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olivLaw · US equity research

National Beverage Corp. FIZZ

Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters · SIC 2086 · Vertical: Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters (SIC 2086)

37.65USD+4.29% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) makes and distributes in the United States sparkling waters, energy drinks, juices and, to a lesser extent, carbonated soft drinks, best known for its LaCroix brand. In fiscal 2026 net sales were 1180.6 million USD, while in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 cost pressures and lower volumes cut gross margin to 35.0%.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) stock was 37.65 USD (+4.29% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.5 bn USD, P/E 20.2 on diluted EPS of 1.86 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 8.63%, beta 0.03, 52-week range 29.20–37.73 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 330.7 m USD (+0.0% YoY), net income of 47.0 m USD (−15.7% YoY), diluted EPS 0.50 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.5 bn USD
shares as of 08 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.2
Diluted EPS TTM 1.86 · TTM to 01 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.94%
TTM to 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
8.63%
Beta (2y)
0.03
Volatility (1y) 31%
52-week range
29.2037.73

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
68.2
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
30.97 – 38.31
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.91 · band width 21.2%
SMA 50 / 200
32.48 / 33.73
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.29 / 1.13
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+26.2%−1.1%+27.3 pp—
3 months+16.9%−0.5%+17.3 pp—
6 months+7.7%+4.4%+3.3 pp—
Year to date+18.1%+12.3%+5.7 pp—
1 year+13.1%+13.5%−0.4 pp+25.3%
3 years−23.2%+76.4%−99.6 pp+37.5%
5 years−39.5%+63.7%−103.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−22.6%
24 Feb 2026 → 30 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−53.8%
15 Nov 2021 → 30 Sept 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−9.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 01 Aug 2026

Revenue
330.7 m USD
+0.0% YoY
Net income
47.0 m USD
−15.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.50
−16.7% YoY
net / operating
14.2% / 17.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue291.2 m267.1 m313.6 m330.5 m288.3 m264.6 m297.1 m330.7 m
Cost of revenue181.9 m168.1 m200.4 m205.1 m179.1 m165.0 m194.1 m214.9 m
Gross profit109.4 m99.0 m113.2 m125.5 m109.2 m99.6 m103.0 m115.8 m
SG&A51.5 m48.4 m55.7 m54.7 m51.1 m48.5 m52.9 m57.3 m
Operating income57.9 m50.6 m57.5 m70.8 m58.0 m51.1 m50.1 m58.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation5.1 m ≈4.8 m ≈5.5 m5.4 m5.6 m ≈5.6 m ≈6.1 m6.3 m
Pre-tax income59.6 m52.0 m59.1 m73.0 m60.7 m53.9 m52.9 m61.7 m
Income tax14.0 m12.3 m14.4 m17.3 m14.3 m12.7 m12.6 m14.7 m
Net income45.6 m39.6 m44.8 m55.8 m46.4 m41.2 m40.3 m47.0 m
Diluted EPS0.490.420.48 ≈0.600.490.440.43 ≈0.50
Operating cash flow42.6 m ≈46.5 m ≈60.1 m59.1 m25.7 m ≈50.9 m ≈45.5 m64.9 m
Capex6.9 m ≈10.2 m ≈15.5 m3.1 m5.8 m ≈6.3 m ≈9.9 m3.1 m
Dividends paid0 ≈0 ≈000 ≈0 ≈0304.2 m
Share repurchases—0 ≈0——0 ≈0—

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 80 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 0.1, median 1.3, max 26.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue1.0 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn
Revenue YoY+3.9%−1.4%+7.2%+6.1%+3.1%+1.6%+0.8%−1.7%
Net income140.9 m130.0 m174.1 m158.5 m142.2 m176.7 m186.8 m183.6 m
Net income YoY−6.0%−7.7%+34.0%−9.0%−10.3%+24.3%+5.7%−1.7%
Diluted EPS1.501.391.861.691.521.891.991.96
Diluted EPS YoY−53.0%−7.3%+33.8%−9.1%−10.1%+24.3%+5.3%−1.5%
net %13.9%13.0%16.2%13.9%12.1%14.8%15.6%15.6%
Free cash flow101.1 m153.8 m168.5 m104.1 m139.7 m167.6 m170.4 m156.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 02 May 2026

Cash
349.5 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
635.7 m USD
Total assets
851.6 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
4.39x
ROE
34.0%
ROA
24.1%
FCF margin
13.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
763.2 m
2025
757.4 m
2026
743.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
428.5 m
2025
443.9 m
2026
437.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

SG&A
2024
209.9 m
2025
208.5 m
2026
207.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Operating income
2024
218.5 m
2025
235.5 m
2026
230.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
20.2 m
2025
20.8 m
2026
22.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
238.7 m ≈
2025
256.3 m ≈
2026
252.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2024
229.8 m
2025
244.6 m
2026
240.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Income tax
2024
53.1 m
2025
57.7 m
2026
56.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Net income
2024
176.7 m
2025
186.8 m
2026
183.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
1.89
2025
1.99
2026
1.96

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
93.6 m
2025
93.7 m
2026
93.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
327.0 m
2025
193.8 m
2026
349.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Receivables
2024
102.8 m
2025
104.2 m
2026
104.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Inventories
2024
84.6 m
2025
85.1 m
2026
95.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Current assets
2024
536.9 m
2025
406.9 m
2026
593.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
159.7 m
2025
175.6 m
2026
182.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
13.1 m
2025
13.1 m
2026
13.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
1.6 m
2025
1.6 m
2026
1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Total assets
2024
770.2 m
2025
672.9 m
2026
851.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
78.3 m
2025
82.4 m
2026
87.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jun 2023verified

Current liabilities
2024
137.9 m
2025
140.5 m
2026
135.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
210.6 m
2025
228.9 m
2026
215.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Equity
2024
559.5 m †
2025
444.0 m †
2026
635.7 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
197.9 m
2025
206.7 m
2026
181.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Capex
2024
30.3 m
2025
36.3 m
2026
25.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
167.6 m ≈
2025
170.4 m ≈
2026
156.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-30.2 m
2025
-36.3 m
2026
-25.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
1.3 m
2025
-303.6 m
2026
-422.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
0
2025
304.1 m
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
0
2025
0
2026
673.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Jul 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
-2.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
-1.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
-1.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
8.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
-8.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
36.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
20.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBIT margin
18.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
14.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF margin
13.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
40.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROA
26.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
48.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
187.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Quick ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
187.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
25.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
161.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
92.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion
77.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
33 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days inventory outstanding
47 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
39 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion cycle
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
20.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Earnings yield
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
9.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/S
3.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
21.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
FCF yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
8.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

37.65 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
9.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
40.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
14.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 01 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 01 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 08 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Sept 2026
verified 2385derived 194

Score by group

63% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters (SIC 2086)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality14.8%88 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality92.6%89 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth0.2%2 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth8.8%59 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.4x100 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation20.2x44 (on a fixed band)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation4.6%57 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns8.7%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns187.9%0 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth30/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality88/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns60/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation50/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-01.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.2 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth -1.7%; net margin 14.8%; ROE 40.1%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 14.8%
  • FCF conversion: 92.6%
  • Current ratio: 2.4x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 8.7%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 0.2%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 187.9%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters (SIC 2086) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
20.2x
vertical median 52.5x
below median (−61.5%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
3.0x
vertical median 1.5x
above median (+101.4%)
P/B
9.6x
vertical median —
ROE
40.1%
vertical median 17.9%
above median (+124.4%)
Net margin
14.8%
vertical median 6.3%
above median (+134.4%)
EBIT margin
18.4%
vertical median 9.2%
above median (+100.7%)
Revenue YoY
-1.7%
vertical median 4.0%
below median (−143.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
8.6%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MNSTMonster Beverage Corp47.8 bn22.425.7%23.1%+10.7%+30% / +77%
CELHCelsius Holdings, Inc.7.8 bn104.310.5%4.2%+85.5%−25% / −38%
FIZZNational Beverage Corp.3.5 bn20.240.1%14.8%−1.7%+13% / −23%
COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.1.5 bn2.590.0%7.5%+4.8%+25% / +178%
REEDReed's, Inc.12.0 m—-14,800.0%-63.5%−10.2%−80% / −92%
CCEPCOCA-COLA EUROPACIFIC PARTNERS plc——23.8%9.3%+2.3%+26% / +91%
KOFCoca Cola Femsa Sab De Cv—82.6——+18.2%+33% / +38%
ZVIAZevia PBC——-18.0%-4.8%+4.0%−55% / −44%
FMXMexican Economic Development, Inc.——12.0%5.1%−9.9%+36% / +3%
AKO-AAndina Bottling Co Inc——25.2%8.0%+3.7%+18% / +105%

1- and 3-year price returns: for FIZZ from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
21.39
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
37.89
Total return 1% · Per year 1%
57.18
Total return 52% · Per year 52%
3 years
19.01
Total return -50% · Per year -20%
38.05
Total return 1% · Per year 0%
63.30
Total return 68% · Per year 19%
5 years
16.89
Total return -55% · Per year -15%
38.22
Total return 2% · Per year 0%
70.08
Total return 86% · Per year 13%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 9.51
  • Net margin± 6.66
  • Annual revenue growth± 5.70
  • Annual dilution± 0.56

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) makes and distributes in the United States sparkling waters, energy drinks, juices and, to a lesser extent, carbonated soft drinks, best known for its LaCroix brand. In fiscal 2026 net sales were 1180.6 million USD, while in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 cost pressures and lower volumes cut gross margin to 35.0%.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The LaCroix brand holds a leading position in the premium US sparkling water category and enjoys solid consumer recognition.
  • Vertical integration of production and control of its own formulas allow uniform quality and quick reaction to market changes.
  • The balance sheet is solid, with no borrowings outstanding, and the company has paid numerous special dividends to shareholders over time.

Weaknesses

  • The company depends heavily on the US market, and expansion abroad is still limited.
  • Margins are sensitive to aluminum and packaging prices, which can affect profitability in periods of volatility.
  • Volumes have fallen in several product categories, showing the difficulty of offsetting price increases with demand.

Opportunities

  • Expanding distribution to other regions, which the company says it is pursuing, could open new revenue sources.
  • The shift toward healthier, zero-sugar drinks can support demand for Zero Sugar variants and sparkling water.
  • Flavor and packaging innovation, such as new LaCroix flavors, could attract new buyers and increase occasional consumption.

Threats

  • Competition from large beverage companies with greater resources could limit the ability to hold prices and volumes.
  • Trade tariffs and regulation on sweeteners or dyes could raise costs or reduce demand for some products.
  • Consolidation of large retail chains gives customers bargaining power, which can limit price increases.

Risks

  • Raw material and energy costshigh

    Aluminum, packaging, fuel and transport are subject to price volatility. If these costs rise and the company cannot pass them on to customers, margins could decline.

  • Decline in sales volumeshigh

    Weak consumer confidence and higher prices have led to lower volumes. If this trend continues, revenue could be affected over the longer term.

  • Beverage regulationmedium

    Taxes on sweetened beverages and proposals to phase out synthetic dyes or remove sweetened products from food assistance programs could raise costs or reduce demand.

  • Dependence on large retail customersmedium

    Consolidation of retail chains gives them bargaining power and can limit the company's ability to raise prices. E-commerce and value stores are growing quickly, which shifts sales channels.

  • Cybersecuritylow

    The company depends on information systems and third-party cloud providers. Security incidents or outages could affect operations and financial reporting.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The LaCroix brand and the solid balance sheet give the company a stable base, and if volumes recover, margins could return toward earlier levels.
  • Consumer interest in healthier drinks and continued flavor innovation can support growth in the premium sparkling water category.
  • The special dividend policy shows the company's ability to generate cash, which can give flexibility for investment and for shareholders.

What would break the thesis

  • Volumes have declined in recent periods and margins were hit by aluminum costs, which could continue if pressures persist.
  • Competition from much larger companies with superior financial resources could limit the ability to raise prices.
  • Dependence on the US market and on trade tariffs can make revenue sensitive to policy changes and consumer confidence.

What to watch

  • Trend in gross margin and aluminum costsQ2 2027
  • Recovery of sales volumes after price increasesQ2 2027
  • Effect of tariffs and pricing actions on costs2027
  • Capital expenditure plan and efficiency of production facilitiesnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

National Beverage Corp. presents itself as a beverage company aimed at active and health-conscious consumers, with a portfolio of sparkling waters, juices, energy drinks and carbonated soft drinks. The company is incorporated in Delaware and has traded on NASDAQ since 1991. Its primary market is the United States, where it sells through its own distribution and through distributor networks. According to its annual report, LaCroix is its most important brand and the leader in the premium domestic sparkling water category.

The company's production model is vertically integrated: it procures raw materials, crafts its own flavors and concentrates, and produces finished beverages at twelve facilities located near major US metropolitan markets. The company says this control allows more effective quality management and quick response to market changes. Distribution runs through three channels, take-home, convenience and food-service, and marketing relies mainly on social media, regional promotion and in-store initiatives.

In September 2026 the company reported a special dividend of 3.25 USD per share paid in July 2026, its thirteenth such dividend, and said it has distributed over 1.8 billion USD to shareholders in total. For fiscal 2027 management expects capital expenditures to be comparable to fiscal 2026, when they were 25.1 million USD.

Segments

LaCroix sparkling water

LaCroix is the company's main brand and a pillar of the premium US sparkling water category, with zero calories, zero sweeteners and zero sodium. The company keeps launching new flavors, such as PineApple CocoNut, which supports consumer interest in the category.

Rip It energy drinks and juices

The Power+ portfolio also includes Rip It energy drinks, with zero-sugar variants, as well as the Everfresh, Everfresh Premier Varietals and Mr. Pure juice lines and Clear Fruit non-carbonated water. These products target consumers looking for healthier alternatives to very sweet beverages.

Shasta and Faygo carbonated soft drinks

Shasta and Faygo are long-established brands with more than a century of history and a loyal regional customer base. According to the company they make up a smaller part of sales, and their volumes have fallen along with the rest of the portfolio.

Market context

The US non-alcoholic beverage market is highly competitive, and consumers increasingly look for options with less sugar and more flavor variety. The company says the shift toward healthier consumption favors it, although in fiscal 2026 and the first quarter of fiscal 2027 volumes declined, partly due to weak consumer confidence and tariffs.

Input costs, especially for aluminum, packaging and transport, rose significantly and pressured margins across the industry. Average selling price per case rose 7.1% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, but this increase did not offset the decline in volumes.

Trends

  • Shift to healthier consumptiontailwind

    Consumers are moving toward drinks with less sugar and fewer calories, and the company builds its portfolio on this trend through LaCroix, Clear Fruit and its Zero Sugar variants. If the trend holds, it could support demand for its Power+ products.

  • Rising aluminum and packaging costsheadwind

    Prices of aluminum, packaging and fuel have risen, which reduced gross margin in the first quarter of fiscal 2027. If these costs stay high, the company's margins could remain below historical levels.

  • Tariffs and trade policyheadwind

    Import tariffs have affected raw material costs, and the company has chosen to absorb part of these increases at the request of the administration. Their longer-term effect depends on how trade policy evolves.

  • Innovation in flavors and packagingmixed

    New flavor launches and package design are used to stimulate demand and occasional consumption. The company sees innovation as a differentiator, but its success depends on consumer reception.

Competitive position

The company operates in an industry dominated by giants such as The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Keurig Dr. Pepper and Nestlé S.A., which have far greater financial and distribution resources. According to the annual report, competition centers on price, promotions, merchandising, product innovation and packaging.

The company says it can adapt faster than large competitors burdened by complex and costly production and distribution structures. It also compares itself with private label producers and regional brands, but the source materials do not give an exact market share.

  • The Coca-Cola CompanyKO

    The world's largest soft drink maker, described by the company as dominant in the industry with superior financial resources.

  • PepsiCoPEP

    Large beverage and snack producer, cited in the annual report as one of the competitors dominating the beverage category.

  • Keurig Dr. PepperKDP

    Non-alcoholic beverage company with a broad portfolio, named among the larger and better-funded competitors.

  • Nestlé S.A.

    International food group with beverage operations, cited by the company among competitors with greater resources.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 11 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 05 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-05-02 · SEC / National Beverage Corp. · 01 Jul 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-01 · SEC / National Beverage Corp. · 10 Sept 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / National Beverage Corp. · 11 Sept 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.