olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

The Macerich Company MAC

Real Estate Investment Trusts · SIC 6798 · Vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

25.90USD+4.69% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

The Macerich Company is a US REIT that owns and manages high-quality regional shopping centers concentrated in California, the Pacific Northwest, Phoenix/Scottsdale and the New York to Washington corridor. The company is in a phase of deleveraging and portfolio repositioning, which matters for investors watching how mall assets recover in today's retail economy; occupancy of 94.0% at June 30, 2026 shows progress, while the second-quarter net loss shows the process is not yet complete.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, The Macerich Company (MAC) stock was 25.90 USD (+4.69% on the day), with market capitalisation 7.3 bn USD, dividend yield 2.63%, beta 1.13, 52-week range 16.20–26.51 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 249.7 m USD (−0.0% YoY), net income of -27.1 m USD, diluted EPS -0.10 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
7.3 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.65 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-2.52%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
2.63%
DPS 12m 0.68
Beta (2y)
1.13
Volatility (1y) 29%
52-week range
16.2026.51

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
74.1
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
21.53 – 25.59
above the upper band · %B 1.08 · band width 17.2%
SMA 50 / 200
23.19 / 22.29
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.56 / 0.33
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+13.2%−2.0%+15.2 pp—
3 months+2.0%−2.2%+4.2 pp—
6 months+16.5%+4.3%+12.2 pp—
Year to date+40.3%+10.6%+29.7 pp—
1 year+46.3%+10.5%+35.9 pp+0.5%
3 years+130.8%+73.7%+57.2 pp+11.9%
5 years+16.6%+61.7%−45.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−16.3%
28 Jul 2026 → 14 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−64.4%
08 Nov 2021 → 26 Sept 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+3.1%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
249.7 m USD
−0.0% YoY
Net income
-27.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.10
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-10.8% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue220.2 m273.7 m249.2 m249.8 m253.3 m261.7 m241.5 m249.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation73.3 m84.2 m95.2 m88.5 m90.9 m87.7 m86.0 m86.2 m
Income tax545.0 k-879.0 k-822.0 k-188.0 k-710.0 k-473.0 k-2.6 m495.0 k
Net income-108.2 m-211.2 m-50.1 m-40.9 m-87.4 m-18.8 m-36.4 m-27.1 m
Diluted EPS-0.50-0.89 ≈-0.20-0.16-0.34-0.07 ≈-0.14-0.10
Operating cash flow100.0 m ≈54.9 m88.5 m70.5 m ≈112.4 m ≈50.2 m77.4 m66.9 m ≈
Dividends paid39.8 m ≈41.2 m50.4 m45.7 m ≈45.9 m ≈46.2 m49.0 m51.8 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue960.4 m927.5 m786.0 m847.4 m859.2 m884.1 m918.2 m1.0 bn
Revenue YoY−3.4%−3.4%−15.2%+7.8%+1.4%+2.9%+3.9%+10.4%
Net income69.0 m96.8 m-230.2 m14.3 m-66.1 m-274.1 m-194.1 m-197.1 m
Net income YoY−57.3%+40.4%−337.8%unavailable−563.2%unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS0.420.68-1.580.07-0.31-1.28-0.88-0.78
Diluted EPS YoY−58.8%+61.9%−332.4%unavailable−542.9%unavailableunavailableunavailable
net %7.2%10.4%-29.3%1.7%-7.7%-31.0%-21.1%-19.4%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
280.2 m USD
Financial debt
5.1 bn USD
Net debt
4.8 bn USD
Equity
2.5 bn USD
Total assets
8.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
2.01x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
-7.3%
ROA
-2.3%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
884.1 m
2024
918.2 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
296.4 m
2024
305.9 m
2025
368.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2023verified

Income tax
2023
-494.0 k
2024
-1.3 m
2025
-2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-274.1 m
2024
-194.1 m
2025
-197.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.28
2024
-0.88
2025
-0.78

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
215.5 m
2024
221.8 m
2025
254.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.68
2024
0.68
2025
0.68

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
94.9 m
2024
89.9 m
2025
280.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022verified

