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olivLaw · US equity research

Vornado Realty Trust VNO

Real Estate Investment Trusts · SIC 6798 · Vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

35.87USD−1.16% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Vornado Realty Trust is an integrated REIT with a large share of office and retail assets in the New York metropolitan area, and in 2026 its focus has shifted to growing quarterly results and selective acquisitions such as a stake in Park Avenue Plaza. The company remains exposed to the fragility of the office market and to dependence on a single market, so the trajectory of rents and occupancy in Manhattan matters greatly for results. Vornado reported adjusted FFO of 0.67 dollars per diluted share for the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) stock was 35.87 USD (−1.16% on the day), with market capitalisation 6.7 bn USD, P/E 357.7 on diluted EPS of 0.10 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.06%, beta 1.18, 52-week range 24.71–40.91 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 462.2 m USD (+4.7% YoY), net income of 32.0 m USD (−95.8% YoY), diluted EPS 0.08 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
6.7 bn USD
shares as of 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
357.7
Diluted EPS TTM 0.10 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.28%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
2.06%
DPS 12m 0.74
Beta (2y)
1.18
Volatility (1y) 33%
52-week range
24.7140.91

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
57.9
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
31.92 – 36.21
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.92 · band width 12.6%
SMA 50 / 200
34.67 / 33.39
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.25 / -0.05
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+7.0%−5.9%+13.0 pp—
3 months−7.9%−4.6%−3.3 pp—
6 months+12.0%+0.2%+11.7 pp—
Year to date+7.8%+7.4%+0.4 pp—
1 year+0.9%+8.2%−7.3 pp+3.3%
3 years+56.8%+68.4%−11.7 pp+10.3%
5 years−19.6%+56.5%−76.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.6%
07 Nov 2025 → 27 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−73.6%
29 Mar 2022 → 16 May 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−4.3%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
462.2 m USD
+4.7% YoY
Net income
32.0 m USD
−95.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.08
−97.8% YoY
net / operating
6.9% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue443.3 m457.8 m461.6 m441.4 m453.7 m453.7 m459.1 m462.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation116.0 m118.3 m121.3 m115.6 m117.1 m118.1 m124.1 m171.2 m
Interest expense100.9 m100.5 m95.8 m87.9 m84.5 m85.7 m89.2 m89.6 m
Pre-tax income-14.6 m11.6 m107.0 m817.4 m13.7 m12.7 m-16.1 m42.8 m
Income tax4.9 m5.8 m7.2 m4.1 m-5.6 m7.8 m5.9 m3.6 m
Net income-3.6 m16.7 m102.4 m759.3 m27.1 m16.1 m-7.3 m32.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.100.08 ≈0.433.700.060.08 ≈-0.120.08
Operating cash flow105.4 m ≈206.2 m52.0 m1.0 bn ≈33.2 m ≈146.3 m47.7 m163.7 m ≈
Dividends paid0 ≈141.1 m——————
Share repurchases0 ≈000 ≈——79.9 m53.5 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 93 percentile of its own 30-quarter history (min 2.4, median 34.6, max 391.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.2 bn1.9 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn
Revenue YoY+3.8%−11.0%−20.6%+4.0%+13.3%+0.6%−1.3%+1.3%
Net income450.0 m3.1 bn-297.0 m176.0 m-346.5 m105.5 m70.4 m905.0 m
Net income YoY+97.9%+599.6%−109.4%unavailable−296.9%unavailable−33.3%+1,185.7%
Diluted EPS2.0116.21-1.830.53-2.130.230.044.20
Diluted EPS YoY+136.5%+706.5%−111.3%unavailable−501.9%unavailable−82.6%+10,400.0%
net %20.8%163.6%-19.4%11.1%-19.2%5.8%3.9%50.0%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
840.9 m USD
Financial debt
2.3 bn USD
Net debt
1.4 bn USD
Equity
6.2 bn USD
Total assets
15.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.37x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
15.7%
ROA
5.7%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
457.6 m
2024
469.4 m
2025
481.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
349.2 m
2024
390.3 m
2025
353.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
62.1 m
2024
42.8 m
2025
950.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
29.2 m
2024
22.7 m
2025
13.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
105.5 m
2024
70.4 m
2025
905.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.23
2024
0.04
2025
4.20

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
191.9 m
2024
196.6 m
2025
201.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.68
2024
0.74
2025
0.74

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
997.0 m
2024
733.9 m
2025
840.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
127.1 m
2024
118.2 m
2025
110.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
16.2 bn
2024
16.0 bn
2025
15.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
9.8 bn
2024
9.8 bn
2025
8.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
5.7 bn
2024
5.3 bn
2025
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
190.4 m
2024
190.8 m
2025
190.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
648.2 m
2024
537.7 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-128.8 m
2024
-597.4 m
2025
115.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-278.9 m
2024
-252.3 m
2025
-1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
129.1 m
2024
141.1 m
2025
141.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
29.2 m
2024
0
2025
51.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
1,185.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
10,400.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
738.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
390.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
6.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
8.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
98.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
357.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
3.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
4.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

