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olivLaw · US equity research

Henry Schein, Inc. HSIC

Wholesale-Medical, Dental & Hospital Equipment & Supplies · SIC 5047 · Vertical: Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 504x)

88.24USD+6.96% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Henry Schein is a global provider of healthcare products and services to office-based dental and medical practitioners and alternate care sites. The company reported net sales of 13.2 billion USD in fiscal 2025 and raised its 2026 guidance, while its new leadership aims to accelerate growth and simplify the business.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Henry Schein, Inc. (HSIC) stock was 88.24 USD (+6.96% on the day), with market capitalisation 9.8 bn USD, P/E 24.2 on diluted EPS of 3.65 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.57, 52-week range 68.99–90.86 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.5 bn USD (+4.0% YoY), net income of 119.0 m USD (+17.8% YoY), diluted EPS 1.06 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
9.8 bn USD
shares as of 26 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
24.2
Diluted EPS TTM 3.65 · TTM to 26 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.14%
TTM to 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.57
Volatility (1y) 27%
52-week range
68.9990.86

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
57.0
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
82.68 – 87.71
above the upper band · %B 1.11 · band width 5.9%
SMA 50 / 200
86.32 / 81.17
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.03 / -0.26
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+4.8%−1.1%+5.9 pp—
3 months−1.5%−0.5%−1.1 pp—
6 months+21.8%+4.4%+17.4 pp—
Year to date+16.8%+12.3%+4.4 pp—
1 year+23.2%+13.5%+9.7 pp+21.6%
3 years+41.4%+76.4%−35.0 pp+44.9%
5 years+10.2%+63.7%−53.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−17.2%
24 Feb 2026 → 11 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−32.7%
13 Apr 2022 → 02 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+2.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 26 Sept 2026

Revenue
3.5 bn USD
+4.0% YoY
Net income
119.0 m USD
+17.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.06
+26.2% YoY
net / operating
3.4% / 5.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue3.2 bn3.2 bn3.2 bn3.3 bn3.4 bn3.4 bn3.5 bn3.5 bn
Cost of revenue2.2 bn2.2 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn2.4 bn2.3 bn2.4 bn2.4 bn
Gross profit993.0 m1.0 bn1.0 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn
SG&A738.0 m738.0 m778.0 m760.0 m808.0 m809.0 m831.0 m819.0 m
Operating income155.0 m175.0 m151.0 m164.0 m163.0 m182.0 m171.0 m193.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation76.0 m73.0 m76.0 m80.0 m82.0 m81.0 m84.0 m86.0 m
Interest expense35.0 m35.0 m38.0 m38.0 m39.0 m39.0 m43.0 m42.0 m
Pre-tax income126.0 m145.0 m121.0 m134.0 m133.0 m150.0 m137.0 m160.0 m
Income tax31.0 m35.0 m31.0 m28.0 m32.0 m38.0 m34.0 m37.0 m
Net income94.0 m110.0 m86.0 m101.0 m101.0 m107.0 m94.0 m119.0 m
Diluted EPS0.75 ≈0.880.700.840.85 ≈0.920.821.06
Operating cash flow204.0 m37.0 m120.0 m ≈174.0 m ≈381.0 m-97.0 m242.0 m ≈161.0 m ≈
Capex36.0 m31.0 m32.0 m ≈33.0 m ≈43.0 m25.0 m30.0 m ≈30.0 m ≈
Share repurchases75.0 m161.0 m286.0 m ≈203.0 m ≈200.0 m125.0 m200.0 m ≈125.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 88 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 10.3, median 21.6, max 33.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue13.2 bn10.0 bn10.1 bn12.4 bn12.6 bn12.3 bn12.7 bn13.2 bn
Revenue YoY+5.9%−24.4%+1.3%+22.6%+2.0%−2.4%+2.7%+4.0%
Net income535.9 m694.7 m404.0 m631.0 m538.0 m416.0 m390.0 m398.0 m
Net income YoY+31.9%+29.6%−41.8%+56.2%−14.7%−22.7%−6.3%+2.1%
Diluted EPS3.494.652.824.453.913.163.053.27
Diluted EPS YoY+35.8%+33.2%−39.4%+57.8%−12.1%−19.2%−3.5%+7.2%
net %4.1%7.0%4.0%5.1%4.3%3.4%3.1%3.0%
Free cash flow613.4 m577.9 m550.0 m631.0 m506.0 m353.0 m700.0 m573.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 27 Dec 2025

