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olivLaw · US equity research

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. ORN

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors · SIC 1600 · Vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

7.84USD−11.11% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Orion Group Holdings is a specialty contractor focused on marine and concrete infrastructure, mainly in the United States. It reported contract revenues of 852.3 million USD in fiscal 2025, and it is trying to strengthen its position in large projects linked to defense, ports and data centers.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN) stock was 7.84 USD (−11.11% on the day), with market capitalisation 318.8 m USD, P/E 50.9 on diluted EPS of 0.15 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.64, 52-week range 7.84–17.14 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 256.2 m USD (+13.8% YoY), net income of 5.5 m USD (+65.8% YoY), diluted EPS 0.14 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
318.8 m USD
shares as of 27 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
50.9
Diluted EPS TTM 0.15 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.96%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.64
Volatility (1y) 61%
52-week range
7.8417.14

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
39.6
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
8.06 – 9.40
below the lower band · %B -0.16 · band width 15.4%
SMA 50 / 200
8.93 / 11.79
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.17 / -0.14
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−15.3%−2.0%−13.3 pp—
3 months−24.1%−2.2%−21.9 pp—
6 months−48.0%+4.3%−52.3 pp—
Year to date−21.1%+10.6%−31.7 pp—
1 year−26.7%+10.5%−37.1 pp−9.0%
3 years+77.8%+73.7%+4.1 pp+52.0%
5 years+79.0%+61.7%+17.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−54.3%
29 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−57.6%
23 Jul 2024 → 03 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+12.3%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
256.2 m USD
+13.8% YoY
Net income
5.5 m USD
+65.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.14
+75.0% YoY
net / operating
2.1% / 3.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue216.9 m188.7 m205.3 m225.1 m233.2 m216.3 m221.9 m256.2 m
Cost of revenue186.6 m165.6 m179.5 m195.3 m206.2 m190.4 m199.0 m223.0 m
Gross profit30.3 m23.0 m25.8 m29.8 m27.1 m25.9 m22.9 m33.1 m
SG&A21.6 m22.5 m22.8 m25.1 m23.1 m26.3 m24.4 m24.7 m
Operating income9.6 m833.0 k3.4 m5.3 m5.0 m-795.0 k-1.3 m8.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.6 m3.2 m3.1 m ≈3.8 m ≈3.6 m4.4 m5.3 m ≈5.5 m ≈
Interest expense3.0 m2.3 m2.9 m2.1 m1.5 m1.5 m2.5 m3.0 m
Pre-tax income6.8 m-1.3 m629.0 k3.6 m-67.0 k-2.2 m-3.7 m5.9 m
Income tax1.0 k140.0 k-212.0 k317.0 k173.0 k-6.9 m474.0 k388.0 k
Net income6.8 m-1.4 m841.0 k3.3 m-240.0 k4.7 m-4.1 m5.5 m
Diluted EPS0.17 ≈-0.040.020.08-0.01 ≈0.12-0.100.14
Operating cash flow13.4 m-3.4 m-5.6 m ≈23.3 m ≈13.8 m4.9 m-17.6 m ≈2.0 m ≈
Capex3.4 m9.0 m7.1 m ≈9.3 m ≈13.4 m8.6 m11.5 m ≈8.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 65 percentile of its own 17-quarter history (min 4.9, median 30.0, max 783.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue520.9 m708.4 m709.9 m601.4 m748.3 m711.8 m796.4 m852.3 m
Revenue YoY−10.0%+36.0%+0.2%−15.3%+24.4%−4.9%+11.9%+7.0%
Net income-94.4 m-5.4 m20.2 m-14.6 m-12.6 m-17.9 m-1.6 m2.5 m
Net income YoY−23,705.5%unavailableunavailable−172.0%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-3.31-0.180.67-0.47-0.40-0.55-0.050.06
Diluted EPS YoY−33,200.0%unavailableunavailable−170.1%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-18.1%-0.8%2.8%-2.4%-1.7%-2.5%-0.2%0.3%
Free cash flow4.2 m-17.9 m31.3 m-16.9 m-5.0 m8.3 m-1.4 m-10.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.6 m USD
Financial debt
7.9 m USD
Net debt
6.3 m USD
Equity
159.0 m USD
Total assets
414.7 m USD
Debt / equity
0.05x
Current ratio
1.36x
ROE
1.6%
ROA
0.6%
FCF margin
-1.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
711.8 m
2024
796.4 m
2025
852.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
650.1 m
2024
705.2 m
2025
746.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
61.7 m
2024
91.2 m
2025
105.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
69.4 m
2024
82.5 m
2025
93.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-6.6 m
2024
11.5 m
2025
14.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
18.8 m
2024
15.5 m
2025
13.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
12.2 m ≈
2024
27.1 m ≈
2025
28.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
11.7 m
2024
13.4 m
2025
8.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-17.5 m
2024
-1.3 m
2025
2.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
330.0 k
2024
348.0 k
2025
419.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-17.9 m
2024
-1.6 m
2025
2.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.55
2024
-0.05
2025
0.06