9 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 26 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

35.87 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 6.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
6.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
357.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

21/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Aug 2026
verified 2122derived 185

Score by group

  • Quality19
  • Returns12
  • Growth2
  • Valuation45

Estimated value range

Low
18.48
USD per share
Mid
29.90
USD per share
High
47.05
USD per share
Price: 35.87 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -16.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -20.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 9.72 – 81.03 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Net asset value (NAV)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)9.72 – 13.08 (Mid 11.15)
  • Peers: P/B27.24 – 81.03 (Mid 48.64)
    27 companies used · median multiple 1.6x · quartiles 0.9x – 2.6x
    ALX, APLE, CMCT, CTO, DLR, ESS, EXR, HR, HST, ICR-PA, KIM, KRC, LTC, NNN, O, PLD, PSA, REXR, RITM, SEVN, SLG, STWD, VICI, VMRK, VTR, WELL, WHLR
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 26/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality1.1%19 (vs peers)10%
EBITDA margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth0.2%2 (on a fixed band)14%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/B · Valuation1.2x65 (vs peers)31%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation357.7x0 (vs peers)14%
Dividend yield · Returns2.1%15 (vs peers)24%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns738.0%0 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Growth2/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial19/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Returns12/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation45/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Vornado Realty Trust (VNO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 1.3%; net margin 3.7%; ROE 1.1%.

The estimated value range is 18.48–47.05 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 29.90 USD, the price of 35.87 USD leaves a potential of -16.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -20.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 26/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance, quality. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • ROE: 1.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 0.2%
  • P/E (TTM): 357.7x
  • Dividend yield: 2.1%
  • Payout ratio (EPS): 738.0%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EBITDA margin, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
357.7x
vertical median 28.3x
above median (+1,163.3%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 15.2x
P/S
3.7x
vertical median 6.2x
below median (−40.5%)
P/B
1.2x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−30.9%)
ROE
1.1%
vertical median 6.6%
below median (−82.8%)
Net margin
3.7%
vertical median 16.4%
below median (−77.3%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 32.5%
Revenue YoY
1.3%
vertical median 4.1%
below median (−68.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 4.6x
Dividend yield
2.1%
vertical median 4.0%
below median (−49.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WELLWelltower Inc.180.0 bn105.14.0%12.7%+35.6%+18% / +175%
PLDPrologis, Inc.119.9 bn32.47.1%42.5%+7.2%+0% / +12%
EQIXEquinix Inc98.7 bn59.911.5%16.4%+5.4%+32% / +22%
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation90.0 bn27.290.6%30.7%+5.1%+7% / −7%
PSAPublic Storage63.6 bn34.616.0%37.8%+2.7%+24% / +32%
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.61.4 bn45.66.2%21.7%+10.0%+9% / +26%
ORealty Income Corporation56.6 bn41.03.6%22.9%+9.1%+3% / +10%
VTRVentas, Inc.47.1 bn167.51.9%4.0%+18.5%+10% / +94%
CCICrown Castle Inc.38.7 bn47.9—20.1%−4.4%−0% / −22%
EXRExtra Space Storage Inc.33.4 bn32.67.9%29.9%+3.7%+20% / +23%
IRMIron Mountain Inc31.4 bn68.4—6.1%+12.2%+22% / +64%
VICIVICI Properties Inc.27.8 bn11.68.3%56.5%+4.1%−13% / −16%
VMRKVivmark Residential24.5 bn28.68.1%—+4.8%+6% / +15%
SBACSba Communications Corporation20.2 bn20.8—34.5%+5.1%−1% / −22%
ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.17.4 bn41.78.0%22.7%+6.4%+3% / +27%
KIMKimco Realty Corporation17.2 bn28.35.8%27.8%+5.1%+24% / +33%
HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.16.9 bn16.515.8%16.5%+7.6%+40% / +41%
RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc.9.1 bn31.926.0%9.9%+10.2%+38% / +31%
REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc.8.1 bn—-5.8%-47.1%+7.1%−8% / −22%
NNNNnn REIT, Inc.8.0 bn20.28.9%40.9%+6.6%+0% / +2%
VNOVornado Realty Trust6.7 bn357.71.1%3.7%+1.3%+1% / +57%
HRHealthcare Realty Trust Incorporated6.5 bn—-1.0%-4.0%−6.9%+5% / +25%
OUTOUTFRONT Media Inc.5.6 bn22.839.7%12.7%+0.0%+36% / +155%
RITMRithm Capital Corp.5.3 bn13.75.8%8.7%−6.7%−18% / −9%
STWDStarwood Property Trust, Inc.4.8 bn21.73.5%11.4%−5.3%−30% / −35%

