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olivLaw · US equity research

Construction Partners, Inc. ROAD

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors · SIC 1600 · Vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

99.24USD+3.06% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Construction Partners, Inc. (ROAD) is a vertically integrated civil infrastructure company that builds and maintains roads in eight Sunbelt states. The company reported a contract backlog of 3.0 billion USD, and a plan called ROAD 2030 targets revenues above 6 billion USD. Its relevance grows with public infrastructure funding and its consolidation through acquisitions.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Construction Partners, Inc. (ROAD) stock was 99.24 USD (+3.06% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.9 bn USD, P/E 38.9 on diluted EPS of 2.55 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.51, 52-week range 80.84–140.48 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 999.4 m USD (+28.2% YoY), net income of 59.6 m USD (+35.2% YoY), diluted EPS 1.06 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.9 bn USD
shares as of 30 Sept 2019
P/E (TTM)
38.9
Diluted EPS TTM 2.55 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.57%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.51
Volatility (1y) 52%
52-week range
80.84140.48

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
66.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
76.74 – 97.11
above the upper band · %B 1.10 · band width 23.4%
SMA 50 / 200
93.24 / 110.82
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.64 / -1.61
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+9.7%−2.0%+11.6 pp—
3 months−5.5%−2.2%−3.4 pp—
6 months−26.5%+4.3%−30.7 pp—
Year to date−8.6%+10.6%−19.1 pp—
1 year−11.4%+10.5%−21.9 pp−9.5%
3 years+149.6%+73.7%+75.9 pp+52.0%
5 years+139.5%+61.7%+77.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−42.5%
08 May 2026 → 14 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−54.5%
08 Nov 2021 → 22 Jun 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+19.1%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
999.4 m USD
+28.2% YoY
Net income
59.6 m USD
+35.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.06
+34.2% YoY
net / operating
6.0% / 10.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue538.2 m561.6 m571.7 m779.3 m899.8 m809.5 m769.2 m999.4 m
Cost of revenue454.1 m485.0 m500.3 m647.5 m740.5 m688.0 m670.3 m831.0 m
Gross profit84.1 m76.6 m71.4 m131.8 m159.4 m121.5 m98.9 m168.4 m
Operating income45.8 m13.8 m27.3 m82.9 m100.8 m50.4 m37.4 m109.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation12.4 m—36.2 m38.2 m39.3 m—44.2 m41.9 m
Interest expense6.1 m18.1 m21.6 m25.2 m25.4 m27.4 m25.6 m30.3 m
Pre-tax income39.6 m-3.9 m5.5 m58.0 m75.0 m22.8 m12.1 m79.1 m
Income tax10.3 m-849.0 k1.3 m13.9 m18.4 m5.6 m2.9 m19.6 m
Net income29.3 m-3.1 m4.2 m44.0 m56.6 m17.2 m9.2 m59.6 m
Diluted EPS0.56 ≈-0.060.080.791.02 ≈0.310.161.06
Operating cash flow95.9 m40.7 m55.6 m ≈83.0 m ≈112.0 m82.6 m65.2 m ≈93.1 m ≈
Capex17.5 m26.8 m41.4 m ≈36.7 m ≈33.0 m35.5 m46.3 m ≈62.5 m ≈
Share repurchases—12.1 m8.0 m ≈674.0 k ≈2.7 m22.4 m3.5 m ≈3.8 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 29 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 9.3, median 48.8, max 99.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue680.1 m783.2 m785.7 m910.7 m1.3 bn1.6 bn1.8 bn2.8 bn
Revenue YoY+19.7%+15.2%+0.3%+15.9%+42.9%+20.1%+16.7%+54.2%
Net income50.8 m43.1 m40.3 m20.2 m21.4 m49.0 m68.9 m101.8 m
Net income YoY+95.0%−15.1%−6.5%−49.9%+5.9%+129.2%+40.7%+47.6%
Diluted EPS1.110.840.780.390.410.941.311.84
Diluted EPS YoY+76.2%−24.3%−7.1%−50.0%+5.1%+129.3%+39.4%+40.5%
net %7.5%5.5%5.1%2.2%1.6%3.1%3.8%3.6%
Free cash flow23.3 m12.8 m52.6 m-7.8 m-52.4 m59.3 m121.1 m153.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025

Cash
156.1 m USD
Financial debt
1.6 bn USD
Net debt
1.5 bn USD
Equity
912.0 m USD
Total assets
3.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.77x
Current ratio
1.61x
ROE
13.7%
ROA
4.3%
FCF margin
5.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
196.4 m
2024
258.3 m
2025
439.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Operating income
2023
81.9 m
2024
111.2 m
2025
224.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
68.9 m
2024
80.0 m
2025
144.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
150.8 m ≈
2024
191.2 m ≈
2025
368.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
17.3 m
2024
19.1 m
2025
90.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
65.4 m
2024
92.1 m
2025
134.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
16.4 m
2024
23.2 m
2025
32.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
49.0 m
2024
68.9 m
2025
101.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.94
2024
1.31
2025
1.84

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
52.3 m
2024
52.6 m
2025
55.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
48.2 m
2024
74.7 m
2025
156.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Inventories
2023
84.0 m
2024
106.7 m
2025
155.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Current assets
2023
473.4 m
2024
585.0 m
2025
934.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
505.1 m
2024
629.9 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
159.3 m
2024
231.7 m
2025
943.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
19.5 m
2024
20.5 m
2025
79.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
151.4 m
2024
182.6 m
2025
284.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
15.0 m
2024
26.6 m
2025
38.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
360.7 m
2024
487.0 m
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
279.2 m
2024
380.5 m
2025
582.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
703.1 m
2024
968.4 m
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
516.6 m †
2024
573.7 m †
2025
912.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
157.2 m
2024
209.1 m
2025
291.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
97.8 m
2024
87.9 m
2025
137.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
59.3 m ≈
2024
121.1 m ≈
2025
153.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-143.4 m
2024
-307.6 m
2025
-1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-264.0 k
2024
126.1 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
139.0 k
2024
11.3 m
2025
23.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
54.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
29.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
29.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
102.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
47.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
68.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
20.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
40.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
64.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
18.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
26.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
13.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
15.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
9.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
2.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
352.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
177.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
175.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
123.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
75.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
21 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
35 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
3.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
13.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
38.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
7.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
12.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
10.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
9.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.99
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 61 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

99.24 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
38.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
7.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
15.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
54.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Aug 2026
verified 1347derived 118

Score by group

  • Valuation64
  • Balance sheet27
  • Quality69
  • Growth100
  • Returns24

Estimated value range

Low
136.32
USD per share
Mid
174.43
USD per share
High
214.30
USD per share
Price: 99.24 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 75.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 43.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 37.65 – 512.33 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)220.08 – 512.33 (Mid 317.52)
    WACC 7.0% · starting FCFF 257.5 m USD · terminal value share of EV 82%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -17.0%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA136.32 – 214.30 (Mid 174.43)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.8x · quartiles 9.2x – 12.4x
    GVA, KBR, ORN, STRL
  • Peers: P/E37.65 – 131.82 (Mid 85.14)
    4 companies used · median multiple 33.4x · quartiles 14.8x – 51.7x
    J, KBR, ORN, STRL
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 61/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality9.2%50 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality4.1%70 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality123.2%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth29.3%100 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth64.9%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.6x17 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.7x19 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x64 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation38.9x0 (on a fixed band)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation7.7x100 (vs peers)11%
FCF yield · Valuation9.2%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.7%24 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet27/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality69/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial24/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation64/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Construction Partners, Inc. (ROAD). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 54.2%; net margin 4.1%; ROE 15.0%; net debt/EBITDA 3.6x.

The estimated value range is 136.32–214.30 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 174.43 USD, the price of 99.24 USD leaves a potential of 75.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 43.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 61/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 4.1%
  • FCF conversion: 123.2%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 29.3%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 64.9%
  • EV/EBITDA: 7.7x
  • FCF yield: 9.2%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Net debt / EBITDA: 3.6x
  • Interest coverage: 2.7x
  • P/E (TTM): 38.9x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.7%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
38.9x
vertical median 33.4x
above median (+16.6%)
EV/EBITDA
7.7x
vertical median 12.9x
below median (−40.5%)
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 0.5x
at median
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 4.3x
below median (−57.3%)
ROE
15.0%
vertical median 8.5%
above median (+77.5%)
Net margin
4.1%
vertical median 1.5%
above median (+172.9%)
EBIT margin
8.6%
vertical median 6.0%
above median (+42.5%)
Revenue YoY
54.2%
vertical median 4.9%
above median (+1,002.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.6x
vertical median 2.8x
above median (+29.3%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
JJacobs Solutions Inc.18.7 bn54.29.6%2.4%+4.6%+19% / +52%
STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.8.7 bn15.943.3%12.9%+17.7%−18% / +347%
FLRFluor Corporation6.4 bn—-46.2%-12.8%−5.0%+11% / +25%
GVAGranite Construction Inc5.8 bn—-25.2%-5.0%+10.4%+23% / +188%
KBRKBR, Inc.5.0 bn11.427.4%5.7%+1.0%−4% / −23%
ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.1.9 bn38.915.0%4.1%+54.2%−11% / +150%
ORNOrion Group Holdings, Inc.318.8 m50.93.5%0.6%+7.0%−22% / +63%
SHIMShimmick Corporation98.8 m——-3.8%+2.6%−9% / −61%
SLNDSouthland Holdings, Inc.40.8 m——-67.0%−21.2%−76% / −86%
CDNLCardinal Infrastructure Group Inc——7.4%2.7%+44.7%unavailable / unavailable
FERFerrovial N.V.——14.8%9.2%+5.2%−10% / +79%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ROAD from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
189.07
Total return 91% · Per year 91%
332.74
Total return 235% · Per year 235%
499.11
Total return 403% · Per year 403%
3 years
224.27
Total return 126% · Per year 31%
440.05
Total return 343% · Per year 64%
718.71
Total return 624% · Per year 93%
5 years
266.02
Total return 168% · Per year 22%
581.96
Total return 486% · Per year 42%
1,034.95
Total return 943% · Per year 60%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 110.01
  • Net margin± 77.01
  • Annual revenue growth± 57.43
  • Annual dilution± 6.47

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Construction Partners, Inc. (ROAD) is a vertically integrated civil infrastructure company that builds and maintains roads in eight Sunbelt states. The company reported a contract backlog of 3.0 billion USD 1, and a plan called ROAD 2030 targets revenues above 6 billion USD 1. Its relevance grows with public infrastructure funding and its consolidation through acquisitions.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Vertical integration, with owned asphalt plants, aggregate facilities and liquid asphalt terminals, gives control over costs and quality.
  • The contract backlog has grown over the past year and reached a record level, giving visibility on future revenues.
  • Presence in several Sunbelt states with growing markets diversifies the company's geographic risk.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on public funding and state DOT customers exposes the company to changes in government budgets.
  • The industry is capital-intensive with high fixed costs, so profitability is sensitive to volume declines.
  • Growth through acquisitions brings integration risk and higher indebtedness.

Opportunities

  • The ROAD 2030 plan and acquisitions in fast-growing areas could expand revenues and the customer base.
  • Growth in commercial construction and data center work in Texas and Oklahoma could diversify revenue sources.
  • Federal and state infrastructure programs could generate new long-term contracts.

Threats

  • An economic slowdown, especially in the Sunbelt, could reduce demand for infrastructure projects.
  • Rising fuel and asphalt costs could reduce margins if prices cannot be passed on to customers.
  • Extreme weather and reduced public funding could delay projects or cancel contracts.

Risks

  • Reliance on public fundinghigh

    About two thirds of revenues come from public projects, so cuts in federal or state funding could directly affect results 1.

  • Concentration on state DOTshigh

    The largest customers are state DOTs, and losing the ability to bid for or contract with them could have a significant impact 1.

  • Cost estimation errorsmedium

    Fixed-price contracts can generate losses if actual costs exceed estimates, especially for fuel and asphalt 1.

  • Integration of acquisitionsmedium

    Many recent acquisitions could create difficulties integrating staff and assets, with effects on margins 12.

  • Indebtedness and financing costsmedium

    Debt has increased after acquisitions and refinancing, and interest costs could weigh on profitability if credit conditions worsen 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the record contract backlog converts into revenue, the company could keep growing, supported by long-term public funding.
  • Vertical integration and repeated acquisitions in growing markets could widen margins and scale.
  • If the raised fiscal 2026 outlook holds, the company could show that it can grow profitability as well as revenue.

What would break the thesis

  • If public funding falls or is delayed, project demand could slow and the backlog may not convert to revenue as quickly.
  • Growth through acquisitions could increase debt and operational complexity, which could squeeze margins if integration falls short.
  • Rising energy and material costs could reduce profitability if prices in existing contracts cannot be adjusted.

What to watch

  • Conversion of the contract backlog into revenueQ4 2026
  • Delivery against the raised fiscal 2026 guidance2026
  • Integration of recent Oklahoma and Texas acquisitionsnext 10-K
  • Progress toward ROAD 2030 objectives2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The company builds and maintains roads through wholly owned subsidiaries in Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas 1. Its model is vertically integrated: it manufactures and distributes hot mix asphalt (HMA), performs paving, site development, aggregate mining and distributes liquid asphalt cement 1. Fiscal 2025 revenues were 2812.4 million USD 1, up from 1823.9 million USD the prior year 1.

About 65% of fiscal 2025 revenues came from publicly funded projects and sales to public customers, the rest from private projects 1. The largest customers are state DOTs, which accounted for 43.4% of revenues, with no single customer above 10% 1. Most public contracts are fixed unit price contracts, while private ones are generally fixed total price contracts 1.

In fiscal 2025 the company completed five acquisitions across four states, with aggregate consideration of about 1.5 billion USD 1. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 acquisitions continued in Texas, Tennessee and Oklahoma 23. The backlog reached 3.36 billion USD at June 30, 2026 3.

Segments

Asphalt paving and HMA production

HMA production and asphalt paving form the core of the business, supported by the company's own HMA plants 1. Recent acquisitions, such as the Houston assets, added eight HMA plants 2.

Sitework and maintenance

The company performs site development, utility and drainage installation and road maintenance 1. The segment serves both public projects and private customers including commercial and residential developers 1.

Aggregates and liquid asphalt

Aggregate mining (sand, gravel, construction stone) supplies raw material for HMA and third-party sales, and liquid asphalt terminals support production 1. This vertical integration reduces reliance on outside suppliers.

Market context

The U.S. road construction market is large and stable, funded by federal, state and local transportation budgets 1. Asphalt is the most used road material because of its cost, durability and lower traffic disruption compared with concrete 1. Federal funds are allocated by state, and each state must match part of them 1.

The market is highly fragmented, with thousands of participants nationwide, many of them local or regional, because transporting materials over long distances is costly 1. Demand in the Sunbelt has stayed healthy, and in August 2026 the company reported that demand for both public infrastructure and commercial construction remained healthy 3.

Trends

  • Federal infrastructure fundingtailwind

    The IIJA provided additional funding for highways and bridges over five years 1. If annual allocations hold steady, this funding could support demand over the medium term, although project timing remains uncertain 1.

  • Inflation Reduction Act programstailwind

    The 2022 act funds transportation programs, including incentives for materials with lower embodied emissions 1. Its effect on demand is still to be assessed, since it depends on how states implement the programs.

  • Energy and material cost pressureheadwind

    Inflation, supply chain disruption, and rising fuel and asphalt costs could raise project costs, especially if prices cannot be passed on to customers 1. The company cited energy cost inflation in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 3.

  • Consolidation through acquisitionsmixed

    Repeated acquisitions in Texas, Florida, Tennessee and Oklahoma expand the company's scale but carry integration risk 23. The outcome depends on how well acquired staff and assets are integrated.

Competitive position

Competition comes from thousands of operators, many small, family-owned or regional, that compete on bid price, knowledge of local markets and aggregate availability 1. Multinational companies offer a wider range of materials and services, but transport distance limits how far any player can serve 1.

The company states that it is well positioned thanks to its vertical integration and its own HMA plants 1. Named competitors are not identified in the supplied sources, so the analysis is limited to the competitor categories described in the annual report.

  • Family-owned and regional asphalt operators

    Small or mid-sized firms focused on one material or one local market, described in the annual report as main competitors in local markets.

  • Multinational construction materials companies

    Large operators offering a broad range of materials, products and paving services, as described in the report's competition section.

  • Local aggregate producers

    Operators controlling quarries in the areas where the company works, a competitive factor because of aggregate availability.

  • Regional road builders

    Firms bidding on public contracts in the states where the company operates, where bid price and local experience are decisive.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 04 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 19 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report19 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report05 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report21 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report31 Aug 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report10 Aug 2026
    Delisting notice · Item 3.02 · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report07 Aug 2026
  • Current report07 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 Jul 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report18 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation
  • Current report08 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / Construction Partners, Inc. · 25 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Construction Partners, Inc. · 07 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Construction Partners, Inc. · 07 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Construction Partners, Inc. (ROAD): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw