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olivLaw · US equity research

Krystal Biotech, Inc. KRYS

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) · SIC 2836 · Vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

295.90USD−10.95% · 1 dayClose 02 Nov 2026

Krystal Biotech is a commercial-stage biotechnology company developing and selling gene therapies built on an engineered herpes simplex virus type 1 vector, with VYJUVEK for dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa as its first product. As sales grow and launches extend into Europe and Japan, the company is broadening its pipeline in eye, lung and skin disease.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 02 Nov 2026, Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS) stock was 295.90 USD (−10.95% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.8 bn USD, P/E 40.2 on diluted EPS of 7.37 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.86, 52-week range 197.85–378.15 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 127.3 m USD (+30.2% YoY), net income of 63.1 m USD (−20.5% YoY), diluted EPS 2.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.8 bn USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.2
Diluted EPS TTM 7.37 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.49%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.86
Volatility (1y) 40%
52-week range
197.85378.15

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
34.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
305.63 – 339.23
below the lower band · %B -0.29 · band width 10.4%
SMA 50 / 200
336.45 / 308.60
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-5.42 / -4.96
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−8.2%−2.3%−5.8 pp—
3 months−5.3%−0.8%−4.6 pp—
6 months+3.1%+4.7%−1.6 pp—
Year to date+20.0%+10.2%+9.9 pp—
1 year+49.8%+10.3%+39.6 pp−4.1%
3 years+142.2%+73.0%+69.2 pp+6.4%
5 years+460.8%+61.8%+399.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−21.8%
29 Jun 2026 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−44.5%
29 Nov 2021 → 11 May 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+41.2%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
127.3 m USD
+30.2% YoY
Net income
63.1 m USD
−20.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.05
−22.9% YoY
net / operating
49.5% / 55.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue91.1 m88.2 m96.0 m97.8 m107.1 m116.4 m119.2 m127.3 m
Research & development13.5 m14.3 m14.4 m14.6 m14.8 m15.3 m14.5 m14.9 m
SG&A31.3 m32.6 m35.1 m37.6 m41.4 m41.0 m39.9 m33.7 m
Operating income41.4 m36.3 m39.4 m41.4 m44.3 m53.7 m58.4 m71.1 m
Pre-tax income48.6 m43.6 m46.8 m48.0 m51.1 m61.4 m66.1 m80.1 m
Income tax3.1 m7.9 m8.4 m-31.4 m-269.0 k5.5 m11.3 m17.1 m
Net income45.5 m35.7 m38.3 m79.4 m51.4 m55.9 m54.8 m63.1 m
Diluted EPS1.52 ≈1.201.292.661.70 ≈1.831.792.05
Operating cash flow52.8 m31.0 m52.7 m ≈39.7 m ≈77.5 m80.4 m74.8 m ≈91.2 m ≈
Capex801.0 k6.2 m1.9 m ≈1.7 m ≈2.1 m7.1 m3.6 m ≈996.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 33 percentile of its own 12-quarter history (min 26.5, median 45.9, max 1,524.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenueunavailableunavailableunavailable0050.7 m290.5 m389.1 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+473.0%+33.9%
Net income-10.9 m-19.1 m-32.2 m-69.6 m-140.0 m10.9 m89.2 m204.8 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+715.6%+129.7%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-1.71-3.13-5.490.393.006.84
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+669.2%+128.0%
net %unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable21.6%30.7%52.6%
Free cash flow-11.7 m-25.1 m-40.9 m-116.3 m-153.5 m-100.6 m119.2 m188.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
496.3 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
1.2 bn USD
Total assets
1.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
9.95x
ROE
18.9%
ROA
17.1%
FCF margin
48.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
50.7 m
2024
290.5 m
2025
389.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
46.4 m
2024
53.6 m
2025
58.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
98.3 m
2024
113.6 m
2025
146.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-109.6 m
2024
65.7 m
2025
161.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2023verified

EBITDA
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2023derived

Interest expense
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2023
12.9 m
2024
95.4 m
2025
189.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
2.0 m
2024
6.2 m
2025
-15.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
10.9 m
2024
89.2 m
2025
204.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.39
2024
3.00
2025
6.84

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
27.8 m
2024
29.7 m
2025
30.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
358.3 m
2024
344.9 m
2025
496.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
42.0 m
2024
104.7 m
2025
127.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
7.0 m
2024
26.5 m
2025
40.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
587.9 m
2024
742.0 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
161.2 m
2024
155.2 m
2025
150.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
818.4 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
4.1 m
2024
5.0 m
2025
3.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
33.1 m
2024
102.0 m
2025
102.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
39.7 m
2024
109.5 m
2025
114.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
778.6 m †
2024
946.4 m †
2025
1.2 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-88.8 m
2024
123.4 m
2025
200.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
11.8 m
2024
4.2 m
2025
12.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-100.6 m ≈
2024
119.2 m ≈
2025
188.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
82.6 m
2024
-163.4 m
2025
-58.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
202.8 m
2024
27.0 m
2025
8.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
33.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
145.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
129.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
128.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
58.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
48.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
47.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
66.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
17.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
15.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
7.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
7.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
3.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
323.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
13.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
310.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
137.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
102 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
38.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
6.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
18.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
28.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

295.90 USD

02 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
6.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
17.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
47.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
33.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

27/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 1046derived 85

Score by group

35% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
156.66
USD per share
Mid
158.89
USD per share
High
185.92
USD per share
Price: 295.90 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -46.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -86.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 156.66 – 185.92 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E156.66 – 185.92 (Mid 158.89)
    3 companies used · median multiple 21.6x · quartiles 21.3x – 25.2x
    AMGN, EXEL, NBIX
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality47.9%97 (vs peers)18%
FCF conversion · Quality137.7%100 (on a fixed band)18%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet7.9x100 (on a fixed band)12%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation40.2x43 (vs peers)29%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3.5%44 (on a fixed band)24%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Quality98/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation43/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 389.1 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 33.9%; net margin 47.9%; ROE 17.5%.

The estimated value range is 156.66–185.92 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 158.89 USD, the price of 295.90 USD leaves a potential of -46.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -86.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 47.9%
  • FCF conversion: 137.7%
  • Current ratio: 7.9x

What contradicts it

  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
40.2x
vertical median 28.9x
above median (+39.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
18.7x
vertical median 17.3x
above median (+7.7%)
P/B
6.1x
vertical median 3.8x
above median (+61.0%)
ROE
17.5%
vertical median -43.3%
above median
Net margin
47.9%
vertical median -246.6%
above median
EBIT margin
48.4%
vertical median -214.2%
above median
Revenue YoY
33.9%
vertical median 53.2%
below median (−36.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMGNAmgen Inc.251.6 bn28.991.5%23.0%+10.0%+35% / +73%
GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.211.3 bn—-22.3%-12.5%+2.4%+35% / +122%
MRNAModerna, Inc.88.2 bn—-39.0%-141.4%−39.9%+750% / +184%
ARGXArgenx Se54.1 bn44.720.2%—+254.4%−4% / +94%
RVMDRevolution Medicines, Inc.40.3 bn—-79.1%—unavailable+142% / +707%
BIIBBiogen Inc.36.8 bn106.41.9%3.4%+2.2%+37% / +6%
MESOMesoblast Limited18.9 bn—-19.0%-593.9%+191.4%−16% / +435%
EXELExelixis, Inc.17.1 bn21.044.3%35.5%+7.0%+59% / +222%
NBIXNeurocrine Biosciences, Inc.14.7 bn21.620.4%19.0%+21.4%−4% / +25%
KRYSKrystal Biotech, Inc.8.8 bn40.217.5%47.9%+33.9%+50% / +142%
CGONCG Oncology, Inc.5.5 bn—-26.4%-3,602.7%+254.7%+38% / unavailable
CRSPCrispr Therapeutics AG4.8 bn—-25.6%-1,812.1%−90.6%−7% / −25%
RLAYRelay Therapeutics, Inc.3.8 bn—-36.8%-2,763.6%+53.4%+118% / +118%
IOVAIovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.3.6 bn—-40.4%-89.1%+60.6%+225% / +32%
VCELVericel Corporation2.1 bn95.97.2%7.9%+16.5%+1% / +14%
MAZEMaze Therapeutics, Inc.1.7 bn—-37.3%-5,343.6%unavailable−20% / unavailable
NVAXNovavax Inc1.6 bn——-59.9%+64.7%+35% / +73%
FDMT4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc.566.0 m—-43.3%-194.7%+230,194.6%−2% / −11%
AUTLAutolus Therapeutics plc378.0 m—-133.0%-238.7%+644.9%+1% / −67%
FENCFennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.369.6 m—-18.6%-5.5%−6.1%+29% / +23%
XFORX4 Pharmaceuticals, Inc332.1 m—-113.1%-1,040.1%+150.0%−8% / −86%
IPSCCentury Therapeutics, Inc.268.0 m—-49.7%-100.6%+1,556.8%+172% / +8%
LCTXLineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.255.4 m—-59.0%-246.6%+53.2%−43% / +3%
LXEOLexeo Therapeutics, Inc.251.1 m—-46.8%—unavailable−69% / −76%
OCGNOcugen, Inc.245.8 m——-1,786.3%+8.8%−42% / +87%