Total assets
2023
7.5 bn
2024
8.6 bn
2025
8.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
5.0 bn
2024
5.7 bn
2025
5.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
295.5 m
2024
283.4 m
2025
321.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
52.5 m
2024
19.8 m
2025
-325.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-338.9 m
2024
-316.1 m
2025
199.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
159.3 m
2024
161.3 m
2025
188.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
10.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
-16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
4.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
306.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
7.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
12.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
7.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
11.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

9 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

25.90 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 7.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
7.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

18/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 1825derived 147

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
9.43
USD per share
Mid
14.13
USD per share
High
18.16
USD per share
Price: 25.90 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -45.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -83.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 8.94 – 24.31 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Net asset value (NAV)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)8.94 – 12.02 (Mid 10.25)
  • Peers: P/B9.93 – 24.31 (Mid 18.02)
    31 companies used · median multiple 1.8x · quartiles 1.0x – 2.4x
    AKR, ARI, BRSP, CTO, DLR, DRH, ESS, EXR, FCPT, FVR, GLPI, HST, KIM, LOAN, NXRT, O, PEB, PLD, PSA, PSTL, REG, SAFE, SITC, SQFT, STAG, TCI, UDR, VICI, VMRK, VTR, WELL
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality-6.3%8 (vs peers)13%
EBITDA margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth5.7%57 (on a fixed band)17%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/B · Valuation2.6x31 (vs peers)39%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Dividend yield · Returns2.6%18 (vs peers)30%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Growth57/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial8/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial18/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial31/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

MACERICH CO (MAC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 10.4%; net margin -16.8%; ROE -6.3%.

The estimated value range is 9.43–18.16 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 14.13 USD, the price of 25.90 USD leaves a potential of -45.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -83.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • ROE: -6.3%
  • Dividend yield: 2.6%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EBITDA margin, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), Payout ratio (EPS).

Versus the vertical median

Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 27.2x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 16.6x
P/S
7.3x
vertical median 6.8x
above median (+6.6%)
P/B
2.6x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+33.9%)
ROE
-6.3%
vertical median 7.7%
below median (−181.0%)
Net margin
-16.8%
vertical median 25.9%
below median (−165.2%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 37.5%
Revenue YoY
10.4%
vertical median 5.1%
above median (+106.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 5.1x
Dividend yield
2.6%
vertical median 4.3%
below median (−38.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WELLWelltower Inc.176.9 bn103.24.0%12.7%+35.6%+16% / +171%
PLDPrologis, Inc.120.3 bn32.57.1%42.5%+7.2%+0% / +12%
EQIXEquinix Inc100.4 bn60.911.5%16.4%+5.4%+35% / +24%
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation86.9 bn26.390.6%30.7%+5.1%+3% / −10%
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.63.3 bn47.16.2%21.7%+10.0%+13% / +30%
PSAPublic Storage62.3 bn33.916.0%37.8%+2.7%+21% / +29%
ORealty Income Corporation54.7 bn39.63.6%22.9%+9.1%−0% / +7%
VTRVentas, Inc.46.0 bn163.71.9%4.0%+18.5%+8% / +90%
CCICrown Castle Inc.36.8 bn44.0—20.7%−4.4%−5% / −26%
IRMIron Mountain Inc34.7 bn82.6—5.7%+12.2%+35% / +82%
EXRExtra Space Storage Inc.32.6 bn31.87.9%29.9%+3.7%+17% / +20%
VICIVICI Properties Inc.26.9 bn11.28.3%56.5%+4.1%−15% / −18%
VMRKVivmark Residential23.3 bn27.28.1%—+4.8%+0% / +9%
SBACSba Communications Corporation19.6 bn19.9—34.5%+5.1%−5% / −25%
HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.17.7 bn17.215.8%16.5%+7.6%+46% / +48%
ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.17.0 bn40.78.0%22.7%+6.4%+0% / +24%
KIMKimco Realty Corporation16.8 bn27.65.8%27.8%+5.1%+21% / +29%
REGRegency Centers Corporation14.1 bn25.78.0%34.5%+6.9%+8% / +22%
ELSEquity Lifestyle Properties, Inc.12.2 bn30.823.1%25.6%+0.3%−1% / −12%
UDRUDR, Inc.11.8 bn17.521.8%40.8%+2.4%+2% / +11%
GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.11.6 bn12.219.6%55.2%+4.1%−8% / −15%
MACMacerich Co7.3 bn—-6.3%-16.8%+10.4%+46% / +131%
STAGSTAG Industrial, Inc.7.3 bn27.17.6%29.9%+10.1%−4% / +6%
DRHDiamondrock Hospitality Co3.0 bn18.410.6%14.3%−0.8%+61% / +76%
AKRAcadia Realty Trust2.7 bn28.49.5%54.4%+14.2%−3% / +31%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MAC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    The Macerich Company is a US REIT that owns and manages high-quality regional shopping centers concentrated in California, the Pacific Northwest, Phoenix/Scottsdale and the New York to Washington corridor. The company is in a phase of deleveraging and portfolio repositioning, which matters for investors watching how mall assets recover in today's retail economy; occupancy of 94.0% at June 30, 2026 shows progress, while the second-quarter net loss shows the process is not yet complete 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Portfolio concentrated in densely populated markets and Class A assets, with rising occupancy and sales per square foot ahead of the prior year 3.
    • Diversified access to capital through public offerings, the ATM program and a revolving credit facility, providing substantial liquidity at the reporting date 23.
    • In-house experience in management, leasing and redevelopment, including full control of key assets previously held in partnerships 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Significant debt and net losses in recent quarters limit financial flexibility 13.
    • Dependence on a few states and regions exposes the company to local economic conditions 1.
    • Some mortgage loans have entered default or are under negotiation, signaling pressure on the capital structure of certain assets 1.

    Opportunities

    • Redevelopment and modernization of anchors and vacant space could lift rental income at existing centers 13.
    • Acquisitions of quality assets funded with new capital could expand the portfolio if market conditions are favorable 23.
    • Limited space availability in premium malls could support long-term rents in the strongest centers 3.

    Threats

    • Bankruptcy or closure of significant tenants could reduce occupancy and rental income 1.
    • Competition from online retail and other retail formats could affect traffic and sales in centers 1.
    • Elevated interest rates and construction cost inflation could slow redevelopments and raise refinancing costs 2.

    Risks

    • Significant tenants and bankruptcieshigh

      If an anchor or major tenant files for bankruptcy or closes stores, the company could lose rent and face high costs to re-let the space 1.

    • Debt refinancing and defaultshigh

      Some loans are in default or under negotiation, and refinancing terms could become more costly if interest rates remain high 12.

    • Geographic concentrationmedium

      A significant share of centers sits in a few states, so a regional economic slowdown could affect results disproportionately 1.

    • Redevelopment executionmedium

      Redevelopment and development projects could exceed budget or schedule, and rents in new space could fall short of expectations 1.

    • Shareholder dilutionlow

      Equity issuance and forward contracts could dilute per-share value if returns on the funded investments fall short of expectations 23.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Rising occupancy and go-forward NOI suggest the portfolio repositioning is making concrete progress 3.
    • Capital raised through offerings and the revolving credit facility gives flexibility for acquisitions and debt reduction 23.
    • If the signed-not-open leasing pipeline turns into paying rent, revenue could grow meaningfully in coming years 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • Net losses and elevated debt could limit the company's ability to fund acquisitions and redevelopments without further equity issuance 13.
    • Some loans in default or under negotiation show that the capital structure of certain assets is still fragile 1.
    • If demand for malls weakens or significant tenants disappear, occupancy could fall back quickly 1.

    What to watch

    • Conversion pace of the signed-not-open leasing pipeline into paying rent and go-forward NOI trendQ3 2026
    • Status of refinancings and loans in default or under negotiation, including Twenty Ninth Street2026
    • Integration progress at Annapolis Mall and occupancy of new tenantsnext 10-K
    • Settlement timing of the forward sale agreements and use of proceeds for acquisitions2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Macerich acquires, owns, develops, redevelops, manages and leases regional and community/power shopping centers across the United States. According to the fiscal 2025 annual report, at December 31, 2025 the company owned or had an interest in 37 regional retail centers and one community/power center, with about 39 million square feet of gross leasable area 1. By June 30, 2026 the portfolio stood at about 40 million square feet after the Annapolis Mall acquisition, financed with cash and revolving credit borrowings 23. The company operates as a self-administered REIT through its Operating Partnership and seven management companies 1.

    Long-term strategy rests on four pillars: acquiring well-located regional centers with revenue upside, leasing and management, redevelopment and selective development 1. The Path Forward Plan launched in 2024 aims to reduce leverage, fortify key assets, dispose of non-core assets and resume acquisitions, which began in June 2025 with Crabtree Mall for 290 million dollars 1. The company has defined a go-forward portfolio of centers to retain, a list subject to change 1.

    Segments

    Regional malls (Go-Forward)

    The go-forward portfolio includes centers such as Scottsdale Fashion Square, Queens Center, Tysons Corner Center and Broadway Plaza, concentrated in densely populated urban markets with constrained supply 13. The company states that about 90% of go-forward NOI comes from Class A assets in supply-constrained markets 3.

    Community and power centers

    One community/power center remains in the portfolio, a marginal contributor compared with the regional malls that dominate the company's revenue 12.

    Market context

    Regional malls operate in a market where owners compete for tenants and anchors, and occupancy and rents depend on local demand and merchandise mix 1. Management argues that new regional mall supply is effectively absent and that demand concentrates on the best centers, though these demand claims remain management's view 3. Sales per square foot for spaces under 10,000 square feet reached 919 dollars over the twelve months to June 30, 2026, versus 849 a year earlier 3.

    Retail conditions are shaped by competition from online retail, outlet and lifestyle formats, and by bankruptcies of significant tenants, which the company flags in its risk factors 1. Elevated interest rates affect both acquisition costs and refinancing of debt 2.

    Trends

    • Occupancy recovery in premium centerstailwind

      Portfolio occupancy rose to 94.0% at June 30, 2026, and go-forward centers reached 95.5%, indicating stronger demand for quality space 3. If this trend holds, rental income could grow without relying only on new acquisitions.

    • Go-forward NOI growthtailwind

      Go-forward center NOI, excluding lease termination income, rose 3.8% in the second quarter of 2026 compared with the same period of 2025 3. Continuing this momentum depends on converting the signed-not-open leasing pipeline into paying rent.

    • Cost of debt and refinancingheadwind

      The company has faced uncertainty around floating-rate debt and refinancings, and its annual report describes loans in default or under negotiation 12. If interest rates stay elevated, cash flow pressure could persist.

    • Equity issuance and dilutionmixed

      The company raised capital through public offerings and its ATM program and also issued shares under forward agreements, which can dilute existing shareholders even as they fund acquisitions and debt reduction 23. The net effect depends on the returns from the funded investments.

    Competitive position

    Macerich competes with other mall and shopping center owners and developers, including other publicly traded mall companies and large private mall groups, for both acquisitions and tenants 1. Competition also comes from lifestyle, outlet, power center and online retail formats 1.

    In acquisitions the company faces other REITs and private investors, and rivals may have greater financial resources, which can raise purchase prices 1. Macerich's stated advantage lies in its geographic positioning and its relationships with sellers and financial institutions 1.

    • Simon Property GroupSPG

      A direct competitor in regional mall ownership, acquisitions and tenant leasing, identified in the analyzed sources as a rival for tenants and transactions 1.

    • Other publicly traded mall companies

      Publicly traded mall companies, mentioned generically in the risk factors, compete with Macerich for acquisitions and tenants 1.

    • Large private mall companies

      Large private shopping center groups, noted in the annual report, compete for the same assets and tenants 1.

    • Lifestyle, outlet and online retail formats

      Alternative formats such as lifestyle centers, outlets and online retail that draw customers and tenants away from malls 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / The Macerich Company · 20 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / The Macerich Company · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / The Macerich Company · 04 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

    The Macerich Company (MAC): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw