olivLaw · US equity research
Principal Financial Group, Inc. PFG
Accident & Health Insurance · SIC 6321 · Vertical: Insurance carriers (SIC 632x)
Principal Financial Group is a global financial services company offering retirement, asset management and workplace benefit products. It oversees assets under administration above 1,800 billion dollars as of year-end 2025, and in the third quarter of 2026 it reported higher non-GAAP operating earnings per share, supported by its retirement and benefits segments.
The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).
At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Principal Financial Group, Inc. (PFG) stock was 117.31 USD (+4.13% on the day), with market capitalisation 24.9 bn USD, P/E 13.0 on diluted EPS of 9.00 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.77%, beta 0.97, 52-week range 81.01–118.51 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 4.6 bn USD (+25.4% YoY), net income of 631.9 m USD (+195.6% YoY), diluted EPS 2.91 USD.
Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.
Price history
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Technical reading
- RSI (14)
- 66.0
- strong (55–70)
- Bollinger (20, 2)
- 104.82 – 115.33
- above the upper band · %B 1.19 · band width 9.5%
- SMA 50 / 200
- 112.32 / 103.95
- uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
- MACD (12, 26, 9)
- 0.67 / -0.22
- MACD above signal
Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).
Performance
| Company | S&P 500 | vs S&P 500 | Vertical median | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +5.7% | −1.1% | +6.8 pp | — |
| 3 months | +2.1% | −0.5% | +2.6 pp | — |
| 6 months | +15.5% | +4.4% | +11.1 pp | — |
| Year to date | +33.0% | +12.3% | +20.7 pp | — |
| 1 year | +43.0% | +13.5% | +29.4 pp | +28.4% |
| 3 years | +63.6% | +76.4% | −12.8 pp | +3.2% |
| 5 years | +70.1% | +63.7% | +6.5 pp | — |
Price returns, dividends excluded.
Quarterly results
Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026
Quarterly margins
Quarterly statements · USD
| Fiscal year | Q4 '24 | Q1 '25 | Q2 '25 | Q3 '25 | Q4 '25 | Q1 '26 | Q2 '26 | Q3 '26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4.8 bn | 3.7 bn | 3.7 bn | 3.7 bn | 4.6 bn | 3.5 bn | 3.9 bn | 4.6 bn |
| Income tax | 209.9 m | -34.0 m | 69.6 m | 14.5 m | 110.4 m | 68.9 m | 66.0 m | 241.7 m |
| Net income | 905.4 m | 48.1 m | 406.2 m | 213.8 m | 517.0 m | 424.6 m | 403.4 m | 631.9 m |
| Diluted EPS | 3.91 ≈ | 0.21 | 1.79 | 0.95 | 2.32 ≈ | 1.93 | 1.84 | 2.91 |
| Operating cash flow | 1.5 bn | 977.3 m | 811.9 m ≈ | 1.0 bn ≈ | 1.7 bn | 187.1 m | 2.1 bn ≈ | 1.5 bn ≈ |
| Dividends paid | 165.7 m | 169.0 m | 169.7 m ≈ | 172.9 m ≈ | 172.4 m | 173.5 m | 176.5 m ≈ | 178.8 m ≈ |
| Share repurchases | 306.1 m | 240.3 m | 159.3 m ≈ | 227.7 m ≈ | 275.4 m | 235.0 m | 257.7 m ≈ | 251.0 m ≈ |
≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)
E/P over time
E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.
Today's P/E sits at the 77 percentile of its own 43-quarter history (min 3.6, median 11.1, max 31.6; quarters with earnings only).
Fiscal years
| Fiscal year | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 14.2 bn | 16.2 bn | 14.7 bn | 14.4 bn | 17.5 bn | 13.7 bn | 16.1 bn | 15.6 bn |
| Revenue YoY | +1.0% | +13.9% | −9.1% | −2.1% | +21.5% | −22.1% | +18.0% | −3.1% |
| Net income | 1.5 bn | 1.4 bn | 1.4 bn | 1.6 bn | 4.8 bn | 623.2 m | 1.6 bn | 1.2 bn |
| Net income YoY | −33.1% | −9.8% | +0.1% | +13.2% | +201.0% | −86.9% | +152.1% | −24.6% |
| Diluted EPS | 5.36 | 4.96 | 5.05 | 5.79 | 18.63 | 2.55 | 6.68 | 5.25 |
| Diluted EPS YoY | −32.0% | −7.5% | +1.8% | +14.7% | +221.8% | −86.3% | +162.0% | −21.4% |
| net % | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 27.1% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Free cash flow | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
Reported results vs expectations
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Balance sheet & financial health
Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025
- Cash
- 4.4 bn USD
- Financial debt
- 4.0 bn USD
- Net debt
- -477.0 m USD
- Equity
- 11.9 bn USD
- Total assets
- 341.4 bn USD
- Debt / equity
- 0.33x
- Current ratio
- unavailable
- ROE
- 10.3%
- ROA
- 0.4%
- FCF margin
- unavailable
Financial statements (source on every figure)
Revenue and net income (USD)
Income statement · USD
| Line | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 1.4 bn | 1.6 bn | 4.8 bn | 623.2 m | 1.6 bn | 1.2 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified |
| Diluted EPS | 5.05 | 5.79 | 18.63 | 2.55 | 6.68 | 5.25 | SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified |
| Dividend per share | — | — | 2.56 | 2.60 | 2.85 | 3.08 | SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified |
Balance sheet · USD
| Line | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 2.8 bn | 2.3 bn | 4.8 bn | 4.7 bn | 4.2 bn | 4.4 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified |
| Total assets | 296.6 bn | 304.7 bn | 290.9 bn | 305.0 bn | 313.7 bn | 341.4 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified |
| Short-term debt | 84.7 m | 79.8 m | 80.7 m | 61.1 m | 152.7 m | 27.7 m | SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified |
| Long-term debt | 4.3 bn | 4.3 bn | 4.0 bn | 3.9 bn | 4.0 bn | 3.9 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified |
| Total liabilities | 279.8 bn | 288.2 bn | 280.6 bn | 293.8 bn | 302.2 bn | 329.0 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified |
| Equity | 16.6 bn | 12.1 bn | 10.0 bn | 11.0 bn | 11.1 bn | 11.9 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified |
Cash flow · USD
| Line | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dividends paid | 614.5 m | 654.1 m | 642.3 m | 625.5 m | 658.4 m | 684.0 m | SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified |
| Share repurchases | 307.0 m | 937.2 m | 1.7 bn | 740.4 m | 1.0 bn | 902.7 m | SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified |
Computed indicators
Growth
Profitability
Returns
Market and valuation
Insurance
32 indicators that do not apply to the sector.
Valuation
olivLaw classification
Score: 46 / 100
A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.
Closing price
04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series
Market cap: 24.9 bn USD
Key indicators
Coverage and freshness
Score by group
- Balance sheet3
- Valuation60
- Quality80
- Growth0
- Returns56
Estimated value range
The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 40.47 – 234.38 USD.
Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.
Method ranges (USD per share)
— — Mid · ▏ Price
Valuation methods
- Residual income63.88 – 66.78 (Mid 65.31)
- Justified P/B102.27 – 137.54 (Mid 117.31)
- Dividend discount (DDM)40.47 – 54.43 (Mid 46.43)
- Peers: P/E120.93 – 234.38 (Mid 166.73)5 companies used · median multiple 18.5x · quartiles 13.4x – 26.0xAFL, CI, CNC, ELV, HUM
- Peers: P/B102.58 – 115.68 (Mid 110.33)4 companies used · median multiple 2.0x · quartiles 1.8x – 2.1xAFL, CI, CNC, ELV
Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.
Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)
- Risk-free rate
- 4.3%
- Equity risk premium
- 5.0%
- Beta (default)
- 1.00
- Cost of equity
- 9.3%
- Terminal growth
- 2.5%
Factor scorecard
Neutral profile · Score 46/100
| Factor | Value | Score | Weight used |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE · Quality | 16.8% | 80 (vs peers) | 20% |
| Loss ratio · Quality | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth | -34.4% | 0 (on a fixed band) | 11% |
| Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth | -3.8% | 0 (on a fixed band) | 9% |
| ROA · Balance sheet | 0.6% | 3 (on a fixed band) | 9% |
| P/B · Valuation | 2.1x | 20 (vs peers) | 16% |
| P/E (TTM) · Valuation | 13.0x | 100 (vs peers) | 16% |
| Dividend yield · Returns | 2.8% | 30 (on a fixed band) | 11% |
| Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns | 36.1% | 100 (on a fixed band) | 7% |
Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.
Score groups
- Balance sheet3/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
- Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
- Quality· partial80/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
- Returns56/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
- Valuation60/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.
Memo
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP, INC (PFG). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.
Figures computed from the financial statements: YoY growth -3.1%; net margin 11.9%; ROE 16.8%.
The estimated value range is 102.27–115.68 USD per share (median of 5 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 110.33 USD, the price of 117.31 USD leaves a potential of -6.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -6.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.
olivLaw score 46/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: quality. Not investment advice.
Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.
What supports the thesis
- ROE: 16.8%
- P/E (TTM): 13.0x
- Payout ratio (EPS): 36.1%
What contradicts it
- EPS CAGR 3Y: -34.4%
- Revenue CAGR 3Y: -3.8%
- ROA: 0.6%
- P/B: 2.1x
- Dividend yield: 2.8%
- The price is above the estimated value range
- The valuation methods diverge
Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Loss ratio.
Versus the vertical median
Insurance carriers (SIC 632x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies
Only companies with a capitalisation between 3.0 bn and 190.3 bn (within 8× of the company's); 9 of the vertical were left out.
Multiples and returns vs the median
Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)
Companies in the vertical
| Market cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Revenue YoY | 1A / 3A | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELVElevance Health, Inc. | 93.8 bn | 18.5 | 11.6% | 2.5% | +12.5% | +28% / −9% |
| CIThe Cigna Group | 80.7 bn | 13.2 | 15.0% | 2.2% | +11.2% | +10% / +16% |
| AFLAflac Incorporated | 62.8 bn | 13.4 | 16.9% | 26.9% | −9.3% | +14% / +51% |
| HUMHumana Inc | 50.1 bn | 44.5 | 6.2% | 0.8% | +10.1% | +70% / −14% |
| CNCCentene Corporation | 37.6 bn | 26.0 | 6.8% | 0.7% | +19.4% | +93% / +3% |
| PFGPrincipal Financial Group, Inc | 24.9 bn | 13.0 | 16.8% | 11.9% | −3.1% | +43% / +64% |
1- and 3-year price returns: for PFG from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.
olivLaw engine forecast
The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.
Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)
Illustrative scenarios
Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.
Estimated price (USD)
| Estimated price | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 years | 65.72 Total return -42% · Per year -42% | 116.70 Total return 2% · Per year 2% | 176.47 Total return 54% · Per year 54% |
| 3 years | 53.62 Total return -49% · Per year -20% | 108.06 Total return 0% · Per year 0% | 180.83 Total return 64% · Per year 18% |
| 5 years | 43.75 Total return -54% · Per year -14% | 100.06 Total return -2% · Per year -0% | 185.30 Total return 75% · Per year 12% |
- Exit P/E± 27.02
- Net margin± 18.91
- Annual revenue growth± 16.86
- Annual dilution± 1.59
AI analysis
AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.
Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 26 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).
In brief
Principal Financial Group is a global financial services company offering retirement, asset management and workplace benefit products. It oversees assets under administration above 1,800 billion dollars as of year-end 2025 1, and in the third quarter of 2026 it reported higher non-GAAP operating earnings per share, supported by its retirement and benefits segments 3.
SWOT
Strengths
- The company has a large base of assets under management and a broad range of retirement, administration and benefit products 1.
- Diversification across segments can partly offset weaker performance in any single area 3.
- The reported financial position includes excess capital and an active policy of returning capital to shareholders 3.
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Risks
- Market riskhigh
Declines in equity, bond or real estate markets could reduce assets under management and revenues 1.
- Interest rate riskhigh
Low or rapidly rising interest rates could compress margins and increase reserves 1.
- Credit risk in the investment portfoliomedium
Rising defaults or delinquencies on commercial mortgage loans could reduce profitability 1.
- Liquidity and rating riskmedium
A downgrade in financial strength ratings could trigger withdrawals and limit access to capital 2.
- Competitive risklow
Competitors with greater resources could reduce the company's ability to retain and attract customers 2.
Investment thesis
What would need to be true (bull case)
- If capital markets remain favorable, assets under management could grow and support revenue across segments 1.
- Growth in specialty benefit premiums and recurring retirement deposits could show that the core business is expanding 3.
- The capital position and the policy of returning capital to shareholders could provide added flexibility 3.
What would break the thesis
What to watch
- Trend in net cash flows into assets under managementQ4 2026
- Results of Principal Asset Management and encaje returns in International PensionQ4 2026
- Integration of the Beam Benefits acquisition and specialty benefit premium growth2027
- Financial strength ratings and any changes to the cost of capitalnext 10-K
Products, market & competition
AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.
Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 26 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).
The business
Principal Financial Group, Inc. (PFG) describes itself as a leader in global financial services, offering businesses, individuals and institutional clients retirement, asset management and workplace benefit and protection products 1. The business is organized into three reportable segments: Retirement and Income Solutions, Principal Asset Management and Benefits and Protection, plus a Corporate segment for unallocated assets 1. The company considers small and medium-sized businesses an underserved market with growth opportunities in retirement and employee benefits 1.
Revenue depends largely on the value of assets under management and administration, since accumulation and management revenues are based on these values 1. Results are sensitive to capital markets, interest rates and payroll deferrals, and the company reports these separately by segment 12. Quarterly results also include items such as actuarial assumption reviews, which are excluded from non-GAAP operating earnings 3.
For shareholders, the company returned 429 million dollars in the third quarter of 2026 through share repurchases and dividends, and announced a higher dividend for the fourth quarter 3. Management presents this as a combination of earnings per share growth and a strong financial position 3.
Segments
Retirement and Income Solutions
The segment offers retirement plans, variable annuities, pension risk transfer products and trust and banking services through Principal Bank and Principal Trust Company 1. In the third quarter of 2026 recurring deposits reached 13 billion dollars, up 8%, while net revenue rose slightly on favorable market performance 3.
Principal Asset Management
The segment manages assets for institutional, retirement, retail and high net worth investors, through global investment teams and an International Pension business active in Asia and Latin America 12. International Pension AUM rose 10% in the third quarter of 2026, while its pre-tax operating earnings fell because of unfavorable encaje returns 3.
Benefits and Protection
The segment includes specialty benefits such as dental, group life, disability and supplemental health, as well as life insurance for business customers and a legacy life block 2. Premium and fees in specialty benefits rose 6% in the third quarter of 2026, and the incurred loss ratio stayed below the targeted range 3.
Market context
The company operates in retirement, asset management and employee benefits, where the volume of assets depends directly on capital market performance 1. It focuses in particular on small and medium-sized businesses, which it regards as still underpenetrated 1. Management fee revenue can be affected by client cash flows, which were negative in the third quarter of 2026 3.
Trends
- Growth in retirement account valuestailwind
Retirement account values increased in 2025 on positive market performance, which supports segment revenues 1. If markets remain stable, this base could continue to support revenues in coming quarters 1.
- Negative net flows in asset managementheadwind
Net cash flows into AUM were negative in the third quarter of 2026, indicating withdrawals from managed funds 3. If this trend persists, management fee revenue could remain constrained 3.
- Interest rates and margin riskmixed
Low rates can push asset yields below pricing assumptions, while rising rates can compress spreads and prompt surrenders 1. The net effect depends on the shape of the curve and on customer behavior 1.
- Growth in specialty benefit premiumstailwind
Premium and fee income in specialty benefits rose in the third quarter of 2026, supported by business growth and a recent acquisition 3. If this growth holds, it could support segment profitability 3.
Competitive position
The company acknowledges that competition comes from firms with greater financial resources, broader product arrays and higher ratings, which could affect customer retention and profitability 2. In retirement plans, competition comes from other asset managers and pension providers offering similar solutions 1.
Distribution relies on a captive sales force, intermediaries and broker-dealer platforms, which differentiates the company from many rivals but ties revenue to its ability to attract consultants 1. The risk of failing to attract and retain qualified staff is explicitly named as a factor that could affect results 2.
- Firms with greater financial resources
The filing refers to competitors with greater financial resources and broader product arrays without naming them.
- Third-party retirement asset managers
Managers outside the group compete for the same retirement plans, as described in the workplace savings segment.
- Pension risk transfer insurers
In the pension risk transfer market, plan sponsors choose among insurers rated superior or excellent.
- Specialty benefits providers
Competition in employee benefit insurance is cited as a factor that could reduce profitability.
Links, dependencies and risks
Who the company is tied to, from its own SEC filings (customers, suppliers, production, partners, competitors, countries, regulation), from the 5 %+ holders' statements (13D/13G) and from what other companies say about it. Click a node for its evidence; on a listed company the graph moves to it.
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News & filings
In the press
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SEC filings
- Quarterly report29 Oct 2026
- Current report26 Oct 2026Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
- Current report19 Oct 2026Regulation FD disclosure
- Current report10 Sept 2026Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
- Quarterly report29 Jul 2026
- Current report27 Jul 2026Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
- Current report20 Jul 2026Regulation FD disclosure
- Current report01 Jun 2026Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
- Current report20 May 2026Shareholder vote
- Quarterly report29 Apr 2026
Sources
- [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Principal Financial Group, Inc. · 18 Feb 2026
- [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Principal Financial Group, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026
- [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Principal Financial Group, Inc. · 26 Oct 2026
Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.