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olivLaw · US equity research

Avery Dennison Corporation AVY

Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes) · SIC 2670 · Vertical: Paper and allied products (SIC 267x)

192.59USD+3.89% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Avery Dennison is a global leader in materials science and digital identification, offering pressure-sensitive labels, films and RFID solutions for brands and supply chains. Net sales were 8855.5 million USD in fiscal 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 sales rose 10.9%, suggesting demand has held up despite trade uncertainty.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) stock was 192.59 USD (+3.89% on the day), with market capitalisation 14.5 bn USD, P/E 20.8 on diluted EPS of 9.24 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.01%, beta 0.54, 52-week range 153.01–197.45 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.3 bn USD (+5.2% YoY), net income of 169.7 m USD (+2.0% YoY), diluted EPS 2.24 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
14.5 bn USD
shares as of 31 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.8
Diluted EPS TTM 9.24 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.80%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.01%
DPS 12m 3.88
Beta (2y)
0.54
Volatility (1y) 24%
52-week range
153.01197.45

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
73.9
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
165.03 – 192.08
above the upper band · %B 1.02 · band width 15.1%
SMA 50 / 200
174.50 / 172.00
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
4.12 / 2.98
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+13.3%−1.1%+14.4 pp—
3 months+9.7%−0.5%+10.1 pp—
6 months+15.5%+4.4%+11.2 pp—
Year to date+5.9%+12.3%−6.4 pp—
1 year+10.4%+13.5%−3.1 pp−32.0%
3 years+6.3%+76.4%−70.1 pp−18.0%
5 years−14.9%+63.7%−78.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−22.5%
24 Feb 2026 → 08 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−33.3%
24 Jun 2024 → 08 Jun 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−3.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.3 bn USD
+5.2% YoY
Net income
169.7 m USD
+2.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.24
+5.2% YoY
net / operating
7.3% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.2 bn2.1 bn2.2 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn2.3 bn2.5 bn2.3 bn
Cost of revenue1.6 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn
Gross profit609.2 m621.5 m639.1 m635.0 m650.7 m664.8 m729.4 m654.8 m
SG&A329.3 m347.0 m352.4 m353.9 m369.2 m375.1 m394.8 m372.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation78.2 m77.9 m80.8 m84.0 m85.5 m86.8 m86.4 m85.6 m
Interest expense29.2 m30.9 m34.0 m33.3 m37.2 m35.6 m35.9 m35.7 m
Pre-tax income241.4 m227.0 m255.5 m234.8 m207.8 m240.4 m282.7 m241.2 m
Income tax67.4 m60.7 m66.5 m68.5 m41.4 m72.3 m78.6 m71.5 m
Net income174.0 m166.3 m189.0 m166.3 m166.4 m168.1 m204.1 m169.7 m
Diluted EPS2.17 ≈2.092.412.132.15 ≈2.182.672.24
Operating cash flow351.2 m-16.3 m208.8 m ≈312.1 m ≈376.8 m136.5 m408.2 m ≈298.8 m ≈
Capex69.5 m36.0 m30.0 m ≈35.9 m ≈67.1 m28.3 m39.2 m ≈47.6 m ≈
Dividends paid70.4 m69.4 m73.5 m ≈73.1 m ≈72.4 m72.3 m76.2 m ≈75.4 m ≈
Share repurchases140.0 m261.6 m98.4 m ≈93.6 m ≈118.7 m60.6 m137.6 m ≈59.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 39 percentile of its own 33-quarter history (min 16.3, median 22.0, max 53.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172018201920212022202320242025
Revenue6.6 bn7.2 bn7.1 bn7.0 bn9.0 bn8.4 bn8.8 bn8.9 bn
Revenue YoY+8.7%+8.2%−1.2%unavailable+29.7%−7.5%+4.7%+1.1%
Net income281.8 m467.4 m303.6 m555.9 m757.1 m503.0 m704.9 m688.0 m
Net income YoY−12.1%+65.9%−35.0%unavailable+36.2%−33.6%+40.1%−2.4%
Diluted EPS3.135.283.576.619.216.208.738.79
Diluted EPS YoY−11.6%+68.7%−32.4%unavailable+39.3%−32.7%+40.8%+0.7%
net %4.3%6.5%4.3%8.0%8.4%6.0%8.1%7.8%
Free cash flow455.2 m231.2 m527.1 m549.9 m682.9 m560.7 m730.0 m712.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
202.8 m USD
Financial debt
3.7 bn USD
Net debt
3.5 bn USD
Equity
2.2 bn USD
Total assets
8.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.66x
Current ratio
1.13x
ROE
30.2%
ROA
8.0%
FCF margin
8.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
8.4 bn
2024
8.8 bn
2025
8.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
6.1 bn
2024
6.2 bn
2025
6.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
135.8 m
2024
137.8 m
2025
136.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
298.4 m
2024
312.2 m
2025
328.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
119.0 m
2024
117.0 m
2025
135.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
694.7 m
2024
953.5 m
2025
925.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
191.7 m
2024
248.6 m
2025
237.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
503.0 m
2024
704.9 m
2025
688.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
6.20
2024
8.73
2025
8.79

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
81.1 m
2024
80.7 m
2025
78.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
3.18
2024
3.45
2025
3.70

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
215.0 m
2024
329.1 m
2025
202.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
920.7 m
2024
978.1 m
2025
975.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.8 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
849.1 m
2024
755.3 m
2025
827.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
8.2 bn
2024
8.4 bn
2025
8.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
622.2 m
2024
592.3 m
2025
522.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.1 bn †
2024
2.3 bn †
2025
2.2 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
826.0 m
2024
938.8 m
2025
881.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
265.3 m
2024
208.8 m
2025
169.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
560.7 m ≈
2024
730.0 m ≈
2025
712.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-459.0 m
2024
-243.1 m
2025
-596.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-317.2 m
2024
-576.1 m
2025
-414.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
256.7 m
2024
277.5 m
2025
288.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
137.5 m
2024
247.5 m
2025
572.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-1.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
28.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
30.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
42.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
28.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
169.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
182.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
146.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
65 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
57 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
76 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
46 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
14.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
14.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
20.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
6.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
1.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
14.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 50 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

192.59 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 14.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
14.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
6.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
30.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 2812derived 176

Score by group

  • Valuation63
  • Returns80
  • Quality80
  • Balance sheet30
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
113.09
USD per share
Mid
135.06
USD per share
High
168.87
USD per share
Price: 192.59 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -29.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -42.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 48.62 – 272.34 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)177.57 – 272.34 (Mid 214.36)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 1.1 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -5.1%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)48.62 – 65.39 (Mid 55.77)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Paper and allied products (SIC 267x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 50/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality7.6%60 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality146.6%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.7%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.5%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x30 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation20.8x42 (on a fixed band)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation7.1%89 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.6%66 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns28.5%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial30/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality80/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns80/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation63/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

AVERY DENNISON CORPORATION (AVY). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 8.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 1.1%; net margin 7.6%; ROE 30.8%.

The estimated value range is 113.09–168.87 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 135.06 USD, the price of 192.59 USD leaves a potential of -29.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -42.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 50/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 146.6%
  • FCF yield: 7.1%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 28.5%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.7%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -1.5%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Paper and allied products (SIC 267x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
20.8x
vertical median —
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 10.9x
P/S
1.6x
vertical median 1.4x
above median (+11.3%)
P/B
6.1x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+167.9%)
ROE
30.8%
vertical median -6.6%
above median
Net margin
7.6%
vertical median -8.3%
above median
EBIT margin
—
vertical median -7.1%
Revenue YoY
1.1%
vertical median -2.1%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.2x
Dividend yield
2.0%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
KMBKimberly-Clark Corporation36.2 bn18.5129.4%11.8%−2.1%−0% / −12%
AVYAvery Dennison Corporation14.5 bn20.830.8%7.6%+1.1%+10% / +6%
REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.5.3 bn16.414.3%8.5%+0.7%+1% / −4%
PACKRanpak Holdings Corp.288.2 m—-6.6%-8.3%+7.1%−32% / −18%
DSYBig Tree Cloud Holdings Limited284.1 m—-232.8%-551.3%−49.3%−64% / −98%
ITPIt Tech Packaging, Inc.2.1 m—-6.9%-13.9%−12.4%−45% / −57%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AVY from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
109.56
Total return -42% · Per year -42%
194.20
Total return 3% · Per year 3%
293.22
Total return 55% · Per year 55%
3 years
95.54
Total return -46% · Per year -19%
191.56
Total return 6% · Per year 2%
319.08
Total return 73% · Per year 20%
5 years
83.32
Total return -50% · Per year -13%
188.95
Total return 8% · Per year 2%
347.23
Total return 94% · Per year 14%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 47.89
  • Net margin± 33.52
  • Annual revenue growth± 28.96
  • Annual dilution± 2.82

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (03 Nov 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Avery Dennison is a global leader in materials science and digital identification, offering pressure-sensitive labels, films and RFID solutions for brands and supply chains 1. Net sales were 8855.5 million USD in fiscal 2025 1, and in the second quarter of 2026 sales rose 10.9% 3, suggesting demand has held up despite trade uncertainty.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Brand recognition and a strong position in labels and adhesive materials, with recent organic growth 13.
  • Innovation capability in materials science and RFID, supported by in-house research and a patent portfolio 1.

Weaknesses

  • High exposure to raw material and energy costs, which can fluctuate significantly and affect profitability 1.
  • Reliance on international markets and foreign currencies brings volatility to reported results 12.
  • Higher interest costs and indebtedness reduce financial flexibility 23.

Opportunities

  • Growth in high-value categories such as RFID and smart labels could support margin expansion 1.
  • Complementary acquisitions, such as Taylor Adhesives, can extend the portfolio into niche categories 1.
  • Emerging markets offer growth potential if the company achieves the expected return on its investments 1.

Threats

  • Trade tariffs and geopolitical fragmentation could reduce demand and complicate supply chains 1.
  • Large competitors and new entrants in RFID technologies could reduce market share or pressure prices 1.
  • Environmental regulation and sustainability trends could shift demand and raise compliance costs 1.

Risks

  • Raw material volatilityhigh

    Costs of paper, films and resins can rise sharply, and the company may not always offset them through prices or product re-engineering 1.

  • Tariff and trade exposurehigh

    Changes in US and other countries' trade policies can affect imported materials directly and customer demand indirectly 12.

  • Currency movementsmedium

    Most sales are in foreign currencies, and swings can reduce reported revenue and margins, even though hedging partly limits the effect 1.

  • Competition and technology changemedium

    Competitors may introduce new technologies or lower prices, which could reduce the company's share in high-value categories 1.

  • Financing costslow

    Higher interest rates and debt levels can affect cash available for dividends and buybacks, especially if results weaken 23.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Organic growth in both segments in the second quarter of 2026 and expanding margins suggest the business model can support higher earnings 3.
  • The 2026 adjusted EPS guidance points to higher profitability, and a lower share count contributes to that trajectory 3.
  • A position in high-value categories and RFID could generate long-term growth if innovation remains competitive 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Tariffs and trade uncertainty could reduce demand in some categories, especially industrials and apparel, weighing on future results 1.
  • Higher interest costs and indebtedness could limit financial flexibility if demand softens 23.
  • Repeated restructurings and personnel costs could signal persistent cost pressures that do not fully show up in margins 12.

What to watch

  • Third quarter 2026 results and any revised EPS guidanceQ3 2026
  • Tariff developments after the Supreme Court ruling and their effect on demand2026
  • Currency effects on reported sales2026
  • Performance of high-value categories and RFID solutionsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (03 Nov 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Adjusted free cash flow is used to show cash available for debt reduction, dividends, share repurchases and acquisitions 12. The company also reports adjusted measures, and its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance is 10.00 to 10.30 USD per share 3.

Market context

The market for self-adhesive materials and digital identification is fragmented, with global and numerous regional players, and demand depends on consumer goods, e-commerce and logistics 1. Most sales go to relatively essential consumer categories, but exposure to more cyclical industries such as industrials and apparel remains meaningful 1.

Organic growth in 2026 points to firmer demand, but the trajectory depends on macroeconomic conditions and tariff policy, which remain uncertain 12. Market share could continue to depend on innovation and the ability to keep prices competitive 1.

Trends

  • Tariffs and trade uncertaintyheadwind

    US tariffs and retaliatory measures by other countries have created uncertainty over demand and costs, and the US Supreme Court ruled in February 2026 that IEEPA does not authorize tariffs, which could bring temporary relief followed by policy instability 1.

  • Demand in high-value categoriestailwind

    High-value categories such as RFID labels and specialty materials are growing faster than the market, and second quarter 2026 results show organic growth in these categories 13.

  • Raw material costsmixed

    Paper, plastic films and resins are subject to significant price swings, and raw material deflation reduced selling prices in 2025, although productivity partly offset the effect 12.

Competitive position

In labels and materials the main competitors include UPM Adhesive Materials, Fedrigoni Self-Adhesives, Lintec and Flexcon, plus regional operators 1. In graphics, reflective products and tapes, rivals include 3M and Orafol, and Tesa, a subsidiary of Beiersdorf, and Nitto Denko 1.

In RFID and branding solutions, competitors include Checkpoint Systems, a subsidiary of CCL Industries, R-pac, SML Group, Arizon RFID and Tageos, a subsidiary of Fedrigoni 1. The company considers its scale, innovation and global distribution network to be key advantages 1.

  • 3M CompanyMMM

    Competitor in graphics, reflective products and performance tapes, cited as a main rival in these categories 1.

  • UPM Adhesive Materials

    Important competitor in self-adhesive label materials, part of the Finnish group UPM 1.

  • Checkpoint Systems

    Competitor in retail identification and security solutions, a subsidiary of CCL Industries 1.

  • Nitto Denko Corporation

    Competitor in performance tapes and adhesive materials, cited in the tapes category 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 27 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Avery Dennison Corporation · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Avery Dennison Corporation · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Avery Dennison Corporation · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.