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olivLaw · US equity research

Ranpak Holdings Corp. PACK

Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes) · SIC 2670 · Vertical: Paper and allied products (SIC 267x)

3.36USD+12.75% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Ranpak supplies paper-based protective packaging systems and end-of-line automation solutions for e-commerce and industrial supply chains. Net revenue for fiscal 2025 was $395.0 mn, and second-quarter 2026 growth reached 14.0%, showing that sustainable packaging and automation remain relevant growth areas.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Ranpak Holdings Corp. (PACK) stock was 3.36 USD (+12.75% on the day), with market capitalisation 288.2 m USD, beta 2.11, 52-week range 2.98–7.64 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 101.9 m USD (+2.3% YoY), net income of -7.2 m USD, diluted EPS -0.08 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
288.2 m USD
shares as of 22 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.40 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-11.98%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.11
Volatility (1y) 71%
52-week range
2.987.64

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
41.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.03 – 4.01
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.34 · band width 27.7%
SMA 50 / 200
3.95 / 5.10
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.22 / -0.20
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−15.2%−2.0%−13.2 pp—
3 months−38.9%−2.2%−36.7 pp—
6 months−46.2%+4.3%−50.5 pp—
Year to date−37.9%+10.6%−48.5 pp—
1 year−36.4%+10.5%−46.8 pp−4.3%
3 years+15.1%+73.7%−58.6 pp−15.6%
5 years−91.1%+61.7%−152.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−61.0%
24 Jun 2026 → 03 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−93.6%
19 Nov 2021 → 01 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−38.3%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
101.9 m USD
+2.3% YoY
Net income
-7.2 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.08
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-7.1% / 0.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue105.0 m91.2 m92.3 m99.6 m111.9 m101.2 m105.2 m101.9 m
Gross profit41.4 m30.9 m28.9 m34.4 m36.5 m34.9 m34.5 m36.3 m
SG&A27.9 m28.9 m28.8 m29.6 m27.2 m29.2 m27.6 m25.7 m
Operating income1.4 m-8.0 m-9.7 m-5.7 m-900.0 k-3.8 m-2.4 m0
Depreciation & amortisation15.9 m15.1 m8.8 m9.2 m17.0 m16.8 m8.6 m8.8 m
Interest expense7.8 m8.7 m8.3 m8.7 m8.6 m8.6 m8.1 m8.7 m
Pre-tax income-10.8 m-14.1 m-9.5 m-14.6 m-9.3 m-13.7 m-10.8 m-9.0 m
Income tax0-3.2 m-2.0 m-4.2 m200.0 k-3.5 m-2.9 m-1.8 m
Net income-10.8 m-10.9 m-7.5 m-10.4 m-9.5 m-10.2 m-7.9 m-7.2 m
Diluted EPS-0.13 ≈-0.13-0.09-0.12-0.11 ≈-0.12-0.09-0.08
Operating cash flow6.5 m-1.3 m-3.6 m ≈8.5 m ≈19.5 m4.4 m2.7 m ≈17.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172018202020212022202320242025
Revenue244.1 m267.9 m298.2 m383.9 m326.5 m336.3 m368.9 m395.0 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+9.8%unavailable+28.7%−15.0%+3.0%+9.7%+7.1%
Net income27.7 m-8.6 m-23.4 m-2.8 m-41.4 m-27.1 m-21.5 m-38.3 m
Net income YoYunavailable−131.0%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS27,801.44-8,697.61-0.32-0.04-0.51-0.33-0.26-0.45
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−131.3%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %11.3%-3.2%-7.8%-0.7%-12.7%-8.1%-5.8%-9.7%
Free cash flow19.2 m17.2 m31.5 m-200.0 k-43.7 m-2.7 munavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
63.0 m USD
Financial debt
400.3 m USD
Net debt
337.3 m USD
Equity
534.9 m USD
Total assets
1.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.75x
Current ratio
1.83x
ROE
-7.1%
ROA
-3.4%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
336.3 m
2024
368.9 m
2025
395.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
213.0 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Mar 2024verified

Gross profit
2023
123.3 m
2024
139.8 m
2025
130.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
3.7 m
2024
4.4 m
2025
4.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
91.8 m
2024
111.9 m
2025
114.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-7.5 m
2024
-12.8 m
2025
-24.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
69.6 m
2024
65.3 m
2025
66.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
62.1 m ≈
2024
52.5 m ≈
2025
42.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
24.3 m
2024
28.6 m
2025
34.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-31.3 m
2024
-23.7 m
2025
-47.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-4.2 m
2024
-2.2 m
2025
-9.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-27.1 m
2024
-21.5 m
2025
-38.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.33
2024
-0.26
2025
-0.45

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
82.4 m
2024
83.1 m
2025
84.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
62.0 m
2024
76.1 m
2025
63.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
31.6 m
2024
43.9 m
2025
47.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
17.3 m
2024
21.7 m
2025
30.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
124.9 m
2024
151.2 m
2025
153.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
142.1 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Mar 2024verified

Goodwill
2023
450.1 m
2024
443.7 m
2025
457.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
345.4 m
2024
312.2 m
2025
291.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
17.6 m
2024
26.9 m
2025
36.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
1.6 m
2024
4.0 m
2025
3.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
397.8 m
2024
400.8 m
2025
396.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
48.0 m
2024
68.4 m
2025
84.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
550.7 m
2024
556.1 m
2025
590.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
572.0 m †
2024
548.1 m †
2025
534.9 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
52.6 m
2024
41.4 m
2025
23.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
55.3 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Mar 2024verified

Free cash flow
2023
-2.7 m ≈
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Mar 2024derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-52.4 m
2024
-32.5 m
2025
-32.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-1.8 m
2024
1.8 m
2025
-7.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2022verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
6.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
33.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-8.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
-0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
-0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
353.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
8.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
-0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
44.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
100.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
39 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
288.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
641.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
1.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

3.36 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 288.2 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
288.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
-6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-8.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 22 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 1309derived 90

Score by group

56% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Paper and allied products (SIC 267x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-0.7%0 (on a fixed band)19%
Net margin · Quality-8.3%40 (vs peers)11%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth6.6%55 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet8.0x0 (on a fixed band)19%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-0.2x0 (on a fixed band)11%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x82 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation14.5x4 (on a fixed band)19%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet16/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial55/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality15/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial4/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

RANPAK HOLDINGS CORP. (PACK). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 395.0 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 7.1%; net margin -8.3%; ROE -6.6%; net debt/EBITDA 8.0x.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 1.8x

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -0.7%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 8.0x
  • Interest coverage: -0.2x
  • EV/EBITDA: 14.5x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM), FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Paper and allied products (SIC 267x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 17.8x
EV/EBITDA
14.5x
vertical median —
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−55.8%)
P/B
0.6x
vertical median 6.1x
below median (−90.8%)
ROE
-6.6%
vertical median 15.0%
below median (−144.3%)
Net margin
-8.3%
vertical median 7.6%
below median (−209.5%)
EBIT margin
-1.7%
vertical median -12.6%
above median
Revenue YoY
7.1%
vertical median -2.1%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
8.0x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 3.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
KMBKimberly-Clark Corporation34.7 bn17.8129.4%11.8%−2.1%−4% / −16%
AVYAvery Dennison Corporation14.5 bn20.830.8%7.6%+1.1%+12% / −1%
REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.5.3 bn16.115.0%8.7%+0.7%+1% / −4%
PACKRanpak Holdings Corp.288.2 m—-6.6%-8.3%+7.1%−36% / +15%
DSYBig Tree Cloud Holdings Limited284.1 m—-232.8%-551.3%−49.3%−64% / −98%
ITPIt Tech Packaging, Inc.2.1 m—-6.9%-13.9%−12.4%−45% / −57%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PACK from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

    In brief

    Ranpak supplies paper-based protective packaging systems and end-of-line automation solutions for e-commerce and industrial supply chains. Net revenue for fiscal 2025 was $395.0 mn, and second-quarter 2026 growth reached 14.0%, showing that sustainable packaging and automation remain relevant growth areas.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The recurring revenue model from paper consumables, with attractive margins and a large installed base, offers long-term stability 1.
    • The exclusive distributor network, built over many years, gives the products reach to a large number of end users.
    • The sustainable portfolio, with recyclable and biodegradable materials, fits regulatory trends and customer preferences.

    Weaknesses

    • Dependence on a small number of paper suppliers, including one supplier for a large share of purchases, creates operational vulnerability 1.
    • The company carries significant debt and reported net losses, which limit financial flexibility 13.
    • Reliance on components made in China and on outside assembly could expose the supply chain to disruptions and tariffs 1.

    Opportunities

    • Growth in the automation line and machine vision solutions could reduce dependence on more commoditized products 3.
    • Expansion in Asia-Pacific, especially through the Malaysia facility, could raise the region's share of revenue 1.
    • Cold chain solutions with paper liners could open new markets if demand for sustainable packaging grows.

    Threats

    • Changing consumer preferences or cheaper recyclable alternatives could reduce demand for paper products 1.
    • Inflation, geopolitical conflict and energy volatility could raise costs and reduce demand from price-sensitive customers 12.
    • Trade tensions and tariffs on imports from China could increase the cost of equipment and components 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on paper and suppliershigh

      A small number of mills produce suitable paper, and disruption at a single supplier could halt consumable production 1.

    • Rising input costshigh

      The cost of kraft paper and energy can rise quickly, and the company may not always pass these increases on to customers 12.

    • Indebtednessmedium

      Significant financial debt could limit flexibility and the ability to fund growth 1.

    • Currency exposuremedium

      A large part of revenue comes from outside the United States, and currency fluctuations can affect comparability of results 2.

    • Shareholder concentrationlow

      Some large shareholders hold a significant part of the voting stock, which may influence company decisions 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If growth in automation continues, that line could become a growth engine separate from consumable demand 3.
    • Recurring revenue from exclusive consumables and the distributor network could support stable margins if paper costs settle 1.
    • The shift toward sustainable packaging could widen the addressable market, especially if regulation limits plastic 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • If paper and energy cost pressure persists, margins could remain under pressure 12.
    • A slight decline in installed PPS systems could signal weaker demand for PPS equipment over time 23.
    • Debt and net losses could limit the company's ability to invest in growth or react to shocks 13.

    What to watch

    • Automation revenue progress against the expected target of nearly $60 mn2026
    • Installed PPS system count and trend after the 2.3% declineQ3 2026
    • Kraft paper price development and the ability to pass costs to customersnext 10-K
    • Progress of second-half 2026 capacity build-out and its effect on margin2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

    The business

    Ranpak Holdings Corp. provides product protection and end-of-line automation solutions, with PPS paper systems, paper consumables and automation lines. The company uses a razor/razor-blade model in which it retains ownership of its systems and earns revenue from high-margin paper consumables 1. It operates manufacturing facilities in the United States, Europe and Asia, and about 40% of its net revenue in 2025 came from e-commerce end-users 1.

    The company sells mostly through more than 250 distributors that store, market and sell its products, while direct sales to select end-users are a smaller share 1. Its portfolio includes Void-Fill, Cushioning and Wrapping systems, plus APS and AS automation lines with machine vision 1. Installed PPS systems declined slightly into mid-2026 while revenue grew 23.

    Ranpak reports two geographic segments, North America and Europe/Asia, and management evaluates performance by net revenue and EBITDA by region 1. The company depends on kraft paper as its main input, and a single supplier accounted for a large share of its paper purchases 1.

    Segments

    Cushioning and Wrapping

    Cushioning, sold as PadPak, generated $142.1 mn in 2025, and Wrapping, sold as WrapPak and Geami, generated $36.7 mn in the same year 1. Wrapping also includes cold chain products built around fiber-based liners 1.

    Automation

    Automation accounted for 10% of 2025 net revenue, or $39.1 mn 1. Automation revenue grew strongly in the second quarter of 2026, and management expects nearly $60 mn for the year 3.

    Market context

    The protective packaging market is competitive and fragmented, and demand depends on e-commerce order volumes and preference for recyclable paper packaging 1. Customers and consumers are moving toward more sustainable solutions, while inflation and paper costs may compress margins if prices cannot be passed on 2.

    The company expects part of demand to shift toward sustainable alternatives to traditional plastic, which could support growth if regulation keeps limiting foams and polymer-based packaging 1. Asia-Pacific remains a small share of revenue, below 10%, although the Malaysia facility could strengthen the regional position 1.

    Trends

    • Growth of e-commercetailwind

      E-commerce is the main driver of packaging volumes, and the company says global investment in e-commerce grows faster than retail sales 1. If this growth continues, demand for PPS systems could support revenue.

    • Shift to sustainabilitymixed

      Preference for recyclable and biodegradable packaging could raise sales of paper consumables, but a shift to other materials could reduce demand 1. The effect depends on regulation and on competing technologies.

    • Paper and energy cost pressureheadwind

      Kraft paper prices rose in 2025 because of inflation and supplier constraints, and energy volatility could increase cost of goods sold 1. The company says it may not be able to pass these costs to customers 2.

    • Automation at the end of the linetailwind

      Efficiency goals in warehouses increase demand for box-sizing and automated dunnage insertion, which could open new revenue sources 13.

    Competitive position

    The protective packaging market is highly competitive, with price pressure and consolidation among suppliers, which can make it difficult to pass cost increases to customers 1. The company focuses on large enterprise customers and differentiated products to reduce exposure to more commoditized items 3.

    Competition comes from paper packaging suppliers and from plastic or bio-plastic alternatives that could meet sustainable demand if they become cheaper 1. Automation integrators are also partners and sometimes competitors for automation lines 1.

    • Paper and kraft packaging suppliers

      Competition comes from paper and protective consumable producers offering alternatives to Ranpak systems, as described in the annual report.

    • Plastic and bio-plastic material producers

      Polymer-based materials, including lower-cost bio-plastics, could compete with paper packaging if they become cost-competitive.

    • Warehouse automation integrators

      Integrators can implement complex automation solutions and may compete with or work alongside the company's automation lines.

    • Automated packing equipment suppliers

      Makers of box-sizing and carton-erecting equipment compete with the company's AS automation lines.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Ranpak Holdings Corp. · 05 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Ranpak Holdings Corp. · 30 Jul 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Ranpak Holdings Corp. · 30 Jul 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.