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olivLaw · US equity research

Alta Equipment Group, Inc. ALTG

Wholesale-Industrial Machinery & Equipment · SIC 5084 · Vertical: Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 508x)

6.89USD−5.49% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Alta Equipment Group is an integrated equipment dealer in North America that sells, rents and services material handling, construction and environmental processing equipment. In the second quarter of 2026 total revenues were 475.5 million USD and the company reported signs of demand recovery, while its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance remains between 167.5 and 177.5 million USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Alta Equipment Group, Inc. (ALTG) stock was 6.89 USD (−5.49% on the day), with market capitalisation 225.1 m USD, dividend yield 1.65%, beta 1.96, 52-week range 4.19–8.30 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 475.5 m USD (−1.2% YoY), net income of -7.5 m USD, diluted EPS -0.25 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
225.1 m USD
shares as of 04 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -2.54 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-36.89%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.65%
DPS 12m 0.11
Beta (2y)
1.96
Volatility (1y) 66%
52-week range
4.198.30

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
54.4
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
5.52 – 7.65
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.64 · band width 32.3%
SMA 50 / 200
6.27 / 6.53
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.28 / 0.20
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+6.8%−1.1%+7.9 pp—
3 months−7.9%−0.5%−7.4 pp—
6 months−17.0%+4.4%−21.4 pp—
Year to date+49.8%+12.3%+37.5 pp—
1 year+17.4%+13.5%+3.8 pp+26.2%
3 years−33.4%+76.4%−109.8 pp+35.6%
5 years−58.1%+63.7%−121.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−39.3%
06 May 2026 → 21 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−80.1%
08 Mar 2023 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−16.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
475.5 m USD
−1.2% YoY
Net income
-7.5 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.25
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-1.6% / 2.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue448.8 m498.1 m423.0 m481.2 m422.6 m509.1 m410.5 m475.5 m
Cost of revenue324.2 m381.6 m308.0 m358.9 m304.8 m389.6 m301.2 m351.3 m
Gross profit124.6 m116.5 m115.0 m122.3 m117.8 m119.5 m109.3 m124.2 m
SG&A110.6 m106.8 m106.7 m102.3 m105.9 m107.8 m108.2 m105.6 m
Operating income6.8 m2.4 m800.0 k12.4 m4.8 m5.2 m-5.7 m12.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation37.8 m34.7 m32.4 m34.6 m34.9 m31.7 m30.3 m33.8 m
Interest expense22.6 m23.4 m21.9 m22.3 m22.4 m21.8 m19.5 m19.5 m
Pre-tax income-16.1 m-19.5 m-20.2 m-4.8 m-17.2 m-16.6 m-23.3 m-7.9 m
Income tax11.6 m-8.9 m700.0 k1.3 m24.4 m-4.9 m-3.8 m-400.0 k
Net income-27.7 m-10.6 m-20.9 m-6.1 m-41.6 m-11.7 m-19.5 m-7.5 m
Diluted EPS-0.86-0.32 ≈-0.65-0.21-1.31-0.36 ≈-0.62-0.25
Operating cash flow46.3 m ≈34.9 m-17.5 m14.1 m ≈2.5 m ≈33.9 m20.8 m5.3 m ≈
Capex4.2 m ≈4.0 m1.7 m2.2 m ≈4.2 m ≈1.1 m3.0 m3.0 m ≈
Dividends paid700.0 k ≈800.0 k800.0 k700.0 k ≈700.0 k ≈800.0 k800.0 k700.0 k ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈3.8 m——0 ≈1.0 m——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenueunavailable557.4 m873.6 m1.2 bn1.6 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable+56.7%+38.8%+29.6%+19.4%−0.0%−2.2%
Net income-1.1 k-35.4 m-24.0 m-20.8 m9.3 m8.9 m-62.1 m-80.3 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−4.3%−797.8%unavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-0.90-0.740.200.18-1.96-2.55
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−10.0%−1,188.9%unavailable
net %unavailable-6.4%-2.7%-1.7%0.6%0.5%-3.3%-4.4%
Free cash flowunavailable-8.2 m-39.4 m22.6 m5.7 m46.0 m41.6 m23.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
18.6 m USD
Financial debt
495.5 m USD
Net debt
476.9 m USD
Equity
-8.8 m USD
Total assets
1.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.43x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-5.7%
FCF margin
1.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
507.2 m
2024
493.7 m
2025
474.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
430.3 m
2024
446.5 m
2025
422.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
54.4 m
2024
18.6 m
2025
23.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
132.6 m
2024
144.5 m
2025
133.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
187.0 m ≈
2024
163.1 m ≈
2025
156.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
57.0 m
2024
81.3 m
2025
88.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
2.5 m
2024
-66.3 m
2025
-58.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-6.4 m
2024
-4.2 m
2025
21.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
8.9 m
2024
-62.1 m
2025
-80.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.18
2024
-1.96
2025
-2.55

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
32.9 m
2024
33.2 m
2025
32.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.23
2024
0.23
2025
0.11

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
31.0 m
2024
13.4 m
2025
18.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
530.7 m
2024
535.9 m
2025
473.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
838.0 m
2024
774.5 m
2025
710.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
73.4 m
2024
81.6 m
2025
73.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
76.7 m
2024
77.5 m
2025
77.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
66.3 m
2024
54.7 m
2025
48.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
97.0 m
2024
91.5 m
2025
77.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
7.7 m
2024
10.5 m
2025
11.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
312.3 m
2024
480.0 m
2025
484.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
635.1 m
2024
577.2 m
2025
495.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
149.7 m †
2024
77.6 m †
2025
-8.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
58.4 m
2024
57.0 m
2025
33.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
12.4 m
2024
15.4 m
2025
9.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
46.0 m ≈
2024
41.6 m ≈
2025
23.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-117.4 m
2024
-56.2 m
2025
-22.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
87.3 m
2024
-17.9 m
2025
-5.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
3.0 m
2024
3.0 m
2025
3.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
5.8 m
2025
7.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-2.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
16.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
24.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-42.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-2,085.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
5.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
476.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
62.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
11.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
51.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
42.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
127 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
24 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
225.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
701.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-36.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
4.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
43.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
4.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
22.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 53 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

6.89 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 225.1 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
225.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
4.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
-2,085.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-2.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 04 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 1182derived 104

Score by group

  • Valuation96
  • Returns80
  • Quality0
  • Balance sheet21
  • Growth44

Estimated value range

Low
57.24
USD per share
Mid
58.87
USD per share
High
59.05
USD per share
Price: 6.89 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 754.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 88.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 1.50 – 153.80 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)62.25 – 153.80 (Mid 90.31)
    WACC 6.4% · starting FCFF 121.1 m USD · terminal value share of EV 83%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA57.24 – 59.05 (Mid 58.87)
    4 companies used · median multiple 16.3x · quartiles 16.0x – 16.4x
    ASLE, DSGR, MSM, WLFC
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)1.50 – 2.01 (Mid 1.72)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 508x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 53/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-4.4%0 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth5.3%44 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.2x22 (on a fixed band)16%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.2x0 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x49 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation4.8x93 (on a fixed band)16%
FCF yield · Valuation22.7%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.7%67 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns5.9%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet21/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial44/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns80/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation96/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INC. (ALTG). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -2.2%; net margin -4.4%; ROE -2,085.7%; net debt/EBITDA 3.2x.

The estimated value range is 57.24–59.05 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 58.87 USD, the price of 6.89 USD leaves a potential of 754.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 88.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 53/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, quality. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EV/EBITDA: 4.8x
  • FCF yield: 22.7%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 5.9%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -4.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 3.2x
  • Interest coverage: 0.2x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM).

Versus the vertical median

Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 508x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 27.1x
EV/EBITDA
4.8x
vertical median 16.3x
below median (−70.8%)
P/S
0.1x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−89.8%)
P/B
—
vertical median 4.5x
ROE
-2,085.7%
vertical median 15.8%
below median (−13,283.6%)
Net margin
-4.4%
vertical median 5.6%
below median (−179.6%)
EBIT margin
0.9%
vertical median 8.3%
below median (−89.2%)
Revenue YoY
-2.2%
vertical median 8.8%
below median (−124.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.2x
vertical median 5.3x
below median (−38.5%)
Dividend yield
1.7%
vertical median 2.1%
below median (−20.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.10.9 bn26.422.5%8.4%+8.8%+15% / +86%
MSMMsc Industrial Direct Co., Inc.6.5 bn29.215.8%5.6%+6.4%+30% / +19%
DXPEDXP Enterprises, Inc.2.5 bn27.918.5%4.4%+11.9%+69% / +441%
GICGlobal Industrial Co1.8 bn19.827.6%6.3%+4.8%+66% / +34%
DSGRDistribution Solutions Group, Inc.1.6 bn180.01.4%0.4%+9.8%+26% / +38%
WLFCWillis Lease Finance Corp1.0 bn12.711.5%9.6%+28.3%+16% / +213%
ASLEAerSale Corporation237.2 m—-0.9%-1.2%−2.8%−23% / −64%
ALTGAlta Equipment Group Inc.225.1 m—-2,085.7%-4.4%−2.2%+17% / −33%
HDSNHudson Technologies Inc185.6 m21.43.6%3.5%+4.0%−35% / −64%
TLIHTen-League International Holdings Limited167.1 m37.949.6%7.3%+38.4%+59% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for ALTG from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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1 years
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Alta Equipment Group is an integrated equipment dealer in North America that sells, rents and services material handling, construction and environmental processing equipment. In the second quarter of 2026 total revenues were 475.5 million USD and the company reported signs of demand recovery, while its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance remains between 167.5 and 177.5 million USD 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The integrated dealership model with exclusive territorial distribution produces recurring parts and service revenue 1.
    • Long-standing relationships with major manufacturers and recognised dealer status are hard to replicate 1.
    • The company has experience in acquiring and integrating dealerships, with a steady pipeline of opportunities 1.

    Weaknesses

    • The net result remains negative, and debt and interest costs weigh on profitability 3.
    • The company relies on a small number of manufacturers for a large share of its equipment and parts 1.
    • Equipment sales and rental revenue are sensitive to the construction cycle and to used equipment prices 1.

    Opportunities

    • A recovery in infrastructure, manufacturing and energy projects could support demand for the company's equipment 3.
    • The shift to electric vehicles creates new revenue from batteries, chargers and software-driven service 1.
    • Dealership acquisitions and expansion into master distribution could add territories and revenue 1.

    Threats

    • A new round of tariffs or a change in trade policy could raise costs and delay orders 1.
    • Price competition from larger rivals could reduce margins on sales and rentals 1.
    • If manufacturers expand direct sales or appoint new dealers, the company's market share could decline 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on construction and industrial demandhigh

      A decline in construction, material handling or environmental processing activity could reduce demand, rental rates and sale prices 1.

    • Dependence on a few manufacturershigh

      Termination of a key manufacturer relationship could seriously affect activity, and some agreements can be terminated unilaterally 1.

    • Financing costs and debtmedium

      Interest expense remains significant and could limit the company's ability to service debt or grow 3.

    • Market value of the rental fleetmedium

      Used and rental equipment may be worth less than book value, which could affect liquidity and borrowing bases 1.

    • IT system securitylow

      Cyber attacks or disruption of the ERP system could affect operations and customer data 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If orders keep rising, material handling and service results could improve further and Adjusted EBITDA could reach the upper end of guidance 3.
    • Margins in service and Master Distribution sales are improving, supporting profitability even when revenue is below last year's level 3.
    • The dealership model with recurring parts and service revenue could cushion economic cycles better than many peers 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • If construction demand stays weak or tariffs rise again, revenue and margins could fall and guidance could be missed 1.
    • The net loss and high interest costs leave little room for error if the recovery is delayed 3.
    • Dependence on key manufacturers and on the used equipment market could expose the company to unexpected shocks 1.

    What to watch

    • Trend in material handling bookings and Adjusted EBITDA resultsQ3 2026
    • Confirmation or revision of 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance2026
    • Margin trends in Master Distribution sales and serviceQ3 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Alta operates a network of over 80 branches in the US and Canada and has 42 years of experience as an equipment dealer 2. The company sells new and used equipment, parts, repair and maintenance services, and rents and sells its rental fleet 1. Its model rests on exclusive territorial distribution, and parts and service, considered its most predictable and profitable activities, form an important part of revenue 1.

    The company works with major manufacturers such as Hyster-Yale, Volvo, JCB, CNH, Takeuchi, McCloskey and Kubota, plus master dealer rights for environmental processing equipment with Doppstadt and Backers 1. About 49% of equipment and parts sold in 2025 came from five major OEMs 1. Its strategy includes dealership acquisitions, populating territories with equipment and growing aftermarket revenue 1.

    Segments

    Parts and service

    Parts and service are described as the company's most predictable and profitable businesses 1. The service gross profit percentage reached 61.4% in the second quarter of 2026 3. Product support was broadly flat in 2025, while the shift to electric vehicles moves revenue toward labour-intensive diagnostic service work 1.

    Material handling and construction

    The company serves customers in food and beverage, logistics, manufacturing, municipal and construction markets, and demand in material handling is recovering after a year of normalisation 13. Bookings rose 12.3% year to date in Alta's markets, suggesting customer investment is restarting 3.

    Market context

    The North American construction equipment market was weak in 2025 because of interest rates, tariff uncertainty and excess dealer inventory, although public infrastructure spending supported demand 1. Signs of stabilisation at the end of 2025 and data for 2026 point to a gradual recovery in activity 13.

    The lift truck market entered 2025 in a normalisation phase after the overstretched 2021-2022 period, and bookings softened 1. Companies expect bookings to strengthen in the second half of 2026 if excess channel inventory is absorbed 1.

    Trends

    • Recovery in material handling orderstailwind

      Rising orders and equipment volumes suggest customer investment and fleet replacement are restarting, which could support revenue if the trend continues 3.

    • Lower interest expensetailwind

      Financing costs fell in the second quarter of 2026, which helps profitability, especially if rates remain stable 3.

    • Tariff uncertainty and material costsheadwind

      Tariffs raised material costs and delayed purchasing decisions, and a change in trade policy could revive these pressures 1.

    • Smaller and optimised rental fleetmixed

      Reducing the rental fleet improved earnings quality but also lowered rental revenue, which declined in the first half of 2026 13.

    Competitive position

    The equipment dealership and rental industry is highly competitive and fragmented, with national, regional and small independent players 1. Some competitors have greater financial and marketing resources and may cut prices, which could weigh on the company's margins 1.

    Alta differentiates itself through an integrated sales, service and rental platform that gives it an advantage over single-channel dealers and traditional rental houses 1. Its public listing is seen as an advantage when sourcing acquisitions 1.

    • Regional and national equipment dealers

      Fragmented rivals ranging from multi-regional networks to independent firms, some with greater resources 1.

    • Equipment rental companies

      Compete in the rental segment and can reduce rates in the market 1.

    • OEMs selling direct

      Some manufacturers may appoint additional dealers or sell directly to national accounts, which could reduce the company's share 1.

    • Independent service providers

      Compete for technicians and repair work in the company's markets 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Alta Equipment Group, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Alta Equipment Group, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Alta Equipment Group, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.