc1.4 bn35.812.1%6.2%+4.6%+48% / +205%
TRNSTranscat, Inc.1.0 bn226.71.5%1.3%+19.2%+91% / +10%
FEIMFrequency Electronics, Inc.693.5 m243.83.0%3.7%−9.4%+115% / +523%
INTTinTest Corporation175.9 m335.20.6%0.5%−12.9%+74% / +7%
DAIOData I25.2 m—-61.2%-50.1%−1.2%−19% / −20%

1- and 3-year price returns: for DAIO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Data I/O Corporation designs and sells programming and security deployment systems that prepare flash memory, microcontrollers and secure elements for electronics manufacturers. The company is in the middle of a strategic transformation, with net sales of 21.5 million USD in fiscal 2025 1 and sales of 5.2 million USD in the second quarter of 2026 2, which shows how cyclical its equipment base remains.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a recognized position in device programming and a recently refreshed platform portfolio, with technology awards for LumenX2 1.
    • A high share of adapters and services gives more stable revenue than equipment sales alone 12.
    • The company carries no debt, and its balance sheet provides a solid financial base for the transformation 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Sales depend heavily on customers' investment cycles, which makes the business cyclical and sensitive to equipment demand 1.
    • Concentration in automotive has increased, and the slowdown in that sector reduced bookings 1.
    • The company made an error in the revenue-by-type presentation for 2025 and restated results, which points to internal control issues 2.

    Opportunities

    • Expansion into the broader data provisioning market and Edge AI could open new revenue sources 1.
    • The strategic acquisition announced in the second quarter of 2026 could diversify the customer base and extend programming-as-a-service 2.
    • Cost reduction through AI and the realignment of operations could improve margins if sustained 12.

    Threats

    • Tariffs and trade tensions between the United States and China can raise costs and hold back customer investment 1.
    • Redirection of technology investment toward AI could reduce demand for the company's traditional equipment 1.
    • A cybersecurity incident in August 2025 exposed weaknesses in internal systems, and remediation costs were significant 1.

    Risks

    • Automotive concentrationhigh

      If demand from the automotive sector keeps falling, revenue could be significantly affected, because transitioning to other markets takes time 1.

    • Tariffs and international tradehigh

      Higher tariffs or retaliatory trade actions could raise costs and reduce margins 1.

    • Acquisitions and integrationmedium

      The planned acquisitions could lead to integration difficulties, dilution or lower profitability if they are not managed well 1.

    • Technology changemedium

      If new memory technologies or standards are not supported in time, the products could become less competitive 1.

    • Internal controls and reportingmedium

      The revenue presentation correction and the ongoing clawback analysis show that control processes may need improvement 2.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If sales recover in Asia and international regions and Edge AI demand materializes, the company could return to growth, as its 2026 plan suggests 12.
    • The large share of recurring adapter and service revenue provides a steadier base, and a balance sheet without debt could support investment if the capital cycle improves 12.
    • Cost reduction through AI and better margins in the second quarter of 2026 could strengthen profitability if the trend continues 2.

    What would break the thesis

    • If the automotive sector stays weak and tariffs worsen, revenue could keep falling and the growth plan could be delayed 1.
    • Sales fell in the first half of 2026 compared with the prior year, and 2025 bookings were lower, which signals demand that remains fragile 12.
    • The announced acquisition and the expansion into new markets could absorb resources without quickly delivering growth if integration falls short 12.

    What to watch

    • Trend in quarterly net sales and bookingsQ3 2026
    • Completion of the announced acquisition and its effect on the customer base2026
    • Results of the switchover to the Acumatica ERP systemQ3 2026
    • Outcome of the operational realignment and related costs in the next annual reportnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Data I/O designs, manufactures and sells programming and security deployment systems and services for electronics manufacturers, turning intellectual property into secured data and loading it into memories, microcontrollers and security devices 1. The company was incorporated in Washington state in 1969 and operates from Redmond and Shanghai, with sales and support operations in Munich 12. In 2025 its revenue model began to shift away from dependence on capital cycles toward adapters, software and services 1.

    The product line includes automated PSV systems and manual Lumen X and FlashPAK III programmers, and the LumenX2 platform launched in late 2025 extends device coverage 1. The Unified Programming Platform strategy aims for one architecture from design through high-volume production 1. In February 2026 the company announced a collaboration with IAR to simplify secure provisioning of devices 1.

    Management has run a transformation plan built on six priorities under a CEO who took over in the fourth quarter of 2024 1. The company reduced its normalized operating costs and deployed AI tools across all departments 1. In the second quarter of 2026 it announced a letter of intent for a strategic acquisition intended to diversify its customer base and expand programming-as-a-service 2.

    Segments

    Programming platforms

    Platform sales were 42% of total sales in 2025, down from 51% in 2024, and automated and manual programming systems form the core of the technical offer 1. Their share fell further in 2026, to 35% of revenue in the first six months 2.

    Adapters and services

    Adapters and maintenance software provide recurring revenue that cushions weak equipment demand 1. Adapters were 37% of sales in 2025, and their share rose to 39% in the first six months of 2026 12.

    Software and services

    Software, maintenance and service sales grew as a share of revenue as the installed base expanded and new capabilities were added 1. In the second quarter of 2026 this category made up 22% of revenue, up from 18% a year earlier 2.

    Market context

    The core market is programmable devices for automotive electronics, IoT and consumer electronics, and automotive has been the company's largest end market 1. The company is extending its focus toward the broader data provisioning market and Edge AI, which it considers larger than the traditional programming equipment market 1.

    Demand for capital equipment has been affected by trade and tariff uncertainty and by the shift of technology spending toward AI investment 12. International sales made up most of total net sales in the second quarter of 2026 2.

    Trends

    • Recovery in Asia and international regionstailwind

      Bookings in 2025 were strongest from Asia, and late in the year new customers and definitive production timelines emerged 1. If this trend holds, it could support a recovery in sales 1.

    • Dependence on automotiveheadwind

      Automotive electronics made up 64% of 2025 bookings, up from 59% in 2024, which exposes the company to the auto slowdown and to the reassessment of electric vehicle plans 1. This concentration could limit sales if demand from that sector keeps falling 1.

    • Edge AI and data provisioningtailwind

      The buildout of Edge AI could create new demand for secure provisioning of devices, and the company reports early signs of customer interest 12. The effect depends on how quickly these markets mature 1.

    • Tariffs and trade uncertaintymixed

      Tariffs between the United States and China raised costs and led some customers to move production, and the company manages its exposure with dual sourcing in Redmond and Shanghai 12. The effect is mixed, since dual sourcing can protect margins while uncertainty holds back customer investment 1.

    Competitive position

    The analyzed sources do not name competitors, so the competitive landscape cannot be detailed from the available texts. The company presents itself as a global leader in data programming for flash memory and microcontrollers, and its advantage rests on platforms, patents and security partnerships 1.

    Customers compare solutions on quality, throughput, reliability, traceability, global support and security, and the lowest equipment cost and lifecycle cost also matter 1. The IAR collaboration shows a strategy of completing the offer through partnerships with other technology providers 1.

    • Embedded development tool and security solution providers, collaboration partners

      The collaboration announced with IAR in February 2026 points to both competition and cooperation with providers of embedded security solutions, without identifying a US-listed company 1.

    • Makers of programming equipment with large installed bases

      The sources say customers weigh procurement cost, throughput and global support, which points to competition with established suppliers that have large device libraries 1.

    • Programming-at-test service providers

      Programming at test and programming services are segments that now exceed the traditional equipment market and are contested by other providers 1.

    • Security solution providers for microcontrollers

      Demand for secure provisioning and secure elements attracts specialized suppliers that can compete with the company's offer in security segments 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report29 Oct 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report22 Oct 2026
      Material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report19 Oct 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report14 Aug 2026
    • Current report12 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report30 Jul 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report13 Jul 2026
      Termination of a material agreement · Item 2.04 · Item 3.02 · Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report23 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Proxy statement29 May 2026
    • Current report19 May 2026
      Item 3.02 · Other events

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Data I/O Corporation · 16 Apr 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Data I/O Corporation · 14 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.