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olivLaw · US equity research

COPT Defense Properties CDP

Real Estate Investment Trusts · SIC 6798 · Vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

32.35USD−2.30% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

COPT Defense Properties is a REIT that owns and develops properties near U.S. Government defense installations and missions, with a portfolio mainly of offices and single-tenant data center shells. For investors, its current relevance lies in demand for secured space linked to rising defense budgets, while quarterly results show stable occupancy and growing FFO per share.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, COPT Defense Properties (CDP) stock was 32.35 USD (−2.30% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.7 bn USD, P/E 21.6 on diluted EPS of 1.50 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.91%, beta 0.37, 52-week range 27.49–38.35 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 208.8 m USD (+10.6% YoY), net income of 49.8 m USD (+13.8% YoY), diluted EPS 0.41 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.7 bn USD
shares as of 22 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.6
Diluted EPS TTM 1.50 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.63%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.91%
DPS 12m 1.27
Beta (2y)
0.37
Volatility (1y) 19%
52-week range
27.4938.35

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
36.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
32.51 – 34.30
below the lower band · %B -0.09 · band width 5.4%
SMA 50 / 200
34.12 / 33.64
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.30 / -0.25
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−3.9%−5.9%+2.0 pp—
3 months−13.1%−4.6%−8.4 pp—
6 months+1.7%+0.2%+1.4 pp—
Year to date+16.4%+7.4%+8.9 pp—
1 year+12.4%+8.2%+4.2 pp+3.4%
3 years+37.3%+68.4%−31.1 pp+22.4%
5 years+13.8%+56.5%−42.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−15.6%
30 Jul 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−26.0%
29 Mar 2022 → 26 Apr 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+2.6%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
208.8 m USD
+10.6% YoY
Net income
49.8 m USD
+13.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.41
+10.8% YoY
net / operating
23.9% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue183.4 m187.9 m189.9 m188.8 m197.4 m200.6 m197.4 m208.8 m
SG&A11.8 m12.2 m11.9 m12.0 m11.7 m12.6 m13.3 m12.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation39.4 m39.9 m39.6 m40.6 m42.7 m43.1 m42.3 m43.0 m
Interest expense20.4 m20.5 m20.9 m20.9 m24.3 m24.0 m24.4 m24.4 m
Pre-tax income36.2 m36.0 m39.9 m42.5 m39.2 m38.9 m48.2 m49.5 m
Income tax-24.0 k103.0 k117.0 k612.0 k115.0 k124.0 k34.0 k96.0 k
Net income36.5 m36.2 m40.2 m43.7 m39.4 m40.1 m48.6 m49.8 m
Diluted EPS0.32 ≈0.310.340.370.35 ≈0.340.400.41
Operating cash flow101.1 m72.1 m87.9 m ≈68.6 m ≈81.3 m96.4 m91.1 m ≈86.4 m ≈
Dividends paid33.3 m33.3 m34.4 m ≈34.4 m ≈34.4 m34.6 m36.3 m ≈36.3 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 34 percentile of its own 35-quarter history (min 12.8, median 24.7, max 300.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue578.1 m611.8 m582.4 m664.4 m739.0 m685.0 m753.3 m763.9 m
Revenue YoY−5.7%+5.8%−4.8%+14.1%+11.2%−7.3%+10.0%+1.4%
Net income72.3 m191.7 m97.4 m81.6 m178.8 m-74.3 m143.9 m159.5 m
Net income YoY+5.2%+165.1%−49.2%−16.2%+119.2%−141.6%unavailable+10.8%
Diluted EPS0.691.710.870.681.53-0.671.231.34
Diluted EPS YoY+23.2%+147.8%−49.1%−21.8%+125.0%−143.8%unavailable+8.9%
net %12.5%31.3%16.7%12.3%24.2%-10.9%19.1%20.9%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
275.0 m USD
Financial debt
2.8 bn USD
Net debt
2.5 bn USD
Equity
1.6 bn USD
Total assets
4.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.77x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
10.3%
ROA
3.6%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
685.0 m
2024
753.3 m
2025
763.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2022verified

Gross profit
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2022derived

SG&A
2023
42.8 m
2024
47.0 m
2025
47.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
151.4 m
2024
156.0 m
2025
163.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
71.1 m
2024
82.2 m
2025
86.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-73.5 m
2024
143.8 m
2025
157.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
588.0 k
2024
288.0 k
2025
947.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-74.3 m
2024
143.9 m
2025
159.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.67
2024
1.23
2025
1.34

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
112.2 m
2024
112.9 m
2025
113.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.14
2024
1.18
2025
1.22

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
167.8 m
2024
38.3 m
2025
275.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2023verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
6.9 m
2024
10.7 m
2025
19.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.2 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
276.3 m
2024
331.0 m
2025
309.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-169.6 m
2024
-291.0 m
2025
-289.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
46.3 m
2024
-169.7 m
2025
216.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
127.2 m
2024
131.8 m
2025
136.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
10.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-3.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
10.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
9.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
22.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
11.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
84.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
355.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
6.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
20.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
4.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
7.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

9 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 44 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

32.35 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
11.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
22.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

23/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 22 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2279derived 172

Score by group

  • Growth11
  • Returns42
  • Valuation48
  • Quality80

Estimated value range

Low
14.26
USD per share
Mid
20.59
USD per share
High
28.57
USD per share
Price: 32.35 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -36.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -57.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 12.48 – 35.59 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Net asset value (NAV)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)16.03 – 21.56 (Mid 18.39)
  • Peers: P/B12.48 – 35.59 (Mid 22.79)
    31 companies used · median multiple 1.7x · quartiles 0.9x – 2.6x
    ABR, CTRE, CUBE, DEA, DLR, ESS, EXR, HIW, HST, IOR, KIM, LINE, LOAN, MAC, NHI, NHP, NTST, O, OHI, PECO, PLD, PSA, REFI, REXR, SACH, VICI, VMRK, VNO, VTR, WELL, XRN
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 44/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality11.7%80 (vs peers)10%
EBITDA margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.1%11 (on a fixed band)14%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/B · Valuation2.4x38 (vs peers)31%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation21.6x69 (vs peers)14%
Dividend yield · Returns3.9%39 (vs peers)24%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns84.5%51 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Growth11/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial80/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Returns42/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation48/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

COPT DEFENSE PROPERTIES (CDP). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 763.9 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 1.4%; net margin 22.1%; ROE 11.7%.

The estimated value range is 14.26–28.57 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 20.59 USD, the price of 32.35 USD leaves a potential of -36.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -57.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 44/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance, quality. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROE: 11.7%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.1%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EBITDA margin, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.6x
vertical median 31.5x
below median (−31.4%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 19.2x
P/S
4.6x
vertical median 7.8x
below median (−41.6%)
P/B
2.4x
vertical median 2.0x
above median (+19.3%)
ROE
11.7%
vertical median 7.8%
above median (+50.5%)
Net margin
22.1%
vertical median 22.7%
at median
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 32.5%
Revenue YoY
1.4%
vertical median 5.9%
below median (−75.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 5.3x
Dividend yield
3.9%
vertical median 4.4%
below median (−11.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WELLWelltower Inc.180.0 bn105.14.0%12.7%+35.6%+18% / +175%
PLDPrologis, Inc.119.9 bn32.47.1%42.5%+7.2%+0% / +12%
EQIXEquinix Inc98.7 bn59.911.5%16.4%+5.4%+32% / +22%
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation90.0 bn27.290.6%30.7%+5.1%+7% / −7%
PSAPublic Storage63.6 bn34.616.0%37.8%+2.7%+24% / +32%
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.61.4 bn45.66.2%21.7%+10.0%+9% / +26%
ORealty Income Corporation56.6 bn41.03.6%22.9%+9.1%+3% / +10%
VTRVentas, Inc.47.1 bn167.51.9%4.0%+18.5%+10% / +94%
CCICrown Castle Inc.38.7 bn47.9—20.1%−4.4%−0% / −22%
EXRExtra Space Storage Inc.33.4 bn32.67.9%29.9%+3.7%+20% / +23%
IRMIron Mountain Inc31.4 bn68.4—6.1%+12.2%+22% / +64%
VICIVICI Properties Inc.27.8 bn11.68.3%56.5%+4.1%−13% / −16%
VMRKVivmark Residential24.5 bn28.68.1%—+4.8%+6% / +15%
SBACSba Communications Corporation20.2 bn20.8—34.5%+5.1%−1% / −22%
ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.17.4 bn41.78.0%22.7%+6.4%+3% / +27%
KIMKimco Realty Corporation17.2 bn28.35.8%27.8%+5.1%+24% / +33%
HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.16.9 bn16.515.8%16.5%+7.6%+40% / +41%
OHIOmega Healthcare Investors, Inc.14.6 bn19.514.5%58.1%+13.2%+5% / +51%
ELSEquity Lifestyle Properties, Inc.12.3 bn31.023.1%25.6%+0.3%+0% / −11%
CUBECubesmart10.3 bn32.011.8%28.7%+5.3%+22% / +14%
CTRECareTrust REIT, Inc.9.6 bn23.47.8%59.2%+60.8%−1% / +61%
LINELineage, Inc.9.0 bn—-2.0%-3.1%+0.3%+10% / unavailable
REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc.8.1 bn—-5.8%-47.1%+7.1%−8% / −22%
MACMacerich Co7.1 bn—-3.8%-9.8%+10.4%+44% / +118%
VNOVornado Realty Trust6.7 bn357.71.1%3.7%+1.3%−3% / +52%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CDP from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
19.36
Total return -37% · Per year -37%
34.28
Total return 10% · Per year 10%
51.71
Total return 65% · Per year 65%
3 years
17.53
Total return -37% · Per year -14%
35.04
Total return 21% · Per year 7%
58.22
Total return 96% · Per year 25%
5 years
15.87
Total return -37% · Per year -9%
35.83
Total return 32% · Per year 6%
65.56
Total return 131% · Per year 18%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 8.76
  • Net margin± 6.13
  • Annual revenue growth± 5.20
  • Annual dilution± 0.52

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

COPT Defense Properties is a REIT that owns and develops properties near U.S. Government defense installations and missions, with a portfolio mainly of offices and single-tenant data center shells. For investors, its current relevance lies in demand for secured space linked to rising defense budgets, while quarterly results show stable occupancy and growing FFO per share 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The portfolio is tied to defense missions with stable demand, and tenants have strong reasons to stay because of investments made in secured space 1.
  • The company holds a leading position in a supply-constrained submarket in Chantilly, where it is the largest landlord, which could limit new competition 1.
  • Investment grade ratings and access to expanded credit lines give financial flexibility 13.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy exposure to a single major tenant, the U.S. Government, and to one cloud computing customer makes revenue sensitive to these tenants' decisions 1.
  • The portfolio is geographically concentrated in the Mid-Atlantic region, which amplifies the effect of local economic declines 1.
  • The Other segment has weaker occupancy and does not fit the core strategy, and its sales depend on market conditions 12.

Opportunities

  • Developments under way and controlled land could support revenue growth if demand for secured space stays high 1.
  • Data center development could open new long-term contracts if suitable land stays accessible 1.
  • Selling properties in the Other segment could free capital for investment in the defense portfolio 1.

Threats

  • Cuts in government spending or budget impasses could delay leasing and renewals 1.
  • Tighter financing conditions could prevent acquisitions or refinancing on acceptable terms 1.
  • Changes in USG secured-space requirements could require additional investment in existing properties 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on the U.S. Governmenthigh

    A major share of revenue comes from the U.S. Government, and its leases are mostly one-year terms with renewal options; a budget interruption could affect collections 1.

  • Tenant concentrationhigh

    The ten largest tenants account for most annualized rental revenue, and losing one major tenant could significantly affect cash flows 1.

  • Geographic exposuremedium

    Properties are concentrated in the Mid-Atlantic region and in certain business parks, which makes the company vulnerable to local market declines 1.

  • Refinancing and interest ratesmedium

    If interest rates rise or financing becomes unavailable, developments and refinancing could become more costly 1.

  • Weaker office demandlow

    If remote work models expand, demand for general offices could decline, particularly affecting the Other segment 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If defense budgets keep rising, demand for secured space could support high occupancy and favorable renewals in the core portfolio 13.
  • A leading position in certain business parks and relationships with contractors could limit competition and support rents 1.
  • If developments under way are completed with contracts already signed, rental revenue could grow in the following years 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If the federal budget stalls again, renewals and new USG contracts could be delayed, affecting revenue 1.
  • Dependence on a few large tenants could expose the company to sudden losses if a major tenant does not renew 1.
  • Significant debt relative to assets could limit flexibility if financing becomes more expensive 13.

What to watch

  • Occupancy and renewal trends in the Defense/IT portfolio, especially after scheduled 2026 expirationsQ3 2026
  • Progress of developments under way and the timing of their placement in service2027
  • Trends in FFO per share and the dividend relative to payout ratiosQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

The financial strategy aims to keep an investment grade rating and to fund mainly through unsecured fixed-rate debt, supplemented by nonrecourse secured loans. At June 30, 2026, debt was 57.4% of assets, and total assets were 4.5 billion USD 23. Reported credit ratings are BBB- (Fitch and S&P) and Baa2 (Moody's), all with stable outlook 3.

Segments

Data center shells

Northern Virginia data center shells are leased long-term on triple-net structures, with tenants funding critical power and infrastructure. One cloud computing customer represents a significant part of development activity, but single-customer exposure is also a risk 1.

Market context

Demand for the company's space is linked to U.S. defense spending and to contractors' need for secured space, which is hard to replace. The 2026 defense budget was increased with bipartisan support, and the company expects this trend to support demand 1. However, the general office market remains under pressure from hybrid work, and the Washington DC/Baltimore region was affected by federal spending cuts 1.

Rental cash flows are sensitive to interest rates and financing availability, especially for developments and refinancing. The company has meanwhile extended its credit lines and repaid its March 2026 bonds 12.

Trends

  • Rising defense budgetstailwind

    Budget increases approved for 2026 and legislation passed in 2025 could support demand for intelligence, cybersecurity and missile defense missions, which could support occupancy and rents in the portfolio 1.

  • Demand for data centerstailwind

    Development of data center shells tied to cloud computing and artificial intelligence could bring new long-term contracts, especially in Northern Virginia 1.

  • Hybrid work in officesmixed

    Remote and flexible work models could reduce demand for general offices, but defense properties are less exposed because employees must work on site for security reasons 1.

  • Cost of financingheadwind

    Higher interest rates or tighter financing conditions could make acquisitions and developments harder, although the company reports no significant variable-rate debt exposure 1.

Competitive position

The commercial real estate market is highly competitive, with rivals including other office landlords and listed REITs that may offer lower rents or have greater capital for acquisitions 1. Competition for talent and capital is also a relevant factor for the company 1.

The company's advantage lies in its established relationships with the USG and its contractors, and its experience building secured space, which new entrants could not easily replicate quickly 1.

  • Other office landlords

    They compete for tenants and land and may offer newer properties or lower rents 1.

  • Listed commercial REITs

    They compete for acquisitions of land and properties and for investment capital 1.

  • Private equity-backed funds

    Named as participants in acquisitions, with financial resources that may exceed the company's 1.

  • Other data center investors

    Competition for land and cloud computing customers could limit future development, though the sources name no specific firms 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 17 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / COPT Defense Properties · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / COPT Defense Properties · 03 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / COPT Defense Properties · 27 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.