olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Allegion plc ALLE

Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services · SIC 7381 · Vertical: Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services (SIC 7381)

192.69USD+1.76% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Allegion plc is a global provider of security products and solutions, with long-established brands such as Schlage, Von Duprin and LCN that equip commercial, institutional and residential buildings. It reported net revenues of 4067.3 million USD in fiscal 2025, and in the third quarter of 2026 announced solid organic growth and a raised outlook.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Allegion plc (ALLE) stock was 192.69 USD (+1.76% on the day), with market capitalisation 16.2 bn USD, P/E 24.0 on diluted EPS of 8.03 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.12%, beta 0.59, 52-week range 125.65–192.69 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.2 bn USD (+9.6% YoY), net income of 220.9 m USD (+17.3% YoY), diluted EPS 2.59 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
16.2 bn USD
shares as of 19 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
24.0
Diluted EPS TTM 8.03 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.17%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.12%
DPS 12m 2.16
Beta (2y)
0.59
Volatility (1y) 30%
52-week range
125.65192.69

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
80.7
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
137.56 – 200.66
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.87 · band width 37.3%
SMA 50 / 200
160.23 / 150.92
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
9.68 / 7.05
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+25.4%−1.1%+26.5 pp—
3 months+14.3%−0.5%+14.8 pp—
6 months+42.4%+4.4%+38.0 pp—
Year to date+21.0%+12.3%+8.7 pp—
1 year+16.4%+13.5%+2.9 pp−36.8%
3 years+89.1%+76.4%+12.7 pp+67.4%
5 years+46.6%+63.7%−17.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−30.1%
06 Feb 2026 → 15 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−34.8%
17 Nov 2021 → 27 Sept 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+8.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.2 bn USD
+9.6% YoY
Net income
220.9 m USD
+17.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.59
+18.8% YoY
net / operating
18.8% / 24.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue945.6 m941.9 m1.0 bn1.1 bn1.0 bn1.0 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn
Cost of revenue528.9 m519.4 m555.5 m580.4 m573.7 m579.1 m634.0 m624.4 m
SG&A232.1 m226.1 m246.8 m256.0 m249.9 m259.2 m262.8 m263.6 m
Operating income184.6 m196.4 m219.7 m233.8 m209.6 m195.3 m254.7 m284.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation26.9 m30.0 m31.9 m ≈36.7 m ≈31.1 m35.6 m35.7 m ≈36.1 m ≈
Interest expense25.2 m24.7 m24.6 m26.6 m25.1 m24.2 m24.8 m24.2 m
Pre-tax income162.3 m175.2 m200.4 m208.9 m183.9 m171.5 m227.9 m267.8 m
Income tax18.2 m27.0 m40.7 m20.5 m36.4 m33.4 m43.3 m46.9 m
Net income144.1 m148.2 m159.7 m188.4 m147.5 m138.1 m184.6 m220.9 m
Diluted EPS1.66 ≈1.711.852.181.70 ≈1.592.152.59
Operating cash flow219.0 m104.5 m209.7 m ≈229.5 m ≈240.1 m101.3 m198.4 m ≈304.3 m ≈
Capex24.1 m21.1 m17.7 m ≈19.7 m ≈39.6 m21.0 m17.9 m ≈25.7 m ≈
Dividends paid41.4 m43.6 m44.2 m ≈43.6 m ≈43.9 m47.4 m46.6 m ≈46.2 m ≈
Share repurchases100.0 m40.0 m40.0 m0 ≈040.6 m120.0 m119.8 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 55 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 16.5, median 22.2, max 34.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.7 bn2.9 bn2.7 bn2.9 bn3.3 bn3.7 bn3.8 bn4.1 bn
Revenue YoY+13.4%+4.5%−4.7%+5.4%+14.1%+11.6%+3.3%+7.8%
Net income434.9 m401.8 m314.3 m483.0 m458.0 m540.4 m597.5 m643.8 m
Net income YoY+59.1%−7.6%−21.8%+53.7%−5.2%+18.0%+10.6%+7.7%
Diluted EPS4.544.263.395.345.196.126.827.44
Diluted EPS YoY+59.3%−6.2%−20.4%+57.5%−2.8%+17.9%+11.4%+9.1%
net %15.9%14.1%11.6%16.8%14.0%14.8%15.8%15.8%
Free cash flow408.7 m422.6 m443.2 m443.2 m395.5 m516.4 m582.9 m685.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
356.2 m USD
Financial debt
2.0 bn USD
Net debt
1.6 bn USD
Equity
2.1 bn USD
Total assets
5.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.96x
Current ratio
1.84x
ROE
36.1%
ROA
13.3%
FCF margin
16.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.7 bn
2024
3.8 bn
2025
4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.6 bn ≈
2024
1.7 bn ≈
2025
1.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
101.9 m
2024
112.7 m
2025
132.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
865.6 m
2024
887.8 m
2025
978.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
708.4 m
2024
780.7 m
2025
859.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
109.0 m
2024
116.2 m
2025
129.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
817.4 m ≈
2024
896.9 m ≈
2025
989.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
93.1 m
2024
102.0 m
2025
101.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
617.2 m
2024
698.8 m
2025
768.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
76.6 m
2024
101.3 m
2025
124.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
540.4 m
2024
597.5 m
2025
643.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
6.12
2024
6.82
2025
7.44

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
88.3 m
2024
87.6 m
2025
86.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.80
2024
1.92
2025
2.04

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
468.1 m
2024
503.8 m
2025
356.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
438.5 m
2024
423.0 m
2025
519.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
358.1 m
2024
385.3 m
2025
444.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
572.8 m
2024
569.0 m
2025
826.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.5 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
259.2 m
2024
258.0 m
2025
244.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
412.6 m
2024
21.9 m
2025
200.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.6 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.1 bn
2024
696.9 m
2025
755.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
600.6 m
2024
675.0 m
2025
783.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
84.2 m
2024
92.1 m
2025
98.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
516.4 m ≈
2024
582.9 m ≈
2025
685.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-129.1 m
2024
-228.4 m
2025
-685.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-298.7 m
2024
-394.5 m
2025
-266.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
158.7 m
2024
167.0 m
2025
175.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
59.9 m
2024
220.0 m
2025
80.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
12.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
15.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
9.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
12.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
17.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
17.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
45.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
24.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
21.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
15.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
16.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
33.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
12.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
20.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
20.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
26.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
24.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
9.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
844.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
104.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
739.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
107.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
78.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
81 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
16.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
17.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
23.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
24.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
7.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
3.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
18.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
4.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
22.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 67 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

192.69 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 16.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
16.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
24.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
7.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
33.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
15.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

35/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 19 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 22 Oct 2026
verified 2242derived 190

Score by group

  • Valuation26
  • Balance sheet84
  • Quality100
  • Growth74
  • Returns65

Estimated value range

Low
76.23
USD per share
Mid
94.12
USD per share
High
122.54
USD per share
Price: 192.69 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -51.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -104.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 26.81 – 209.04 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)125.65 – 209.04 (Mid 157.49)
    WACC 8.8% · starting FCFF 819.7 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 15.9%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)26.81 – 36.05 (Mid 30.75)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services (SIC 7381)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 67/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality20.3%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Net margin · Quality15.7%100 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality107.1%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth7.5%63 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth12.8%85 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.5x71 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet9.6x100 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.9x92 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation24.0x27 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation16.5x0 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation4.6%57 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.9%41 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns24.9%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet84/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth74/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality100/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns65/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation26/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Allegion plc (ALLE). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 7.8%; net margin 15.7%; ROE 33.6%; net debt/EBITDA 1.5x.

The estimated value range is 76.23–122.54 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 94.12 USD, the price of 192.69 USD leaves a potential of -51.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -104.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 67/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 20.3%
  • Net margin: 15.7%
  • FCF conversion: 107.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 12.8%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 1.5x
  • Interest coverage: 9.6x
  • Current ratio: 1.9x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 24.9%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 24.0x
  • EV/EBITDA: 16.5x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services (SIC 7381) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
24.0x
vertical median —
EV/EBITDA
16.5x
vertical median —
P/S
3.7x
vertical median 0.8x
above median (+371.0%)
P/B
7.5x
vertical median 1.1x
above median (+552.4%)
ROE
33.6%
vertical median -20.1%
above median
Net margin
15.7%
vertical median -9.6%
above median
EBIT margin
21.5%
vertical median -3.9%
above median
Revenue YoY
7.8%
vertical median 3.6%
above median (+117.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.5x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
1.1%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ALLEAllegion plc16.2 bn24.033.6%15.7%+7.8%+16% / +89%
ADTADT Inc.7.5 bn12.216.9%11.9%+4.7%+20% / +69%
ARLOArlo Technologies, Inc.1.6 bn56.322.1%5.2%+3.6%+5% / +67%
GFAIGuardforce Ai Co., Limited4.6 m—-20.5%-16.1%+0.2%−79% / −95%
SUGPSU Group Holdings Ltd2.5 m—-20.1%-9.6%+5.5%−99% / unavailable
CIGLConcorde International Group Ltd——-3,579.0%-797.3%−1.6%unavailable / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for ALLE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
119.74
Total return -37% · Per year -37%
211.38
Total return 11% · Per year 11%
318.00
Total return 67% · Per year 67%
3 years
123.37
Total return -33% · Per year -13%
244.39
Total return 31% · Per year 9%
402.63
Total return 114% · Per year 29%
5 years
127.12
Total return -29% · Per year -7%
282.54
Total return 54% · Per year 9%
509.79
Total return 174% · Per year 22%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 61.10
  • Net margin± 42.77
  • Annual revenue growth± 34.12
  • Annual dilution± 3.59

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Allegion plc is a global provider of security products and solutions, with long-established brands such as Schlage, Von Duprin and LCN that equip commercial, institutional and residential buildings. It reported net revenues of 4067.3 million USD in fiscal 2025 1, and in the third quarter of 2026 announced solid organic growth and a raised outlook 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad portfolio of brands with long histories and a reputation for pioneering safety, which supports pricing and channel loyalty 1.
  • Rising profitability, with operating margins improving in 2025 and in the third quarter of 2026 13.
  • Regional production and the ability to configure customised solutions, which shorten delivery times 1.

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to raw material costs and tariffs, particularly for components sourced from Mexico and other countries 12.
  • International segment margins are far below those of the Americas, and volumes fell in the latest reported quarter 13.
  • Total debt remains significant, which limits financial flexibility if capital markets tighten 13.

Opportunities

  • Growth in electronics, mobile solutions and connected systems could open new revenue, especially through acquisitions 1.
  • Non-residential business in North America shows solid organic growth that could continue if commercial construction holds up 3.
  • Integrating specialty door and electronics acquisitions could extend the offer into more complex projects 2.

Threats

  • A weak construction cycle or falling consumer confidence could reduce demand for the company's products 1.
  • New tariffs or trade retaliation could raise costs and squeeze margins if they cannot be passed on through prices 12.
  • Competition from private label brands and specialised technology providers could pressure prices 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on constructionhigh

    Demand depends on residential, commercial and institutional construction and remodelling cycles, which can be hit quickly by economic conditions 1.

  • Tariffs and international tradehigh

    New tariffs or changes in trade policy could raise component costs and delay deliveries 12.

  • Debt and interest ratesmedium

    Total debt and variable-rate borrowings expose the company to higher financing costs if interest rates rise 13.

  • Goodwill impairmentmedium

    The carrying value of goodwill and intangible assets is significant, and a fall in performance could lead to impairment charges 1.

  • Currency risklow

    Revenues from outside the U.S. and exchange rate movements can affect reported results in dollars even when local activity is stable 13.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If organic growth in the North American non-residential segment continues, the company could keep improving revenue and margins.
  • The electronics and software portfolio could generate recurring revenue and support further margin expansion.
  • Recent acquisitions could add new capabilities if integration proceeds as planned.

What would break the thesis

  • If new tariffs raise costs faster than they can be passed on to customers, margins could decline.
  • A slowdown in construction could reduce volumes, particularly in residential and in Europe.
  • Rising debt or interest costs could limit the company's ability to fund acquisitions and share repurchases.

What to watch

  • Quarterly results and operating margin trends in the International segmentQ4 2026
  • Application of new tariffs and their effect on cost of goods sold2027
  • Integration of Door Components and Overly Door Company and their contribution to revenue2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The company operates two reportable segments: Allegion Americas, covering North America, and Allegion International, covering the rest of the world 1. Production is organised regionally to stay close to customers and includes 37 principal production and assembly facilities 1. It expanded through acquisitions in 2025 and 2026, including ELATEC and, in 2026, Door Components and Overly Door Company, strengthening its electronics and specialty door offering 12.

Segments

Allegion Americas

The Americas segment, with net revenues of 3218.8 million USD in 2025 1, is the largest and most profitable, with a segment operating margin of 27.9% 1. In the third quarter of 2026 Americas revenue grew organically, with non-residential business up low double digits, according to the release 3.

Allegion International

The International segment generated revenues of 848.5 million USD in 2025 1, with a segment operating margin of 9.0% 1. In the third quarter of 2026 organic revenue slipped slightly as volumes fell, although pricing was favourable 3.

Market context

Revenue from outside the U.S. was about 25% in 2025, indicating significant international exposure 1. Demand for electronic products remained strong and is cited in both reports as a long-term growth driver 12.

Trends

  • Demand for electronic securitytailwind

    The company states that adoption of newer technologies, mobile solutions and artificial intelligence in buildings and homes could support growth in connected products 1.

  • Tariffs and trade uncertaintyheadwind

    U.S. tariffs raised costs, and the company partly offset them with pricing; new tariffs imposed after the Supreme Court ruling could still affect demand and costs 12.

  • IEEPA tariff refundsmixed

    Refunds of tariffs ruled invalid gave a accounting benefit in 2026, but the company notes that future effects should not be material 23.

  • Acquisitions and integrationmixed

    Bolt-on acquisitions extend the portfolio in specialty doors and electronics, but they bring integration costs and amortisation that could weigh on margins 13.

Competitive position

According to the company, its principal global competitors are Assa Abloy AB and dormakaba Group, and in the North American residential market it also faces Fortune Brands Innovations 1. It also competes with retailers' private label brands and with more specialised providers in advanced technology categories 1.

The company says it differentiates through established brands, product breadth, integration with technology platforms and the ability to custom-configure solutions for each customer 1.

  • Assa Abloy AB

    Principal global competitor cited by the company, focused on security products and access control.

  • dormakaba Group

    Global competitor named by the company in doors and access systems.

  • Fortune Brands Innovations

    Competitor in the North American residential market, named in the annual report.

  • Retailers' private label brands

    Own-label products of large retail chains that can compete directly with the company's range.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 25 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 22 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Allegion plc · 17 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / Allegion plc · 22 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Allegion plc · 22 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.