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olivLaw · US equity research

Rigetti Computing, Inc. RGTI

Services-Computer Programming Services · SIC 7371 · Vertical: Services-Computer Programming Services (SIC 7371)

11.21USD+1.13% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Rigetti Computing builds superconducting quantum computers and the processors that power them, integrating chip fabrication with cloud delivery. The company remains in a technology development phase, with a net loss of 216.2 million USD in 2025 and quarterly revenue of only 5.1 million USD in the second quarter of 2026.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) stock was 11.21 USD (+1.13% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.7 bn USD, beta 3.11, 52-week range 10.67–37.29 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 5.1 m USD (+185.3% YoY), net income of -52.6 m USD, diluted EPS -0.16 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.7 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.90 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-7.98%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
3.11
Volatility (1y) 93%
52-week range
10.6737.29

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
36.5
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
10.24 – 13.88
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.27 · band width 30.1%
SMA 50 / 200
14.18 / 16.96
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.93 / -0.95
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−26.0%−1.1%−24.9 pp—
3 months−33.2%−0.5%−32.7 pp—
6 months−44.2%+4.4%−48.6 pp—
Year to date−49.4%+12.3%−61.7 pp—
1 year−68.1%+13.5%−81.7 pp−39.9%
3 years+858.1%+76.4%+781.7 pp−43.3%
5 years+4.3%+63.7%−59.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−71.4%
05 Nov 2025 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−96.9%
18 Nov 2021 → 03 May 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+0.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
5.1 m USD
+185.3% YoY
Net income
-52.6 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.16
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-1,023.9% / -546.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue2.4 m2.3 m1.5 m1.8 m1.9 m1.9 m4.4 m5.1 m
Cost of revenue1.2 m1.3 m1.0 m1.2 m1.5 m1.2 m3.0 m3.0 m
Gross profit1.2 m1.0 m442.0 k566.0 k404.0 k652.0 k1.4 m2.2 m
Research & development12.8 m13.7 m15.5 m13.5 m15.0 m17.3 m20.0 m20.7 m
SG&A5.8 m—6.6 m6.9 m5.9 m—7.4 m9.5 m
Operating income-17.3 m-18.5 m-21.6 m-19.9 m-20.5 m-22.6 m-26.0 m-28.1 m
Interest expense733.0 k446.0 k——————
Pre-tax income-14.8 m-153.0 m42.6 m-39.7 m-201.0 m-18.2 m33.1 m-52.6 m
Income tax0000————
Net income-14.8 m-153.0 m42.6 m-39.7 m-201.0 m-18.2 m33.1 m-52.6 m
Diluted EPS-0.08-0.68 ≈0.13-0.13-0.62-0.06 ≈-0.06-0.16
Operating cash flow-15.4 m ≈-8.5 m-13.7 m-16.2 m ≈-13.8 m ≈-14.9 m-16.2 m-15.8 m ≈
Capex2.3 m ≈1.3 m2.5 m5.7 m ≈5.9 m ≈4.6 m4.4 m12.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenueunavailable13.1 m12.0 m10.8 m7.1 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable−8.3%−10.1%−34.3%
Net income-23.2 m-71.5 m-75.1 m-201.0 m-216.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-0.70-0.57-1.09-0.70
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %unavailable-545.9%-625.5%-1,862.7%-3,050.4%
Free cash flowunavailable-85.4 m-59.6 m-61.7 m-77.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
44.9 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
546.2 m USD
Total assets
666.6 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
37.42x
ROE
-64.3%
ROA
-45.5%
FCF margin
-1,089.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
12.0 m
2024
10.8 m
2025
7.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.8 m
2024
5.1 m
2025
5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
9.2 m
2024
5.7 m
2025
2.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
52.8 m
2024
49.8 m
2025
61.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-72.3 m
2024
-68.5 m
2025
-84.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
7.4 m
2024
6.9 m
2025
8.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-64.9 m ≈
2024
-61.6 m ≈
2025
-76.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
5.8 m
2024
3.3 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-75.1 m
2024
-201.0 m
2025
-216.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-75.1 m
2024
-201.0 m
2025
-216.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.57
2024
-1.09
2025
-0.70

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
132.0 m
2024
184.7 m
2025
309.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
21.4 m
2024
67.7 m
2025
44.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
5.0 m
2024
2.4 m
2025
2.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
107.7 m
2024
206.8 m
2025
454.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
44.5 m
2024
44.6 m
2025
57.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2023verified

Total assets
2023
159.9 m
2024
284.8 m
2025
666.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
5.8 m
2024
1.6 m
2025
3.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
12.2 m
2024
0
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Mar 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
9.9 m
2024
0
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Mar 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
29.1 m
2024
11.9 m
2025
12.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
50.3 m
2024
158.2 m
2025
120.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
109.6 m †
2024
126.6 m †
2025
546.2 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-50.6 m
2024
-50.6 m
2025
-58.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
9.1 m
2024
11.1 m
2025
18.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-59.6 m ≈
2024
-61.7 m ≈
2025
-77.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
773.0 k
2024
-78.4 m
2025
-403.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
13.2 m
2024
175.5 m
2025
439.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-34.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-18.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
34.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-667.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-727.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-1,787.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-655.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-43.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-37.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-17.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
insufficient data

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-60.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
26.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-87.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
77 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
338 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-8.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
7.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
280.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

11.21 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
7.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-43.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-1,787.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-34.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 765derived 55

Score by group

72% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Programming Services (SIC 7371)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality34.6%0 (on a fixed band)15%
EBIT margin · Quality-727.6%16 (vs peers)12%
FCF margin · Quality-655.9%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-18.5%0 (on a fixed band)24%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth-34.3%16 (vs peers)12%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.9x100 (on a fixed band)9%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-2.3%0 (on a fixed band)18%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth5/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality5/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

RIGETTI COMPUTING, INC. (RGTI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.1 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -34.3%; net margin -1,787.4%; ROE -43.8%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 3.9x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 34.6%
  • EBIT margin: -727.6%
  • FCF margin: -655.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -18.5%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): -34.3%
  • FCF yield: -2.3%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Programming Services (SIC 7371) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 32 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 15.8x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.6x
P/S
280.2x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+12,296.2%)
P/B
7.0x
vertical median 2.0x
above median (+248.6%)
ROE
-43.8%
vertical median 5.8%
below median (−859.3%)
Net margin
-1,787.4%
vertical median 5.0%
below median (−35,703.9%)
EBIT margin
-727.6%
vertical median 4.1%
below median (−17,934.4%)
Revenue YoY
-34.3%
vertical median 4.3%
below median (−906.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.6%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
INFYInfosys Limited49.6 bn16.129.0%16.4%+3.9%−30% / −30%
ZSZscaler Inc36.6 bn—-2.9%-1.9%+25.4%−11% / +14%
CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions Corporation29.4 bn12.017.4%11.8%+7.0%−15% / −7%
VRSNVerisign Inc28.5 bn33.6—49.1%+6.4%+26% / +50%
WITWipro Limited22.7 bn15.416.4%14.7%−3.2%−21% / −11%
EPAMEpam Systems, Inc.7.1 bn18.611.2%7.2%+15.4%−27% / −47%
DOCSDoximity, Inc.6.2 bn40.917.2%25.5%+13.1%−33% / +49%
DOXAmdocs Limited4.9 bn10.314.1%9.9%+2.4%−43% / −48%
RGTIRigetti Computing, Inc.3.7 bn—-43.8%-1,787.4%−34.3%−68% / +858%
FORTYFormula Systems (1985) Ltd.1.8 bn23.412.2%2.9%+5.2%−20% / +96%
MGRTMega Fortune Co Ltd1.6 bn698.921.1%16.1%+233.3%+1,864% / unavailable
PERIPerion Network Ltd.446.8 m—-1.1%-1.8%−11.7%+12% / −59%
MFImF International Limited367.8 m36.43.9%232.8%+29.4%−68% / unavailable
IAInnovative Solutions And Support, Inc.353.7 m18.828.5%20.5%+78.6%+103% / +167%
GDEVGDEV Inc.176.1 m2.6—17.1%−3.9%−44% / −57%
ATGLAlpha Technology Group Ltd146.5 m—-184.7%-952.0%−40.2%−61% / −39%
MLGOMicroAlgo Inc.135.7 m1.27.6%30.2%−20.3%−61% / −100%
MWCMicware Co., Ltd.82.0 m8.120.0%7.3%unavailableunavailable / unavailable
PDCPerpetuals.com Ltd74.9 m—-75.8%-1,069.9%−47.0%−61% / −13%
CINTCI&T Inc73.8 m10.313.8%8.3%+11.5%−31% / −40%
CYCUCycurion, Inc.65.1 m—-76.7%-98.0%−14.8%−91% / unavailable
XTIAXti Aerospace, Inc.37.7 m——-89.6%+602.4%−40% / −100%
MNDOMind Cti Ltd18.3 m6.911.0%13.4%−9.3%−24% / −53%
CHGAChange Agents Corporation17.8 m—-606.9%-643.1%+6.2%−97% / −99%
RDNWRideNow Group, Inc.11.7 m——-0.8%−10.5%+7% / −9%

1- and 3-year price returns: for RGTI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Rigetti Computing builds superconducting quantum computers and the processors that power them, integrating chip fabrication with cloud delivery. The company remains in a technology development phase, with a net loss of 216.2 million USD in 2025 1 and quarterly revenue of only 5.1 million USD in the second quarter of 2026 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company controls chip fabrication in-house through its Fab-1 facility and offers a full stack from design to cloud delivery. Its multi-chip modular architecture is supported by issued and pending patents.
    • The company has a solid financial position for the current period, with no debt at the end of the second quarter of 2026. It has also reported that two-qubit gate fidelity reached high levels in internal testing.
    • Partnerships with government agencies, cloud companies and academic institutions give access to important customers and research support.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has not achieved profit and reports repeated net losses, with revenue small relative to development spending.
    • Most revenue comes from non-recurring development contracts, which makes financial results hard to anticipate.
    • The company has changed its technology roadmap in the past and has not always met its publicly announced milestones.

    Opportunities

    • If systems with more qubits reach the target fidelity, demand for on-premises systems and cloud services could grow.
    • U.S. government support and planned UK investment could accelerate development and foreign expansion.
    • Collaboration with HPE and supercomputing centers could open the hybrid quantum-classical market to research institutions.

    Threats

    • Competition from other quantum modalities or from large cloud providers could reduce the company's market share.
    • If financing cannot be obtained on favorable terms, the company could be forced to slow its development programs.
    • Geopolitical tensions, trade restrictions and supply chains for specialized components could affect costs and deliveries.

    Risks

    • Continuing losseshigh

      The company has not achieved profit and expects continued net losses; without significant revenue, its financial position could deteriorate.

    • Need for additional financinghigh

      Plans to expand the fabrication facility and investments could require additional capital, and equity financing could dilute existing shareholders.

    • Technology delaysmedium

      The company has missed public milestones in the past and could fail to reach its qubit count and fidelity targets on time.

    • Manufacturing defectsmedium

      Systems are complex and could contain defects that affect performance and the company's reputation.

    • Supplier dependencelow

      Components from electronics, cryogenics and semiconductors come from several industries, and interruptions could affect production scaling.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the multi-chip technology proves scalable, the company could become a significant supplier of quantum computers to institutions and governments.
    • Government support and contracts with major partners could provide stability during the development phase.
    • The superconducting advantage in gate speed could make its systems competitive in hybrid computing with supercomputers.

    What would break the thesis

    • Revenue is very small relative to losses, and the company could need additional financing before reaching profitability.
    • The history of changed technology roadmaps and missed targets could indicate difficulty in meeting announced goals.
    • Quantum computing has not yet been sold at broad commercial scale, and demand could remain limited for a long time.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of the 108-qubit system to C-DAC and of the Novera systems2026
    • Progress on two-qubit gate fidelity and coherence timeQ3 2026
    • Status of the letter of intent with the U.S. Department of Commercenext 10-Q
    • Trend in research and development spending and cash positionnext 10-Q

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Rigetti Computing, Inc. describes its mission as building the world's most powerful computers to help solve humanity's most important problems, based on superconducting qubits 1. The company manufactures quantum processors in its own Fab-1 facility and offers systems in the cloud through its Rigetti Quantum Cloud Services platform, as well as through third-party cloud providers 1. According to second quarter 2026 results, total quarterly revenue was 5.1 million USD, and the company ended the period with 541.3 million USD in cash and investments and no debt 3.

    Rigetti describes its longer-term business model as based on sales of quantum processing units, quantum computing systems and cloud access (QCaaS), although most current revenue comes from technology development contracts 1. In 2026 the company announced general availability of the Cepheus-1-108Q system, with twelve interconnected 9-qubit chiplets, accessible through QCS, Amazon Braket, Microsoft Azure Quantum and qBraid 2. The company also announced a letter of intent with the U.S. Department of Commerce for support of up to 100.0 million USD, a transaction that could accelerate its R&D programs 2.

    The company began selling quantum computers to end users in 2023 and launched the Novera QPU in December 2023, its first commercially available quantum processing unit 1. Besides direct sales, Rigetti has strategic collaborations with government agencies and companies, including DARPA, DOE and AFRL 1.

    Segments

    On-premises quantum systems

    Rigetti sells on-premises quantum systems from 9 to 108 qubits for national laboratories and quantum computing centers, while the Novera QPU supports the broader R&D community 3. The 8.4 million USD order from C-DAC in India covers a 108-qubit system expected to be deployed in the second half of 2026 1.

    Cloud quantum services

    The QCaaS offering and the QCS platform let customers access Rigetti computers without hosting them locally, including through Amazon Braket 12. The company considers this segment to grow in importance as its business model matures 1.

    Development contracts

    Most historical revenue comes from multi-year, non-recurring development contracts with governments and companies 1. The company expects this segment to remain an important source of revenue for at least the next several years 2.

    Market context

    The company argues that demand for computing power able to solve complex problems is growing, and that quantum computers could solve some problems faster and at lower cost than today's supercomputers 1. It describes maturity phases, from quantum advantage to large-scale fault-tolerant computing, which it anticipates beginning in roughly a decade 1.

    The quantum computing market is still early, and Rigetti notes that the technology has never been sold at large commercial scale 1. The company plans to expand internationally, including a planned investment of up to 100 million USD in the United Kingdom 3.

    Trends

    • Government interest and public supporttailwind

      The letter of intent with the U.S. Department of Commerce and contracts with DARPA, DOE and AFRL indicate strategic interest in quantum technology, which could support research funding 12.

    • Slowdown of classical scalingtailwind

      The company notes that classical computing power growth has slowed over the past decade, creating a context in which quantum computing could become attractive 1.

    • High development costsheadwind

      Moving to scalable systems implies much higher spending than to date, and revenue could increase only after more powerful computers are produced 1.

    • Industrial partnershipsmixed

      Collaboration with Quanta and with HPE on hybrid quantum-classical systems could reduce manufacturing risk and widen market access 13.

    Competitive position

    Rigetti argues that superconducting modality has gate speeds far above other technologies such as trapped ions or neutral atoms, though these are comparisons based on public information cited by the company 13. It also competes with cloud service providers that offer quantum computing through their own platforms 1.

    The market also includes other companies developing quantum computers with different technological modalities, and Rigetti's advantage depends on its ability to scale multi-chip processors and maintain high fidelity 1. The company remains early in its development, which makes competitive outcomes hard to anticipate 2.

    • Amazon Web Services (Amazon Braket)AMZN

      Cloud provider that distributes Rigetti systems through Amazon Braket, but which could also compete through its own quantum services.

    • Microsoft Azure QuantumMSFT

      Cloud platform offering access to quantum systems, including Cepheus-1-108Q, which could act as both partner and competitor.

    • Trapped-ion quantum providers

      Companies using a different technological modality, which Rigetti considers slower in gate speed.

    • Neutral-atom quantum providers

      Developers of quantum computers based on neutral atoms, referenced by Rigetti in its speed comparisons.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    • Current report08 Sept 2026
      Material agreement · Item 3.02 · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report20 Aug 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers
    • Current report20 Aug 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
    • Current report06 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report11 Jun 2026
      Shareholder vote
    • Current report21 May 2026
      Item 3.02 · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report11 May 2026
    • Current report11 May 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Proxy statement24 Apr 2026

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Rigetti Computing, Inc. · 04 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Rigetti Computing, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Rigetti Computing, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.