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olivLaw · US equity research

Strategy Inc MSTR

Finance Services · SIC 6199 · Vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

142.54USD+5.09% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Strategy Inc is the world's first Bitcoin treasury company and the largest institutional holder of bitcoin, financing its purchases through fixed-dividend 'digital credit' instruments. It also runs an AI-powered enterprise analytics software business with stable but small revenue relative to its bitcoin activity. Because it held over 846,000 bitcoin at June 30, 2026, its results now depend heavily on the bitcoin price and its ability to pay dividends.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Strategy Inc (MSTR) stock was 142.54 USD (+5.09% on the day), with beta 2.55, 52-week range 82.31–255.00 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 125.4 m USD (−2.5% YoY), net income of 19.5 bn USD (+601.4% YoY), diluted EPS 44.75 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -80.28 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-56.32%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.55
Volatility (1y) 81%
52-week range
82.31255.00

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
49.7
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
129.31 – 158.04
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.46 · band width 20.0%
SMA 50 / 200
144.47 / 134.08
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-2.45 / -1.17
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−13.3%−1.1%−12.2 pp—
3 months+44.9%−0.5%+45.4 pp—
6 months−23.7%+4.4%−28.1 pp—
Year to date−6.2%+12.3%−18.5 pp—
1 year−42.3%+13.5%−55.8 pp−48.5%
3 years+214.0%+76.4%+137.6 pp−74.7%
5 years+78.7%+63.7%+15.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−67.7%
05 Nov 2025 → 26 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−84.1%
08 Nov 2021 → 29 Dec 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+12.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
125.4 m USD
−2.5% YoY
Net income
19.5 bn USD
+601.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
44.75
+431.5% YoY
net / operating
15,573.2% / 16,670.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue120.7 m111.1 m114.5 m128.7 m123.0 m124.3 m122.4 m125.4 m
Cost of revenue34.2 m34.0 m35.8 m38.0 m41.7 m40.9 m40.8 m35.8 m
Gross profit86.5 m77.1 m78.7 m90.7 m81.3 m83.4 m81.6 m89.6 m
Research & development25.7 m24.4 m24.1 m22.6 m22.8 m24.7 m23.1 m24.1 m
Operating income-1.0 bn-5.9 bn14.0 bn3.9 bn-17.4 bn-14.5 bn-8.3 bn20.9 bn
Depreciation & amortisation5.1 m6.6 m9.1 m ≈4.2 m ≈5.6 m8.8 m12.4 m ≈11.2 m ≈
Interest expense——18.0 m19.0 m——15.6 m15.4 m
Pre-tax income-1.0 bn-5.9 bn14.0 bn3.9 bn-17.5 bn-14.5 bn-8.2 bn20.9 bn
Income tax-355.9 m-1.7 bn4.0 bn1.1 bn-5.0 bn-1.9 bn1.6 m1.4 bn
Net income-670.8 m-4.2 bn10.0 bn2.8 bn-12.4 bn-12.5 bn-8.2 bn19.5 bn
Diluted EPS-3.02 ≈-16.4932.608.42-62.33 ≈-38.25-24.4544.75
Operating cash flow-17.3 m-2.4 m-34.9 m ≈-8.3 m ≈-21.6 m14.0 m-4.1 m ≈4.4 m ≈
Capex284.0 k2.7 m2.1 m ≈2.8 m ≈584.0 k952.0 k1.8 m ≈462.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue497.6 m486.3 m480.7 m510.8 m499.3 m496.3 m463.5 m477.2 m
Revenue YoY−1.2%−2.3%−1.1%+6.2%−2.3%−0.6%−6.6%+3.0%
Net income22.5 m34.4 m-7.5 m-535.5 m-1.5 bn429.1 m-1.2 bn-3.8 bn
Net income YoY+23.7%+52.7%−121.9%unavailableunavailableunavailable−371.9%unavailable
Diluted EPS1.973.33-0.78-53.44-12.982.64-6.06-15.23
Diluted EPS YoY+24.7%+69.0%−123.4%unavailableunavailableunavailable−329.5%unavailable
net %4.5%7.1%-1.6%-104.8%-294.4%86.5%-251.7%-806.3%
Free cash flow3.8 m50.7 m50.0 m91.1 m725.0 k9.8 m-56.0 m-75.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
2.3 bn USD
Financial debt
8.2 bn USD
Net debt
5.9 bn USD
Equity
44.1 bn USD
Total assets
61.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.19x
Current ratio
5.62x
ROE
-10.2%
ROA
-8.8%
FCF margin
-15.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
496.3 m
2024
463.5 m
2025
477.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
109.9 m
2024
129.5 m
2025
149.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
386.3 m
2024
334.0 m
2025
327.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
120.5 m
2024
118.5 m
2025
93.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-115.0 m
2024
-1.9 bn
2025
-5.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
14.5 m
2024
17.8 m
2025
25.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-100.5 m ≈
2024
-1.8 bn ≈
2025
-5.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-124.5 m
2024
-1.9 bn
2025
-5.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-553.6 m
2024
-767.7 m
2025
-1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
429.1 m
2024
-1.2 bn
2025
-3.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.64
2024
-6.06
2025
-15.23

