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olivLaw · US equity research

Southland Holdings, Inc. SLND

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors · SIC 1600 · Vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

0.75USD−0.66% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Southland Holdings is a Grapevine, Texas specialty infrastructure contractor active in bridges, tunnels, water and transportation across North America. In the first half of 2026 it reported a sharp gross loss after reassessing contract claims, and it now depends on negotiations with its surety partners for financing. Revenue in the second quarter of 2026 was 113.3 million USD, versus 215.4 million USD a year earlier.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Southland Holdings, Inc. (SLND) stock was 0.75 USD (−0.66% on the day), with market capitalisation 40.8 m USD, beta 0.70, 52-week range 0.54–4.80 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 113.3 m USD (−47.4% YoY), net income of -84.3 m USD, diluted EPS -1.55 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
40.8 m USD
shares as of 04 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -7.46 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-994.57%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.70
Volatility (1y) 142%
52-week range
0.544.80

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
50.8
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
0.68 – 0.88
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.36 · band width 25.9%
SMA 50 / 200
0.69 / 1.01
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.02 / 0.03
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+13.6%−1.1%+14.7 pp—
3 months+10.3%−0.5%+10.7 pp—
6 months−26.5%+4.4%−30.9 pp—
Year to date−77.4%+12.3%−89.7 pp—
1 year−83.3%+13.5%−96.8 pp−9.0%
3 years−87.7%+76.4%−164.1 pp+63.3%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−88.8%
12 Nov 2025 → 13 Aug 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−94.8%
06 Feb 2023 → 13 Aug 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
113.3 m USD
−47.4% YoY
Net income
-84.3 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-1.55
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-74.4% / -77.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue173.3 m267.3 m239.5 m215.4 m213.3 m104.0 m172.4 m113.3 m
Cost of revenue224.4 m259.6 m218.0 m202.4 m210.1 m297.3 m177.2 m184.5 m
Gross profit-51.1 m7.7 m21.5 m13.0 m3.3 m-193.4 m-4.8 m-71.2 m
SG&A17.5 m15.7 m16.5 m13.6 m14.6 m17.0 m14.9 m16.7 m
Operating income-68.6 m-8.0 m5.0 m-604.0 k-11.3 m-210.4 m-19.7 m-87.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation5.8 m ≈6.4 m6.5 m5.4 m ≈——5.6 m5.4 m ≈
Interest expense7.5 m9.6 m8.9 m10.0 m9.2 m9.0 m8.7 m7.3 m
Income tax-17.1 m-14.1 m-313.0 k-61.0 k57.2 m-323.0 k19.0 k-1.6 m
Net income-54.7 m-4.2 m-4.6 m-10.3 m-75.3 m-216.4 m-28.4 m-84.3 m
Diluted EPS-1.14-0.09 ≈-0.08-0.19-1.39-4.00 ≈-0.52-1.55
Operating cash flow-5.3 m ≈-10.3 m6.4 m-5.4 m ≈5.9 m ≈9.7 m-133.9 m-38.0 m ≈
Capex2.0 m ≈1.2 m1.8 m1.1 m ≈561.0 k ≈400.0 k28.0 k356.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue1.3 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn980.2 m772.2 m
Revenue YoYunavailable−9.2%−0.1%−15.5%−21.2%
Net income38.7 m60.5 m-19.3 m-105.4 m-306.5 m
Net income YoYunavailable+56.4%−131.8%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-0.41-2.19-5.67
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %3.0%5.2%-1.7%-10.7%-39.7%
Free cash flow-109.4 m-71.0 m-21.1 m-5.5 m12.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
52.7 m USD
Financial debt
257.7 m USD
Net debt
205.0 m USD
Equity
-132.5 m USD
Total assets
989.3 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.12x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-28.0%
FCF margin
1.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.2 bn
2024
980.2 m
2025
772.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
927.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
35.8 m
2024
-63.0 m
2025
-155.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
67.2 m
2024
63.3 m
2025
61.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-31.4 m
2024
-126.3 m
2025
-216.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
30.5 m
2024
23.3 m
2025
23.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-852.0 k ≈
2024
-103.0 m ≈
2025
-193.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
19.5 m
2024
29.5 m
2025
37.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Mar 2023verified

Income tax
2023
-8.5 m
2024
-46.9 m
2025
56.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-19.3 m
2024
-105.4 m
2025
-306.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.41
2024
-2.19
2025
-5.67

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
47.1 m
2024
48.1 m
2025
54.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
49.2 m
2024
72.2 m
2025
52.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
5.5 m
2024
4.5 m
2025
2.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
942.5 m
2024
881.7 m
2025
734.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
102.2 m
2024
116.3 m
2025
107.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.5 m
2024
1.5 m
2025
1.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.7 m
2024
1.2 m
2025
1.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
989.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
162.5 m
2024
191.7 m
2025
224.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
48.5 m
2024
44.5 m
2025
53.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
251.9 m
2024
255.6 m
2025
204.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
584.0 m
2024
621.1 m
2025
655.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
940.5 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
260.6 m
2024
175.4 m
2025
-132.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Dec 2021verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-10.3 m
2024
1.9 m
2025
16.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
10.8 m
2024
7.4 m
2025
3.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-21.1 m ≈
2024
-5.5 m ≈
2025
12.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
4.5 m
2024
3.2 m
2025
3.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-2.6 m
2024
18.8 m
2025
-40.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-21.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-12.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
-44.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-50.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-54.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-67.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-26.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
-41.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
-92.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
171.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
-9.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-156.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
1.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-157.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
63 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
40.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
212.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-994.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-386.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
-1.38
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

0.75 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 40.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
40.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
-67.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-21.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 04 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 12 Aug 2026
verified 686derived 51

Score by group

33% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-67.0%0 (vs peers)19%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-12.7%0 (on a fixed band)25%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-9.6x0 (on a fixed band)19%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x40 (on a fixed band)13%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-386.1%0 (on a fixed band)25%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet16/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

SOUTHLAND HOLDINGS, INC. (SLND). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 772.2 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -21.2%; net margin -67.0%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -67.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -12.7%
  • Interest coverage: -9.6x
  • FCF yield: -386.1%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 38.9x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.9x
P/S
0.1x
vertical median 0.6x
below median (−88.6%)
P/B
—
vertical median 2.8x
ROE
—
vertical median 9.6%
Net margin
-67.0%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−2,720.5%)
EBIT margin
-54.6%
vertical median 7.6%
below median (−820.9%)
Revenue YoY
-21.2%
vertical median 6.1%
below median (−446.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.3x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
JJacobs Solutions Inc.18.7 bn54.39.6%2.4%+4.6%+19% / +52%
STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.8.7 bn15.943.3%12.9%+17.7%−18% / +347%
FLRFluor Corporation6.4 bn—-46.2%-12.8%−5.0%+11% / +25%
GVAGranite Construction Inc5.8 bn—-25.2%-5.0%+10.4%+23% / +188%
KBRKBR, Inc.5.0 bn11.427.4%5.7%+1.0%−4% / −23%
ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.1.9 bn38.915.0%4.1%+54.2%−9% / +137%
ORNOrion Group Holdings, Inc.318.8 m50.93.5%0.6%+7.0%−22% / +63%
SHIMShimmick Corporation98.8 m——-3.8%+2.6%−9% / −61%
SLNDSouthland Holdings, Inc.40.8 m——-67.0%−21.2%−83% / −88%
FERFerrovial N.V.——14.8%9.2%+5.2%−10% / +79%
CDNLCardinal Infrastructure Group Inc——7.4%2.7%+44.7%unavailable / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for SLND from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Southland Holdings is a Grapevine, Texas specialty infrastructure contractor active in bridges, tunnels, water and transportation across North America. In the first half of 2026 it reported a sharp gross loss after reassessing contract claims, and it now depends on negotiations with its surety partners for financing. Revenue in the second quarter of 2026 was 113.3 million USD, versus 215.4 million USD a year earlier.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company combines self-performed execution, an owned equipment fleet and technical expertise, which gives it control over many cost drivers 1.
    • A national footprint across North America and the ability to pursue large projects are competitive advantages the company reports consistently 12.
    • The backlog remains substantial, and management points to new awards, such as the contract announced in July 2026, as evidence the core business is still active 23.

    Weaknesses

    • First-half 2026 results were hit by large claim adjustments, and the gross loss shows how exposed the company is to contract estimate changes 3.
    • Debt and surety obligations have grown, and surety advances point to reliance on the continued support of sureties 12.
    • Revenue depends on a small number of large customers, and those customers can reduce, delay or terminate work, which concentrates risk 1.

    Opportunities

    • Public infrastructure investment could support demand for water, bridge and transportation work if funding remains available 2.
    • If negotiations with surety partners are completed, the company could regain access to financing and new bids 3.
    • Focusing on businesses considered more profitable, after exiting large-scale concrete and asphalt production, could improve margins over the medium term 12.

    Threats

    • Contract adjustments and claims tied to legacy disputes could keep affecting results and reduce the value of the backlog 3.
    • Tariffs and trade uncertainty could raise material costs and slow customer investment 2.
    • If surety financing is not resolved, the company could struggle to obtain bonds for new contracts 13.

    Risks

    • Contract adjustments and claimshigh

      A reassessment of claims on several projects, including substantially completed ones, reduced revenue and gross profit in the second quarter of 2026, and further adjustments could follow if recoveries fall short of estimates 3.

    • Financing and surety advanceshigh

      The company is working on a financing agreement with its surety syndicate, and advanced funds must be repaid over time; if the agreement is not completed, liquidity pressure could increase 23.

    • Dependence on public customersmedium

      A significant share of revenue comes from federal, state and local governments, which can reduce, delay or cancel contracts, and this could affect results 1.

    • Material and labor costsmedium

      Higher fuel, material and labor costs can weigh on fixed-price contracts, particularly if costs cannot be passed on to customers 1.

    • Tariffs and international tradelow

      Tariffs and trade measures can affect the cost and availability of materials, and the longer-term effects depend on policy developments that remain uncertain 2.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If infrastructure demand stays strong and the company recovers from the contract adjustments, its backlog and its positions in the Civil and Transportation segments could support a rebound in results 12.
    • Management points to new awards, such as the July 2026 contract, as evidence the business base remains functional, and completing the financing agreement could open access to new bids 3.
    • Exiting large-scale concrete and asphalt production and concentrating on more profitable work could improve margins if projects are well executed 12.

    What would break the thesis

    • The second-quarter 2026 gross loss and repeated claim adjustments suggest that contract estimates could continue to be revised against the company 3.
    • Reliance on surety advances and an unfinished financing agreement could limit the company's ability to win new contracts and sustain liquidity 23.
    • A revenue decline of about a third in the first half of 2026 suggests volume losses could persist if new projects do not offset completed work 3.

    What to watch

    • Completion of the financing agreement and credit amendment with surety partnersQ3 2026
    • Development of the backlog and new contracts, including the Winnipeg projectQ3 2026
    • Gross margin after the claims reassessment and whether further adjustments appearQ3 2026
    • Next annual report on liquidity and obligations to suretiesnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Southland is a specialty infrastructure construction company with roots dating back to 1900, based in Grapevine, Texas. It is the parent of six primary subsidiaries, including Johnson Bros. Corporation, American Bridge Company, Oscar Renda Contracting, Southland Contracting, Mole Constructors and Heritage Materials 1. Its model emphasizes self-performance of much of its work, ownership of its equipment fleet and selective bidding, which it says helps manage costs and creates barriers to entry 1. Backlog fell from 2.031 billion USD at the end of 2025 to 1.68 billion USD at June 30, 2026, reflecting revenue recognized and contract adjustments 23.

    The company runs two reportable segments, Civil and Transportation. Civil covers water pipelines, pump stations, water and wastewater treatment plants, concrete and structural steel, outfalls and tunneling 1. Operations are mainly in North America, with projects in Canada and the Bahamas, and customers include federal agencies, state transportation departments, local transit authorities and private owners of industrial, commercial and residential sites 1. Management says it is focusing on complex projects where fewer competitors are able to bid 2.

    In the second quarter of 2026 the company reported a gross loss of 71.2 million USD, driven by non-cash adjustments tied to legacy disputes, according to its results release 3. Management said it continues to work toward a comprehensive financing agreement and credit amendment with its surety partners, which have advanced funds to keep projects moving 123.

    Segments

    Transportation

    The Transportation segment, which covers bridges, roadways, marine work, dredging and ship terminals, produced 72.32 million USD of revenue in the second quarter of 2026 3. For the first half of 2026 revenue was 140.9 million USD, and the segment's gross loss was largely driven by Materials & Paving, which reduced gross profit by 29.4 million USD 3.

    Market context

    The market is fragmented, with small local contractors as well as regional, national and international firms competing for work 1. The company notes that demand for specialty construction has increased at federal, state and local levels, and that infrastructure spending tied to the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act passed in 2021 could support demand over the medium term 2. Management believes the outlook for its end markets remains positive, provided execution and financing are managed well 12.

    The market remains cyclical: public funding, material prices and economic conditions can delay or cancel projects, and tariff actions in 2025 and 2026 have raised the cost of importing some construction materials 12. The company says these measures have had no meaningful impact on current projects so far, but it continues to evaluate them 2.

    Trends

    • Public infrastructure investmenttailwind

      Federal, state and local funding for infrastructure has grown, which could support demand for specialty work in water, bridges and transportation over the medium term 2.

    • Material and labor cost pressureheadwind

      Fuel, materials and skilled labor costs have risen, which could compress margins on fixed-price contracts if the increases cannot be passed on to customers 1.

    • Tariffs and supply chainsmixed

      Tariffs and trade measures from 2025 and 2026 have raised the cost of importing materials, but their effect on current projects has been limited so far, and future effects remain uncertain 2.

    • Surety-backed contract capacityheadwind

      The ability to win contracts depends on bonding capacity, which relies on balance sheet strength and reputation, and surety advances could affect access to new work if negotiations are not completed 13.

    Competitive position

    Competition is intense and is based on price, reputation for quality, safety, schedule certainty, experience, equipment and financial capacity 1. The company points to its equipment ownership and ability to self-perform across many disciplines as advantages that limit the number of rivals able to bid on large projects 12.

    Competitors can shift between public and private sector work when opportunities in one sector decline, which can slow revenue growth or pressure gross margins 12. Larger rivals with greater resources may win awards, and winning bids at acceptable margins remains essential to the business 1.

    • Regional, national and international contractors

      The company describes competition from larger regional, national and international general and specialty contractors, without naming specific firms 1.

    • Small local contractors

      Smaller local firms are described as generally unable to bid on larger or more technical projects, which narrows direct competition on big jobs 1.

    • Firms able to work in both public and private sectors

      These competitors can migrate between sectors, which affects pricing pressure and margins, but the sources do not name them 12.

    • Rivals with greater financial resources

      The sources indicate some competitors may have greater resources, which could influence bid outcomes, without naming any of them 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Southland Holdings, Inc. · 26 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Southland Holdings, Inc. · 12 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Southland Holdings, Inc. · 12 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.