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olivLaw · US equity research

Ecovyst Inc. ECVT

Chemicals & Allied Products · SIC 2800 · Vertical: Chemicals & Allied Products (SIC 2800)

9.97USD−0.80% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Ecovyst is an integrated provider of regenerated and virgin sulfuric acid, with a leading position in regeneration services for North American refineries. Its current relevance comes from sales growth in the second quarter of 2026 and the Calabrian acquisition, which broadens its range toward sulfur dioxide and derivatives, while leverage has risen. Sales in fiscal 2025 were 723.5 million USD, and the second quarter of 2026 brought 250.0 million USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) stock was 9.97 USD (−0.80% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.1 bn USD, dividend yield 32.10%, beta 0.97, 52-week range 8.14–14.97 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 250.0 m USD (+42.0% YoY), net income of 7.9 m USD (+31.4% YoY), diluted EPS 0.07 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.1 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.53 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-5.32%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
32.10%
DPS 12m 3.20
Beta (2y)
0.97
Volatility (1y) 32%
52-week range
8.1414.97

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
45.6
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
9.76 – 10.32
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.37 · band width 5.5%
SMA 50 / 200
10.15 / 11.80
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.05 / -0.06
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−3.9%−1.1%−2.8 pp—
3 months−12.9%−0.5%−12.5 pp—
6 months−32.1%+4.4%−36.5 pp—
Year to date+2.5%+12.3%−9.8 pp—
1 year+27.2%+13.5%+13.6 pp+0.8%
3 years+5.8%+76.4%−70.6 pp−49.7%
5 years−18.4%+63.7%−82.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−34.6%
14 May 2026 → 23 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−59.6%
09 Nov 2021 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−4.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
250.0 m USD
+42.0% YoY
Net income
7.9 m USD
+31.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.07
+40.0% YoY
net / operating
3.1% / 7.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue153.9 m148.9 m143.1 m176.1 m204.9 m199.4 m215.0 m250.0 m
Cost of revenue108.7 m105.9 m124.0 m135.9 m152.8 m152.7 m178.5 m200.1 m
Gross profit45.1 m43.0 m19.1 m40.2 m52.1 m46.8 m36.4 m49.8 m
SG&A15.2 m15.5 m16.5 m17.6 m15.7 m16.2 m19.1 m17.4 m
Operating income27.5 m22.4 m-981.0 k15.8 m28.3 m21.8 m12.5 m19.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation23.2 m22.6 m23.1 m23.9 m————
Interest expense11.3 m-1.1 m8.4 m8.5 m8.4 m9.4 m3.2 m3.5 m
Pre-tax income19.4 m14.8 m-10.4 m7.0 m20.6 m8.2 m9.3 m14.9 m
Income tax4.6 m-8.3 m-2.2 m2.0 m20.2 m-476.0 k3.6 m4.2 m
Net income14.3 m-30.4 m-3.6 m6.0 m-79.3 m5.7 m4.3 m7.9 m
Diluted EPS0.12-0.26-0.030.05-0.690.050.040.07
Operating cash flow59.9 m ≈43.5 m10.3 m33.0 m ≈55.3 m ≈41.8 m16.9 m34.3 m ≈
Capex6.3 m ≈12.6 m17.1 m22.0 m ≈12.5 m ≈18.8 m14.1 m30.7 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈0021.9 m ≈5.5 m ≈19.5 m36.3 m0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.2 bn532.7 m495.9 m611.2 m820.2 m584.8 m598.3 m723.5 m
Revenue YoY−16.5%−56.6%−6.9%+23.2%+34.2%−28.7%+2.3%+20.9%
Net income58.3 m79.5 m-278.8 m-139.9 m73.7 m71.2 m-6.7 m-71.1 m
Net income YoY+1.2%+36.4%−450.5%unavailableunavailable−3.5%−109.3%unavailable
Diluted EPS0.430.59-2.04-1.020.550.60-0.06-0.61
Diluted EPS YoY−17.3%+37.2%−445.8%unavailableunavailable+9.1%−110.0%unavailable
net %4.7%14.9%-56.2%-22.9%9.0%12.2%-1.1%-9.8%
Free cash flow136.8 m212.5 m168.8 m69.9 m127.7 m78.6 m94.3 m69.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
197.2 m USD
Financial debt
392.6 m USD
Net debt
195.4 m USD
Equity
603.4 m USD
Total assets
1.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.65x
Current ratio
2.64x
ROE
-10.9%
ROA
-4.6%
FCF margin
9.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
584.8 m
2024
598.3 m
2025
723.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
418.4 m
2024
434.9 m
2025
565.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
166.4 m
2024
163.4 m
2025
158.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
7.8 m
2024
6.8 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

SG&A
2023
60.5 m
2024
65.4 m
2025
66.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
89.6 m
2024
85.1 m
2025
64.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
84.6 m
2024
89.4 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
174.1 m ≈
2024
174.5 m ≈
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
44.7 m
2024
36.5 m
2025
34.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
56.9 m
2024
45.2 m
2025
25.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
8.7 m
2024
-299.0 k
2025
19.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
71.2 m
2024
-6.7 m
2025
-71.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.60
2024
-0.06
2025
-0.61

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
119.5 m
2024
117.4 m
2025
116.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Mar 2022verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
88.4 m
2024
131.4 m
2025
197.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
81.3 m
2024
53.2 m
2025
85.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
45.1 m
2024
18.0 m
2025
26.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
246.0 m
2024
303.7 m
2025
319.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
576.9 m
2024
458.7 m
2025
481.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
404.5 m
2024
326.6 m
2025
326.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
116.6 m
2024
67.7 m
2025
59.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
40.2 m
2024
32.9 m
2025
48.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
9.0 m
2024
8.7 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
858.9 m
2024
852.1 m
2025
392.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
119.1 m
2024
115.1 m
2025
120.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
657.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
705.5 m
2024
700.5 m †
2025
603.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
137.6 m
2024
149.9 m
2025
140.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
59.0 m
2024
55.6 m
2025
70.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
78.6 m ≈
2024
94.3 m ≈
2025
69.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-65.3 m
2024
-73.5 m
2025
435.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-93.5 m
2024
-17.8 m
2025
-525.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Feb 2024verified

Share repurchases
2023
78.7 m
2024
5.0 m
2025
46.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
20.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-4.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-23.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-25.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
21.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
20.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
9.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
8.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
405.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
3.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
148.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
76.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
72.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
84.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
45 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
29 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
33 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
18.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
1.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
15.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
32.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.45
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 55 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

9.97 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
-9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
20.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
32.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

36/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 1725derived 110

Score by group

  • Balance sheet48
  • Valuation69
  • Quality68
  • Growth0
  • Returns80

Estimated value range

Low
7.14
USD per share
Mid
11.35
USD per share
High
26.35
USD per share
Price: 9.97 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 13.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 12.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.32 – 56.55 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)7.14 – 14.61 (Mid 9.86)
    WACC 8.0% · starting FCFF 92.7 m USD · terminal value share of EV 76%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -3.8%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA2.32 – 26.35 (Mid 11.35)
    4 companies used · median multiple 9.4x · quartiles 3.8x – 18.8x
    GURE, HUN, NGVT, OLN
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)42.05 – 56.55 (Mid 48.24)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Chemicals & Allied Products (SIC 2800)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 55/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality5.6%83 (vs peers)15%
Net margin · Quality-7.1%43 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.1%0 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.3x48 (on a fixed band)15%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.4x29 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.7x75 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation8.6x59 (on a fixed band)15%
FCF yield · Valuation6.6%83 (on a fixed band)12%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns5.6%80 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet48/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality68/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial80/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation69/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 723.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 20.9%; net margin -7.1%; ROE -9.6%; net debt/EBITDA 2.3x.

The estimated value range is 7.14–26.35 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 11.35 USD, the price of 9.97 USD leaves a potential of 13.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 12.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 55/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 5.6%
  • Current ratio: 1.7x
  • FCF yield: 6.6%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 5.6%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -4.1%
  • Interest coverage: 3.4x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Chemicals & Allied Products (SIC 2800) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 31.4x
EV/EBITDA
8.6x
vertical median 9.4x
below median (−9.2%)
P/S
1.3x
vertical median 1.4x
below median (−7.8%)
P/B
1.9x
vertical median 2.9x
below median (−36.9%)
ROE
-9.6%
vertical median -12.2%
above median
Net margin
-7.1%
vertical median -5.5%
below median
EBIT margin
9.4%
vertical median -3.3%
above median
Revenue YoY
20.9%
vertical median -1.1%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
2.3x
vertical median 4.0x
below median (−42.6%)
Dividend yield
32.1%
vertical median 3.5%
above median (+821.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SOLSSolstice Advanced Materials Inc.9.1 bn28.313.6%7.8%+3.1%+21% / unavailable
BCPCBalchem Corporation5.8 bn34.413.0%15.4%+8.8%+17% / +46%
PRMPerimeter Solutions, Inc.4.6 bn—-30.9%-44.9%+16.4%+1% / +575%
NGVTIngevity Corporation2.5 bn50.164.4%4.7%−2.7%+41% / +90%
CCThe Chemours Company2.1 bn—-339.7%-5.2%+0.4%+8% / −50%
OLNOlin Corporation2.1 bn—-12.2%-3.3%+3.7%−14% / −62%
IOSPInnospec Inc.2.0 bn14.210.5%7.5%−3.7%+8% / −23%
HUNHuntsman Corporation1.7 bn—-11.8%-5.8%−5.8%−5% / −60%
ECVTEcovyst Inc.1.1 bn—-9.6%-7.1%+20.9%+27% / +6%
FMCFmc Corporation998.7 m—-226.7%-151.2%−18.3%−55% / −88%
ACNTAscent Industries Co.124.0 m—-1.1%-1.0%−7.2%−3% / +68%
CITRCitroTech Inc.54.8 m—-431.0%-1,788.4%+194.6%unavailable / unavailable
LOOPLoop Industries, Inc.13.0 m——-2,154.3%−95.3%−77% / −92%
GUREGulf Resources, Inc.5.6 m—-32.4%-134.4%+231.8%+3% / −80%
ADURAduro Clean Technologies Inc.——-133.8%-5,253.1%−31.5%−26% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for ECVT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Ecovyst is an integrated provider of regenerated and virgin sulfuric acid, with a leading position in regeneration services for North American refineries. Its current relevance comes from sales growth in the second quarter of 2026 and the Calabrian acquisition, which broadens its range toward sulfur dioxide and derivatives, while leverage has risen. Sales in fiscal 2025 were 723.5 million USD 1, and the second quarter of 2026 brought 250.0 million USD 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Leading position in sulfuric acid regeneration for North American refineries, supported by a network of plants that is hard to replicate.
    • Long-term contracts with large customers and broad raw material pass-through clauses support margin stability.
    • Operating cash flow rose in the first half of 2026, and tax-deductible intangibles provide cash tax benefits.

    Weaknesses

    • Gross margin declined in 2025 versus 2024 due to higher manufacturing costs and lower regeneration volumes.
    • Significant indebtedness, increased by the Calabrian acquisition, reduces financial flexibility.
    • Reliance on a limited number of large customers, one of which accounts for a material share of sales.

    Opportunities

    • Integration of Calabrian could bring synergies and open new applications in food and pharmaceutical industries.
    • Demand for alkylate and premium gasoline could support regeneration volumes over the long term.
    • Expanding virgin acid capacity for mining and water treatment could diversify revenue.

    Threats

    • A decline in industrial demand could reduce virgin acid sales, which the company already describes as cautious.
    • Volatile sulfur costs and gaps in price pass-through could compress margins.
    • Climate regulations and emissions limits could generate additional operating and capital costs.

    Risks

    • Higher leveragehigh

      The Calabrian acquisition was partly funded with additional debt, increasing sensitivity to interest rates and to any drop in earnings.

    • Dependence on large customershigh

      Loss or reduction of an important customer could significantly affect profitability.

    • Raw material volatilitymedium

      Timing gaps between raw material price adjustments and product price adjustments could reduce profitability, especially if long-term supply contracts expire.

    • Industrial cyclicalitymedium

      A slowdown in industrial activity could reduce demand for virgin acid, a segment where the company says it is cautious.

    • Regulatory and environmental risklow

      Rules on greenhouse gas emissions and environmental matters could generate additional expenses.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Sales growth in the second quarter of 2026 and the raised EBITDA outlook suggest operating fundamentals could strengthen if demand stays solid.
    • The Calabrian acquisition could significantly widen the sulfur-based product platform and bring integration synergies if delivered as planned.
    • A leading regeneration position, backed by long contracts and a logistics network, could provide relatively predictable revenue through economic cycles.

    What would break the thesis

    • Higher debt after the Calabrian acquisition could limit the company's ability to respond to a drop in demand or margins.
    • Lower gross margin in 2025 and the cautious outlook for virgin acid in the second half of the year suggest profitability pressure may persist.
    • Reliance on a few large customers and a cyclical industrial segment could amplify the effects of an economic slowdown.

    What to watch

    • Integration and synergies of the Calabrian businessQ3 2026
    • Delivery of the adjusted EBITDA guidance of 195 to 207 million USD2026
    • Movement of the net debt leverage ratio from 2.0xQ4 2026
    • Demand for virgin acid in industrial and mining applicationsnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Ecovyst Inc., formerly PQ Group Holdings Inc., is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker ECVT and presents itself as an integrated provider of virgin and regenerated sulfuric acid 1. It operates nine manufacturing facilities concentrated on the Gulf Coast and in California, where about 64% of US refining capacity is located 1. On December 31, 2025 it sold the Advanced Materials & Catalysts segment, and on June 30, 2026 it acquired the Calabrian sulfur dioxide and derivatives business 12.

    The business rests on regenerating sulfuric acid used in the alkylation process, which is essential for high-octane gasoline, and on delivering it through a proprietary logistics network including captive pipelines, barge, rail and truck 1. Most contracts include raw material pass-through clauses, which helps stabilize margins 1.

    The company describes a model of long-term contracts with large industrial customers, with relationships averaging more than 50 years for its top ten customers 1. The Waggaman acquisition in 2025 and Calabrian in 2026 extend the platform toward mining, water treatment and potentially food and pharmaceutical applications 123.

    Segments

    Regeneration and treatment services

    This segment generated 361.2 million USD in 2025, or 49.9% of sales, and includes sulfuric acid regeneration for refineries and treatment of hazardous waste 1. Demand is supported by the octane needs of premium gasoline and high refinery utilization 1.

    Industrial, mining and automotive

    The segment rose to 327.9 million USD in 2025, representing 45.3% of sales, driven by higher virgin sulfuric acid sales and the contribution of the Waggaman location 1. The company expects lower virgin acid sales in the third and fourth quarters of 2026 compared with 2025 and remains cautious about industrial demand 3.

    Market context

    Ecovyst operates in the sulfuric acid regeneration market for North American refineries, where it considers itself a leader with a supply share substantially larger than its closest competitor 1. Demand for alkylate is supported by stricter gasoline standards, growth in premium gasoline and gasoline exports 1. Demand for virgin acid depends partly on mining and industrial activity, which can be more volatile 13.

    Market structure favors incumbent producers, since investment and regulatory hurdles for expanding capacity are costly and supply chains and captive pipelines add further advantages 1. If industrial demand weakens, virgin acid revenue could decline, while regeneration stays more predictable thanks to long-term contracts 13.

    Trends

    • Rising demand for premium gasoline and alkylatetailwind

      More efficient turbocharged engines and Tier 3 sulfur standards for gasoline increase the need for alkylate, which supports regeneration volumes 1. If refineries sustain high utilization, demand for Ecovyst services could remain solid 3.

    • Higher sulfur costs and price pass-throughmixed

      Higher sulfur costs led to a pass-through of about 77 million USD in 2025 sales and added roughly 55 million USD to second quarter 2026 sales 13. The company raised its sales outlook, but gross margin could compress if the pass-through does not fully offset cost increases 1.

    • Acquisition-led consolidation in sulfurtailwind

      The Calabrian acquisition extends the portfolio into sulfur dioxide and derivatives for mining, water treatment and food and pharmaceutical uses 23. Integration and synergies are still to be confirmed and could add value if realized 3.

    • Leverage and financing costsheadwind

      A 100 million USD increase in the term loan to fund Calabrian lifted the net debt leverage ratio to 2.0x 23. If interest rates stay high or results fall short of guidance, debt service could limit financial flexibility 13.

    Competitive position

    Ecovyst cites its geographic footprint, supply share and integrated logistics as advantages that would be costly for competitors to replicate 1. The main competitors named in the source are Chemtrade and Nexpera, formerly the sulfuric acid business of Veolia 1.

    Competition runs on price, reliability and responsiveness to customer demand, and larger competitors or those with less debt could better withstand market changes 1. Consolidation among competitors or customers could reduce demand or make competition harder 1.

    • Chemtrade

      Competitor named in the source for refinery and sulfuric acid services in North America; ticker not confirmed in the source.

    • Nexpera

      Former sulfuric acid business of Veolia, cited as a competitor in regeneration services for North American refineries.

    • Incumbent sulfuric acid producers

      Existing producers that benefit from high entry costs and consolidated logistics networks, not individually named in the source.

    • Copper smelter acid producers

      Producers of virgin acid obtained as a by-product of copper smelting, which compete in the industrial segment; no specific names in the source.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report28 Oct 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report24 Aug 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
    • Current report05 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report30 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report21 May 2026
      Shareholder vote
    • Quarterly report05 May 2026
    • Current report05 May 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report04 May 2026
      Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Proxy statement15 Apr 2026

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Ecovyst Inc. · 27 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Ecovyst Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Ecovyst Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.