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olivLaw · US equity research

Watts Water Technologies, Inc. WTS

Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products · SIC 3490 · Vertical: Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products (SIC 3490)

353.30USD−1.95% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Watts Water Technologies makes equipment that controls, protects and conserves water and energy in commercial and residential buildings, with a history dating back over 150 years. Net sales reached 2438.5 million USD in fiscal 2025, and in the first half of 2026 the company reports strong organic growth supported by demand from data centers.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS) stock was 353.30 USD (−1.95% on the day), with P/E 30.9 on diluted EPS of 11.45 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.62%, beta 0.92, 52-week range 263.55–392.23 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 763.2 m USD (+18.6% YoY), net income of 118.3 m USD (+17.2% YoY), diluted EPS 3.53 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
30.9
Diluted EPS TTM 11.45 · TTM to 28 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.24%
TTM to 28 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.62%
DPS 12m 2.19
Beta (2y)
0.92
Volatility (1y) 28%
52-week range
263.55392.23

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
48.1
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
343.51 – 366.49
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.43 · band width 6.5%
SMA 50 / 200
356.50 / 331.97
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.65 / -0.53
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−2.6%−1.1%−1.5 pp—
3 months−2.9%−0.5%−2.4 pp—
6 months+21.0%+4.4%+16.6 pp—
Year to date+28.0%+12.3%+15.7 pp—
1 year+28.6%+13.5%+15.1 pp+5.6%
3 years+85.5%+76.4%+9.1 pp+76.9%
5 years+70.8%+63.7%+7.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−15.6%
12 Feb 2026 → 30 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−44.4%
10 Nov 2021 → 16 Jun 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+11.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 28 Jun 2026

Revenue
763.2 m USD
+18.6% YoY
Net income
118.3 m USD
+17.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
3.53
+17.3% YoY
net / operating
15.5% / 20.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue543.6 m540.4 m558.0 m643.7 m611.7 m625.1 m677.3 m763.2 m
Cost of revenue286.5 m287.8 m285.5 m317.8 m313.3 m315.8 m351.2 m389.1 m
Gross profit257.1 m252.6 m272.5 m325.9 m298.4 m309.3 m326.1 m374.1 m
Research & development17.6 m16.4 m16.8 m17.4 m18.8 m20.6 m19.2 m20.9 m
SG&A159.0 m162.8 m167.5 m187.2 m185.1 m194.5 m192.9 m214.5 m
Operating income93.2 m89.0 m87.7 m135.3 m111.4 m113.7 m133.0 m154.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation14.0 m13.6 m13.7 m14.5 m14.2 m14.8 m15.4 m15.8 m
Interest expense3.6 m2.8 m2.7 m2.7 m2.7 m2.7 m2.6 m2.2 m
Pre-tax income92.3 m89.0 m86.9 m134.7 m111.0 m113.2 m131.4 m153.7 m
Income tax23.2 m21.4 m12.9 m33.8 m28.8 m29.5 m31.8 m35.4 m
Net income69.1 m67.6 m74.0 m100.9 m82.2 m83.7 m99.6 m118.3 m
Diluted EPS2.062.02 ≈2.213.012.452.50 ≈2.973.53
Operating cash flow90.7 m ≈139.5 m55.2 m69.7 m ≈122.4 m ≈154.7 m17.9 m102.9 m ≈
Capex6.4 m ≈12.0 m9.6 m10.2 m ≈11.5 m ≈14.4 m11.3 m11.3 m ≈
Dividends paid14.4 m ≈14.4 m14.4 m17.6 m ≈17.4 m ≈17.5 m17.5 m21.3 m ≈
Share repurchases4.9 m ≈4.0 m3.9 m4.0 m ≈3.9 m ≈4.2 m3.8 m4.1 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 79 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 17.3, median 26.0, max 39.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.6 bn1.6 bn1.5 bn1.8 bn2.0 bn2.1 bn2.3 bn2.4 bn
Revenue YoY+7.4%+2.3%−5.7%+19.9%+9.4%+3.9%+9.5%+8.3%
Net income128.0 m131.5 m114.3 m165.7 m251.5 m262.1 m291.2 m340.8 m
Net income YoY+75.1%+2.7%−13.1%+45.0%+51.8%+4.2%+11.1%+17.0%
Diluted EPS3.733.853.364.887.487.828.6910.17
Diluted EPS YoY+75.9%+3.2%−12.7%+45.2%+53.3%+4.5%+11.1%+17.0%
net %8.2%8.2%7.6%9.2%12.7%12.7%12.9%14.0%
Free cash flow133.5 m164.8 m185.0 m154.1 m195.9 m281.1 m325.8 m356.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
405.5 m USD
Financial debt
197.7 m USD
Net debt
-207.8 m USD
Equity
2.0 bn USD
Total assets
2.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.10x
Current ratio
2.51x
ROE
18.2%
ROA
12.9%
FCF margin
14.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
960.9 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
67.1 m
2024
70.4 m
2025
73.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
604.5 m
2024
664.4 m
2025
734.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
350.9 m
2024
390.4 m
2025
448.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
43.3 m
2024
54.4 m
2025
56.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
394.2 m ≈
2024
444.8 m ≈
2025
504.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
8.2 m
2024
14.7 m
2025
10.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
349.5 m
2024
386.0 m
2025
445.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
87.4 m
2024
94.8 m
2025
105.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
262.1 m
2024
291.2 m
2025
340.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
7.82
2024
8.69
2025
10.17

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
33.5 m
2024
33.5 m
2025
33.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.38
2024
1.65
2025
1.99

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
350.1 m
2024
386.9 m
2025
405.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
259.8 m
2024
253.2 m
2025
294.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
399.3 m
2024
392.1 m
2025
524.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
248.2 m
2024
254.8 m
2025
297.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
693.0 m
2024
715.0 m
2025
859.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
216.1 m
2024
235.0 m
2025
294.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
131.8 m
2024
148.0 m
2025
182.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
298.3 m
2024
197.0 m
2025
197.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
405.8 m
2024
417.9 m
2025
512.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.5 bn †
2024
1.7 bn †
2025
2.0 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
310.8 m
2024
361.1 m
2025
402.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
29.7 m
2024
35.3 m
2025
45.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
281.1 m ≈
2024
325.8 m ≈
2025
356.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-343.1 m
2024
-124.7 m
2025
-302.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
69.0 m
2024
-190.5 m
2025
-96.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
46.5 m
2024
55.5 m
2025
66.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
16.0 m
2024
17.0 m
2025
16.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
14.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
17.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
10.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
24.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
17.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
10.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
24.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
9.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
48.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
21.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
19.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Net margin
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
FCF margin
13.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
18.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
ROA
13.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
ROIC
21.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
ROCE
21.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
19.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
21.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-239.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
50.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
397.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
48.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
349.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
91.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
69.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
51 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
133 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
135 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
30.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 81 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

353.30 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
30.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
18.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Net margin
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 28 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 28 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2905derived 235

Score by group

  • Valuation60
  • Balance sheet100
  • Quality81
  • Growth66
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
346.05
USD per share
Mid
361.56
USD per share
High
375.83
USD per share
Price: 353.30 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 2.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 2.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 346.05 – 375.83 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E346.05 – 375.83 (Mid 361.56)
    4 companies used · median multiple 31.6x · quartiles 30.2x – 32.8x
    CR, CXT, HLIO, PH
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate26.15 – 35.17 (Mid 30.00)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products (SIC 3490)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 81/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality21.0%83 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality14.3%71 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality91.0%87 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth7.2%60 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth10.8%72 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.4x100 (on a fixed band)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet50.2x100 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.7x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation30.9x60 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns21.1%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth66/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality81/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial60/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES INC (WTS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-28.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.3%; net margin 14.3%; ROE 18.8%; net debt/EBITDA -0.4x.