1- and 3-year price returns: for VNO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
73.55
Total return 106% · Per year 106%
130.31
Total return 264% · Per year 264%
196.66
Total return 449% · Per year 449%
3 years
65.33
Total return 84% · Per year 23%
130.81
Total return 268% · Per year 54%
217.62
Total return 511% · Per year 83%
5 years
58.03
Total return 65% · Per year 11%
131.31
Total return 271% · Per year 30%
240.80
Total return 578% · Per year 47%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 32.70
  • Net margin± 22.89
  • Annual revenue growth± 19.60
  • Annual dilution± 1.92

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

In brief

Vornado Realty Trust is an integrated REIT with a large share of office and retail assets in the New York metropolitan area, and in 2026 its focus has shifted to growing quarterly results and selective acquisitions such as a stake in Park Avenue Plaza. The company remains exposed to the fragility of the office market and to dependence on a single market, so the trajectory of rents and occupancy in Manhattan matters greatly for results. Vornado reported adjusted FFO of 0.67 dollars per diluted share for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 23.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Portfolio of premium Manhattan assets, with Class A office buildings and properties in the PENN district and Times Square 1. Long experience in development and redevelopment, with sustainability certifications across the certifiable office portfolio 1.
  • Flexible financing structure that allowed significant refinancings in 2026, such as the One Park Avenue refinancing 2. Quarterly results in 2026 show growth in FFO and in same store NOI in the New York segment 23.
  • Diversification through stakes in assets such as Park Avenue Plaza and Alexander's, which extend exposure to the New York market 31.

Weaknesses

  • High concentration in a single geographic area, New York, where most net operating income is generated 1. Dependence on office space makes the company vulnerable to changes in working patterns 1.
  • Performance of the Chicago and San Francisco holdings was weak in 2026, with large contractions in same store NOI at 555 California Street 2. Development costs for large projects can exceed initial estimates 1.
  • Litigation over the PENN 1 ground rent introduces uncertainty about future costs 1. Accounting results have been influenced by non-recurring gains, such as the one from 770 Broadway 2.

Opportunities

  • Development of 350 Park Avenue, with Citadel as anchor tenant, could generate significant value if conditions are met 1. Redevelopment of PENN 2 and 623 Fifth Avenue could raise returns if completed on schedule 1.
  • Acquisitions below replacement cost, such as those in 2026, can open opportunities if the market stays favorable 3. A recovery in demand for Class A office space could support rents in Manhattan 2.
  • Sales of non-core assets and partnerships can fund new projects without increasing leverage 13. Growth in signage and other variable businesses could add revenue 3.

Threats

  • Hybrid work and smaller space footprints could reduce long-term demand for the company's offices 1. Competition from newer buildings can press rents and occupancy 1.
  • Interest rate risk, inflation and access to financing could complicate refinancings and developments 1. Geopolitical events, terrorist attacks and climate change could affect asset values in the concentrated regions 1.
  • Financial difficulties of tenants, including bankruptcy, could reduce revenue and cash flow 1. Changes in tax and regulatory policy in New York could raise compliance costs 1.

Risks

  • High exposure to office spacehigh

    Most NOI comes from office properties, and changes in how tenants use space can affect revenue and asset values 1.

  • Geographic concentrationhigh

    Nearly all NOI comes from the New York metropolitan area, so a local decline would have a material impact on the company 1.

  • Tenant bankruptcymedium

    Bankruptcy or non-payment by major tenants could reduce revenue and delay recovery of receivables 1.

  • PENN 1 ground rent litigationmedium

    The ground rent litigation could change costs and results if the court decides in favor of the ground lessor 1.

  • Limited insurance coveragelow

    Certain losses, including from catastrophic events, may exceed coverage and remain the company's responsibility 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for Class A office space in Manhattan continues to recover, New York results could support further FFO and dividend growth 23.
  • Redevelopment projects and selective acquisitions such as Park Avenue Plaza could create value over the medium term if completed as planned 13.
  • A solid financial position, with successful refinancings in 2026, could reduce refinancing risk and support flexibility 2.

What would break the thesis

  • If hybrid work and office space reduction intensify, rents and occupancy in the Vornado portfolio could decline 1.
  • Weak performance in Chicago and San Francisco shows that not all assets benefit from the recovery, and NOI contractions could continue 2.
  • Dependence on New York and the PENN 1 land litigation could limit flexibility and add unforeseen costs 1.

What to watch

  • Decision on the 350 Park Avenue option versus Citadelby July 2026
  • Development of same store NOI in the New York segmentQ3 2026
  • Completion of the 623 Fifth Avenue redevelopment2027
  • Outcome of the PENN 1 ground rent and sublease litigationnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

The business

Vornado Realty Trust (NYSE: VNO) is an integrated real estate investment trust that owns and operates mainly office and retail properties, concentrated in the New York metropolitan area. Its business is conducted through Vornado Realty L.P., of which the company is sole general partner and owned approximately 91.2% of the common limited partnership interest as of June 30, 2026 2. The stated strategy is to maximize shareholder value by buying properties at a discount to replacement cost, developing and redeveloping assets, and investing in operating companies with a significant real estate component 1. Growth is financed with internally generated funds, asset sale proceeds and public and private capital markets 1.

The geographic footprint is dominated by New York: Manhattan office buildings, street retail, properties in the PENN district, and a 32.4% interest in Alexander's, Inc. (NYSE: ALX) 1. The company also holds THE MART in Chicago and a 70% controlling interest in 555 California Street in San Francisco 1. A wholly owned subsidiary, Building Maintenance Services LLC, provides cleaning and security services to its buildings and to third parties 1.

In 2025 the company completed significant transactions: a sale to UNIQLO of part of its Fifth Avenue flagship, a master lease with New York University for 770 Broadway that produced a gain of 803,248,000 dollars, and the purchase of 623 Fifth Avenue for 218 million dollars 12. In 2026 it bought a 49% interest in Park Avenue Plaza 3. On the development side, PENN 2 and 350 Park Avenue remain in focus, but their completion is not assured 1.

Segments

New York

The New York segment includes Manhattan office and retail assets, among them properties in the PENN district and Times Square, which generate the largest share of the company's net operating income 1. For the first half of 2026, same store NOI at share for the segment rose 8.1% against the same period of 2025 2.

Other

The Other segment covers THE MART in Chicago, 555 California Street in San Francisco and other real estate investments 1. Same store NOI at share for 555 California Street declined in the first half of 2026, reflecting free rent periods on new leases 2.

Market context

The office market is in transition: tenants are becoming more selective and prefer modern, well-amenitized buildings near transit hubs, which has increased competition among landlords and the capital needed to keep Class A status 1. Manhattan is the largest office market in the United States, which exposes Vornado directly to the pace of occupancy recovery 1. The retail market depends on consumer spending, tourism and office occupancy in the city 1.

For 2026, first-half results show a recovery in New York office performance, with same store NOI at share up 9.8% in the second quarter, alongside a sharp contraction at 555 California Street 2. If the New York recovery continues it could support FFO growth; if pressure in the office market persists, rent pressure could return 12.

Trends

  • Hybrid work and reconfiguration of office spaceheadwind

    Remote and flexible work reduce tenants' space requirements, and companies are reassessing the square footage they occupy. Artificial intelligence could amplify this shift by reducing or reconfiguring space needs 1.

  • Demand for modern, well-amenitized buildingsmixed

    Tenants prefer modern buildings with amenities and transit access, which favors Vornado's Class A assets, but obliges owners to make significant capital expenditures to maintain that status 1.

  • Recovery of occupancy and rents in Manhattantailwind

    Results in 2026 show higher same store NOI in New York and FFO growth, which could reflect a return of activity to the city centre 23.

  • Pressure on retail and tourismheadwind

    Manhattan retail depends on consumption, tourism and competition from online commerce, and changes in trade policy and tariffs could affect tenants and the value of spaces 1.

Competitive position

Vornado competes with a large number of real estate investors, property owners and developers, some of whom may accept lower returns. The main competitive factors are rents charged, tenant concessions, location, property quality and services provided 1. In Manhattan, newer or better-located properties can limit the company's ability to lease space at the rents it wants 1.

Competition is further intensified by co-working space and sublease availability, which can reduce demand for Vornado's spaces 1. The company nonetheless remains an investment concentrated on New York, and its advantage depends on the quality of its assets and its ability to redevelop them 1.

  • Alexander's, Inc.ALX

    Company in which Vornado holds 32.4%, with properties in the New York metropolitan area; it is also an indirect competitor for office and residential space in the region 1.

  • Real estate investors and developers in New York

    Competition in Manhattan comes from a large number of owners and developers, many willing to accept lower returns 1.

  • Newer office properties in the metropolitan area

    Newer buildings with more amenities and better transit positioning can compete directly with the Vornado portfolio 1.

  • Co-working and sublease space

    These alternatives can reduce demand for traditional office space and press on rents 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Vornado Realty Trust · 09 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Vornado Realty Trust · 03 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Vornado Realty Trust · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Vornado Realty Trust (VNO): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw