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olivLaw · US equity research

Boise Cascade Company BCC

Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials · SIC 5030 · Vertical: Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials (SIC 5030)

77.98USD+4.24% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Boise Cascade is one of the largest U.S. wholesale distributors of building materials and a leading manufacturer of engineered wood products and plywood in North America. Its integrated model links distribution with production, and in 2025 and early 2026 it faced pressure on commodity prices and single-family housing demand, which makes the integrated model worth watching. Building Materials Distribution sales reached 5941.3 million USD in 2025, and consolidated sales in the second quarter of 2026 reached 1831.3 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Boise Cascade Company (BCC) stock was 77.98 USD (+4.24% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.7 bn USD, P/E 22.9 on diluted EPS of 3.41 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.14%, beta 1.01, 52-week range 65.47–91.03 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.8 bn USD (+8.1% YoY), net income of 36.4 m USD (+67.2% YoY), diluted EPS 1.04 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.7 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.9
Diluted EPS TTM 3.41 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.37%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.14%
DPS 12m 0.89
Beta (2y)
1.01
Volatility (1y) 38%
52-week range
65.4791.03

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
54.9
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
72.50 – 78.93
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.85 · band width 8.5%
SMA 50 / 200
76.09 / 77.06
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.20 / 0.03
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+4.2%−1.1%+5.3 pp—
3 months−8.0%−0.5%−7.6 pp—
6 months+5.0%+4.4%+0.6 pp—
Year to date+6.0%+12.3%−6.4 pp—
1 year+10.8%+13.5%−2.8 pp+8.3%
3 years−25.3%+76.4%−101.7 pp−72.1%
5 years+11.8%+63.7%−51.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−28.1%
06 Feb 2026 → 19 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−57.3%
28 Mar 2024 → 19 May 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+2.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.8 bn USD
+8.1% YoY
Net income
36.4 m USD
+67.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.04
+79.3% YoY
net / operating
2.0% / 3.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.6 bn1.5 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn
Cost of revenue1.3 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn
Operating income92.7 m54.5 m80.5 m32.3 m16.0 m27.8 m84.0 m55.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation37.0 m37.1 m37.4 m42.4 m41.3 m39.1 m42.7 m42.7 m
Interest expense5.8 m5.3 m5.2 m5.3 m6.0 m6.0 m7.1 m7.1 m
Pre-tax income93.2 m54.2 m80.6 m30.9 m14.3 m24.4 m78.6 m50.8 m
Income tax24.3 m13.8 m18.6 m9.1 m5.6 m6.6 m21.2 m14.4 m
Net income68.9 m40.3 m62.0 m21.8 m8.7 m17.8 m57.3 m36.4 m
Diluted EPS1.78 ≈1.061.640.580.24 ≈0.501.631.04
Operating cash flow94.6 m-28.5 m33.2 m ≈118.4 m ≈131.0 m-16.0 m42.3 m ≈120.0 m ≈
Capex93.8 m53.2 m79.1 m ≈55.2 m ≈54.0 m39.8 m23.5 m ≈27.0 m ≈
Dividends paid8.3 m10.5 m7.9 m8.2 m8.0 m10.4 m7.7 m ≈8.0 m ≈
Share repurchases36.4 m53.9 m33.9 m ≈25.0 m ≈70.4 m65.5 m44.5 m ≈4.6 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 86 percentile of its own 37-quarter history (min 2.6, median 12.5, max 47.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue5.0 bn4.6 bn5.5 bn7.9 bn8.4 bn6.8 bn6.7 bn6.4 bn
Revenue YoY+12.7%−7.0%+17.9%+44.8%+5.8%−18.5%−1.7%−4.8%
Net income20.5 m80.9 m175.0 m712.5 m857.7 m483.7 m376.4 m132.8 m
Net income YoY−75.3%+295.2%+116.2%+307.2%+20.4%−43.6%−22.2%−64.7%
Diluted EPS0.522.064.4417.9721.5612.129.573.53
Diluted EPS YoY−75.5%+296.2%+115.5%+304.7%+20.0%−43.8%−21.0%−63.1%
net %0.4%1.7%3.2%9.0%10.2%7.1%5.6%2.1%
Free cash flow83.6 m162.9 m215.1 m560.5 m927.1 m472.0 m208.8 m12.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
477.2 m USD
Financial debt
445.4 m USD
Net debt
-31.8 m USD
Equity
2.1 bn USD
Total assets
3.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.21x
Current ratio
3.36x
ROE
6.3%
ROA
4.0%
FCF margin
0.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
6.8 bn
2024
6.7 bn
2025
6.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
5.4 bn
2024
5.4 bn
2025
5.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.4 bn ≈
2024
1.3 bn ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
624.4 m
2024
490.0 m
2025
183.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
132.5 m
2024
144.1 m
2025
158.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
756.9 m ≈
2024
634.2 m ≈
2025
341.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
25.5 m
2024
24.1 m
2025
21.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
645.0 m
2024
501.8 m
2025
180.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
161.4 m
2024
125.4 m
2025
47.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
483.7 m
2024
376.4 m
2025
132.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
12.12
2024
9.57
2025
3.53

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
39.9 m
2024
39.3 m
2025
37.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
8.70
2024
5.82
2025
0.86

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
949.6 m
2024
713.3 m
2025
477.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Feb 2023verified

Inventories
2023
712.4 m
2024
803.3 m
2025
795.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.1 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
932.6 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
170.3 m
2024
171.9 m
2025
185.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
190.7 m
2024
173.0 m
2025
159.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.5 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
445.3 m
2024
446.2 m
2025
445.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
594.1 m
2024
564.0 m
2025
493.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.2 bn †
2024
2.2 bn †
2025
2.1 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
687.5 m
2024
438.3 m
2025
254.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
215.4 m
2024
229.6 m
2025
241.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
472.0 m ≈
2024
208.8 m ≈
2025
12.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-375.6 m
2024
-237.8 m
2025
-263.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-360.7 m
2024
-436.8 m
2025
-226.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
346.5 m
2024
228.8 m
2025
34.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
6.4 m
2024
194.9 m
2025
183.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-8.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-62.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-64.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-46.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-5.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-63.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-45.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-93.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
16.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
26.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
25.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
63.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
7.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
277.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
144.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
133.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
110.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
79.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
59 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
2.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
22.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
15.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
20.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 61 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

77.98 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 2119derived 142

Score by group

  • Balance sheet95
  • Valuation52
  • Quality69
  • Growth0
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
29.86
USD per share
Mid
36.30
USD per share
High
46.66
USD per share
Price: 77.98 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -53.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -114.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 11.30 – 78.12 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)48.42 – 78.12 (Mid 59.64)
    WACC 8.6% · starting FCFF 151.8 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 6.2%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)11.30 – 15.20 (Mid 12.96)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials (SIC 5030)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 61/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality6.3%33 (on a fixed band)10%
Net margin · Quality1.8%100 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality110.6%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-8.6%0 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-45.3%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.2x100 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet7.0x85 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.8x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation22.9x32 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation8.0x64 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation4.9%61 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns8.1%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns25.7%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet95/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality69/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation52/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Boise Cascade Company (BCC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 6.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -4.8%; net margin 1.8%; ROE 5.7%; net debt/EBITDA 0.2x.

The estimated value range is 29.86–46.66 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 36.30 USD, the price of 77.98 USD leaves a potential of -53.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -114.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 61/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 1.8%
  • FCF conversion: 110.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.2x
  • Interest coverage: 7.0x
  • Current ratio: 2.8x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 8.1%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 25.7%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -8.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -45.3%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Wholesale-Lumber & Other Construction Materials (SIC 5030) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
22.9x
vertical median —
EV/EBITDA
8.0x
vertical median —
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−68.7%)
P/B
1.3x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−20.7%)
ROE
5.7%
vertical median -50.4%
above median
Net margin
1.8%
vertical median -36.7%
above median
EBIT margin
2.8%
vertical median -17.2%
above median
Revenue YoY
-4.8%
vertical median -17.8%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
0.2x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
1.1%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
QXOQxo, Inc.13.1 bn—-2.8%-4.1%+11,925.0%−32% / −57%
BCCBoise Cascade Company2.7 bn22.95.7%1.8%−4.8%+11% / −25%
ASPNAspen Aerogels, Inc.398.3 m—-50.4%-62.4%−40.1%+49% / −54%
CAPSCapstone Holding Corp.42.6 m—-114.2%-36.7%+4.5%+127% / −87%
OLOXOlenox Industries Inc.1.2 m—-89.9%-427.9%−40.7%−98% / −100%
SMJFSMJ International Holdings Inc.——-4.9%-5.3%unavailableunavailable / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for BCC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
42.31
Total return -45% · Per year -45%
75.19
Total return -2% · Per year -2%
113.77
Total return 47% · Per year 47%
3 years
33.60
Total return -55% · Per year -23%
67.86
Total return -10% · Per year -3%
113.77
Total return 50% · Per year 14%
5 years
26.68
Total return -62% · Per year -18%
61.24
Total return -16% · Per year -4%
113.77
Total return 53% · Per year 9%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 16.96
  • Net margin± 11.87
  • Annual revenue growth± 10.72
  • Annual dilution± 1.00

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

In brief

Boise Cascade is one of the largest U.S. wholesale distributors of building materials and a leading manufacturer of engineered wood products and plywood in North America. Its integrated model links distribution with production, and in 2025 and early 2026 it faced pressure on commodity prices and single-family housing demand, which makes the integrated model worth watching. Building Materials Distribution sales reached 5941.3 million USD in 2025, and consolidated sales in the second quarter of 2026 reached 1831.3 million USD.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The integrated distribution and manufacturing model, with a committed internal customer, gives supply and margin advantages at two levels of the value chain.
  • The national distribution network and long-standing supplier relationships support favorable purchasing terms and a broad product range.
  • A sound financial position and available liquidity give the company flexibility for investment and for returning capital to shareholders.

Weaknesses

  • Wood Products segment income fell sharply in 2025, showing how sensitive the company is to commodity product prices.
  • Heavy reliance on single-family housing starts exposes results to the cyclicality of the residential sector.
  • Tight integration means a problem at one mill can affect the distribution segment too, limiting diversification.

Opportunities

  • Growing the share of general line and EWP products in BMD sales could improve margins and the stability of earnings.
  • The expanded James Hardie partnership could open access to a broader exterior products portfolio and more customers.
  • If demand in multi-family and commercial construction grows, new EWP products such as the VLT panel could find new markets.

Threats

  • If mortgage rates stay high, demand for new housing could remain weak and affect sales in both segments.
  • Tariffs and trade changes could shift wood product prices and imports, with unpredictable effects on margins.
  • Substitution of wood products by alternative materials or OSB could reduce the market share of some of the company's products.

Risks

  • Commodity price volatilityhigh

    Commodity products such as OSB, plywood and lumber are priced through auction-type markets and can fall below production costs. If prices decline, segment margins and revenues could be hit quickly.

  • Dependence on single-family constructionhigh

    Demand for the company's products depends heavily on single-family housing starts. A prolonged decline in this indicator could reduce volumes and financial results.

  • Facility disruptionsmedium

    A major equipment failure at a press or a key EWP plant could halt production and also affect distribution, given the high degree of integration.

  • Labor risksmedium

    Collective agreements for several plywood plants and a Canadian EWP facility are due for renewal. If negotiations fail, strikes or higher labor costs could follow.

  • Cybersecuritylow

    Information systems that run operations and hold customer data could be targeted by attacks. An incident could cause disruptions, lost sales and reputational harm, even though insurance covers part of the losses.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If housing demand recovers as credit conditions ease, the company's scale and integrated model could drive faster growth in revenue and margins.
  • A rising share of products with steadier margins, together with the expanded James Hardie partnership, could stabilize results over the long term.
  • A solid financial position and an ongoing capital return program provide a base of support if the market recovers.

What would break the thesis

  • If mortgage rates and housing affordability do not improve, demand for new construction could remain weak for a long time.
  • The sharp drop in Wood Products results in 2025 shows how quickly commodity prices can erode profitability.
  • Intense competition and pressure from large customers could compress margins, especially if incentives must rise.

What to watch

  • Actual results against the third quarter adjusted EBITDA guidanceQ3 2026
  • Trend in single-family housing starts and mortgage rates2026
  • Effect of the James Hardie partnership on BMD salesQ4 2026
  • Outcome of collective agreement negotiations due in 20262026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

The business

Boise Cascade operates through two reportable segments, Building Materials Distribution (BMD) and Wood Products, which are closely integrated. BMD runs a nationwide network of distribution facilities that sell commodity building materials, general line products such as siding, composite decking, doors and millwork, roofing and insulation, and engineered wood products. Wood Products manufactures LVL, I-joists, laminated beams, plywood and ponderosa pine lumber, and BMD is its largest customer, consuming approximately 75% of the EWP volumes produced. The products serve new residential construction, repair and remodeling, and light commercial construction, with demand depending heavily on single-family housing starts.

The company's strategy aims to raise both earnings and earnings stability by expanding distribution capabilities, through acquisitions and new locations in underserved markets, and by growing EWP sales, which carry higher margins and are not subject to commodity auction volatility. In 2025 it completed modernization work at its Oakdale, Louisiana mill and added I-joist capacity at Thorsby, Alabama. In December 2025 it acquired Holden Humphrey, a distributor in Chicopee, Massachusetts. In August 2026 it announced an expanded partnership with James Hardie, making it the sole nationwide distributor of that company's exterior product portfolio.

Segments

Integration between the two segments

Integration is a core advantage because BMD provides a committed customer for Wood Products output, while Wood Products gives BMD secure access to product. The same link means a disruption at a mill can also affect distribution, since most Wood Products sales go to BMD.

Market context

The market the company serves depends mainly on new single-family housing starts, with further demand from multi-family construction, repair and remodeling, and light commercial activity. Single-family starts fell about 7% in 2025 compared with 2024, and in the second quarter of 2026 total starts fell 1% and single-family starts fell 4%. Distribution is fragmented and competitive, with low entry barriers for local competitors, and the company's financial stability matters to suppliers and customers.

Over the longer term, factors such as housing undersupply, the age of the U.S. housing stock and high homeowner equity support repair and remodel spending, while weak affordability and high borrowing costs keep demand under pressure in the near term. Commodity prices remain volatile and are shaped by capacity, imports and currency movements.

Trends

  • Housing affordability and borrowing costsheadwind

    Housing affordability remains a persistent challenge for buyers, and high mortgage rates limit demand. If rates ease, new construction demand could recover, but the company describes residential construction as still subdued in the second quarter of 2026.

  • Repair and remodel demandtailwind

    The age of the U.S. housing stock and high homeowner equity support renovation spending, which the company sees as a long-term support for its distribution channel. Home improvement spending is nonetheless expected to remain flat in 2026.

  • Commodity price volatilitymixed

    Prices for OSB, plywood and lumber are set in auction-type markets and can fall below production costs. OSB price declines in 2025 weighed on margins, while higher plywood prices in the second quarter of 2026 helped Wood Products.

  • Trade policy and tariffsheadwind

    Tariffs and foreign trade policy can change prices and imports of wood products, particularly from Canada. The company monitors these shifts but does not control them, and their effect on margins can vary from quarter to quarter.

Competitive position

Competition in building materials distribution is intense and fragmented, and in wood products competitors range from large integrated forest products firms to small specialized producers. Some competitor mills may have lower costs, and certain suppliers sell directly to customers. Competitors that belong to larger groups have greater financial resources, which gives them purchasing power and room to expand.

Boise Cascade differentiates itself through its integrated model and national distribution network, which let it offer a one-stop source for building materials. Pressure from large customers, who may consolidate, could however raise the demand for financial incentives and compress margins, and substitutes such as concrete, steel or OSB compete with the company's wood products.

  • WeyerhaeuserWY

    Large integrated wood products producer with U.S. operations, cited in the category of large integrated competitors.

  • Louisiana-PacificLPX

    OSB and panel producer, cited in the source both as an important BMD supplier and as a competitor in structural panels.

  • West Fraser

    Wood producer and supplier named in the source, with operations in Canada and the U.S., whose activity can influence commodity prices.

  • Canfor

    Canadian lumber producer named as an important supplier, whose output shapes the wood product supply in North America.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Boise Cascade Company · 24 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Boise Cascade Company · 03 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Boise Cascade Company · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.