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
32.3 m
2024
34.8 m
2025
39.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
30.9 m
2024
28.3 m
2025
1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
2.7 m
2024
2.0 m
2025
2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
271.8 m
2024
269.3 m
2025
278.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
87.8 m
2024
86.1 m
2025
88.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Mar 2024verified

Total assets
2023
416.9 m
2024
417.3 m
2025
414.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
13.5 m
2024
426.0 k
2025
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
23.7 m
2024
22.8 m
2025
6.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
215.9 m
2024
191.2 m
2025
203.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
295.4 m
2024
266.6 m
2025
255.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
121.5 m
2024
150.7 m
2025
159.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
17.2 m
2024
12.7 m
2025
28.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
8.9 m
2024
14.1 m
2025
38.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
8.3 m ≈
2024
-1.4 m ≈
2025
-10.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
2.2 m
2024
-11.5 m
2025
-13.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
7.8 m
2024
-3.8 m
2025
-39.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2021verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
3.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
26.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
-34.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
-38.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
11.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
103.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
1.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
3.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
41.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-38.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
-664.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
1 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
318.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
421.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
55.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
50.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
36.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
2.32
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 20 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

7.84 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 318.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
318.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
50.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 27 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 28 Oct 2026
verified 2367derived 159

Score by group

  • Balance sheet26
  • Growth37
  • Valuation12
  • Quality18

Estimated value range

Low
2.80
USD per share
Mid
4.11
USD per share
High
5.83
USD per share
Price: 7.84 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -47.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -90.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.28 – 6.59 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA3.32 – 5.07 (Mid 4.01)
    4 companies used · median multiple 8.8x · quartiles 7.9x – 10.2x
    GVA, KBR, ROAD, STRL
  • Peers: P/E2.28 – 6.59 (Mid 4.22)
    4 companies used · median multiple 27.4x · quartiles 14.8x – 42.8x
    J, KBR, ROAD, STRL
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 20/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality4.2%17 (vs peers)13%
Net margin · Quality0.6%40 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality-664.5%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.4%37 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.4x33 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet1.3x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x48 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation50.9x0 (on a fixed band)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation14.0x33 (vs peers)13%
FCF yield · Valuation-12.0%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet26/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial37/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality18/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation12/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ORION GROUP HOLDINGS, INC. (ORN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 852.3 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 7.0%; net margin 0.6%; ROE 3.5%; net debt/EBITDA 3.4x.

The estimated value range is 2.80–5.83 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 4.11 USD, the price of 7.84 USD leaves a potential of -47.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -90.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 20/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 4.2%
  • FCF conversion: -664.5%
  • Interest coverage: 1.3x
  • P/E (TTM): 50.9x
  • FCF yield: -12.0%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
50.9x
vertical median 27.4x
above median (+85.6%)
EV/EBITDA
14.0x
vertical median 10.8x
above median (+29.2%)
P/S
0.3x
vertical median 0.6x
below median (−42.1%)
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 4.3x
below median (−57.0%)
ROE
3.5%
vertical median 12.2%
below median (−71.4%)
Net margin
0.6%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−75.7%)
EBIT margin
1.2%
vertical median 7.6%
below median (−83.7%)
Revenue YoY
7.0%
vertical median 4.9%
above median (+42.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.4x
vertical median 2.8x
above median (+21.6%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
JJacobs Solutions Inc.18.7 bn54.29.6%2.4%+4.6%+19% / +52%
STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.8.7 bn15.943.3%12.9%+17.7%−18% / +347%
FLRFluor Corporation6.4 bn—-46.2%-12.8%−5.0%+11% / +25%
GVAGranite Construction Inc5.8 bn—-25.2%-5.0%+10.4%+23% / +188%
KBRKBR, Inc.5.0 bn11.427.4%5.7%+1.0%−4% / −23%
ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.1.9 bn38.915.0%4.1%+54.2%−9% / +137%
ORNOrion Group Holdings, Inc.318.8 m50.93.5%0.6%+7.0%−27% / +78%
SHIMShimmick Corporation98.8 m——-3.8%+2.6%−9% / −61%
SLNDSouthland Holdings, Inc.40.8 m——-67.0%−21.2%−76% / −86%
FERFerrovial N.V.——14.8%9.2%+5.2%−10% / +79%
CDNLCardinal Infrastructure Group Inc——7.4%2.7%+44.7%unavailable / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for ORN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
4.27
Total return -46% · Per year -46%
7.55
Total return -4% · Per year -4%
11.38
Total return 45% · Per year 45%
3 years
4.14
Total return -47% · Per year -19%
8.24
Total return 5% · Per year 2%
13.62
Total return 74% · Per year 20%
5 years
4.01
Total return -49% · Per year -13%
8.98
Total return 15% · Per year 3%
16.31
Total return 108% · Per year 16%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 2.06
  • Net margin± 1.44
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.18
  • Annual dilution± 0.12

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

In brief

Orion Group Holdings is a specialty contractor focused on marine and concrete infrastructure, mainly in the United States. It reported contract revenues of 852.3 million USD in fiscal 2025, and it is trying to strengthen its position in large projects linked to defense, ports and data centers.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a specialized fleet, long marine experience and a safety record recognized by public and private clients 1.
  • The concrete segment showed strong revenue and margin growth in the second quarter of 2026, which balances the variability of the marine business 3.
  • The opportunity pipeline reported in mid 2026 is large, and the book-to-bill ratio points to solid demand 3.

Weaknesses

  • Gross and net margins are relatively modest, and the company reported a net loss in the second quarter of 2026 13.
  • The company relies on fixed-price contracts, and cost overruns can cut profitability without full recovery 1.
  • The revised 2026 guidance points to difficulties in executing and timing marine projects 3.

Opportunities

  • If Pacific projects and Navy modernization programs materialize, the company could win long-duration contracts 1.
  • The JEM acquisition could expand dredging and port capabilities if integration goes well 1.
  • Expanding concrete work into Florida and other fast-growing markets could diversify revenue 1.

Threats

  • Publicly funded projects depend on government budgets that can be delayed or reduced, and competitive bidding squeezes margins 1.
  • Rising costs of materials, fuel and labor could erode margins on projects in progress 1.
  • Climate and weather risks, such as Gulf Coast hurricanes, can interrupt work and raise costs 1.

Risks

  • Bonding capacityhigh

    Large projects require performance bonds, and the company cannot be sure it will keep the capacity needed for future contracts 1.

  • Fixed-price contractshigh

    Most revenue comes from fixed-price contracts, where cost overruns or delays can lead to losses on a project 1.

  • Dependence on the U.S. Navymedium

    The Navy is the only customer whose loss would have a material effect on the company, and the Pearl Harbor project is a significant share of work 1.

  • Client delays and project timingmedium

    Delayed starts and lower equipment utilization reduced marine revenue in the second quarter of 2026 3.

  • Debt after acquisitionsmedium

    The JEM acquisition was partly funded with borrowings, and total debt remains significant relative to available cash 23.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • A large opportunity pipeline and a high book-to-bill ratio suggest demand for the company's work remains solid, and the concrete segment shows strong growth 3.
  • If defense and port projects materialize, the company could convert its backlog into revenue growth, as reflected in the revised 2026 guidance 3.
  • Integrating the JEM acquisition could add dredging and port capabilities and strengthen the company's marine position 1.

What would break the thesis

  • The marine segment declined in the second quarter of 2026, and the 2026 guidance was reduced, pointing to execution difficulties 3.
  • Reliance on fixed-price contracts and competitive bidding could keep margins low even if revenue grows 1.
  • Higher debt after acquisitions and limited available cash could restrict financial flexibility if projects are delayed 23.

What to watch

  • Recovery of the marine segment and execution of projects started in 2026Q3 2026
  • Integration of JEM and its contribution to backlog and revenue2026
  • Delivery against the revised 2026 guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA2026
  • Debt levels and bonding capacity trendsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

The business

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. is a specialty construction company headquartered in Houston, Texas, listed on the NYSE under the symbol ORN. Its work falls into two segments: marine, covering dredging, port, bridge and coastal protection structures, and concrete, offering construction services for commercial, industrial and data center buildings 1. In February 2026 the company completed the acquisition of J.E. McAmis, active in dredging and breakwater construction, which complements the marine segment 1.

Segments

Marine segment

The marine segment provides construction and dredging for ports, channels, underwater pipelines and environmental structures, for government and private clients in the continental United States, Alaska, Hawaii, Canada and the Caribbean 1. Marine backlog stood at 554 million USD on June 30 2026, compared with 480 million USD at the end of 2025 2. In the second quarter of 2026 marine revenue fell because of delayed project start-ups and lower equipment utilization 3.

Concrete segment

The concrete segment delivers pouring, finishing and rebar placement for commercial, industrial, residential and data center projects, mainly in Texas, Florida and Arizona 1. In the second quarter of 2026 this segment grew revenue by over 30% and adjusted EBITDA by over 45%, supported by site civil services and better utilization 3.

Market context

Demand for marine infrastructure and concrete construction is supported by federal transport and coastal funding, the modernization of the U.S. Navy and the expansion of data centers, according to the annual report 1. The company also describes a cycle of large projects awarded mainly through competitive bidding, where public clients are sensitive to government budgets 1.

Trends

  • Defense modernization and Pacific infrastructuretailwind

    The U.S. Navy has outlined planned investment to upgrade shipyards and waterfront infrastructure in the Pacific, and the Pearl Harbor dry dock project strengthens the company's position 1. If these programs proceed, they could generate long-term contracts.

  • Data centers and industrial buildingstailwind

    Demand for data centers and industrial distribution facilities is rising, and in the second quarter of 2026 the company reported new data center awards 13. This demand could offset pressures in other areas.

  • Federal funding for ports and infrastructuremixed

    Funding for ports, waterways and coastal resilience can generate new dredging and modernization projects 1. However, these funds are allocated unevenly, and their timing can delay projects.

  • Costs, interest rates and project delaysheadwind

    Rising material prices, higher interest rates and client-side delays can reduce margins or postpone projects. In 2026 the company showed that start-up delays in the marine segment weighed on revenue 3.

Competitive position

Both segments are highly fragmented. In marine construction the company competes with several regional firms and a few national firms, while in concrete most competitors are small local or large regional companies 1. Barriers to entry include bonding capacity, specialized equipment and technical expertise 1.

The company differentiates itself through a specialized fleet, technical problem-solving and a strong safety record, which it highlights with public and private clients 1. Open competitive bidding, however, keeps constant pressure on prices.

  • Regional marine construction firms

    Local and regional competitors in the marine segment, named generically in the annual report without individual identification.

  • National marine construction firms

    A few national companies competing for port and marine infrastructure projects.

  • Local concrete construction companies

    Small and local firms competing for commercial and residential concrete work.

  • Regional and national construction companies

    Large companies competing in concrete, mostly on private-sector projects.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Orion Group Holdings, Inc. · 04 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Orion Group Holdings, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Orion Group Holdings, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw