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olivLaw · US equity research

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. SITE

Wholesale-Professional & Commercial Equipment & Supplies · SIC 5040 · Vertical: Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 504x)

118.16USD+5.77% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

SiteOne Landscape Supply is the largest national full product line wholesale distributor of landscape supplies in the United States, with an established presence in Canada, serving mainly landscape professionals. It matters now because residential and repair demand has softened while pricing and acquisitions support sales, and guidance for 2026 points to an expanding adjusted EBITDA margin.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) stock was 118.16 USD (+5.77% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.1 bn USD, P/E 31.9 on diluted EPS of 3.70 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.06, 52-week range 86.36–163.25 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.3 bn USD (+2.6% YoY), net income of 63.9 m USD (+8.1% YoY), diluted EPS 1.46 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.1 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.9
Diluted EPS TTM 3.70 · TTM to 27 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.13%
TTM to 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.06
Volatility (1y) 42%
52-week range
86.36163.25

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
77.3
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
81.40 – 118.69
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.99 · band width 37.3%
SMA 50 / 200
95.79 / 115.89
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
5.78 / 3.77
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+34.8%−1.1%+35.9 pp—
3 months+15.9%−0.5%+16.3 pp—
6 months−3.3%+4.4%−7.7 pp—
Year to date−5.1%+12.3%−17.5 pp—
1 year−6.0%+13.5%−19.5 pp+21.6%
3 years−7.5%+76.4%−83.9 pp+44.9%
5 years−51.6%+63.7%−115.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−47.1%
11 Feb 2026 → 07 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−65.7%
24 Nov 2021 → 07 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−13.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 27 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.3 bn USD
+2.6% YoY
Net income
63.9 m USD
+8.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.46
+11.5% YoY
net / operating
4.9% / 7.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.0 bn939.4 m1.5 bn1.3 bn1.0 bn940.1 m1.5 bn1.3 bn
Cost of revenue675.5 m629.6 m930.2 m821.0 m688.8 m621.3 m966.2 m832.6 m
Gross profit337.6 m309.8 m531.4 m437.2 m356.8 m318.8 m564.5 m458.5 m
SG&A364.5 m343.2 m349.1 m357.4 m365.9 m349.9 m370.7 m368.7 m
Operating income-24.9 m-29.5 m187.4 m85.2 m-5.0 m-25.9 m197.6 m95.8 m
Interest expense6.7 m7.4 m10.3 m9.1 m8.2 m8.0 m10.0 m9.5 m
Pre-tax income-31.6 m-36.9 m177.1 m76.1 m-13.2 m-33.9 m187.6 m86.3 m
Income tax-10.1 m-9.4 m45.0 m15.5 m-5.4 m-9.8 m48.3 m22.4 m
Net income-21.7 m-27.3 m129.0 m59.1 m-13.4 m-26.6 m139.3 m63.9 m
Diluted EPS-0.48 ≈-0.612.861.31-0.30 ≈-0.603.141.46
Operating cash flow119.4 m-129.6 m136.7 m ≈128.6 m ≈164.8 m-122.1 m153.2 m ≈125.6 m ≈
Capex9.5 m14.8 m14.3 m ≈10.1 m ≈14.5 m23.0 m17.6 m ≈17.3 m ≈
Share repurchases29.7 m3.8 m54.5 m ≈0 ≈40.0 m20.0 m94.4 m ≈62.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 6 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 24.7, median 43.1, max 133.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172018201920212022202320242025
Revenue1.9 bn2.1 bn2.4 bn2.7 bn3.5 bn4.3 bn4.5 bn4.7 bn
Revenue YoY+28.3%+13.5%+11.6%unavailable+28.5%+23.8%+5.6%+3.6%
Net income54.6 m73.9 m77.7 m121.3 m238.4 m173.4 m123.6 m151.8 m
Net income YoY+88.9%+35.3%+5.1%unavailable+96.5%−27.3%−28.7%+22.8%
Diluted EPS1.291.731.822.755.203.802.713.37
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+34.1%+5.2%unavailable+89.1%−26.9%−28.7%+24.4%
net %2.9%3.5%3.3%4.5%6.9%4.0%2.7%3.2%
Free cash flow1.8 m63.2 m111.3 m210.8 m178.3 m265.4 m242.9 m246.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 28 Dec 2025

Cash
190.6 m USD
Financial debt
385.4 m USD
Net debt
194.8 m USD
Equity
1.7 bn USD
Total assets
3.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.23x
Current ratio
2.47x
ROE
9.4%
ROA
4.8%
FCF margin
5.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.5 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.8 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
250.3 m
2024
192.3 m
2025
238.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
27.1 m
2024
31.9 m
2025
35.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
223.2 m
2024
160.4 m
2025
203.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
49.8 m
2024
36.0 m
2025
45.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
173.4 m
2024
123.6 m
2025
151.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.80
2024
2.71
2025
3.37

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
45.7 m
2024
45.6 m
2025
45.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
82.5 m
2024
107.1 m
2025
190.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
490.6 m
2024
547.1 m
2025
546.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
771.2 m
2024
827.2 m
2025
876.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
485.5 m
2024
518.1 m
2025
530.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
280.8 m
2024
261.0 m
2025
220.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.8 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
270.8 m
2024
315.5 m
2025
310.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
5.3 m
2024
4.3 m
2025
3.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
367.6 m
2024
383.9 m
2025
381.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
578.3 m
2024
640.8 m
2025
686.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.5 bn †
2024
1.6 bn †
2025
1.7 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
297.5 m
2024
283.4 m
2025
300.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
32.1 m
2024
40.5 m
2025
53.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
265.4 m ≈
2024
242.9 m ≈
2025
246.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-226.0 m
2024
-177.1 m
2025
-83.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-18.3 m
2024
-80.9 m
2025
-134.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
12.0 m
2024
51.3 m
2025
98.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
10.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
23.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
22.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-14.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
24.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-13.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
35.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF margin
5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROA
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROIC
9.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROCE
9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
387.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
7.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
321.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
72.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
249.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
152.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
46 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
119 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
124 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
5.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
31.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
3.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/S
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
20.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/FCF
20.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 60 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

118.16 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
3.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 27 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 27 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 28 Oct 2026
verified 1814derived 122

Score by group

  • Valuation41
  • Returns61
  • Quality70
  • Balance sheet94
  • Growth44

Estimated value range

Low
73.52
USD per share
Mid
92.21
USD per share
High
117.13
USD per share
Price: 118.16 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -22.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -28.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 54.90 – 149.42 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)92.13 – 149.42 (Mid 114.10)
    WACC 8.9% · starting FCFF 276.1 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 12.1%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E54.90 – 84.84 (Mid 70.33)
    7 companies used · median multiple 19.0x · quartiles 14.8x – 22.9x
    CLMB, CNXN, HSIC, INGM, PLUS, SCSC, SNX
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 504x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 60/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality9.8%40 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality3.4%91 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality152.6%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth10.6%88 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-13.5%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet7.4x90 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.4x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation31.9x25 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation4.9%61 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.3%61 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet94/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth44/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality70/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial61/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation41/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-27.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.6%; net margin 3.4%; ROE 9.6%.

The estimated value range is 73.52–117.13 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 92.21 USD, the price of 118.16 USD leaves a potential of -22.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -28.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 60/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 3.4%
  • FCF conversion: 152.6%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 10.6%
  • Interest coverage: 7.4x
  • Current ratio: 2.4x

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -13.5%
  • P/E (TTM): 31.9x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 504x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
31.9x
vertical median 20.3x
above median (+56.9%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 8.7x
P/S
1.1x
vertical median 0.7x
above median (+50.0%)
P/B
3.0x
vertical median 2.2x
above median (+36.5%)
ROE
9.6%
vertical median 10.9%
below median (−11.8%)
Net margin
3.4%
vertical median 1.8%
above median (+93.8%)
EBIT margin
5.5%
vertical median 2.7%
above median (+101.5%)
Revenue YoY
3.6%
vertical median 6.1%
below median (−40.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.3x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SNXTd Synnex Corporation18.4 bn14.014.9%1.8%+6.9%+51% / +134%
HSICHenry Schein, Inc.9.8 bn24.212.9%3.1%+4.0%+18% / +32%
INGMIngram Micro Holding Corp6.0 bn13.210.9%0.8%+9.5%+22% / unavailable
SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.5.1 bn31.99.6%3.4%+3.6%−6% / −8%
PLUSePlus inc.2.4 bn19.012.0%5.1%+22.1%+1% / +43%
CNXNPc Connection, Inc.2.2 bn21.710.9%3.3%+2.5%+51% / +47%
SCSCScanSource, Inc.1.1 bn15.78.7%2.4%+6.1%+39% / +70%
CLMBClimb Global Solutions, Inc.803.2 m33.819.5%3.1%+40.1%+70% / +261%
CGTLCreative Global Technology Holdings Limited56.2 m—-84.9%-63.2%−40.6%−79% / unavailable
ACHAccendra Health, Inc.21.2 m——-11.4%+3.1%−90% / −99%
CLWTEuro Tech Holdings Company Limited10.1 m67.51.1%1.3%−13.8%+22% / −8%
PNSkycorp Solar Group Limited——-14.9%-4.3%+27.0%−85% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for SITE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
75.80
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
133.63
Total return 13% · Per year 13%
200.78
Total return 70% · Per year 70%
3 years
82.89
Total return -30% · Per year -11%
163.52
Total return 38% · Per year 11%
268.40
Total return 127% · Per year 31%
5 years
90.65
Total return -23% · Per year -5%
200.10
Total return 69% · Per year 11%
358.80
Total return 204% · Per year 25%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 40.88
  • Net margin± 28.62
  • Annual revenue growth± 22.19
  • Annual dilution± 2.40

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

In brief

SiteOne Landscape Supply is the largest national full product line wholesale distributor of landscape supplies in the United States, with an established presence in Canada, serving mainly landscape professionals. It matters now because residential and repair demand has softened while pricing and acquisitions support sales, and guidance for 2026 points to an expanding adjusted EBITDA margin.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Unique national coverage in full product line, a large branch network and a proprietary delivery fleet.
  • Solid balance sheet with moderate net debt and access to financing through the extended ABL facility.
  • Long relationships with contractors, the Partners loyalty program and consultative services differentiate the company.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on residential and commercial construction cycles makes sales sensitive to interest rates.
  • Demand is seasonal and quarterly results vary widely from one quarter to the next.
  • Fuel and transport costs have risen, and the company has no hedging coverage for fuel.

Opportunities

  • The fragmented market leaves room for further acquisitions and for growing local market share.
  • The trend of spending more time at home and investing in outdoor spaces could support long-term demand.
  • Expanding the product range in existing branches and digitizing the B2B platform could lift sales.

Threats

  • Demand for new homes and renovations could keep falling if mortgage rates remain high.
  • Tariffs and geopolitical tensions can raise purchase costs and disrupt supply chains.
  • Extreme weather such as droughts and hurricanes can reduce demand and product availability.

Risks

  • Construction cyclicalityhigh

    Downturns in residential and commercial construction can reduce sales and profitability, and management has already flagged softening in these segments.

  • Cost and pricing pressurehigh

    If purchase prices rise faster than they can be passed on to customers, gross margin could come under pressure.

  • Weather and seasonalitymedium

    Droughts, storms and other weather events can affect demand and product availability, especially in the weaker quarters.

  • Environmental and chemical regulationmedium

    Rules on chemicals and pesticides can raise compliance costs and create liability exposure.

  • Acquisition integrationlow

    Successive acquisitions can bring integration difficulties and could reduce returns if expected synergies do not materialize.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • A leading national position with full product range and a dense branch network gives an advantage that regional competitors find hard to replicate, especially if the market consolidates.
  • Price increases and acquisition programs can support sales even in a weak market, and 2026 guidance points to an expanding adjusted EBITDA margin.
  • The solid balance sheet and moderate debt level allow share repurchases and acquisition investment without major financing pressure.

What would break the thesis

  • If mortgage rates stay high, demand for new construction and renovations could remain weak for longer than management expects.
  • Price support could fade if demand falls, while fuel and transport costs could continue to weigh on margins.
  • Reliance on acquisitions for sales growth may mask weak organic demand and raise integration risk.

What to watch

  • Organic sales trend and the organic sales guidance for 2026Q3 2026
  • Pace of decline in residential construction and repair demand, as estimated by management2026
  • Delivery of fiscal 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance and the effect of the extra weeknext 10-K
  • Pace of acquisitions and their effect on net sales and leverage2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

The business

SiteOne distributes landscape products including pavers and natural stone, irrigation supplies, fertilizer and control products, landscape accessories, nursery goods and outdoor lighting, from about 180,000 SKUs served by over 670 branches in 45 U.S. states and five Canadian provinces. Its customers are mainly residential and commercial contractors, to whom it adds consultative services, project support and the SiteOne University training program. The model rests on local presence and a national logistics network with over 2,600 delivery vehicles.

Sales are well balanced across sectors: in fiscal 2025 about 60% of net sales came from residential construction, 32% from commercial construction and 8% from recreational and other construction. By end market, about 36% came from maintenance of existing properties, a steadier base through economic cycles. Proprietary products, mainly under the LESCO brand, made up about 15% of fiscal 2025 net sales.

The strategy combines organic growth at the local level, selective acquisitions of regional distributors and digitization of the B2B platform. In the second quarter of 2026 the company amended its ABL facility, extending maturity to April 2031, and bought the remaining 25% interest in Devil Mountain Wholesale Nursery, showing management is using its solid balance sheet for both acquisitions and share repurchases.

Segments

Landscape products

Hardscapes, irrigation, outdoor lighting, accessories and nursery goods form a demand cycle tied to new construction and the outdoor living trend, more sensitive to housing cycles.

Agronomic and maintenance products

Fertilizers, control products, grass seed and ice melt have steadier demand linked to maintenance of existing landscapes, but are sensitive to weather and raw material prices.

Market context

The company estimates the North American wholesale landscape supply market at about 25 billion dollars in fiscal 2025, a highly fragmented market dominated by regional private distributors. Demand depends on home sales, mortgage rates, repair and remodeling spending and demographic trends, and for 2026 management sees new residential demand weakening while maintenance grows modestly.

The industry benefits over the long term from favorable population trends and continued interest in outdoor living, but affordability constraints and high mortgage costs may keep demand below peak levels. If these conditions persist, growth in the repair and upgrade segment could remain limited in the coming quarters.

Trends

  • Higher pricingtailwind

    Price increases of about 3% in the second quarter of 2026 support organic sales, although underlying demand remains weak.

  • Weaker residential constructionheadwind

    High interest rates and low home affordability weigh on new construction and repair demand, which could prolong pressure on sales.

  • Acquisitions of regional distributorsmixed

    The fragmented market offers consolidation opportunities, and recent acquisitions contributed to sales growth, but they can also bring integration costs.

  • Fuel and logistics costsheadwind

    Higher fuel and freight costs weigh on gross margin, and the company has no hedging arrangements for fuel.

Competitive position

SiteOne presents itself as the only national full product line wholesale distributor of landscape supplies in the United States, but the market is fragmented, with many small regional competitors that have narrower product ranges and limited supplier relationships. Its advantage comes from network scale, yard space for hardscapes and nursery goods, and consultative services.

Competition also comes from distributors that sell some of the same products without national coverage or full product breadth, so customer loyalty and local service remain decisive factors.

  • Regional private distributors

    Small companies with limited geographic reach and narrow product ranges compete locally on price and customer relationships.

  • General building and garden products distributors

    Companies selling some of the same product categories without a full product line dedicated to landscaping.

  • Suppliers selling directly to contractors

    Manufacturers that in some cases sell directly to customers, bypassing distribution.

  • Nurseries and garden center chains

    Retail players that attract part of end customer demand without competing directly for professional contractors.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 18 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 28 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-28 · SEC / SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. · 19 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-28 · SEC / SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.