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olivLaw · US equity research

Zebra Technologies Corporation ZBRA

General Industrial Machinery & Equipment · SIC 3560 · Vertical: General Industrial Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3560)

332.44USD+0.89% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Zebra Technologies is a global leader in automatic identification and data capture (AIDC), with net sales of 5.396 bn USD in fiscal 2025. In the second quarter of 2026 (ended July 4, 2026) net sales grew 20.4% to 1.557 bn USD, and the company raised its full-year outlook.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) stock was 332.44 USD (+0.89% on the day), with market capitalisation 15.7 bn USD, P/E 26.8 on diluted EPS of 12.38 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.68, 52-week range 199.30–391.00 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.6 bn USD (+22.3% YoY), net income of 164.0 m USD (+62.4% YoY), diluted EPS 3.43 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
15.7 bn USD
shares as of 27 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.8
Diluted EPS TTM 12.38 · TTM to 03 Oct 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.73%
TTM to 03 Oct 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.68
Volatility (1y) 46%
52-week range
199.30391.00

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
29.4
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
341.60 – 408.51
below the lower band · %B -0.14 · band width 17.8%
SMA 50 / 200
366.15 / 281.42
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-5.39 / 1.37
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−11.5%−1.1%−10.4 pp—
3 months−9.9%−0.5%−9.5 pp—
6 months+44.7%+4.4%+40.3 pp—
Year to date+36.9%+12.3%+24.6 pp—
1 year+27.7%+13.5%+14.1 pp+12.6%
3 years+55.1%+76.4%−21.3 pp+69.8%
5 years−45.3%+63.7%−109.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−27.3%
12 Feb 2026 → 30 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−67.8%
10 Dec 2021 → 01 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−11.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 03 Oct 2026

Revenue
1.6 bn USD
+22.3% YoY
Net income
164.0 m USD
+62.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
3.43
+74.1% YoY
net / operating
10.2% / 14.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn
Cost of revenue686.0 m663.0 m677.0 m686.0 m777.0 m753.0 m732.0 m876.0 m
Gross profit648.0 m645.0 m616.0 m634.0 m698.0 m742.0 m825.0 m738.0 m
Research & development138.0 m151.0 m144.0 m146.0 m152.0 m165.0 m159.0 m158.0 m
Operating income225.0 m195.0 m183.0 m183.0 m139.0 m215.0 m321.0 m237.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation42.0 m41.0 m43.0 m ≈42.0 m ≈59.0 m56.0 m57.0 m ≈57.0 m ≈
Pre-tax income208.0 m165.0 m138.0 m159.0 m98.0 m167.0 m285.0 m198.0 m
Income tax45.0 m29.0 m26.0 m58.0 m28.0 m32.0 m52.0 m34.0 m
Net income163.0 m136.0 m112.0 m101.0 m70.0 m135.0 m233.0 m164.0 m
Diluted EPS3.14 ≈2.622.191.971.38 ≈2.724.853.43
Operating cash flow306.0 m178.0 m147.0 m ≈235.0 m ≈357.0 m176.0 m211.0 m ≈324.0 m ≈
Capex18.0 m20.0 m17.0 m ≈19.0 m ≈30.0 m13.0 m13.0 m ≈24.0 m ≈
Share repurchases31.0 m125.0 m125.0 m ≈34.0 m ≈303.0 m300.0 m268.0 m ≈75.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 30 percentile of its own 37-quarter history (min 19.4, median 30.2, max 324.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue4.2 bn4.5 bn4.4 bn5.6 bn5.8 bn4.6 bn5.0 bn5.4 bn
Revenue YoY+13.3%+6.3%−0.8%+26.5%+2.7%−20.7%+8.7%+8.3%
Net income421.0 m544.0 m504.0 m837.0 m463.0 m296.0 m528.0 m419.0 m
Net income YoY+2,376.5%+29.2%−7.4%+66.1%−44.7%−36.1%+78.4%−20.6%
Diluted EPS7.769.979.3515.528.805.7210.188.18
Diluted EPS YoY+2,325.0%+28.5%−6.2%+66.0%−43.3%−35.0%+78.0%−19.6%
net %10.0%12.1%11.3%14.9%8.0%6.5%10.6%7.8%
Free cash flow721.0 m624.0 m895.0 m1.0 bn413.0 m-91.0 m954.0 m831.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
125.0 m USD
Financial debt
2.5 bn USD
Net debt
2.4 bn USD
Equity
3.6 bn USD
Total assets
8.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.70x
Current ratio
0.97x
ROE
11.7%
ROA
5.1%
FCF margin
15.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
4.6 bn
2024
5.0 bn
2025
5.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
519.0 m
2024
563.0 m
2025
593.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
481.0 m
2024
742.0 m
2025
700.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
176.0 m
2024
172.0 m
2025
185.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
657.0 m ≈
2024
914.0 m ≈
2025
885.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2022verified

Pre-tax income
2023
334.0 m
2024
635.0 m
2025
560.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
38.0 m
2024
107.0 m
2025
141.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
296.0 m
2024
528.0 m
2025
419.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
5.72
2024
10.18
2025
8.18

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
51.7 m
2024
51.9 m
2025
51.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
137.0 m
2024
901.0 m
2025
125.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
521.0 m
2024
692.0 m
2025
801.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
804.0 m
2024
693.0 m
2025
729.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.7 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
309.0 m
2024
305.0 m
2025
353.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
3.9 bn
2024
3.9 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
527.0 m
2024
422.0 m
2025
809.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
7.3 bn
2024
8.0 bn
2025
8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
456.0 m
2024
633.0 m
2025
695.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
173.0 m
2024
79.0 m
2025
141.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
3.0 bn †
2024
3.6 bn †
2025
3.6 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-4.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
917.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
87.0 m
2024
59.0 m
2025
86.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-91.0 m ≈
2024
954.0 m ≈
2025
831.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-92.0 m
2024
-57.0 m
2025
-1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
117.0 m
2024
-190.0 m
2025
-239.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
52.0 m
2024
47.0 m
2025
587.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-2.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-20.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-19.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-12.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
48.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
EBITDA margin
18.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
EBIT margin
14.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
Net margin
9.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
FCF margin
16.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026

Returns

ROE
16.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
ROA
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
ROIC
13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
ROCE
19.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Debt / equity
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Quick ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Oct 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
Capital expenditure
80.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
Free cash flow
988.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
FCF conversion
164.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
Cash conversion
93.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
50 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Days inventory outstanding
88 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Days payables outstanding
83 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Cash conversion cycle
55 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
15.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Enterprise value
18.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
26.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
Earnings yield
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
P/B
4.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
P/S
2.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
EV/EBIT
19.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
EV/Sales
2.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
P/FCF
15.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
FCF yield
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026

Risk

Altman Z
3.51
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Oct 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 36 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

332.44 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 15.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
15.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
P/B
4.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
ROE
16.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Oct 2026
Net margin
9.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Oct 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 03 Oct 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 03 Oct 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 27 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 2752derived 176

Score by group

  • Valuation31
  • Returns86
  • Quality53
  • Balance sheet39
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
209.01
USD per share
Mid
281.89
USD per share
High
422.96
USD per share
Price: 332.44 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -15.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -17.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 178.75 – 521.07 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA239.28 – 521.07 (Mid 270.38)
    3 companies used · median multiple 13.3x · quartiles 12.0x – 23.6x
    GHM, GTES, IR
  • Peers: P/E178.75 – 324.85 (Mid 293.39)
    7 companies used · median multiple 23.7x · quartiles 14.4x – 26.2x
    EFXT, GTEC, GTES, IR, ITW, TWIN, ZWS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: General Industrial Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3560)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 36/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality13.6%33 (vs peers)12%
Net margin · Quality9.8%38 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality164.1%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-2.3%0 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-2.4%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.1x54 (on a fixed band)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.6x0 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation26.8x25 (vs peers)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation15.8x0 (on a fixed band)12%
FCF yield · Valuation6.3%79 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns6.0%86 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet39/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality53/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial86/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation31/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-10-03.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 5.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.3%; net margin 9.8%; ROE 16.5%; net debt/EBITDA 2.1x.

The estimated value range is 209.01–422.96 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 281.89 USD, the price of 332.44 USD leaves a potential of -15.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -17.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 36/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 164.1%
  • FCF yield: 6.3%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 6.0%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -2.3%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -2.4%
  • Current ratio: 0.6x
  • P/E (TTM): 26.8x
  • EV/EBITDA: 15.8x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

General Industrial Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3560) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
26.8x
vertical median 24.9x
above median (+7.7%)
EV/EBITDA
15.8x
vertical median 13.3x
above median (+19.3%)
P/S
2.5x
vertical median 2.4x
above median (+5.0%)
P/B
4.4x
vertical median 2.7x
above median (+63.8%)
ROE
16.5%
vertical median 14.7%
above median (+11.8%)
Net margin
9.8%
vertical median 11.3%
below median (−13.6%)
EBIT margin
14.9%
vertical median 14.9%
at median
Revenue YoY
8.3%
vertical median 7.3%
above median (+14.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.1x
vertical median -0.3x
above median
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc83.4 bn26.1101.7%19.4%+0.9%+18% / +21%
IRIngersoll Rand Inc.32.3 bn23.713.4%17.2%+5.7%+5% / +18%
ZBRAZebra Technologies Corporation15.7 bn26.816.5%9.8%+8.3%+28% / +55%
ZWSZurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation7.5 bn26.317.7%15.9%+8.3%−5% / +53%
GTESGates Industrial Corporation Ltd.6.1 bn17.010.6%10.4%+1.0%+7% / +100%
EFXTEnerflex Ltd2.5 bn39.36.0%2.5%+6.5%+46% / +377%
GHMGraham Corporation816.0 m67.17.5%4.5%+16.9%+21% / +275%
TWINTwin Disc, Incorporated370.7 m11.916.3%8.0%+11.9%+64% / +86%
GTECGreenland Technologies Holding Corporation10.7 m0.916.0%12.3%+8.0%−51% / −79%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ZBRA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
189.06
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
335.42
Total return 1% · Per year 1%
506.83
Total return 52% · Per year 52%
3 years
159.36
Total return -52% · Per year -22%
320.35
Total return -4% · Per year -1%
534.87
Total return 61% · Per year 17%
5 years
134.33
Total return -60% · Per year -17%
305.97
Total return -8% · Per year -2%
564.46
Total return 70% · Per year 11%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 80.09
  • Net margin± 56.06
  • Annual revenue growth± 49.21
  • Annual dilution± 4.71

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (03 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Zebra Technologies is a global leader in automatic identification and data capture (AIDC), with net sales of 5.396 bn USD in fiscal 2025 1. In the second quarter of 2026 (ended July 4, 2026) net sales grew 20.4% to 1.557 bn USD, and the company raised its full-year outlook 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a large installed base, long-standing customer relationships and an extensive partner network that the filing describes as hard for a new entrant to replicate 1.
  • Diversification across segments, markets and regions, together with recurring revenue from services and supplies, provides stability 1.
  • Cash flow and the cash position in the first half of 2026 allow investment and share repurchases 3.

Weaknesses

  • Margins can be affected by tariff and component costs, and management reported lower gross margin in fiscal 2025 1.
  • Integrating acquisitions such as Elo carries risks of goodwill impairment and delays in realizing synergies 1.
  • The level of debt could limit financial flexibility if market conditions become more difficult 3.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into physical AI and automation on the frontline could open new revenue sources 3.
  • Services, supplies and software subscriptions could grow by serving the existing installed base 1.
  • Cost savings from the productivity plan could support margins if fully achieved 1.

Threats

  • Geopolitical risks, tariffs and trade restrictions could limit sales and disrupt the supply chain 1.
  • Intense competition could lead to price reductions and loss of market share 1.
  • Currency fluctuations could affect revenue and costs outside the United States 1.

Risks

  • Acquisition integrationhigh

    Integrating Elo could delay synergies and lead to goodwill impairment if expected results are not reached 1.

  • Dependence on Asian suppliershigh

    Components and final products come largely from outside the US, including China, exposing the company to logistics and tariff disruption 1.

  • Geopolitical risksmedium

    Regional conflicts and trade tensions could restrict sales and raise energy and logistics costs 1.

  • Competitive pressuremedium

    Competition and new entrants could force price cuts and erode margins 1.

  • Component costslow

    Higher memory costs could weigh on margins if they cannot be fully passed on to customers 3.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for automation and AI on the frontline continues, sales could exceed current guidance, supported by second quarter growth 3.
  • Realizing productivity savings and integrating acquisitions efficiently could support margins over the medium term 13.
  • The large installed base and recurring revenue could provide stability in periods of volatile demand 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If tariffs or component costs rise again, gross margin could fall back toward fiscal 2025 levels 13.
  • If the Elo integration does not deliver the expected results, goodwill impairment and one-time charges could follow 1.
  • A slowdown in customer investment or worsening geopolitics could reduce orders in several regions 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the raised full-year sales growth outlook2026
  • Gross margin trend and effect of tariff refundsQ3 2026
  • Free cash flow against the outlook of more than 1 bn USD2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (03 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

From the fourth quarter of 2025 reporting was reorganized into Connected Frontline (CF) and Asset Visibility and Automation (AVA) segments 1. Services, supplies and cloud software subscriptions add recurring revenue on top of hardware sales 1.

Market context

Growth depends on technology transitions such as WiFi 7, 5G and 2D and 3D imaging 1, as well as on tariff developments and memory component costs that have affected gross margin in recent periods 13.

Trends

  • Automation and AI on the frontlinetailwind

    Demand for automation, computer vision and AI in frontline operations supports the company's portfolio, which is built around these trends 13.

  • Import tariffsmixed

    Tariffs in 2025 reduced gross margin, but the Supreme Court invalidated part of them in February 2026 and the company recognized a 73 mn USD recovery 12.

  • Memory component costsheadwind

    Higher memory costs were offset through price realization, according to the company's second quarter 2026 commentary 3.

  • Equipment refresh cyclestailwind

    Transitions to new network and mobile operating system standards could create replacement demand for installed devices 1.

Competitive position

The company notes that it could lose market share to global or local competitors that may have stronger regional brands, and that price competition could reduce margins 1.

Competition is also extending through acquisitions and partnerships with component suppliers, which could add pressure on the company's competitive position 1.

  • Global AIDC equipment makers

    The analysed sources do not name competitors, so no names are given.

  • Regional competitors with established local brands

    Described generically in the company's risk factors, without specific names.

  • Companies pursuing strategic acquisitions

    Potential competitors that could strengthen their positions through consolidation, as stated in the risk factors.

  • Technology partners and component suppliers

    Partners of competitors that could create additional competitive pressure.

News & filings

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Zebra Technologies Corporation · 12 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-04 · SEC / Zebra Technologies Corporation · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Zebra Technologies Corporation · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.