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olivLaw · US equity research

AirSculpt Technologies, Inc. AIRS

Services-Offices & Clinics of Doctors of Medicine · SIC 8011 · Vertical: Services-Offices & Clinics of Doctors of Medicine (SIC 8011)

1.44USD−15.29% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

AirSculpt Technologies is a national provider of premium body contouring procedures that uses its patented AirSculpt® method to remove fat and tighten skin in a minimally invasive way. The company has had a difficult stretch, with revenue of 151.8 million USD in 2025, and is now trying to return to growth amid intense competition and pressure from weight-loss drugs.

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, AirSculpt Technologies, Inc. (AIRS) stock was 1.44 USD (−15.29% on the day), with market capitalisation 103.8 m USD, dividend yield 28.47%, beta 2.48, 52-week range 1.17–10.49 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 42.9 m USD (−2.5% YoY), net income of -1.1 m USD, diluted EPS -0.02 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
103.8 m USD
shares as of 07 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.18 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-12.43%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
28.47%
DPS 12m 0.41
Beta (2y)
2.48
Volatility (1y) 138%
52-week range
1.1710.49

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
42.0
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.07 – 1.82
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.49 · band width 51.8%
SMA 50 / 200
1.91 / 3.10
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.10 / -0.17
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−22.6%−5.9%−16.6 pp—
3 months−69.8%−4.6%−65.2 pp—
6 months−58.4%+0.2%−58.6 pp—
Year to date−27.3%+7.4%−34.7 pp—
1 year−85.0%+8.2%−93.2 pp−4.4%
3 years−77.4%+68.4%−145.9 pp−51.1%
5 years−90.0%+56.5%−146.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−88.8%
06 Nov 2025 → 26 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−93.5%
30 Dec 2021 → 26 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−36.9%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
42.9 m USD
−2.5% YoY
Net income
-1.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.02
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-2.6% / -0.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue42.5 m39.2 m39.4 m44.0 m35.0 m33.4 m39.4 m42.9 m
Cost of revenue17.8 m16.5 m16.0 m17.2 m14.9 m13.7 m15.6 m16.6 m
SG&A25.5 m23.4 m21.8 m22.7 m19.5 m18.2 m22.6 m23.4 m
Operating income-3.7 m-3.9 m-1.6 m786.0 k-9.8 m-1.0 m-1.8 m-29.0 k
Depreciation & amortisation3.0 m3.2 m3.2 m3.2 m3.2 m3.1 m3.0 m2.9 m
Interest expense1.6 m1.6 m1.6 m1.6 m1.4 m1.5 m1.2 m1.0 m
Pre-tax income-5.3 m-5.5 m-3.2 m-776.0 k-11.2 m-2.5 m-2.9 m-1.2 m
Income tax733.0 k-706.0 k-367.0 k-185.0 k-1.6 m-3.8 m-465.0 k-101.0 k
Net income-6.0 m-4.8 m-2.8 m-591.0 k-9.5 m1.3 m-2.4 m-1.1 m
Diluted EPS-0.10-0.08 ≈-0.05-0.01-0.150.02 ≈-0.03-0.02
Operating cash flow1.8 m ≈2.7 m868.0 k5.0 m ≈-225.0 k ≈-2.5 m5.3 m-1.2 m ≈
Capex4.9 m ≈3.5 m1.9 m265.0 k ≈180.0 k ≈58.0 k51.0 k228.0 k ≈
Dividends paid0238.0 k0000——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue41.2 m62.8 m133.3 m168.8 m195.9 m180.4 m151.8 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+52.2%+112.4%+26.6%+16.1%−7.9%−15.8%
Net income-2.2 m7.6 m10.6 m-14.7 m-4.2 m-8.0 m-11.7 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable+39.3%−239.1%unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-0.01-0.26-0.08-0.14-0.19
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-5.4%12.1%7.9%-8.7%-2.2%-4.4%-7.7%
Free cash flow499.0 k10.3 m19.5 m11.5 m14.0 m-2.7 m692.0 k

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
8.4 m USD
Financial debt
56.0 m USD
Net debt
47.6 m USD
Equity
87.7 m USD
Total assets
187.3 m USD
Debt / equity
0.64x
Current ratio
0.55x
ROE
-14.1%
ROA
-5.8%
FCF margin
0.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
195.9 m
2024
180.4 m
2025
151.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
73.8 m
2024
71.1 m
2025
61.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
122.1 m ≈
2024
109.2 m ≈
2025
90.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

SG&A
2023
102.4 m
2024
98.9 m
2025
82.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
9.7 m
2024
-1.6 m
2025
-11.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
10.3 m
2024
11.9 m
2025
12.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
20.0 m ≈
2024
10.3 m ≈
2025
1.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
6.5 m
2024
6.2 m
2025
6.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
3.2 m
2024
-7.8 m
2025
-17.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
7.5 m
2024
188.0 k
2025
-6.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-4.2 m
2024
-8.0 m
2025
-11.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.08
2024
-0.14
2025
-0.19

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
56.8 m
2024
57.7 m
2025
60.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Mar 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
10.3 m
2024
8.2 m
2025
8.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
16.0 m
2024
17.1 m
2025
15.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
28.9 m
2024
37.5 m
2025
27.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
81.7 m
2024
81.7 m
2025
81.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
46.3 m
2024
41.6 m
2025
36.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
204.0 m
2024
212.8 m
2025
187.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
3.9 m
2024
6.3 m
2025
5.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.1 m
2024
4.3 m
2025
5.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
69.5 m
2024
65.5 m
2025
50.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
20.3 m
2024
28.9 m
2025
27.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
120.0 m
2024
134.6 m
2025
99.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
82.7 m †
2024
78.2 m †
2025
87.7 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
24.0 m
2024
11.4 m
2025
3.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
9.9 m
2024
14.0 m
2025
2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
14.0 m ≈
2024
-2.7 m ≈
2025
692.0 k ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-9.9 m
2024
-14.0 m
2025
-2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-13.4 m
2024
630.0 k
2025
-478.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
385.0 k
2024
252.0 k
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-15.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
19.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
59.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-8.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-8.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
24.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-2.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
517.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
760.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
32 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
103.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
128.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-12.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
136.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
28.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.44 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 103.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
103.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-15.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
28.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 07 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Aug 2026
verified 831derived 70

Score by group

54% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
2.98
USD per share
Mid
3.48
USD per share
High
4.21
USD per share
Price: 1.44 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 141.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 58.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.56 – 7.25 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)0.56 – 1.18 (Mid 0.79)
    WACC 8.0% · starting FCFF 5.1 m USD · terminal value share of EV 76%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 16.8%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)5.39 – 7.25 (Mid 6.18)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Offices & Clinics of Doctors of Medicine (SIC 8011)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-7.9%0 (on a fixed band)19%
Net margin · Quality-7.8%25 (vs peers)12%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-3.5%0 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-2.5x0 (on a fixed band)12%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.8x0 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation0.7%9 (on a fixed band)15%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns0.0%100 (on a fixed band)8%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality9/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns40/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial9/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

AirSculpt Technologies, Inc. (AIRS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 151.8 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -15.8%; net margin -7.8%; ROE -12.0%.

The estimated value range is 2.98–4.21 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 3.48 USD, the price of 1.44 USD leaves a potential of 141.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 58.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Payout ratio (FCF): 0.0%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -7.9%
  • Net margin: -7.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -3.5%
  • Interest coverage: -2.5x
  • Current ratio: 0.8x
  • FCF yield: 0.7%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Offices & Clinics of Doctors of Medicine (SIC 8011) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median —
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 0.9x
below median (−25.3%)
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 1.9x
below median (−48.4%)
ROE
-12.0%
vertical median -2.5%
below median
Net margin
-7.8%
vertical median -5.8%
below median
EBIT margin
-8.4%
vertical median -6.0%
below median
Revenue YoY
-15.8%
vertical median 25.2%
below median (−162.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
28.5%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TDOCTeladoc Health, Inc.1.7 bn—-11.5%-6.3%−1.5%+24% / −48%
STLNStarling Oncology, Inc.682.8 m——-6.2%+27.8%+113% / +292%
SBCSBC Medical Group Holdings Incorporated516.3 m10.719.3%28.0%−15.5%+41% / −54%
CCMConcord Medical Services Holdings Ltd463.7 m——-20.2%+25.2%−8% / −65%
LFMDLifeMD, Inc.110.4 m—6.5%0.1%+25.3%−40% / −70%
AIRSAirSculpt Technologies, Inc.103.8 m—-12.0%-7.8%−15.8%−85% / −77%
BMGLBasel Medical Group Ltd8.2 m—-169.7%-94.0%unavailable−64% / unavailable
HIMSHims & Hers Health, Inc.0—-32.0%-5.5%+59.0%−39% / +171%
AUNAAuna S.A.——7.5%2.5%+13.2%−1% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for AIRS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    AirSculpt Technologies is a national provider of premium body contouring procedures that uses its patented AirSculpt® method to remove fat and tighten skin in a minimally invasive way. The company has had a difficult stretch, with revenue of 151.8 million USD in 2025, and is now trying to return to growth amid intense competition and pressure from weight-loss drugs.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The AirSculpt® brand has recognition and a patented method, which the company protects through exclusive availability at its own centers.
    • The full upfront payment model removes reimbursement risk and supports attractive unit economics at the center level.
    • The company has a broad portfolio of procedures, including fat transfer and skin tightening treatments, which diversifies the offering.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue declined in 2024 and 2025, and case volume at comparable centers fell significantly.
    • The company posted net losses in 2025 and in the first six months of 2026, and debt and liquidity remain a concern.
    • The company depends on a single third-party manufacturer for key elements of the tools used in its procedures.

    Opportunities

    • If the new services, including the AlloClae partnership, expand the eligible patient population, the company could resume growth.
    • The addressable market, which the company describes as growing, could support expansion if demand returns.
    • Optimizing marketing spend and expanding consumer financing options could improve patient conversion.

    Threats

    • Weight-loss drugs could reduce demand for fat reduction procedures, and their long-term effect is hard to predict.
    • Competitors could develop methods that are safer or easier to adopt, which could reduce the value of the brand.
    • Legal risks, medical malpractice claims and regulation of medical practice could affect the company's operating model.

    Risks

    • Continued revenue declinehigh

      Revenue fell in 2024 and 2025, and recovery depends on the success of growth strategies. The company acknowledges that it could see short-term declines while implementing them.

    • Debt and liquidityhigh

      The company has reduced its debt but still has payment obligations to meet, and loan conditions limit financial flexibility.

    • Dilution from share issuancesmedium

      Share issuances under the at-the-market program could dilute existing shareholders, and loan terms require part of the proceeds to repay debt.

    • Response to weight-loss drugsmedium

      If demand for fat reduction procedures falls because of these drugs, the company's revenue could be affected over the long term.

    • Regulation and medical liabilitymedium

      Changes to laws on medical practice and malpractice liability could force a restructuring of relationships with the surgeons' professional associations.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the recovery in case volume at comparable centers takes hold and the new services attract new patients, the company could gradually return to growth with attractive unit economics.
    • Continued debt reduction and higher cash could be a positive sign, lowering liquidity risks.
    • If the addressable market grows as the company's study estimates, the brand and patented method could hold a long-term advantage.

    What would break the thesis

    • If the decline in demand continues and revenue keeps falling, the company could struggle to meet its 2026 guidance.
    • Debt, net losses and the need for equity capital could limit the company's flexibility and dilute shareholders.
    • Weight-loss drugs and non-surgical competition could reduce procedure demand and erode the brand's advantage.

    What to watch

    • Case volume at comparable centers and third-quarter revenueQ3 2026
    • Delivery against the 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance2026
    • Early results of the AlloClae partnership and new servicesnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    AirSculpt offers body contouring procedures through its own centers, with a premium model and a central patented method, AirSculpt®, which removes fat and tightens skin without needles, scalpels or general anesthesia. Its services include fat transfer (Power BBL®, Up a Cup™, Hip Flip™) and treatments for skin tightening and cellulite reduction. Each center works through a professional association of surgeons, and the company operates as a holding company through management service agreements. Clients pay fully upfront with no reimbursement risk, and across 31 centers in 20 U.S. states and Canada the company performed 11,852 procedures in 2025.

    The business model relies on a relatively small number of centers with attractive unit economics, which the company says can become profitable in about three months. Revenue per case was 12,809 USD in 2025, roughly flat from the prior year, while the number of cases fell sharply. The company argues it can improve margins through optimized marketing, better sales execution, consumer financing and new product lines.

    In 2026 the company introduced new services, including an exclusive partnership with AlloClae for an injectable adipose matrix, and reduced gross debt, which stood at 44.2 million USD on June 30, 2026. The near-term strategy is to stabilize revenue and protect liquidity rather than open new centers.

    Segments

    Body contouring procedures (AirSculpt® method)

    The patented AirSculpt® method is the core of the offering and is available only at the company's centers. The procedure removes fat and tightens skin in a single session with quick recovery, and the company says the method has advantages over conventional liposuction.

    Fat transfer and enhancement procedures

    Power BBL®, Up a Cup™ and Hip Flip™ use the patient's own fat to reshape the buttocks, breasts or hips, without silicone implants. These procedures are an important revenue and innovation driver, and the company keeps developing them.

    Skin tightening and cellulite reduction treatments

    AirSculpt® + combines the core method with skin tightening, while AirSculpt® Smooth targets cellulite on the buttocks and thighs. The company has indicated that extending these services as standalone products is part of its 2026 growth strategy.

    Market context

    The market environment has weighed on the company in 2025 and 2026, and the decline in case volume at comparable centers points to weaker demand than expected in the aesthetics sector. If demand stabilizes, the company could gradually recover volumes, though this is not certain.

    Trends

    • Rising popularity of weight-loss drugsmixed

      GLP-1 medications could reduce demand for fat reduction procedures, but they may also increase interest in body contouring and skin tightening after weight loss. The net effect remains uncertain, and the company acknowledges it cannot predict the impact.

    • Growing self-image awareness and social acceptancetailwind

      Social media and reduced stigma are making aesthetic procedures more accepted, and the company benefits from digital campaigns and before-and-after content. This is a favorable long-term trend.

    • More cautious consumersheadwind

      Lower consumer confidence and disposable income could reduce demand for costly procedures paid fully out of pocket, and the company has no reimbursement to cushion the effect.

    • Advances in minimally invasive technologymixed

      Faster recovery and less invasive technologies are an advantage for the company, but they also let competitors copy or develop similar methods.

    Competitive position

    Competition comes from liposuction, abdominoplasty and non-surgical fat reduction treatments using cooling, injections or ultrasound. The company argues that alternatives offer less predictable results, but competitors could develop methods that are safer or easier to use, which could reduce the company's commercial opportunities.

    Competition for qualified surgeons is intense, and the company offers attractive part-time compensation to attract them. Brand protection, however, depends on AirSculpt® being available only at the company's own centers.

    • Traditional plastic surgery (liposuction and abdominoplasty)

      Conventional surgical procedures are the main alternative for patients seeking fat reduction, and the company describes them as more invasive.

    • Non-surgical fat reduction treatments

      Cooling, ultrasound and laser treatments are non-surgical options that compete for the same patient spending.

    • Weight-loss medications

      The source describes these drugs as an alternative that could reduce demand for fat reduction procedures.

    • Other body contouring providers and aesthetic clinics

      The company operates in a fragmented market where local clinics and providers compete for the same patients.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / AirSculpt Technologies, Inc. · 31 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / AirSculpt Technologies, Inc. · 10 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / AirSculpt Technologies, Inc. · 10 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.