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olivLaw · US equity research

Birchtech Corp. BCHT

Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC · SIC 3829 · Vertical: Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC (SIC 3829)

1.10USD−1.79% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Birchtech Corp. develops specialty activated carbon technologies for air purification, mainly capturing mercury from coal-fired power plants, and is expanding into drinking-water treatment against PFAS. The company guided to revenues of at least 23 mn USD for 2025 and management expects an air-business run-rate of at least 40 mn USD by the end of 2026.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) stock was 1.10 USD (−1.79% on the day), with market capitalisation 28.9 m USD, beta 0.83, 52-week range 1.09–4.75 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 3.8 m USD (+16.5% YoY), net income of -3.0 m USD, diluted EPS -0.11 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
28.9 m USD
shares as of 13 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.16 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
-14.55%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.83
Volatility (1y) 81%
52-week range
1.094.75

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
34.5
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.01 – 1.45
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.21 · band width 35.5%
SMA 50 / 200
1.35 / 1.92
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.08 / -0.07
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−24.7%−1.1%−23.6 pp—
3 months−19.7%−0.5%−19.3 pp—
6 months−27.2%+4.4%−31.5 pp—
Year to date−70.7%+12.3%−83.0 pp—
1 year−70.3%+13.5%−83.8 pp−30.9%
3 years−47.6%+76.4%−124.0 pp+16.9%
5 years−74.7%+63.7%−138.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−77.1%
09 Dec 2025 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−82.6%
01 Mar 2024 → 02 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−24.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
3.8 m USD
+16.5% YoY
Net income
-3.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.11
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-79.6% / -42.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue5.2 m5.6 m3.2 m3.3 m7.4 m3.8 m4.2 m3.8 m
Cost of revenue3.6 m2.2 m2.0 m2.3 m3.3 m2.6 m2.9 m2.8 m
Gross profit1.6 m3.3 m1.2 m968.1 k4.0 m1.2 m1.4 m1.0 m
Research & development00406.7 k455.5 k473.3 k469.7 k550.6 k587.4 k
SG&A2.7 m3.4 m2.2 m1.7 m2.7 m2.0 m2.0 m2.1 m
Operating income-1.1 m-78.8 k-1.3 m-1.2 m810.8 k-1.3 m-1.1 m-1.6 m
Interest expense7.4 k8.5 k540013.6 k00
Pre-tax income-751.7 k-1.3 m-1.7 m-1.5 m788.6 k-538.0 k-1.3 m-3.0 m
Income tax-294.2 k4.7 k14.1 k40962954.9 k3573.4 k
Net income-457.5 k-1.3 m-1.7 m-1.5 m788.0 k-592.9 k-1.3 m-3.0 m
Diluted EPS0.00—-0.09-0.080.01—-0.06-0.11
Operating cash flow-152.2 k ≈-830.4 k-254.3 k-1.7 m ≈321.3 k ≈964.4 k-2.2 m-2.8 m ≈
Capex635.8 k ≈107.4 k14.2 k2.1 k ≈7.1 k ≈5.9 k0122.2 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue12.3 m11.4 m8.2 m13.0 m21.6 m17.6 m17.4 m17.6 m
Revenue YoY−55.3%−7.1%−28.5%+59.5%+66.2%−18.5%−1.2%+1.3%
Net income-4.8 m-6.1 m-5.8 m-3.6 m-1.6 m5.7 m-10.8 m-3.0 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−290.6%unavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable-0.020.06-0.57-0.16
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−1,050.0%unavailable
net %-39.2%-53.4%-71.4%-27.9%-7.3%32.2%-62.1%-17.2%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailable-1.2 m-217.0 k60.3 k19.2 m-4.9 m-729.4 k

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
2.2 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
-1.7 m USD
Total assets
9.2 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
0.47x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-31.0%
FCF margin
-4.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
17.6 m
2024
17.4 m
2025
17.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
12.2 m
2024
10.3 m
2025
10.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
5.5 m
2024
7.1 m
2025
7.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
—
2024
0
2025
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
14.2 m
2024
14.2 m
2025
8.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-9.0 m
2024
-7.2 m
2025
-3.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
12.9 k
2024
11.7 k
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
-9.0 m ≈
2024
-7.1 m ≈
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
1.4 m
2024
267.5 k
2025
13.7 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
6.1 m
2024
-11.1 m
2025
-3.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
473.2 k
2024
-289.2 k
2025
70.1 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
5.7 m
2024
-10.8 m
2025
-3.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.06
2024
-0.57
2025
-0.16

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
97.5 m
2024
19.1 m
2025
19.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
20.9 m
2024
3.5 m
2025
2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
3.1 m
2024
1.8 m
2025
2.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
795.2 k
2024
621.8 k
2025
448.1 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
25.0 m
2024
6.1 m
2025
5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.6 m
2024
2.4 m
2025
2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.7 m
2024
1.5 m
2025
1.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2023
28.3 m
2024
10.3 m
2025
9.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.6 m
2024
1.1 m
2025
2.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.2 m
2024
8.8 m
2025
10.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
28.3 m
2024
9.1 m
2025
11.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
60.4 k †
2024
1.2 m †
2025
-1.7 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
19.2 m
2024
-4.1 m
2025
-700.1 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
0
2024
809.4 k
2025
29.3 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
19.2 m ≈
2024
-4.9 m ≈
2025
-729.4 k ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
0
2024
-809.4 k
2025
-29.3 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
209.5 k
2024
-12.6 m
2025
-481.3 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-6.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
16.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
39.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-21.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-20.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-134.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-29.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-39.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
-240.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-3.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
135.2 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-3.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
46 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
20 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
67 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
-1 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
28.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-14.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
3.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-13.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.10 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 28.9 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
28.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
3.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-134.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-21.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 13 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Aug 2026
verified 1847derived 176

Score by group

33% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC (SIC 3829)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-21.7%25 (vs peers)19%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-6.6%0 (on a fixed band)25%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-240.4x0 (on a fixed band)19%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x52 (on a fixed band)13%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-13.3%0 (on a fixed band)25%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet21/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial25/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

BIRCHTECH CORP. (BCHT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 17.6 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 1.3%; net margin -21.7%; ROE -134.4%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -21.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -6.6%
  • Interest coverage: -240.4x
  • FCF yield: -13.3%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC (SIC 3829) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 55.5x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 16.4x
P/S
1.5x
vertical median 3.2x
below median (−53.3%)
P/B
3.6x
vertical median 4.7x
below median (−24.7%)
ROE
-134.4%
vertical median -0.7%
below median
Net margin
-21.7%
vertical median -0.7%
below median
EBIT margin
-17.1%
vertical median 9.0%
below median (−289.9%)
Revenue YoY
1.3%
vertical median -0.8%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TMOThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.261.6 bn37.313.4%14.9%+3.9%+20% / +42%
ROKRockwell Automation, Inc.49.3 bn41.634.5%13.4%+0.9%+12% / +61%
TRMBTrimble Inc.12.4 bn—-2.9%-4.1%−2.6%−33% / +17%
ONTOOnto Innovation Inc.9.1 bn69.46.8%11.8%unavailable+29% / +31%
MIRMirion Technologies, Inc.336.9 m159.41.6%2.7%+7.5%−31% / +101%
OWLTOwlet, Inc.132.4 m——-7.7%+35.4%−66% / −10%
GEOSGeospace Technologies Corp51.0 m—-34.4%-43.1%−18.3%−70% / −67%
BCHTBirchtech Corp.28.9 m—-134.4%-21.7%+1.3%−70% / −48%
QSIQuantum-Si Incorporated——-49.1%-6,138.3%−20.3%−9% / −20%
NIKINiki BioSolutions, Inc.——-6.2%—−66.7%−87% / −90%

1- and 3-year price returns: for BCHT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Birchtech Corp. develops specialty activated carbon technologies for air purification, mainly capturing mercury from coal-fired power plants, and is expanding into drinking-water treatment against PFAS. The company guided to revenues of at least 23 mn USD for 2025 and management expects an air-business run-rate of at least 40 mn USD by the end of 2026 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The SEA technology is patented and supported by a favourable jury verdict against a group of defendants, which strengthens its bargaining position 13.
    • The company has customers under contract and a plan to convert infringers into supply-chain customers or licensees 13.
    • Its Design Centers offer integrated thermal reactivation capability that the source describes as rare in North America 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue is highly concentrated, with a few customers and suppliers accounting for large shares of sales and purchases 1.
    • The business depends on a narrow product range and a single core segment, which amplifies industry-wide shocks 1.
    • The company relies on a small number of key employees, and losing several could disrupt operations 1.

    Opportunities

    • If PFAS rules remain enforceable, demand for carbon reactivation could grow among municipal utilities 12.
    • Licensing patents to identified infringers could produce additional revenue without large new investment 13.
    • The SEA-IX line could open new markets in nuclear power and industrial water 1.

    Threats

    • Relaxed mercury rules and temporary exemptions could reduce demand from coal-fired plants 1.
    • Inter partes review challenges could weaken patent rights and the recovery of the judgment 1.
    • Larger competitors with superior financial and commercial resources could capture share in water treatment 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on coal-fired power plantshigh

      Demand depends on coal consumption by North American power plants, and their closure could directly reduce revenue 1.

    • Collection of the judgmenthigh

      The judgment in the company's favour is under appeal and no bonded stay has been obtained, so the amount and timing of any recovery remain uncertain 1.

    • Patent challengesmedium

      Inter partes review proceedings could narrow or invalidate some claims, impairing the company's ability to enforce its patents 1.

    • Customer and supplier concentrationmedium

      Loss of a key customer or supplier could affect results, and customer financial difficulties could delay payments 1.

    • Development of water technologymedium

      New water technologies may not be commercialised or produce significant revenue, and the planned reactivation facility depends on acceptable terms 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the transition in the air business holds, revenue could grow quickly, supported by existing contracts and new licences 3.
    • If demonstrations with municipal utilities convert into contracts, the water segment could become a second growth source 12.
    • A favourable judgment, if collected, could bring significant resources without proportional operating costs 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • If mercury rules remain relaxed, demand from coal-fired plants could fall further than estimated 1.
    • If the appeal modifies the judgment or collection is delayed, additional revenue could be postponed or reduced 1.
    • If larger competitors expand their water offerings, the company could lose share before establishing itself commercially 1.

    What to watch

    • Air-business revenue against the at-least 23 mn USD guidance for 20252025 annual report
    • Appellate decision in the case against the CERT defendants and any collection of the judgment2026
    • Acquisition and construction of the GAC reactivation facility planned for 20262026
    • Number of coal-plant customers under active contract and new contracts or licences signedQ1 2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Birchtech Corp. (ticker BCHT) is a provider of specialty activated carbon technologies for air and water purification 1. Its main segment offers patented SEA-based solutions for capturing mercury from coal-fired power plants in the United States and Canada 1. The company is also building a drinking-water line focused on thermal reactivation of spent activated carbon, with two Design Centers in Pennsylvania and North Dakota 12.

    Segments

    Mercury emissions (air business)

    This is the current revenue-generating segment, selling sorbents and services to coal-fired plants, supported by patent enforcement and licensing of infringers using the SEA process 13. As of December 31, 2025, 16 U.S. EGUs were using SEA products bought from the company 1.

    Drinking-water treatment

    This newer line targets municipal and industrial utilities with reactivated activated carbon and testing services, and is still in development 12. In January 2026 the company announced demonstrations with regulated utilities that indicated comparable PFAS removal to virgin carbon under the conditions tested 1.

    SEA-IX nuclear-grade ion exchange resins

    The company recently launched a resin line for nuclear power plant water systems, also suited to coal plants, industrial wastewater and municipal facilities 1.

    Market context

    The U.S. mercury removal market has been driven largely by federal MATS rules, which were partly repealed in 2026 1. The count of remaining coal-fired EGUs fell to about 400 at the end of 2025, from about 1,250 when MATS was introduced 1. Water demand is supported by PFAS rules, but the EPA has extended some deadlines, while the company argues demand for improved water treatment is broad beyond regulation 12.

    Trends

    • Mercury rule rollbackheadwind

      Repeal of the 2024 MATS amendments returns obligations to the 2012 standard, which could slow sorbent adoption at existing plants 1. The company notes that exemptions granted to some customer plants are temporary and current obligations remain in force 1.

    • Shrinking coal-plant fleetheadwind

      Many coal plants have shut down due to regulation and competition from gas and renewables, reducing the pool of potential customers 1. The company says this trend has already affected its results 1.

    • PFAS drinking-water rulesmixed

      The federal PFAS standard could create demand for carbon reactivation and water treatment if enforcement holds for the targeted contaminants, though the EPA has signalled a later deadline for PFOA and PFOS 12.

    • Water infrastructure fundingtailwind

      The company states the water market could benefit from public funding and pressure on compliance costs, though these conditions remain uncertain 1.

    Competitive position

    The company competes with activated carbon and sorbent producers that have larger sales forces and greater financial resources, in both mercury capture and water treatment 1. Competitors named in the source include Arq, Norit, Calgon Carbon and Nalco Water, part of Ecolab 1. The company argues its edge comes from patented technology and its technical team rather than scale 1.

    • Arq, Inc. (formerly Advanced Emissions Solutions)

      Major competitor in mercury capture and water treatment, named in the risk factors 1.

    • Norit Activated Carbon

      Activated carbon producer competing in both of the company's markets 1.

    • Calgon Carbon Corporation

      Larger player in water treatment and activated carbon, named as a direct rival 1.

    • Nalco Company LLC (Nalco Water, an Ecolab company)

      Water treatment competitor with a broader commercial footprint than the company 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Birchtech Corp. · 31 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Birchtech Corp. · 13 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Birchtech Corp. · 04 Mar 2025

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.