Cash
156.0 m USD
Financial debt
764.0 m USD
Net debt
608.0 m USD
Equity
3.9 bn USD
Total assets
11.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.20x
Current ratio
1.38x
ROE
10.0%
ROA
3.7%
FCF margin
4.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
12.3 bn
2024
12.7 bn
2025
13.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
8.5 bn
2024
8.7 bn
2025
9.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
3.9 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
615.0 m
2024
621.0 m
2025
653.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
248.0 m
2024
297.0 m
2025
311.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
863.0 m ≈
2024
918.0 m ≈
2025
964.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
87.0 m
2024
131.0 m
2025
150.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
542.0 m
2024
513.0 m
2025
533.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
120.0 m
2024
128.0 m
2025
126.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
416.0 m
2024
390.0 m
2025
398.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.16
2024
3.05
2025
3.27

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
131.7 m
2024
127.8 m
2025
121.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
171.0 m
2024
122.0 m
2025
156.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
4.5 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Feb 2022verified

Goodwill
2023
3.9 bn
2024
3.9 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
916.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
10.6 bn
2024
10.2 bn
2025
11.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.0 bn
2024
962.0 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
264.0 m
2024
650.0 m
2025
764.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Feb 2023verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
5.4 bn
2024
5.4 bn
2025
6.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
3.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
500.0 m
2024
848.0 m
2025
712.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
147.0 m
2024
148.0 m
2025
139.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
353.0 m ≈
2024
700.0 m ≈
2025
573.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.1 bn
2024
-430.0 m
2025
-400.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
701.0 m
2024
-510.0 m
2025
-188.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
250.0 m
2024
385.0 m
2025
850.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
5.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-9.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-5.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-18.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
31.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF margin
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
12.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROA
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROIC
11.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROCE
9.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
816.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
4.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
687.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
128.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
559.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
132.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
65.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
77 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
43 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
82 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
9.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
10.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
23.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
24.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
14.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/FCF
17.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
FCF yield
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 44 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

88.24 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 9.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
9.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
24.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROE
12.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 26 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 2907derived 199

Score by group

  • Balance sheet32
  • Valuation41
  • Quality72
  • Growth6
  • Returns95

Estimated value range

Low
63.15
USD per share
Mid
69.42
USD per share
High
97.95
USD per share
Price: 88.24 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -21.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -27.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 54.20 – 117.38 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)72.43 – 117.38 (Mid 89.64)
    WACC 8.9% · starting FCFF 682.4 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 0.8%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA63.15 – 74.66 (Mid 67.21)
    3 companies used · median multiple 7.9x · quartiles 7.5x – 8.7x
    INGM, SCSC, SNX
  • Peers: P/E54.20 – 97.95 (Mid 69.42)
    7 companies used · median multiple 19.0x · quartiles 14.8x – 26.8x
    CLMB, CNXN, INGM, PLUS, SCSC, SITE, SNX
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 504x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 44/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality11.4%60 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality3.1%64 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality132.8%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.4%12 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.8%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.8x20 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet4.3x44 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x44 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation24.2x38 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation10.1x20 (vs peers)11%
FCF yield · Valuation5.7%72 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns6.7%95 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet32/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth6/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality72/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial95/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation41/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

HENRY SCHEIN, INC. (HSIC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 13.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 4.0%; net margin 3.1%; ROE 12.9%; net debt/EBITDA 0.8x.

The estimated value range is 63.15–97.95 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 69.42 USD, the price of 88.24 USD leaves a potential of -21.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -27.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 44/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 132.8%
  • FCF yield: 5.7%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 6.7%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.4%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -5.8%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.8x
  • EV/EBITDA: 10.1x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 504x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
24.2x
vertical median 20.3x
above median (+18.7%)
EV/EBITDA
10.1x
vertical median 7.9x
above median (+28.2%)
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 0.7x
at median
P/B
3.1x
vertical median 2.2x
above median (+40.2%)
ROE
12.9%
vertical median 10.2%
above median (+26.0%)
Net margin
3.1%
vertical median 1.8%
above median (+75.0%)
EBIT margin
5.2%
vertical median 2.7%
above median (+90.5%)
Revenue YoY
4.0%
vertical median 6.1%
below median (−33.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.8x
vertical median 0.1x
above median (+634.3%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SNXTd Synnex Corporation18.4 bn14.014.9%1.8%+6.9%+51% / +134%
HSICHenry Schein, Inc.9.8 bn24.212.9%3.1%+4.0%+23% / +41%
INGMIngram Micro Holding Corp6.0 bn13.210.9%0.8%+9.5%+22% / unavailable
SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.5.1 bn31.99.6%3.4%+3.6%−12% / −16%
PLUSePlus inc.2.4 bn19.012.0%5.1%+22.1%+1% / +43%
CNXNPc Connection, Inc.2.2 bn21.710.9%3.3%+2.5%+51% / +47%
SCSCScanSource, Inc.1.1 bn15.78.7%2.4%+6.1%+39% / +70%
CLMBClimb Global Solutions, Inc.803.2 m33.819.5%3.1%+40.1%+70% / +261%
CGTLCreative Global Technology Holdings Limited56.2 m—-84.9%-63.2%−40.6%−79% / unavailable
ACHAccendra Health, Inc.21.2 m——-11.4%+3.1%−90% / −99%
CLWTEuro Tech Holdings Company Limited10.1 m67.51.1%1.3%−13.8%+22% / −8%
PNSkycorp Solar Group Limited——-14.9%-4.3%+27.0%−85% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for HSIC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
52.68
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
93.27
Total return 6% · Per year 6%
140.69
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
47.98
Total return -46% · Per year -18%
95.90
Total return 9% · Per year 3%
159.26
Total return 80% · Per year 22%
5 years
43.71
Total return -50% · Per year -13%
98.59
Total return 12% · Per year 2%
180.29
Total return 104% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 23.97
  • Net margin± 16.78
  • Annual revenue growth± 14.20
  • Annual dilution± 1.41

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

In brief

Henry Schein is a global provider of healthcare products and services to office-based dental and medical practitioners and alternate care sites. The company reported net sales of 13.2 billion USD in fiscal 2025 and raised its 2026 guidance, while its new leadership aims to accelerate growth and simplify the business 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Brand recognition built over decades, a global distribution network and a very broad range of products and services 1.
  • Accelerated internal sales growth in the second quarter of 2026 and strong gross margins, supported by value creation initiatives 3.
  • Combining distribution with proprietary products such as implants and endodontics offers a differentiated position compared with pure distributors 1.

Weaknesses

  • Leadership transition, with a new chief executive and a new chairman, could create uncertainty in execution 2.
  • Distribution carries relatively thin margins, and pricing pressure from large customers can limit profitability 1.
  • The October 2023 cyber incident affected North American and European operations and generated direct costs and lower sales 2.

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for procedures in office and ambulatory settings could support long-term sales 1.
  • Expanding value-added services and software could raise the share of higher-margin revenue 1.
  • Simplifying the business and accelerating growth, as the new leadership plans, could create shareholder value if the program is delivered 3.

Threats

  • Tariffs, retaliation and uncertain trade policy could affect costs and demand 2.
  • Reduced Medicaid funding and enrollment could lower utilization of health care services 1.
  • Competition from manufacturers selling directly and from online commerce platforms could reduce the role of traditional distributors 1.

Risks

  • Leadership transitionmedium

    The change of chief executive and chairman could delay strategic decisions or shift the priorities of the value creation program 2.

  • Tariffs and international tradehigh

    Changes in tariffs and retaliatory measures could alter purchasing costs and equipment sales, particularly in the United States 2.

  • Medicaid policymedium

    Legislative changes could reduce service utilization and payments to customers in the medical segment 1.

  • Information securityhigh

    A new cyber incident could disrupt distribution and generate remediation costs and lost sales, as happened in 2023 1.

  • Supplier concentrationmedium

    Purchases concentrated among a few large suppliers and limited supply sources could expose the company to disruptions or higher costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Accelerated internal growth and the raised 2026 guidance suggest commercial momentum could continue if demand from practices stays solid 3.
  • A leading global distribution position and segments with proprietary products could support better margins over the long term 1.
  • The value creation program could simplify the business and generate savings if it is delivered as planned 3.

What would break the thesis

  • The leadership transition could slow strategic execution in the coming period 2.
  • Tariffs, Medicaid measures and pressure from large customers could limit growth and margins 12.
  • Strong competition and possible bypassing of distributors could reduce the company's pricing power 1.

What to watch

  • Development of internal sales growth and gross margins after the raised guidanceQ3 2026
  • Effect of tariff refunds and clarity on U.S. trade policyQ3 2026
  • Progress of the value creation program and business simplification2027
  • Effects of the OBBBA on Medicaid utilization and paymentsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

The business

Henry Schein, Inc. describes itself as a solutions company for health care professionals and, according to the filing, the world's largest provider of health care products and services primarily to office-based dental and medical practitioners. It serves more than one million customers, including laboratories, physician practices, ambulatory surgery centers and home health providers 1.

The business rests on a distribution network with 38 strategically located distribution centers and a selection of more than 300,000 national and corporate brand products. Headquartered in Melville, New York, the company has operations or affiliates in 34 countries and territories 1.

The company is organized into three reportable segments, and its recent direction is shaped by its value creation program and a new chief executive who took over in March 2026 12.

Segments

Global Specialty Products

This segment manufactures and sells dental implants, biomaterials, and endodontic, orthodontic and orthopedic products. Segment sales rose 8.7% in the second quarter of 2026, with an acquisition contribution 3.

Global Technology

This segment develops practice management software and e-services for health care providers. Sales rose 8.2% in the second quarter of 2026, with strong internal growth partly offset by a business disposal 3.

Market context

The distribution market for office-based dental and medical practitioners is fragmented, with buyers ranging from small practices to large groups such as dental support organizations and integrated delivery networks. The filing points to favorable long-term trends such as an aging population and expanded insurance coverage, alongside pressure to contain costs 1.

Demand is supported by the shift of procedures from hospitals to physician offices and ambulatory surgery centers, which could favor distributors with broad product ranges at competitive prices 1.

Trends

  • Shift of procedures to office settingstailwind

    Procedures are increasingly moving from hospitals to physician offices and ambulatory surgery centers, which supports demand for distributors with broad coverage 1.

  • Customer consolidationmixed

    Consolidation into dental support organizations and group purchasing organizations favors suppliers that offer management information support and competitive prices, but it also strengthens customer bargaining power 1.

  • Tariffs on tradeheadwind

    U.S. tariffs created a volatile environment for global trade. The filing states they had no material adverse impact on fiscal 2025 results, although U.S. dental equipment sales were temporarily affected 2.

  • Medicaid changes under the OBBBAheadwind

    The OBBBA could reduce Medicaid enrollment and utilization of services, with a possible adverse effect on demand and production costs if foreign components are used 1.

Competitive position

Distribution of medical and dental supplies is highly competitive, with national, regional and local distributors as well as manufacturers that sell directly to end users. Competition is based mainly on price, breadth of product line, e-commerce capabilities and customer service 1.

In implants and dental software, the company faces specialized global and software providers, and manufacturers selling directly could reduce the role of distributors 1.

  • Patterson CompaniesPDCO

    Primary competitor in U.S. dental distribution, through its Patterson Dental division and the Eaglesoft software 1.

  • McKesson CorporationMCK

    National medical distributor in the U.S. and a primary competitor in medical distribution 1.

  • Medline Industries

    National medical distributor in the U.S. and a primary competitor in the medical segment 1.

  • Dentsply SironaXRAY

    Competitor in dental implants and other dental products within the specialty products segment 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 31 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report03 Nov 2026
  • Current report03 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 Oct 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report22 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report04 Aug 2026
  • Current report04 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report30 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report22 May 2026
    Shareholder vote · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 May 2026
  • Current report05 May 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-27 · SEC / Henry Schein, Inc. · 24 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / Henry Schein, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Henry Schein, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.