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olivLaw · US equity research

Titan International, Inc. TWI

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) · SIC 3312 · Vertical: Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) (SIC 3312)

4.70USD−3.49% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Titan International is a global maker of wheels, tires and undercarriage products for off-highway equipment, serving agricultural, earthmoving/construction and consumer markets. Revenue rose 5.2% in the second quarter of 2026 to 484 million USD and the company maintained its full-year guidance, while weak farm demand and tariff uncertainty persist.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Titan International, Inc. (TWI) stock was 4.70 USD (−3.49% on the day), with market capitalisation 303.7 m USD, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 1.67, 52-week range 4.65–11.40 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 335.2 m USD (−6.2% YoY), net income of -42.7 m USD, diluted EPS -0.66 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
303.7 m USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.83 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-38.86%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
1.67
Volatility (1y) 56%
52-week range
4.6511.40

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
23.2
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
4.42 – 7.95
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.08 · band width 57.1%
SMA 50 / 200
6.80 / 7.73
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.57 / -0.38
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−33.1%−1.1%−32.0 pp—
3 months−34.8%−0.5%−34.4 pp—
6 months−41.3%+4.4%−45.7 pp—
Year to date−40.0%+12.3%−52.3 pp—
1 year−40.9%+13.5%−54.4 pp+24.5%
3 years−62.4%+76.4%−138.8 pp+30.2%
5 years−44.2%+63.7%−107.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−59.2%
11 Feb 2026 → 30 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−76.3%
07 Jun 2022 → 30 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−11.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
335.2 m USD
−6.2% YoY
Net income
-42.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.66
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-12.8% / -0.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue383.6 m490.7 m460.8 m357.3 m741.7 m505.1 m484.8 m335.2 m
Cost of revenue342.4 m422.1 m391.6 m301.2 m652.3 m433.6 m409.8 m285.8 m
Gross profit41.2 m68.6 m69.3 m56.1 m89.4 m71.4 m74.9 m49.4 m
Research & development4.4 m4.5 m4.3 m3.1 m9.6 m5.3 m5.4 m3.3 m
SG&A51.3 m49.9 m52.4 m45.8 m69.5 m52.4 m52.7 m43.0 m
Operating income-17.0 m11.8 m10.2 m3.7 m7.5 m-13.8 m13.3 m-971.0 k
Depreciation & amortisation20.6 m15.9 m16.6 m ≈7.4 m ≈27.3 m17.1 m17.2 m ≈6.3 m ≈
Interest expense9.3 m9.5 m9.7 m9.7 m9.8 m9.9 m10.0 m9.8 m
Pre-tax income-25.0 m4.3 m1.1 m-7.8 m3.2 m-19.6 m6.3 m-8.6 m
Income tax-26.2 m4.2 m4.7 m-41.0 k45.9 m4.6 m-4.0 k172.0 k
Net income1.3 m-649.0 k-4.5 m-2.3 m-56.0 m-24.2 m5.8 m-42.7 m
Diluted EPS0.02 ≈-0.01-0.07-0.04-0.88 ≈-0.380.09-0.66
Operating cash flow8.7 m-38.6 m14.3 m ≈41.5 m ≈12.8 m-46.5 m39.1 m ≈17.1 m ≈
Capex13.3 m15.0 m10.1 m ≈5.2 m ≈24.3 m13.3 m12.8 m ≈-773.0 k ≈
Share repurchases—00 ≈0 ≈————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.6 bn1.4 bn1.3 bn1.8 bn2.2 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn
Revenue YoY+9.1%−9.6%−13.1%+41.4%+21.9%−16.0%+1.3%−0.9%
Net income16.1 m-48.4 m-60.4 m49.6 m176.3 m78.8 m-5.6 m-63.5 m
Net income YoYunavailable−401.0%unavailableunavailable+255.5%−55.3%−107.1%unavailable
Diluted EPS0.06-0.84-0.990.792.771.25-0.08-1.00
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−1,500.0%unavailableunavailable+250.6%−54.9%−106.4%unavailable
net %1.0%-3.3%-4.8%2.8%8.1%4.3%-0.3%-3.5%
Free cash flow-75.2 m9.0 m35.5 m-28.1 m113.7 m118.6 m75.9 m-24.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
202.9 m USD
Financial debt
607.0 m USD
Net debt
404.1 m USD
Equity
521.6 m USD
Total assets
1.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.16x
Current ratio
2.30x
ROE
-12.5%
ROA
-3.9%
FCF margin
-1.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
305.8 m
2024
257.8 m
2025
253.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
12.5 m
2024
16.5 m
2025
18.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
134.9 m
2024
191.8 m
2025
203.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
148.7 m
2024
33.2 m
2025
20.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
42.4 m
2024
60.7 m
2025
67.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
191.2 m ≈
2024
93.9 m ≈
2025
87.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
18.8 m
2024
36.4 m
2025
38.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
109.7 m
2024
8.3 m
2025
-11.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
26.0 m
2024
11.9 m
2025
49.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
78.8 m
2024
-5.6 m
2025
-63.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.25
2024
-0.08
2025
-1.00

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
63.0 m
2024
68.7 m
2025
63.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2023verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
220.3 m
2024
196.0 m
2025
202.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
219.1 m
2024
211.7 m
2025
166.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Oct 2026verified

Inventories
2023
365.2 m
2024
437.2 m
2025
330.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Oct 2026verified

Current assets
2023
876.8 m
2024
912.0 m
2025
986.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
321.7 m
2024
421.2 m
2025
351.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Oct 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
0
2024
29.6 m
2025
29.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.4 m
2024
12.0 m
2025
10.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Oct 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
201.2 m
2024
219.6 m
2025
174.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Oct 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
16.9 m
2024
12.5 m
2025
19.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Oct 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
426.1 m
2024
568.3 m
2025
587.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
362.5 m
2024
387.4 m
2025
428.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Oct 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
821.8 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
467.4 m
2024
493.7 m
2025
521.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
179.4 m
2024
141.5 m
2025
30.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
60.8 m
2024
65.6 m
2025
54.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
118.6 m ≈
2024
75.9 m ≈
2025
-24.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-56.9 m
2024
-201.6 m
2025
-59.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-56.0 m
2024
64.6 m
2025
17.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2023verified

Share repurchases
2023
32.6 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Feb 2024verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-37.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-132.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
13.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-22.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
423.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
5.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
22.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
49.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-27.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
30.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
42 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
81 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
44 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
79 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
303.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
726.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-38.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
9.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
120.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
1.89
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 17 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

4.70 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 303.7 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
303.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
9.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
-22.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

36/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2903derived 225

Score by group

  • Quality12
  • Growth0
  • Balance sheet20
  • Valuation26

Estimated value range

Low
2.97
USD per share
Mid
4.95
USD per share
High
8.05
USD per share
Price: 4.70 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 5.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 5.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.97 – 8.05 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA2.97 – 8.05 (Mid 4.95)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.0x · quartiles 8.3x – 12.8x
    CRS, MT, STLD, SXC
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) (SIC 3312)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 17/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality0.5%14 (vs peers)16%
Net margin · Quality-5.7%8 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.5%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet5.7x0 (vs peers)16%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.2x0 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.2x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation9.8x47 (on a fixed band)16%
FCF yield · Valuation-8.9%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet20/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality12/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation26/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TITAN INTERNATIONAL, INC. (TWI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -0.9%; net margin -5.7%; ROE -22.9%; net debt/EBITDA 5.7x.

The estimated value range is 2.97–8.05 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 4.95 USD, the price of 4.70 USD leaves a potential of 5.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 5.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 17/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.2x

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 0.5%
  • Net margin: -5.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.5%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 5.7x
  • Interest coverage: 0.2x
  • FCF yield: -8.9%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM), Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) (SIC 3312) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 27.7x
EV/EBITDA
9.8x
vertical median 10.0x
at median
P/S
0.1x
vertical median 1.5x
below median (−90.4%)
P/B
0.7x
vertical median 2.7x
below median (−75.8%)
ROE
-22.9%
vertical median 7.1%
below median (−420.2%)
Net margin
-5.7%
vertical median 5.3%
below median (−208.0%)
EBIT margin
0.3%
vertical median 5.2%
below median (−94.4%)
Revenue YoY
-0.9%
vertical median -3.0%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
5.7x
vertical median 1.0x
above median (+461.0%)
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 0.8%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TXTernium S.A.97.5 bn221.13.6%2.7%−11.6%+32% / +23%
NUENucor Corp60.8 bn35.68.2%5.4%+5.7%+68% / +58%
TSTenaris SA60.6 bn31.411.6%16.1%−4.3%+41% / +63%
MTArcelorMittal46.0 bn14.76.1%5.1%−1.7%+40% / +140%
STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.34.1 bn17.720.8%8.8%+3.6%+43% / +102%
CRSCarpenter Technology Corporation13.8 bn24.627.8%17.9%+8.6%−12% / +294%
CMCCommercial Metals Company6.8 bn10.614.8%7.0%+20.5%−2% / +37%
SXCSuncoke Energy, Inc.823.3 m—-8.5%-2.9%−5.1%+49% / +4%
MTUSMetallus Inc.650.2 m30.83.4%1.9%+6.9%−7% / −22%
TWITitan International, Inc.303.7 m—-22.9%-5.7%−0.9%−41% / −62%
PKXPosco Holdings Inc.——2.1%1.5%−4.7%−8% / −48%
ASTLAlgoma Steel Group Inc.——-98.5%-47.2%−25.4%+17% / −41%
SIMGRUPO SIMEC, S.A.B. de C.V.——19.2%31.2%−18.2%−8% / −15%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TWI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Estimated price (USD)

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1 years
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3 years
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

    In brief

    Titan International is a global maker of wheels, tires and undercarriage products for off-highway equipment, serving agricultural, earthmoving/construction and consumer markets. Revenue rose 5.2% in the second quarter of 2026 to 484 million USD and the company maintained its full-year guidance, while weak farm demand and tariff uncertainty persist 123.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Strong market position in off-highway wheels and tires, with long-standing relationships with leading OEM customers 1.
    • Diversification across three end markets reduces dependence on any single industry cycle 3.

    Weaknesses

    • Dependence on a small number of large customers and limited suppliers of steel and rubber 1.
    • Thin operating margins and high net debt, with working capital absorbing cash in the first half 23.
    • Seasonal sales with large fixed costs that amplify profit volatility 1.

    Opportunities

    • Growth in the tire aftermarket, which is typically less cyclical than the OEM market 1.
    • If consumer segment growth continues, Titan Specialty could support the company's development 3.
    • LSW tire technology and design innovation could open new opportunities in agriculture and construction 1.

    Threats

    • Tariffs and trade litigation can raise costs and reduce demand, with effects that are hard to anticipate 1.
    • Price pressure from competitors and the risk that OEMs make products in-house 1.
    • Tighter financing conditions and high borrowing costs could slow agricultural demand 2.

    Risks

    • Customer concentrationhigh

      A small number of OEM customers generates a large share of sales, and reduced purchases or loss of a major customer could hurt results 1.

    • Raw material priceshigh

      Rising steel and rubber prices that cannot be passed on to customers could compress margins 12.

    • Tariffs and litigationhigh

      The uncertain evolution of tariff policy and possible refunds could have a material effect on the financial position 1.

    • Labor relationsmedium

      If the collective agreement at US plants is not renewed, production could be disrupted 1.

    • Debt and liquiditymedium

      High net debt and negative operating cash flow in the first half reduce financial flexibility if demand weakens 3.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If farm income recovers alongside growth in the consumer segment, the company could gradually work through current pressures 23.
    • Diversification across three segments and maintained 2026 guidance point to disciplined cost and cash management 3.
    • Its position as a combined wheel and tire maker and its ability to serve the aftermarket could support margins over the long term 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • If agricultural and construction demand stays weak, revenue could remain below expectations and margins could be compressed 23.
    • Dependence on a few large customers and competitor price pressure could affect results if a major contract changes 1.
    • High net debt and absorbed working capital could limit investment capacity if results deteriorate 3.

    What to watch

    • Delivery against 2026 sales and Adjusted EBITDA guidanceQ3 2026
    • Tariff developments and tariff refund recoveries2026
    • Recovery of North American agricultural volumesQ4 2026
    • Trend in operating cash flow and net debtnext 10-Q

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

    The business

    Titan designs and manufactures wheels, tires, wheel-and-tire assemblies and undercarriage components for original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and aftermarket customers in agriculture, earthmoving/construction and consumer markets 1. The company traces its roots to the Electric Wheel Company, founded in 1890 in Quincy, Illinois, and expanded through major acquisitions including Goodyear's farm tire assets in 2005 and Carlstar in 2024 1. A cited advantage is producing both wheels and tires, which lets it offer a one-stop solution to customers 1.

    Sales depend on cyclical industries and seasonality, and the customer base is relatively concentrated, mainly OEMs 1. The company relies on raw materials such as steel and rubber, which it does not hedge with long-term contracts or derivatives 1. In fiscal 2025 net sales declined slightly to 1.83 billion USD, reflecting lower volumes in agriculture and construction, partly offset by pricing and the inclusion of Titan Specialty 1.

    Guidance for 2026 calls for sales between 1.85 and 1.95 billion USD and Adjusted EBITDA between 105 and 115 million USD, maintained after second-quarter results 3. Over the longer term the strategy emphasizes growing the tire aftermarket, operating efficiency and LSW tire technology 1.

    Segments

    Agriculture

    The agricultural segment makes wheels, tires and components for tractors, combines and irrigation equipment, sold directly to OEMs and through distributors and dealers 1. In the second quarter of 2026 segment sales fell 5% to 183.6 million USD, due to lower farm income, higher financing costs and OEM inventory reductions 23.

    Market context

    Agricultural demand in North America and Europe is mixed: orders for small agricultural products are favorable, while demand for large equipment has slowed significantly 1. In construction, OEM demand improved in 2025 on mining capital budgets and GDP forecasts in several countries 1. The second quarter of 2026 nonetheless showed moderation in construction 3.

    Tariff uncertainty remains high: the US Supreme Court affirmed in February 2026 the ruling against IEEPA tariffs, and a new global tariff was announced, with effects still unclear for the company 1. Net IEEPA tariff refund recoveries of 6.0 million USD were recorded as a reduction of cost of sales in Q2 2026 3.

    Trends

    • Tariff uncertaintymixed

      US tariffs and retaliation by other countries raise raw material costs and could reduce customer demand, while refund litigation could bring additional recoveries 13.

    • Weak farm incomesheadwind

      Lower farm incomes and higher financing costs have reduced agricultural volumes, particularly in the Americas, and OEM inventories have been cut 23.

    • Consumer and Titan Specialty growthtailwind

      Stronger demand for Titan Specialty products supported consumer segment sales and margins in the second quarter of 2026 3.

    • Mining and infrastructure investment cycletailwind

      Mining capital budgets and favorable GDP forecasts could support construction equipment demand over the medium to long term 1.

    Competitive position

    Titan competes with domestic and international companies, some larger and with greater financial resources, on price, quality, sales support, customer service and delivery time 1. Competitors include wheel makers such as Accuride, Trelleborg and Topy, and tire makers such as Bridgestone, Michelin and Pirelli 1. The company differentiates through combined wheel and tire production and strategically located plants 12.

    Competitive risk grows if OEM customers decide to make their own wheels and tires or if rivals cut prices 1. Currency movements and tariffs can affect the ability to compete with international players 1.

    • Bridgestone

      Major tire maker for off-highway applications, listed outside the United States, cited as a significant tire competitor 1.

    • Michelin

      Tire maker cited as an important competitor in the off-highway segment 1.

    • Pirelli

      Italian tire maker named among the company's significant competitors 1.

    • Trelleborg Group

      Swedish group active in off-highway wheels, identified as a major competitor 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Titan International, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Titan International, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Titan International, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.