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
165.7 m
2024
192.5 m
2025
277.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
46.8 m
2024
38.1 m
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
183.8 m
2024
181.2 m
2025
205.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
267.9 m
2024
252.3 m
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
28.9 m
2024
26.3 m
2025
28.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.8 bn
2024
25.8 bn
2025
61.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
483.0 k
2024
517.0 k
2025
31.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.2 bn
2024
7.2 bn
2025
8.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
323.3 m
2024
355.4 m
2025
456.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.6 bn
2024
7.6 bn
2025
10.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.2 bn †
2024
31.0 bn †
2025
44.1 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
12.7 m
2024
-53.0 m
2025
-67.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.9 m
2024
3.0 m
2025
8.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
9.8 m ≈
2024
-56.0 m ≈
2025
-75.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.9 bn
2024
-22.1 bn
2025
-22.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
1.9 bn
2024
22.1 bn
2025
24.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Feb 2023verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-1.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
67.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
-3,898.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-3,905.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-2,760.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-25.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-18.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
-27.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
-25.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
4.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-7.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
3.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-11.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
90 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-56.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

142.54 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-25.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-2,760.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 2200derived 171

Score by group

29% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-27.0%44 (vs peers)36%
Net margin · Quality-2,760.3%8 (vs peers)21%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.5%0 (on a fixed band)29%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.0x100 (on a fixed band)14%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality31/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

STRATEGY INC (MSTR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 477.2 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.0%; net margin -2,760.3%; ROE -25.4%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 4.0x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -2,760.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -1.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Finance Services (SIC 6199) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 18.7x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
—
vertical median 7.0x
P/B
—
vertical median 1.1x
ROE
-25.4%
vertical median -26.0%
at median
Net margin
-2,760.3%
vertical median -99.5%
below median
EBIT margin
-3,905.9%
vertical median -148.0%
below median
Revenue YoY
3.0%
vertical median 20.6%
below median (−85.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AXPAmerican Express Co223.0 bn18.735.9%27.9%+6.4%−9% / +95%
COINCoinbase Global, Inc.40.1 bn—-4.7%-12.5%+9.4%−44% / +21%
SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.22.4 bn36.37.1%104.3%+23.1%−42% / +138%
IRENIREN Limited7.8 bn—-23.4%-99.4%+41.1%−55% / +340%
HUTHut 8 Corp.5.9 bn—-34.5%-169.8%+44.8%+9% / +415%
BLSHBullish3.5 bn—-27.3%-0.3%−2.2%−47% / unavailable
PURRHyperliquid Strategies Inc1.9 bn3.032.6%3,229.8%unavailableunavailable / unavailable
CLSKCleanSpark, Inc.1.7 bn—-68.6%-130.2%+102.2%−55% / +9%
WLTHWealthfront Corporation1.7 bn—-20.5%-19.4%+18.2%unavailable / unavailable
BTDRBitdeer Technologies Group1.5 bn—-196.7%-171.3%−5.1%−51% / +45%
RHLDResolute Holdings Management, Inc.1.0 bn24.1—4.2%+9.9%−26% / unavailable
AMBRAmber International Holding Limited865.0 m—-116.1%-88.7%−9.0%−27% / −51%
CDChaince Digital Holdings Inc.741.4 m—-12.3%-182.5%+277.9%−30% / +622%
TRONTron Inc.664.1 m96.83.8%135.6%+10.0%−24% / −48%
JFU9F Inc.536.7 m23.24.7%125.2%+12.2%−52% / −43%
ABTCAmerican Bitcoin Corp.516.7 m7.5-10.5%-26.7%+158.8%−90% / −99%
ORBSEightco Holdings Inc.340.9 m—-157.0%-1,260.9%−16.8%−70% / −74%
CHADDefi Development Corp.310.0 m—-589.3%-1,319.5%+442.3%unavailable / unavailable
CPSSConsumer Portfolio Services, Inc.221.6 m9.97.5%5.0%+10.4%+23% / +7%
DGXXDigi Power X Inc.217.0 m—-24.7%-114.8%−7.6%−48% / +50%
TONXTon Strategy Company159.7 m—-75.5%-532.8%+1,327.8%−15% / −93%
DEFTDefi Technologies Inc.152.4 m2.374.0%62.9%+215.5%−74% / unavailable
HSDTSolana Company127.0 m—-183.2%-1,302.8%+1,057.1%−49% / −100%
AGPUAxe Compute Inc86.2 m—-1,565.2%-7,769.8%+47.7%+24% / −85%
MGLDThe Marygold Companies, Inc.84.1 m—-20.7%-17.3%+8.0%+93% / +91%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MSTR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Strategy Inc is the world's first Bitcoin treasury company and the largest institutional holder of bitcoin, financing its purchases through fixed-dividend 'digital credit' instruments. It also runs an AI-powered enterprise analytics software business with stable but small revenue relative to its bitcoin activity. Because it held over 846,000 bitcoin at June 30, 2026, its results now depend heavily on the bitcoin price and its ability to pay dividends.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a leading position among institutional bitcoin holders and, per the source, a dollar reserve covering several years of dividends and interest. Dividend payments have been made without interruption for 18 months, according to the quarterly release.
  • The financing structure is diversified, combining common stock, five classes of preferred stock and convertible notes, giving access to several investor categories.
  • The software division has recurring revenue and high gross margins, which could support part of the business over time if it grows.

Weaknesses

  • The software business does not currently generate enough cash flow to cover the company's obligations, so dependence on external financing is high.
  • Accounting results are very sensitive to the bitcoin price, because unrealized losses flow directly into the net loss.
  • Dividend and interest obligations are largely fixed in the short term, which limits how quickly expenses can be adjusted in weak markets.

Opportunities

  • If 'digital credit' instruments become stable and liquid, the company could widen its investor base and reduce financing costs.
  • The program repurchasing STRC shares below their stated amount could reduce future dividend obligations if the instrument stays below the 100-dollar threshold.
  • Growing demand for AI analytics in enterprises could support software revenue, especially if the platform expands its conversational features.

Threats

  • A prolonged fall in the bitcoin price could force sales below acquisition cost, hurting results and financing capacity.
  • If demand for preferred stock falls, financing costs could rise and the company could be forced to reduce holdings to pay dividends.
  • Custody and regulatory risks for bitcoin, including a possible change in tax treatment, could weigh on the company.

Risks

  • Liquidity for dividends and interesthigh

    If the dollar reserve runs down and financing cannot be raised in time or on favourable terms, the company could be forced to sell bitcoin at unfavourable prices.

  • Bitcoin price volatilityhigh

    Digital assets are measured at market value, so falls in the bitcoin price produce large accounting losses and can reduce the value of holdings.

  • Tax exposuremedium

    The company could face unexpected tax liabilities, and selling bitcoin at a gain would create tax. Changes in international tax rules add uncertainty.

  • Custody riskmedium

    The company relies on three custodians to safekeep bitcoin. A problem at one of them could affect a significant part of holdings, although the contracts include certain liability terms.

  • Volatile results and uncertain profitabilitymedium

    Results can swing sharply from quarter to quarter, and the company cannot be sure it will regain profitability if unrealized losses persist.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If bitcoin recovers and 'digital credit' instruments stay near par, the company could benefit from stronger demand for financing and from rising value of holdings per share.
  • The dollar reserve and repurchase programs could ease dividend pressure and let the company use financing more efficiently.
  • The software division, with high gross margins, could grow and provide a more predictable revenue component.

What would break the thesis

  • If the bitcoin price stays below average acquisition cost, accounting losses would continue and the company could sell bitcoin to meet its obligations.
  • If demand for STRC shares falls, the dividend could need to rise further, increasing the cost of financing.
  • The software division does not cover obligations on its own, and the company depends on external financing to pay dividends and interest.

What to watch

  • Evolution of the USD Reserve and STRC dividend paymentsQ3 2026
  • Volume of bitcoin sales under the monetization programQ3 2026
  • Effect of repurchase programs on the STRC priceQ3 2026
  • Next annual report on interest rates and convertible debt maturitiesnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Strategy Inc (formerly MicroStrategy, renamed in August 2025) defines its activity in two directions. The first is its bitcoin treasury strategy, under which it accumulates bitcoin as a reserve asset and issues five classes of preferred stock called 'digital credit' to finance its purchases. The second is its AI analytics platform, which includes Strategy One and Strategy Mosaic and is sold to enterprises across many industries. According to the July 30, 2026 quarterly report, the company realigned its reporting into two segments, Software and Bitcoin, starting in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 23.

To support dividends and interest, the company set up a US dollar reserve (USD Reserve) in December 2025, which stood at 3.75 billion dollars on July 26, 2026 3. Management stated that the software business did not generate positive operating cash flow in fiscal 2025 and does not expect it to cover obligations over the next twelve months 1. For this reason financing depends mainly on ATM equity sales and preferred stock issuance.

Custody of the bitcoin is split among three U.S.-based custodians, Coinbase, Anchorage Digital and Fidelity Digital Assets, holding roughly 40%, 37% and 23% respectively as of February 13, 2026 1. The company describes its treasury policy as long-term, with no fixed target quantity of bitcoin.

Segments

Software segment (AI enterprise analytics)

The Software segment offers the cloud-native Strategy One platform and the Strategy Mosaic universal data layer, with generative and conversational AI capabilities. In the second quarter of 2026, total revenues were 122.4 million dollars, up 6.9% from a year earlier, with a gross margin of 66.6% 3. Revenues are small relative to bitcoin holdings, but the segment remains a declared component of the long-term strategy.

Bitcoin segment (treasury and financing)

The Bitcoin segment covers bitcoin holdings, purchases, partial sales and preferred stock issuance. At June 30, 2026 the company held 846,000 bitcoin, and in the second quarter the operating loss was 8.33 billion dollars, which includes an unrealized loss on digital assets of 8.32 billion 23. The company has also begun repurchasing STRC shares below their stated amount, showing management now uses capital instruments in the reverse direction too.

Market context

The preferred stock financing market is equally decisive. STRC issuances raised 7.53 billion dollars in 2026 through July 26, and the STRC dividend was raised to 12% to keep the instrument near 100 dollars 3. If investor demand for these instruments falls, the company could need more bitcoin sales to meet its obligations.

Trends

  • Bitcoin price volatilityheadwind

    Unrealized bitcoin losses have had a major effect on quarterly results, reaching 8.32 billion dollars in the second quarter of 2026 3. If the bitcoin price stays below average acquisition cost, accounting results could remain volatile.

  • Growing bitcoin holdingstailwind

    Holdings rose from 672,500 bitcoin at the end of 2025 to 846,000 at June 30, 2026, through purchases funded by ATM issuance 12. If these issuances continue, holdings per share could grow even during periods of low prices.

  • Preferred dividend pressureheadwind

    Preferred dividend obligations have grown with STRC issuance and could become hard to cover without new issuance or bitcoin sales. The company set up a dollar reserve to limit this risk, but it must be replenished periodically 3.

  • The 'digital credit' capital frameworkmixed

    In June 2026 the board approved a framework covering the USD Reserve policy, STRC dividend policy, repurchase programs and a bitcoin monetization program. If these tools stabilise preferred stock prices, financing could become more predictable, but they could also limit the company's flexibility 23.

Competitive position

In the analytics segment the company faces providers of enterprise business intelligence and data platforms. The sources provided do not explicitly name competitors, so the list below reflects general categories only. In bitcoin, the company describes itself as the largest institutional holder, but the sources provided contain no comparison with other corporate holders.

  • Enterprise business intelligence platform providers

    Sources do not name competitors; the category covers visualization, reporting and embedded analytics platforms serving the same corporate customers as Strategy One.

  • Unified data layer and governance providers

    Category covering universal data layer solutions similar to Strategy Mosaic, used to create a single source of truth.

  • Other institutional bitcoin holders

    Companies and funds holding bitcoin in treasury; the sources do not identify them, and the company describes itself as the largest institutional holder.

  • Bitcoin custody service providers

    The company works with three custodians, but they are service partners rather than direct competitors; the custody relationship is treated as a counterparty risk.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 21 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report02 Nov 2026
  • Current report02 Nov 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events
  • Current report29 Oct 2026
    Item 3.03 · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Shareholder vote · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 Oct 2026
    Other events
  • Current report26 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events
  • Current report19 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events
  • Current report16 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events
  • Current report13 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report05 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Strategy Inc · 19 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Strategy Inc · 03 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Strategy Inc · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.