1- and 3-year price returns: for KRYS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
199.47
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
351.04
Total return 19% · Per year 19%
526.56
Total return 78% · Per year 78%
3 years
236.60
Total return -20% · Per year -7%
464.25
Total return 57% · Per year 16%
758.25
Total return 156% · Per year 37%
5 years
280.65
Total return -5% · Per year -1%
613.97
Total return 107% · Per year 16%
1,091.87
Total return 269% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 116.06
  • Net margin± 81.24
  • Annual revenue growth± 60.59
  • Annual dilution± 6.83

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

In brief

Krystal Biotech is a commercial-stage biotechnology company developing and selling gene therapies built on an engineered herpes simplex virus type 1 vector, with VYJUVEK for dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa as its first product. As sales grow and launches extend into Europe and Japan, the company is broadening its pipeline in eye, lung and skin disease 23.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The HSV-1 platform offers large payload capacity, repeat administration and stability, supported by two in-house manufacturing facilities 1.
  • A high gross margin and a strong balance sheet with over one billion dollars in cash and investments provide flexibility to fund development 23.
  • The commercial product holds approvals in several jurisdictions and is gaining recognition for long-term use 23.

Weaknesses

  • The company depends heavily on the commercial success of a single product, VYJUVEK, which concentrates risk on that one product 1.
  • Revenue is sensitive to quarterly timing and to pricing negotiation schedules that vary across European countries 12.
  • Most pipeline candidates are still in clinical studies and have not yet shown efficacy in pivotal trials 3.

Opportunities

  • Planned launches in Spain, Italy, the UK and other European markets could significantly expand the treated patient base 23.
  • Readouts expected for KB803, KB801 and KB407 in 2026 and 2027 could open new product lines if they are favorable 3.
  • The FDA-recognized platform could support faster development of several biologic products 1.

Threats

  • European pricing and reimbursement talks may be prolonged or may lead to less favorable terms 12.
  • Competition from biosimilars or more effective therapies could limit demand and pricing for the company's products 1.
  • Public perception of gene therapy and any adverse events in trials could slow adoption 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on a single producthigh

    If VYJUVEK does not reach its commercial potential, the company's prospects could be seriously affected 1.

  • Exposure to biosimilar competitionmedium

    Biosimilars approved through the abbreviated pathway could enter the market before or shortly after exclusivity expires 1.

  • Product liabilitymedium

    Product liability claims could generate substantial costs and damage the company's reputation 1.

  • Public reaction to gene therapymedium

    Adverse events in other gene therapy studies could lead to stricter regulation and lower demand 1.

  • Clinical failure risklow

    Most clinical candidates could fail pivotal studies, delaying or ending their development 13.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If VYJUVEK sales keep growing and European launches succeed, the company could become a multi-product genetic medicine business with several commercial lines 23.
  • A high gross margin and cash above one billion dollars could allow several pivotal studies to be funded at the same time 23.
  • The FDA-recognized platform and early oncology results could open further opportunities if they hold up in larger studies 13.

What would break the thesis

  • If European pricing talks run long or yield less favorable terms, international revenue growth could be slower than expected 12.
  • Dependence on a single product could mean any commercial or regulatory setback has a large effect on results 1.
  • Many candidates are at early stages, and a failure in one of them could weaken confidence in the pipeline's diversification 13.

What to watch

  • IOLITE top-line results for KB8034Q 2026
  • VYJUVEK launches in Spain and Italy and progress of pricing talks in Germany and France2H 2026
  • Updated KYANITE-1 interim results and registrational plans for inhaled KB7071H 2027
  • FDA alignment on the CORAL-3 registrational design for KB4074Q 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

The business

Krystal Biotech is a fully integrated biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing genetic medicines for diseases with high unmet medical needs 1. Its patented platform uses an engineered HSV-1 vector that delivers therapeutic transgenes to target cells and can be administered non-invasively or minimally invasively, in a clinic or at home 1. Two in-house commercial-scale CGMP facilities support the platform 1.

Its commercial product VYJUVEK is approved in the United States, the European Union and Japan for DEB, and received UK approval in May 2026 12. Cumulative net product revenue since the 2023 launch reached $965.9 million through June 30, 2026 2. The company holds exclusive worldwide rights to develop and commercialize VYJUVEK and its pipeline candidates 1.

The development pipeline includes candidates in ophthalmology (KB803, KB801), pulmonary disease (KB407, KB408), dermatology (KB111), oncology (KB707) and aesthetics through subsidiary Jeune Aesthetics 13. Most programs are in Phase 1, 2 or 3 clinical studies, with several important readouts expected in the second half of 2026 3.

Segments

VYJUVEK (DEB)

The core segment is VYJUVEK, which generated net product revenue of $389.1 million in fiscal 2025 and $119.2 million in the second quarter of 2026, with a gross margin of 95% 12. Sales come from the United States, Germany, France and Japan, with launches in Spain and Italy expected before year end 3.

Clinical pipeline

The pipeline includes KB803 and KB801 in ophthalmology, KB407 and KB408 for rare lung diseases, KB111 for Hailey-Hailey disease and KB707 in oncology, alongside KB304 in aesthetics 3. KB803 top-line results are expected in the fourth quarter of 2026, and KB707 is being studied in combination with chemotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer 3.

Market context

The target market is rare and severe diseases with unmet needs, particularly DEB, where the company estimates over 3,000 patients in the United States and over 9,000 worldwide 1. Until now the standard of care was limited to palliative measures, so a corrective treatment could see adoption if reimbursement access keeps expanding 12.

The European market is opening gradually through pricing and reimbursement negotiations in Germany, France, Italy, Spain and the UK, and launch timing depends on those outcomes 23. If these negotiations succeed, international revenue could grow meaningfully in the coming years 3.

Trends

  • Expanded VYJUVEK labeltailwind

    The label updated in September 2025 allows treatment from birth and administration by the patient or caregiver, which could make the therapy easier to fold into everyday wound care 12.

  • European pricing negotiationsheadwind

    Pricing talks with German and French authorities continue into 2026 and 2027, which could delay growth in European revenue 12.

  • FDA platform recognitiontailwind

    The platform technology designation granted by the FDA in October 2025 for the vector used in KB801 could reduce development effort for future products built on the same platform 1.

  • Biosimilar competitionheadwind

    The abbreviated US approval pathway for biosimilars could bring competition for biologics once exclusivity periods end 1.

Competitive position

The company notes that several firms and institutions are developing alternative gene therapies or palliative approaches for the same indications, some with substantially greater financial, technical and research resources 1. Industry consolidation could concentrate those resources among fewer competitors 1.

Competition may also come from autologous therapies, which are more costly and invasive, and from lower-cost biosimilars if they are approved 1. The company points to non-invasive home administration and the absence of a genetic testing requirement in Japan as its advantages 12.

  • Autologous DEB therapies

    Corrective approaches using a patient's own cells, which the company describes as more costly, invasive and dependent on hospital stays and complex medical teams 1.

  • Palliative DEB treatments

    Treatments that relieve symptoms without addressing the genetic cause, which formed the standard of care before VYJUVEK approval 1.

  • Gene therapy developers

    Companies working on alternatives for the same indications, some with far greater resources, according to the filing 1.

  • Biosimilar manufacturers

    Firms that could obtain approval for similar products after exclusivity ends, potentially at lower prices 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Krystal Biotech, Inc. · 17 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Krystal Biotech, Inc. · 03 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Krystal Biotech, Inc. · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw