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olivLaw · US equity research

Rent the Runway, Inc. RENT

Retail-Retail Stores, NEC · SIC 5990 · Vertical: Retail-Retail Stores, NEC (SIC 5990)

2.46USD+9.33% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Rent the Runway rents designer clothing through subscriptions, a-la-carte Reserve rentals and Resale, built on a shared «Closet in the Cloud» with partner brands. Revenue grew 20.8% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, and the company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance while still reporting a net loss.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT) stock was 2.46 USD (+9.33% on the day), with market capitalisation 83.1 m USD, P/E 0.2 on diluted EPS of 12.66 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.81, 52-week range 1.55–9.39 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 97.7 m USD (+20.8% YoY), net income of -12.9 m USD, diluted EPS -0.38 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
83.1 m USD
shares as of 04 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
0.2
Diluted EPS TTM 12.66 · TTM to 31 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
514.57%
TTM to 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.81
Volatility (1y) 84%
52-week range
1.559.39

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
56.0
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.45 – 2.89
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.70 · band width 66.1%
SMA 50 / 200
2.32 / 4.02
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.09 / 0.05
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+58.7%−1.1%+59.8 pp—
3 months−30.3%−0.5%−29.9 pp—
6 months−49.0%+4.4%−53.4 pp—
Year to date−68.9%+12.3%−81.2 pp—
1 year−35.3%+13.5%−48.8 pp−17.0%
3 years−75.4%+76.4%−151.8 pp−27.8%
5 years−99.3%+63.7%−162.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−83.5%
13 Jan 2026 → 02 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−99.6%
09 Nov 2021 → 02 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−62.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 31 Jul 2026

Revenue
97.7 m USD
+20.8% YoY
Net income
-12.9 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.38
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-13.2% / -8.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue75.9 m76.4 m69.6 m80.9 m87.6 m91.7 m89.9 m97.7 m
Cost of revenue21.4 m20.2 m20.4 m22.5 m24.0 m21.6 m23.6 m23.5 m
Operating income-13.7 m-7.7 m-19.7 m-20.1 m-16.2 m-1.5 m-19.7 m-7.8 m
Pre-tax income-18.9 m-13.2 m-25.9 m-26.4 m76.5 m-1.5 m-18.9 m-12.8 m
Income tax0200.0 k200.0 k00-100.0 k0100.0 k
Net income-18.9 m-13.4 m-26.1 m-26.4 m76.5 m-1.4 m-18.9 m-12.9 m
Diluted EPS-4.70-3.27 ≈-6.26-6.2313.65-0.04 ≈-0.57-0.38
Operating cash flow4.7 m ≈1.4 m8.3 m-10.5 m ≈-1.4 m ≈7.1 m-3.8 m-1.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 3-quarter history (min 0.3, median 0.7, max 6.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2020202120222023202420252026
Revenue256.9 m157.5 m203.3 m296.4 m298.2 m306.2 m329.8 m
Revenue YoYunavailable−38.7%+29.1%+45.8%+0.6%+2.7%+7.7%
Net income-153.9 m-171.1 m-211.8 m-138.7 m-113.2 m-69.9 m22.6 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-14.04-15.36-170.30-43.17-31.52-17.621.88
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-59.9%-108.6%-104.2%-46.8%-38.0%-22.8%6.9%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Jan 2026

Cash
50.4 m USD
Financial debt
157.0 m USD
Net debt
106.6 m USD
Equity
-36.1 m USD
Total assets
221.0 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.06x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
9.8%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
298.2 m
2025
306.2 m
2026
329.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
86.0 m
2025
82.8 m
2026
88.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
212.2 m ≈
2025
223.4 m ≈
2026
241.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026derived

Operating income
2024
-80.0 m
2025
-47.5 m
2026
-57.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
-113.0 m
2025
-69.6 m
2026
22.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2024
200.0 k
2025
300.0 k
2026
100.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2024
-113.2 m
2025
-69.9 m
2026
22.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-31.52
2025
-17.62
2026
1.88

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
3.6 m
2025
4.0 m
2026
12.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
84.0 m
2025
77.4 m
2026
50.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2024
102.2 m
2025
93.9 m
2026
66.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
35.7 m
2025
28.3 m
2026
24.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
3.4 m
2025
2.4 m
2026
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Total assets
2024
278.5 m
2025
240.0 m
2026
221.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
5.8 m
2025
6.2 m
2026
9.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
1.2 m
2025
1.4 m
2026
400.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
306.7 m
2025
333.7 m
2026
156.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
48.1 m
2025
47.4 m
2026
63.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
400.8 m
2025
422.5 m
2026
257.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2024
-122.3 m †
2025
-182.5 m †
2026
-36.1 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
-15.7 m
2025
12.9 m
2026
3.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2024
-54.6 m
2025
-20.1 m
2026
-49.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
700.0 k
2025
-300.0 k
2026
18.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Apr 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
74.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
11.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
21.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
-35.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
128.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
700.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
27 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
83.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
211.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
514.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.46 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 83.1 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
83.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
11.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

23/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 31 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 04 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 Sept 2026
verified 699derived 58

Score by group

29% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
90.05
USD per share
Mid
215.93
USD per share
High
362.34
USD per share
Price: 2.46 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 8,677.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 98.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 90.05 – 362.34 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E90.05 – 362.34 (Mid 215.93)
    6 companies used · median multiple 17.1x · quartiles 7.1x – 28.6x
    BBWI, JD, SBH, SGU, ULTA, WOOF
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Retail Stores, NEC (SIC 5990)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality11.8%100 (vs peers)21%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.6%30 (on a fixed band)29%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.7x0 (on a fixed band)14%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation0.2x100 (vs peers)36%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial30/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-07-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 329.8 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 7.7%; net margin 11.8%.

The estimated value range is 90.05–362.34 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 215.93 USD, the price of 2.46 USD leaves a potential of 8,677.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 98.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 11.8%
  • P/E (TTM): 0.2x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 0.7x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Retail Stores, NEC (SIC 5990) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
0.2x
vertical median 24.1x
below median (−99.2%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 14.7x
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 0.2x
at median
P/B
—
vertical median 1.3x
ROE
—
vertical median -3.7%
Net margin
11.8%
vertical median -1.8%
above median
EBIT margin
-12.3%
vertical median -1.5%
below median
Revenue YoY
7.7%
vertical median -0.3%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 4.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ULTAUlta Beauty, Inc.28.2 bn24.146.1%9.3%+9.7%+23% / +55%
BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.4.7 bn6.1—10.8%−0.2%+35% / −28%
SBHSally Beauty Holdings, Inc.1.8 bn10.023.5%5.2%−0.4%+21% / +99%
YJYunji Inc.1.3 bn—-13.5%-42.0%−20.8%−27% / −62%
TITNTitan Machinery Inc.530.0 m—-9.7%-2.5%−10.2%+22% / −1%
SGUStar Group, L.P.429.8 m4.9—4.6%+1.0%+9% / +2%
NAASNaaS Technology Inc.223.8 m——-454.5%−38.9%−44% / −100%
NEGGNewegg Commerce, Inc.207.4 m—-3.7%-0.3%+16.9%−87% / −61%
RENTRent the Runway, Inc.83.1 m0.2—11.8%+7.7%−35% / −75%
BARKBark, Inc.75.2 m—-36.7%-8.4%−18.5%−42% / −49%
TKLFTokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd.58.0 m68.51.7%0.2%+77.6%−48% / −82%
BQBoqii Holding Limited10.5 m—-2.8%-1.2%−5.7%−79% / −98%
INHDInno Holdings Inc.8.7 m—-7.2%-72.7%+221.4%−97% / unavailable
RCTRedCloud Holdings plc2.3 m——-95.3%+4.3%−98% / unavailable
LESLLeslie’s, Inc.955.3 k——-21.2%−6.6%unavailable / unavailable
WOOFPetco Health & Wellness Company, Inc.—31.12.6%0.5%−2.5%−2% / +4%
FLWS1 800 Flowers Com Inc——-65.4%-9.0%−10.8%−17% / −68%
HITIHigh Tide Inc.——-44.0%-8.5%+13.7%+8% / +85%
JDJD.com, Inc.—30.110.2%1.8%+17.9%−7% / +1%

1- and 3-year price returns: for RENT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
0.15
Total return -94% · Per year -94%
0.26
Total return -90% · Per year -90%
0.39
Total return -84% · Per year -84%
3 years
0.14
Total return -94% · Per year -62%
0.28
Total return -89% · Per year -52%
0.46
Total return -81% · Per year -43%
5 years
0.13
Total return -95% · Per year -44%
0.30
Total return -88% · Per year -34%
0.54
Total return -78% · Per year -26%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 0.07
  • Net margin± 0.05
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.04
  • Annual dilution± 0.00

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Rent the Runway rents designer clothing through subscriptions, a-la-carte Reserve rentals and Resale, built on a shared «Closet in the Cloud» with partner brands. Revenue grew 20.8% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, and the company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance while still reporting a net loss.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A data model on customers and products enables personalisation and stock optimisation. Long-term relationships with brand partners and access to current-season pieces are a visible advantage in the company's filings.
  • The subscriber base is recurring and most revenue comes from subscribers, which gives relatively predictable revenue.
  • Gross margin and Adjusted EBITDA margin improved in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, pointing to operating discipline.

Weaknesses

  • The company has reported net losses in several periods, and results still depend on careful cost management.
  • The number of active subscribers fell year-on-year in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, although total subscribers edged up.
  • Cash and liquidity are limited, and the company depends on support from its investor group and on new financing terms.

Opportunities

  • AI-driven discovery and personalised search could raise conversion and average basket value.
  • Expanding add-ons and subscription flexibility could generate extra revenue from existing customers.
  • The Share by RTR and Exclusive Designs programmes could reduce capital spending and improve margins if item performance holds.

Threats

  • Macroeconomic conditions such as tariffs and fuel costs could affect demand and delivery costs.
  • Competition in online fashion and resale could pressure prices and reduce customer loyalty.
  • Restrictive covenants in the new credit agreement could limit the company's operating flexibility.

Risks

  • Restrictive credit covenantshigh

    The new credit agreement contains obligations that limit additional debt, dividends and asset sales. If they are not met, the lender could demand early repayment 1.

  • Realising recapitalisation benefitshigh

    The company could fail to realise all the anticipated benefits of the October 2025 recapitalisation, and those benefits could be temporary or insufficient 1.

  • Leadership transitionmedium

    Changes to the board and executive leadership can create uncertainty and operational disruption 13.

  • Managing growth at scalemedium

    The company could struggle to manage growth, particularly in recruiting, training and preserving its culture 1.

  • Macroeconomic factorsmedium

    Inflation, consumer confidence, tariffs and fuel costs can affect demand and costs, and the company's guidance does not include these developments 13.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If revenue growth holds and the Adjusted EBITDA margin keeps improving, the company could show that its subscription model and efficient product acquisition are durable 23.
  • Adoption of AI features and growth in add-ons could raise average subscriber value in coming quarters 23.
  • A higher share of capital-efficient channels could reduce cash needed for rental inventory and support liquidity 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If the number of active subscribers keeps falling, revenue growth could come to depend more on marketing spend and one-off sales 2.
  • Net losses and limited liquidity could keep the company reliant on investor support, which could limit strategic flexibility 12.
  • A change of leadership and the pausing of pilot projects could slow delivery of the medium-term strategic plan 23.

What to watch

  • Delivery of third-quarter revenue guidanceQ3 2026
  • Trend in active subscribers and retention rateQ3 2026
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin against fiscal 2026 guidance2026
  • 2027 strategic plan and compliance with credit covenantsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT) describes its mission as 'powering women to feel their best every day' and offers access to an 'unlimited closet' through three ways: a monthly subscription, Reserve (a-la-carte rentals for four or eight days) and Resale (buying pre-loved items at a discount to retail). Subscribers generated 90% of total revenue in fiscal 2025 1. The company says it has served about 3.5 million lifetime customers and that most customers were acquired organically 1. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026 it focused resources on the core rental and selling businesses, pausing several pilots 23.

Sourcing is central: products come from brand partners through three channels, Wholesale, Share by RTR (consignment with performance-based payments) and Exclusive Designs (items created with brands). The share of more capital-efficient channels rose from about 26% in fiscal 2019 to about 69% in fiscal 2025 1. The company links this to its data advantage on customers, products and reverse logistics 1.

In the second quarter of fiscal 2026 the AI-powered outfits generation feature became available to all customers, and Paige Thomas was appointed CEO and President effective September 14, 2026 3. The company said it was concentrating resources on rental and selling, temporarily pausing the online marketplace pilot and on-site advertising 23.

Segments

Subscription

The monthly subscription is the largest revenue source. At January 31, 2026 the company had 143,796 active subscribers and 183,552 total subscribers including paused ones 1. Subscribers' share of total revenue rose from 88% in fiscal 2024 to 90% in fiscal 2025 1.

Reserve and Resale

Reserve allows a-la-carte rentals for events and Resale allows direct purchase of items at a discount. The company reported weakness in Reserve in fiscal 2025 but said in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 that it wants to redirect resources to Reserve, which has its strongest satisfaction scores 12.

Add-ons

Optional subscription add-ons, such as extra items or shipments, have grown significantly in recent quarters. The company reported add-on bookings up 81% year-on-year in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 3.

Market context

The company operates in the designer fashion rental and resale market in the United States, where it is building brand awareness. As of February 2026, unaided brand awareness was 35% among U.S. women aged 25 to 44 with household income of at least $50,000 1. The company describes fashion as a market in change, with consumer habits toward subscription, rental and resale still forming 1.

In the second quarter of fiscal 2026 revenue rose 20.8% year-on-year to $97.7 million, and the company reaffirmed double-digit revenue growth for fiscal 2026 23. Third-quarter guidance calls for revenue between $87 million and $90 million 3.

Trends

  • AI in product discoverytailwind

    The company has launched AI-generated outfits, avatars and virtual try-on tools, and in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 the outfits feature was available to all customers 23. If these tools lift conversion and basket value, they could support revenue per subscriber.

  • Shifting consumer habitsmixed

    The company hopes to normalize subscription, rental and resale of clothing, a behaviour that is not yet widely accepted. If habits change more slowly than expected, subscriber growth could lag management's expectations 1.

  • Economic pressure and costsheadwind

    Guidance notes uncertainties such as tariffs, fuel surcharges and macroeconomic developments, and a deterioration could affect results 3. The company said it does not automatically intend to pass fuel surcharges on to customers 3.

  • Efficiency of product acquisitiontailwind

    Shifting to channels such as Share by RTR and Exclusive Designs reduces upfront investment in rental inventory and has lowered capital spending as a share of revenue over time 1. If the trend continues it could support margins, provided item performance remains good.

Competitive position

The supplied sources do not explicitly name the company's competitors; they describe competition in general terms, including other operators that can enter the market or change prices and offers 1. The company differentiates through access to current-season designer pieces and through the customer and product data it uses for personalisation 1.

The company argues that luxury brands carry similar pieces at much higher prices, while Rent the Runway offers them through subscription, Reserve or Resale 1. Its advantage could be measured through customer loyalty and its ability to keep brand partners, but the sources give no comparative data against other operators.

  • Online clothing rental and resale operators

    Sources refer in general terms to new or existing competitors that can change prices and offers, without naming them.

  • Luxury brands selling direct

    The company compares its offer with luxury pieces sold in parallel in stores, without identifying a specific competitor.

  • Fashion retailers

    Sources mention fashion retailers as part of the wider landscape, without comparative detail.

  • Second-hand resale platforms

    The Resale channel competes indirectly with pre-owned clothing marketplaces, none named in the source.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 17 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 26 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-31 · SEC / Rent the Runway, Inc. · 14 Apr 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-31 · SEC / Rent the Runway, Inc. · 11 Sept 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Rent the Runway, Inc. · 11 Sept 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.