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olivLaw · US equity research

Walker & Dunlop, Inc. WD

Finance Services · SIC 6199 · Vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

38.34USD+9.01% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Walker & Dunlop is a US commercial real estate services, finance and technology company focused on multifamily lending through federal agency programs. In the second quarter of 2026 total transaction volume reached 14.4 billion USD and the servicing portfolio reached 145.8 billion USD, giving it recurring revenue in a rate cycle that remains volatile.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (WD) stock was 38.34 USD (+9.01% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.3 bn USD, P/E 34.4 on diluted EPS of 1.11 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 7.04%, beta 0.99, 52-week range 31.67–79.98 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 306.7 m USD (−3.9% YoY), net income of 3.0 m USD (−91.1% YoY), diluted EPS 0.09 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.3 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
34.4
Diluted EPS TTM 1.11 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.90%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
7.04%
DPS 12m 2.70
Beta (2y)
0.99
Volatility (1y) 47%
52-week range
31.6779.98

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
63.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
30.89 – 36.96
above the upper band · %B 1.23 · band width 17.9%
SMA 50 / 200
36.68 / 47.49
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.06 / -0.73
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+16.0%−2.0%+18.0 pp—
3 months−25.4%−2.2%−23.2 pp—
6 months−27.9%+4.3%−32.2 pp—
Year to date−36.3%+10.6%−46.8 pp—
1 year−52.2%+10.5%−62.7 pp−47.5%
3 years−50.1%+73.7%−123.7 pp−48.3%
5 years−73.6%+61.7%−135.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−60.4%
05 Nov 2025 → 19 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−79.6%
23 Nov 2021 → 19 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−23.4%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
306.7 m USD
−3.9% YoY
Net income
3.0 m USD
−91.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.09
−90.9% YoY
net / operating
1.0% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue292.3 m341.5 m237.4 m319.2 m337.7 m340.0 m301.3 m306.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation57.6 m68.1 m57.6 m58.9 m60.0 m62.1 m63.0 m60.7 m
Interest expense18.2 m15.9 m15.5 m16.8 m16.5 m16.0 m14.9 m15.3 m
Pre-tax income37.5 m52.1 m5.2 m46.4 m45.9 m-18.6 m26.0 m2.1 m
Income tax8.8 m11.0 m2.5 m12.4 m12.5 m-5.4 m8.0 m-764.0 k
Net income28.8 m44.8 m2.8 m34.0 m33.5 m-13.9 m15.9 m3.0 m
Diluted EPS0.851.35 ≈0.080.990.98-0.42 ≈0.460.09
Operating cash flow-202.0 m ≈530.8 m-281.1 m-238.5 m ≈-948.1 m ≈803.4 m-1.1 bn1.2 bn ≈
Capex2.0 m ≈3.9 m3.6 m2.6 m ≈2.3 m ≈7.3 m1.9 m600.0 k ≈
Dividends paid22.1 m ≈22.4 m22.9 m22.9 m ≈23.0 m ≈23.0 m23.6 m23.6 m ≈
Share repurchases1.4 m ≈369.0 k8.6 m645.0 k ≈1.0 m ≈183.0 k19.1 m298.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 85 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 7.3, median 12.3, max 49.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue725.2 m817.2 m1.1 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn
Revenue YoY+1.9%+12.7%+32.6%+16.2%−0.0%−16.2%+7.4%+9.0%
Net income161.4 m173.4 m246.2 m265.8 m213.8 m107.4 m108.2 m56.2 m
Net income YoY−23.5%+7.4%+42.0%+8.0%−19.5%−49.8%+0.8%−48.0%
Diluted EPS4.965.457.698.156.363.183.191.64
Diluted EPS YoY−23.3%+9.9%+41.1%+6.0%−22.0%−50.0%+0.3%−48.6%
net %22.3%21.2%22.7%21.1%17.0%10.2%9.6%4.6%
Free cash flow59.4 m422.9 m-1.4 bn861.2 m1.6 bn-16.7 m116.4 m-680.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
299.3 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
1.7 bn USD
Total assets
5.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
3.2%
ROA
1.2%
FCF margin
-55.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
226.8 m
2024
237.5 m
2025
238.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
50.3 m
2024
69.7 m
2025
64.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
138.2 m
2024
131.5 m
2025
79.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
35.0 m
2024
30.5 m
2025
22.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
107.4 m
2024
108.2 m
2025
56.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.18
2024
3.19
2025
1.64

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
32.9 m
2024
33.2 m
2025
33.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
2.52
2024
2.60
2025
2.68

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
328.7 m
2024
279.3 m
2025
299.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
42.7 m
2024
48.5 m
2025
54.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
901.7 m
2024
868.7 m
2025
868.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
182.0 m
2024
156.9 m
2025
141.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-518.0 k
2024
129.4 m
2025
-664.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
16.2 m
2024
13.0 m
2025
15.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-16.7 m ≈
2024
116.4 m ≈
2025
-680.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
126.9 m
2024
-38.1 m
2025
-77.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
6.8 m
2024
-154.7 m
2025
758.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
84.8 m
2024
88.6 m
2025
91.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
20.5 m
2024
12.4 m
2025
10.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
9.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-48.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-35.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-25.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-48.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-36.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-26.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-684.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
242.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
-119.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
12.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-131.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
-341.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
34.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
34.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
7.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

38.34 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
34.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
7.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

23/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 1995derived 136

Score by group

54% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
22.13
USD per share
Mid
31.75
USD per share
High
39.45
USD per share
Price: 38.34 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -17.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -20.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 9.04 – 47.36 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E9.04 – 31.54 (Mid 23.10)
    10 companies used · median multiple 20.7x · quartiles 8.1x – 28.3x
    ATCH, AXP, JFU, NU, PGY, PURR, RHLD, SNFCA, SOFI, UPST
  • Dividend discount (DDM)35.22 – 47.36 (Mid 40.40)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Finance Services (SIC 6199)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality3.0%63 (vs peers)12%
FCF conversion · Quality-341.6%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.7%0 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-36.4%0 (on a fixed band)15%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation34.4x33 (vs peers)19%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-10.0%0 (on a fixed band)15%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns8.6%100 (on a fixed band)12%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality31/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation19/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (WD). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 9.0%; net margin 3.0%; ROE 2.2%.

The estimated value range is 22.13–39.45 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 31.75 USD, the price of 38.34 USD leaves a potential of -17.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -20.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 8.6%

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -341.6%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.7%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -36.4%
  • FCF yield: -10.0%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, Current ratio, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Finance Services (SIC 6199) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
34.4x
vertical median 23.7x
above median (+45.6%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
1.0x
vertical median 4.7x
below median (−78.1%)
P/B
0.8x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−41.2%)
ROE
2.2%
vertical median -17.4%
above median
Net margin
3.0%
vertical median -99.7%
above median
EBIT margin
—
vertical median -116.6%
Revenue YoY
9.0%
vertical median 21.9%
below median (−58.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
7.0%
vertical median 0.6%
above median (+1,149.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AXPAmerican Express Co218.3 bn18.335.9%27.9%+6.4%−11% / +91%
ARBKArgo Blockchain PLC45.2 bn——-117.2%−7.0%−97% / −99%
COINCoinbase Global, Inc.38.5 bn—-4.7%-12.5%+9.4%−47% / +17%
SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.21.7 bn35.07.1%104.3%+23.1%−44% / +130%
MARAMara Holdings, Inc.2.7 bn—-107.2%-430.2%+38.2%−42% / −43%
UPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc.2.3 bn39.98.0%4.9%+64.0%−48% / −13%
PURRHyperliquid Strategies Inc1.9 bn3.032.6%3,229.8%unavailableunavailable / unavailable
CLSKCleanSpark, Inc.1.7 bn—-68.6%-130.2%+102.2%−55% / +9%
BTDRBitdeer Technologies Group1.5 bn—-196.7%-171.3%−5.1%−51% / +45%
WDWalker & Dunlop, Inc.1.3 bn34.42.2%3.0%+9.0%−52% / −50%
RHLDResolute Holdings Management, Inc.1.0 bn24.1—4.2%+9.9%−26% / unavailable
CDChaince Digital Holdings Inc.741.4 m—-12.3%-182.5%+277.9%−30% / +622%
GDOTGreen Dot Corp727.1 m—-2.8%-1.1%+20.7%+2% / +59%
TRONTron Inc.664.1 m96.83.8%135.6%+10.0%−24% / −48%
JFU9F Inc.536.7 m23.24.7%125.2%+12.2%−52% / −43%
BTBTBit Digital, Inc.300.9 m—-56.7%-237.2%+5.1%−65% / −68%
CANGCango Inc.272.7 m—-130.8%-90.4%+524.3%−92% / −76%
CNTNCanton Strategic Holdings, Inc.172.1 m—-43.1%—unavailable−17% / −83%
USBCUsbc, Inc.166.5 m—-414.1%—−100.0%−47% / −97%
SNFCASecurity National Financial Corporation166.1 m6.59.0%11.1%+3.0%+15% / +37%
TONXTon Strategy Company159.7 m—-75.5%-532.8%+1,327.8%−15% / −93%
BMHLBluemount Holdings Limited79.0 m61,098.226.2%18.8%unavailable−8% / unavailable
UPXIUpexi, Inc.62.9 m—-1,356.3%-984.3%+58.1%−73% / −95%
SGRXSangrix Inc.40.8 m—-300.3%-36,190.3%−98.6%−99% / −100%
AVXAvax One Technology Ltd.34.9 m—-189.6%-1,533.9%+8,709.3%−80% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for WD from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
21.60
Total return -41% · Per year -41%
38.28
Total return 3% · Per year 3%
57.80
Total return 54% · Per year 54%
3 years
18.85
Total return -45% · Per year -18%
37.78
Total return 7% · Per year 2%
62.93
Total return 75% · Per year 21%
5 years
16.45
Total return -48% · Per year -12%
37.29
Total return 12% · Per year 2%
68.53
Total return 98% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 9.45
  • Net margin± 6.61
  • Annual revenue growth± 5.71
  • Annual dilution± 0.56

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Walker & Dunlop is a US commercial real estate services, finance and technology company focused on multifamily lending through federal agency programs. In the second quarter of 2026 total transaction volume reached 14.4 billion USD and the servicing portfolio reached 145.8 billion USD, giving it recurring revenue in a rate cycle that remains volatile.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A leading position in multifamily lending, with a large servicing portfolio that generates recurring revenue and long-standing relationships with federal agencies 12.
  • An integrated platform combining financing, brokerage, appraisal and investment management within one client ecosystem 1.
  • Recognition for gaining GSE market share in 2026, showing an ability to win share even in volatile periods 3.

Weaknesses

  • Quarterly profitability has been pressured by costs tied to repurchased loans and indemnification obligations, which weighed on results in the second quarter of 2026 3.
  • Revenues are sensitive to transaction volumes and the rate cycle, making quarterly results more volatile than the servicing component 2.
  • Some newer initiatives, such as expansion into other asset classes and Europe, still operate at or near break-even 2.

Opportunities

  • Higher GSE lending capacity for 2026 could bring extra volume, especially if the company keeps its market share 13.
  • Loans maturing in the servicing portfolio create a pipeline of clients for refinancing and additional advisory work 3.
  • Expansion into hospitality, industrial and digital infrastructure could diversify revenue sources 2.

Threats

  • Changes to federal GSE policy or a broader reform of housing finance could reduce the volume of loans originated 1.
  • A deterioration in the credit quality of the at-risk portfolio could generate additional losses for the company, which bears part of the loss 13.
  • Competition from banks and other lenders could compress margins and servicing fees 1.

Risks

  • Changes to the GSE relationshiphigh

    Loss of approved lender status or changes to the structure of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could sharply reduce originations and servicing revenue 1.

  • Repurchases and indemnified loanshigh

    Repurchase and indemnification obligations to the agencies could generate additional costs if new fraud or underwriting cases arise 23.

  • Loss-sharing exposuremedium

    The company bears part of the losses on Fannie Mae loans, and rising defaults could weigh on results and liquidity 1.

  • Interest rate sensitivity and volatilitymedium

    Sudden rate moves or market volatility could reduce refinancing activity, compress margins and affect the value of servicing assets 1.

  • Dependence on a small number of partnerslow

    The loss of major brokerage clients or the consolidation of servicing relationships by large partners could reduce the managed portfolio 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The GSE market share gained in 2026 and the large servicing portfolio suggest a solid competitive position, if this trend holds 3.
  • Recurring servicing and asset management revenue could stabilise results even when transaction volumes fall 2.
  • Higher lending caps for 2026 could bring additional volume if multifamily activity recovers 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Costs tied to repurchased loans and identified fraud could continue to weigh on quarterly results if exposure does not fall as expected 3.
  • Net income in the second quarter of 2026 fell sharply, showing how sensitive results are to credit costs and transaction timing 3.
  • Changes in GSE policy or a housing finance reform could reduce lending volumes with significant effects on revenue 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in exposure to repurchased loans and credit reservesQ3 2026
  • GSE market share and agency financing volumeQ3 2026
  • Growth of the servicing portfolio and prepayment rates2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Walker & Dunlop conducts most of its operations through Walker & Dunlop, LLC and reports three segments: Capital Markets, Servicing & Asset Management and Corporate 1. The company originates, sells and services multifamily and other commercial real estate loans through the Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae and HUD programs, and generally retains servicing rights on these loans 1. It also offers loan brokerage, property sales, appraisal through Apprise, housing market research through Zelman & Associates and investment management, including low-income housing tax credit syndication 12.

The business model combines transaction revenues, tied to origination and sale volumes, with recurring revenues from servicing and asset management fees, which are more stable and linked to portfolio size 2. The company aims to convert transaction activity into long-duration contractual revenue streams that are less exposed to market cycles 2. Its technology program, including artificial intelligence investments, is meant to support client engagement and operating efficiency 2.

Quarterly results are also affected by repurchased loans and loans subject to indemnification obligations to the agencies; in the second quarter of 2026 operating and credit-related costs tied to these loans were 23.2 million USD, and the remaining repurchased exposure fell to 153.8 million USD after quarter end 3.

Segments

Servicing & Asset Management

The Servicing & Asset Management segment administers the loan portfolio and the affordable housing tax credit funds, earning servicing and asset management fees; revenues fell 5% in the second quarter of 2026, mainly because of the timing of earnings from joint venture investments 3.

Market context

The US multifamily financing market depends on the origination caps set by the FHFA for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; the cap for 2026 was set at 88.0 billion USD, compared with 73.0 billion USD in 2025 1. In 2025 the company held a combined 11.2% share of loan deliveries to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac 1, and its year-to-date GSE share in 2026 rose to 14.7% 3.

Transaction activity depends on interest rates, market volatility and borrower financing preferences, which can reduce volumes and margins if rates stay high 1. Financing conditions appear to be improving, however, and debt financing volume in the first half of 2026 rose 44% to 24.3 billion USD 3.

Trends

  • Rising GSE market sharetailwind

    The company has gained share with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which points to a solid competitive position in multifamily lending and supports future volumes 3.

  • GSE caps for 2026mixed

    Higher GSE origination caps could open room for more originations, but federal rules and policies remain uncertain and could still change 1.

  • Repurchased loans and credit riskheadwind

    The repurchased loan portfolio and defaults in the at-risk portfolio have grown, which could require additional costs if conditions deteriorate 3.

  • Yield curve normalisation and warehouse incomemixed

    Net warehouse interest turned to income in the second quarter of 2026, suggesting a normalising yield curve, though this remains sensitive to rate moves 3.

Competitive position

The company competes in multifamily lending and commercial real estate finance with other institutions offering similar services, and servicing fees and pricing can be pressured by rivals willing to offer lower rates 1. Its advantage rests on long relationships with the agencies and the scale of its servicing portfolio 12.

In brokerage and investment management, competition comes from banks, life insurance companies and other investment firms that fund transactions directly; the company is expanding into other asset classes and Europe to differentiate itself 2.

  • Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (DUS and Optigo programs)

    The agencies are both clients and essential partners; competition shows up in how much share other approved lenders hold.

  • Banks and life insurance companies

    These institutions fund brokered loans directly and can offer competing terms for servicing and origination.

  • Other commercial servicing providers

    Competition for servicing portfolios can compress fees, especially for loans without prepayment protection 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Walker & Dunlop, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Walker & Dunlop, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Walker & Dunlop, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.