The estimated value range is 346.05–375.83 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 361.56 USD, the price of 353.30 USD leaves a potential of 2.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 2.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 81/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns, valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 21.0%
  • Net margin: 14.3%
  • FCF conversion: 91.0%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 10.8%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.4x
  • Interest coverage: 50.2x
  • Current ratio: 2.7x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 21.1%

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products (SIC 3490) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
30.9x
vertical median 31.2x
at median
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 14.1x
P/S
—
vertical median 2.5x
P/B
—
vertical median 2.7x
ROE
18.8%
vertical median 10.5%
above median (+79.8%)
Net margin
14.3%
vertical median 8.0%
above median (+79.0%)
EBIT margin
19.1%
vertical median 12.7%
above median (+50.1%)
Revenue YoY
8.3%
vertical median 8.2%
at median
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.4x
vertical median 1.1x
below median (−139.9%)
Dividend yield
0.6%
vertical median 1.2%
below median (−46.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PHParker-Hannifin Corporation114.7 bn32.025.1%17.0%+8.3%+6% / +110%
CRCrane Company11.9 bn35.416.2%12.4%+8.2%+13% / +95%
MWAMueller Water Products, Inc.3.8 bn17.021.7%15.0%+8.7%−1% / +81%
CXTCrane Nxt, Co.3.5 bn27.310.5%7.1%+11.4%+9% / +20%
HLIOHelios Technologies, Inc.2.2 bn31.27.7%8.0%unavailable+24% / +74%
ZKINZk International Group Co., Ltd.10.6 m—-15.1%-5.6%−34.2%−25% / +77%
HIHOHighway Holdings Limited3.9 m—-27.3%-31.7%−35.2%−26% / −58%
WTSWatts Water Technologies Inc—30.918.8%14.3%+8.3%+29% / +85%

1- and 3-year price returns: for WTS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Watts Water Technologies makes equipment that controls, protects and conserves water and energy in commercial and residential buildings, with a history dating back over 150 years. Net sales reached 2438.5 million USD in fiscal 2025 1, and in the first half of 2026 the company reports strong organic growth supported by demand from data centers 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad product portfolio with strong brands and code compliance gives an advantage in sales 1.
  • Vertical integration and plants close to customers can reduce the risk of delivery delays 12.
  • Solid organic growth in 2026, supported by price and volume 3.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on the construction market and economic cycles, influenced by interest rates 1.
  • Exposure to raw material prices and tariffs, which can reduce margins 1.
  • Free cash flow declined in the first half of 2026 because of higher working capital 3.

Opportunities

  • Demand from data centers and light industry could continue to grow 3.
  • Acquisitions in complementary markets can expand the addressable market 1.
  • Smart products and digitalization can generate recurring revenue and strengthen the competitive position 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs and changes in trade policy can raise costs and reduce demand 1.
  • Conflicts in Europe and the Middle East can affect raw material availability and sales 13.
  • Intense competition and price pressure can reduce margins 1.

Risks

  • Construction cyclicalitymedium

    Lower new construction and renovation activity, influenced by interest rates and consumer confidence, could reduce sales 1.

  • Tariffs and tradehigh

    Tariffs and trade measures could raise costs and affect margins, and political uncertainty remains high 12.

  • Raw material pricesmedium

    Volatility in copper and stainless steel could reduce margins if costs cannot be passed on to customers 1.

  • Supply chainmedium

    Disruptions in Asia or conflict zones could affect the availability of components and deliveries 13.

  • Artificial intelligence and technologylow

    Security, data and regulatory risks of new technologies could affect digital products 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If data center demand continues, organic growth could remain strong and support the raised 2026 outlook 3.
  • Recent acquisitions and connected products can broaden the portfolio and bring steadier revenue 1.
  • Production close to customers and vertical integration could protect margins in difficult conditions 12.

What would break the thesis

  • Tariffs and trade uncertainty could reduce margins more than expected 1.
  • Weakness in Europe and the Middle East conflict could continue to weigh on sales 13.
  • Declining free cash flow could limit financial flexibility if working capital stays high 3.

What to watch

  • Delivery against the raised 2026 sales and margin outlook2026
  • Tariff developments after the Supreme Court decision and any refundsnext 10-K
  • Recovery of free cash flow in the second half of the yearQ4 2026
  • Pace of the ERP rollout across plants and distribution sites2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

The company was founded in 1874 as a small machine shop supplying New England textile mills and has grown into a global water technology provider headquartered in the United States 1. Its strategy centers on three themes: safety and regulation, energy efficiency and water conservation, and products are increasingly connected to smart systems such as the Nexa platform 1. Sales go mainly to plumbing and heating wholesalers, original equipment manufacturers and do-it-yourself chains 1.

The company has completed 17 acquisitions since 2016, eight of them in the last three years, expanding its addressable market 1. In November and December 2025 it acquired Superior Boiler, Haws and Saudi Cast 1. Manufacturing is vertically integrated, with plants in the United States, China, Bulgaria and Tunisia and a contract facility in Mexico 1.

Most products are approved under standards built into plumbing codes in the Americas, Europe and parts of APMEA, which makes code compliance a competitive advantage 1. The company is investing in an SAP ERP system and digital products, which could support efficiency over the long term 1.

Segments

Americas

The Americas segment generated 1847.4 million USD in fiscal 2025, roughly three quarters of sales, and includes the recent Haws and Superior Boiler acquisitions 1. In the second quarter of 2026 sales in this region grew strongly, tied to demand from data centers 3.

Europe

Europe reported 450.7 million USD in sales in fiscal 2025, a slight decline from the prior year amid economic weakness in the region 1. In the second quarter of 2026 European sales returned to growth, mainly from higher volumes and better pricing 3.

APMEA

The APMEA segment generated 140.4 million USD in fiscal 2025 and includes the Saudi Cast plant in Saudi Arabia 1. Sales rose sharply in the second quarter of 2026, though growth was offset in part by the Middle East conflict, which weighed on demand 3.

Market context

The core market is building installations, where activity depends on new construction and renovation, influenced by interest rates and consumer confidence 1. The largest category is residential and commercial flow control and protection, at 61% of 2025 sales 1.

The data center and light industrial markets are increasingly important, and the company says it sees significant opportunities there 3. Growing demand for clean water and enforcement of building codes remain long-term growth factors 1.

Trends

  • Data center demandtailwind

    Higher volumes linked to data centers supported second quarter 2026 sales, especially in the Americas and China 3. If this demand holds, it could support growth in the second half of the year.

  • Tariffsheadwind

    Tariffs on imports into the United States have raised product costs and could reduce margins, and the Supreme Court decision invalidating some IEEPA tariffs added further uncertainty 1. The net effect depends on the company's ability to offset them through pricing and production 2.

  • Raw material costsheadwind

    Copper and stainless steel prices have been volatile and inflationary pressures affect production costs 1. If costs rise without price offsets, margins could decline 1.

  • Digitalization and smart productsmixed

    Connected products such as the Nexa platform and leak alerts could differentiate the company and open recurring revenue 1. Investment in artificial intelligence also brings security and regulatory risks 1.

  • Weak European economymixed

    The European economy remains weak and regional sales declined in fiscal 2025, though they returned to growth in the second quarter of 2026 13. A durable recovery could support regional results.

Competitive position

The company faces intense competition in all product areas, and some rivals have cost structures in other currencies, which can make dollar-priced products less competitive 1. To keep its position, it must keep investing in manufacturing, products and distribution 1.

Differentiation rests on code compliance, smart products and integrated solutions rather than components alone 1. Customers judge suppliers on quality, price, technical expertise and on-time delivery 1.

  • Valve and building equipment makers

    The sources mention competitors with cost structures in foreign currencies but do not name them, so no ticker is given.

  • Foreign manufacturers

    Producers in other countries have costs and prices in currencies other than the dollar, which can give them a price advantage.

  • Code compliance and certification providers

    Competition around certification and product standards can influence demand for compliant products.

  • Digital product players

    Rivals that use artificial intelligence more effectively could lower costs or launch differentiated offerings.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 04 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Watts Water Technologies, Inc. · 23 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-28 · SEC / Watts Water Technologies, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Watts Water Technologies, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.