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olivLaw · US equity research

Cognex Corporation CGNX

Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control · SIC 3823 · Vertical: Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control (SIC 3823)

53.06USD−8.69% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Cognex designs and sells industrial machine vision systems that automate inspection, identification and tracking of products in factories and distribution centers. The company is in an accelerating phase: revenue rose 9% in fiscal 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 it reached a record 291,263,000 USD with a sharply higher operating margin.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Cognex Corporation (CGNX) stock was 53.06 USD (−8.69% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.9 bn USD, P/E 51.3 on diluted EPS of 1.03 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.63%, beta 1.49, 52-week range 34.80–72.42 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 291.3 m USD (+16.9% YoY), net income of 72.8 m USD (+79.6% YoY), diluted EPS 0.43 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.9 bn USD
shares as of 02 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
51.3
Diluted EPS TTM 1.03 · TTM to 05 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.95%
TTM to 05 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.63%
DPS 12m 0.34
Beta (2y)
1.49
Volatility (1y) 55%
52-week range
34.8072.42

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
39.0
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
52.28 – 62.49
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.08 · band width 17.8%
SMA 50 / 200
59.64 / 58.12
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.17 / -1.09
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−17.6%−1.1%−16.5 pp—
3 months−25.0%−0.5%−24.5 pp—
6 months−14.8%+4.4%−19.2 pp—
Year to date+47.5%+12.3%+35.2 pp—
1 year+32.7%+13.5%+19.1 pp+24.7%
3 years+46.3%+76.4%−30.1 pp+5.2%
5 years−32.8%+63.7%−96.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−26.7%
30 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−72.0%
09 Nov 2021 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−7.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 05 Jul 2026

Revenue
291.3 m USD
+16.9% YoY
Net income
72.8 m USD
+79.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.43
+79.2% YoY
net / operating
25.0% / 29.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue239.3 m234.7 m216.0 m249.1 m276.9 m252.3 m268.4 m291.3 m
Cost of revenue72.7 m75.3 m71.7 m81.2 m89.6 m86.4 m77.5 m85.5 m
Gross profit166.6 m159.4 m144.3 m167.9 m187.3 m165.9 m190.9 m205.8 m
Research & development35.0 m35.2 m34.7 m33.1 m35.1 m36.1 m37.0 m32.4 m
SG&A93.2 m92.6 m83.5 m91.3 m94.4 m94.6 m94.0 m87.9 m
Operating income38.5 m31.6 m26.1 m43.4 m57.8 m35.3 m59.9 m85.5 m
Pre-tax income41.6 m36.6 m27.8 m48.1 m62.9 m44.1 m61.8 m89.3 m
Income tax5.4 m7.0 m4.2 m7.6 m45.2 m11.4 m10.1 m16.5 m
Net income36.2 m29.6 m23.6 m40.5 m17.7 m32.7 m51.7 m72.8 m
Diluted EPS0.210.170.140.240.100.19 ≈0.310.43
Operating cash flow——40.5 m42.6 m ≈87.5 m ≈74.9 m45.1 m69.2 m ≈
Capex——2.5 m2.2 m ≈1.5 m ≈2.6 m2.8 m1.5 m ≈
Dividends paid——13.6 m13.4 m ≈13.4 m ≈14.2 m14.2 m14.3 m ≈
Share repurchases——102.2 m0 ≈24.0 m ≈25.0 m99.0 m6.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 61 percentile of its own 23-quarter history (min 23.7, median 47.9, max 81.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue806.3 m725.6 m811.0 m1.0 bn1.0 bn837.5 m914.5 m994.4 m
Revenue YoY+5.3%−10.0%+11.8%+27.9%−3.0%−16.8%+9.2%+8.7%
Net income219.3 m203.9 m176.2 m279.9 m215.5 m113.2 m106.2 m114.4 m
Net income YoY+24.1%−7.0%−13.6%+58.9%−23.0%−47.5%−6.2%+7.8%
Diluted EPS1.241.161.001.561.230.650.620.68
Diluted EPS YoY+26.5%−6.5%−13.8%+56.0%−21.2%−47.2%−4.6%+9.7%
net %27.2%28.1%21.7%27.0%21.4%13.5%11.6%11.5%
Free cash flow186.4 m231.6 m229.1 m298.6 m223.7 m89.8 m134.0 m236.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
262.9 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
1.5 bn USD
Total assets
2.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
3.80x
ROE
7.6%
ROA
5.7%
FCF margin
23.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
837.5 m
2024
914.5 m
2025
994.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
236.3 m
2024
288.7 m
2025
329.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
601.2 m
2024
625.8 m
2025
665.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
139.4 m
2024
139.8 m
2025
139.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
339.1 m
2024
370.9 m
2025
363.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
130.7 m
2024
115.1 m
2025
162.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
135.3 m
2024
131.5 m
2025
182.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
22.1 m
2024
25.3 m
2025
68.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
113.2 m
2024
106.2 m
2025
114.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.65
2024
0.62
2025
0.68

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
173.4 m
2024
172.6 m
2025
169.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.29
2024
0.31
2025
0.33

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
202.7 m
2024
186.1 m
2025
262.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
114.2 m
2024
143.4 m
2025
146.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
162.3 m
2024
157.5 m
2025
137.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
679.0 m
2024
613.4 m
2025
697.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
105.8 m
2024
98.4 m
2025
86.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
393.2 m
2024
384.9 m
2025
386.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
113.0 m
2024
90.7 m
2025
81.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
21.5 m
2024
38.0 m
2025
50.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
151.9 m
2024
169.4 m
2025
183.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
513.1 m
2024
475.3 m
2025
524.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.5 bn †
2024
1.5 bn †
2025
1.5 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
112.9 m
2024
149.1 m
2025
245.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
23.1 m
2024
15.0 m
2025
8.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
89.8 m ≈
2024
134.0 m ≈
2025
236.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
32.3 m
2024
-39.0 m
2025
28.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-125.6 m
2024
-118.4 m
2025
-206.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
49.1 m
2024
52.3 m
2025
54.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
79.8 m
2024
67.1 m
2025
151.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
41.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-19.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
9.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-17.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
76.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
68.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
21.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Net margin
16.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
FCF margin
24.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
ROA
8.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
12.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
32.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
20.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
3.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 05 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
276.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
8.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
268.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
153.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
67 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Days inventory outstanding
155 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
58 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
164 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
51.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
51.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
P/B
5.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
P/S
8.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
33.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
FCF yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 41 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

53.06 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
51.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
P/B
5.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 05 Jul 2026
Net margin
16.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 05 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 05 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 05 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 02 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2603derived 177

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Growth0
  • Quality87
  • Returns60
  • Valuation24

Estimated value range

Low
15.19
USD per share
Mid
19.26
USD per share
High
21.44
USD per share
Price: 53.06 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -63.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -175.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 4.27 – 37.13 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E26.12 – 37.13 (Mid 33.63)
    7 companies used · median multiple 32.5x · quartiles 25.3x – 35.9x
    AME, DHR, FTV, KEYS, MKSI, ROP, ST
  • Dividend discount (DDM)4.27 – 5.74 (Mid 4.90)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control (SIC 3823)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 41/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality16.1%73 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality153.5%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.4%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-17.9%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.9x100 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation51.3x13 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3.0%38 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.4%34 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns20.9%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality87/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns60/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation24/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

COGNEX CORP (CGNX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-05.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 994.4 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.7%; net margin 16.1%; ROE 11.1%.

The estimated value range is 15.19–21.44 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 19.26 USD, the price of 53.06 USD leaves a potential of -63.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -175.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 41/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 16.1%
  • FCF conversion: 153.5%
  • Current ratio: 3.9x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 20.9%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.4%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -17.9%
  • P/E (TTM): 51.3x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control (SIC 3823) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 15 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
51.3x
vertical median 33.0x
above median (+55.6%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.8x
P/S
8.2x
vertical median 3.3x
above median (+151.5%)
P/B
5.5x
vertical median 3.3x
above median (+68.5%)
ROE
11.1%
vertical median 2.7%
above median (+319.5%)
Net margin
16.1%
vertical median 1.9%
above median (+735.1%)
EBIT margin
21.9%
vertical median 9.0%
above median (+143.3%)
Revenue YoY
8.7%
vertical median 2.9%
above median (+200.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.4x
Dividend yield
0.6%
vertical median 0.5%
above median (+27.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
DHRDanaher Corporation165.3 bn38.48.3%16.9%+2.9%+4% / +5%
AMEAMETEK, Inc.54.4 bn33.414.7%19.9%+6.6%+20% / +53%
ROPRoper Technologies, Inc.48.7 bn19.413.2%30.7%+12.3%+10% / −9%
KEYSKeysight Technologies, Inc.48.7 bn39.220.6%19.1%+8.0%+44% / +110%
FTVFortive Corporation20.3 bn32.510.5%14.8%+1.9%+28% / +31%
MKSIMks Inc.13.2 bn31.115.9%10.1%+9.6%+25% / +136%
CGNXCognex Corp8.9 bn51.311.1%16.1%+8.7%+33% / +46%
RALRalliant Corporation7.9 bn—-51.8%-52.1%−4.0%+45% / unavailable
STSensata Technologies Holding PLC6.0 bn16.512.7%9.5%−5.8%+28% / +26%
MLABMesa Laboratories Inc706.1 m148.12.7%1.9%+3.4%+57% / +48%
SENSSenseonics Holdings, Inc.476.9 m—-118.2%-225.3%+56.9%+46% / −24%
HURCHurco Companies, Inc.137.6 m—-3.3%-3.6%−4.3%+31% / +1%
SYPRSypris Solutions, Inc.29.2 m—-69.9%-9.2%−14.5%−42% / −33%
CLIRClearsign Technologies Corporation16.5 m—-51.7%-96.1%+45.6%−67% / −80%
FCUVFocus Universal Inc.2.2 m—-106.0%-637.2%−35.9%−98% / −99%
POASPhaos Technology Holdings (Cayman) Limited——-363.8%-4,662.3%−19.3%−98% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for CGNX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
29.99
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
53.14
Total return 1% · Per year 1%
80.23
Total return 52% · Per year 52%
3 years
26.31
Total return -49% · Per year -20%
52.73
Total return 1% · Per year 0%
87.80
Total return 68% · Per year 19%
5 years
23.09
Total return -54% · Per year -15%
52.32
Total return 2% · Per year 0%
96.08
Total return 85% · Per year 13%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 13.18
  • Net margin± 9.23
  • Annual revenue growth± 7.95
  • Annual dilution± 0.78

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Cognex designs and sells industrial machine vision systems that automate inspection, identification and tracking of products in factories and distribution centers. The company is in an accelerating phase: revenue rose 9% in fiscal 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 it reached a record 291,263,000 USD with a sharply higher operating margin.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a recognized leadership position in industrial vision, with products covering everything from simple sensors to complex AI systems 1.
  • The balance sheet is strong with no debt, and operating cash generation was solid in the most recent quarter 3.
  • The OneVision platform and AI experience give a product advantage that competitors could find hard to match quickly 13.

Weaknesses

  • Sales depend heavily on a few industries, and automotive has been weak in recent years 1.
  • Exposure to foreign markets and supply chains outside the United States brings risks from tariffs, currency moves and delays 1.
  • Reducing certain legacy products created excess inventory charges that weighed on gross margin in fiscal 2025 1.

Opportunities

  • If the logistics market accelerates automation, the company could benefit from demand for advanced vision beyond barcode reading 1.
  • Expansion toward smaller customers with simple, easy-to-deploy products could support the goal of doubling the customer base 1.
  • Strategic acquisitions, funded by the strong balance sheet, could broaden the product line and access to new markets 1.

Threats

  • Trade tensions, sanctions and export controls could restrict sales in China and other regions 1.
  • Open-source AI algorithms and free solutions from large companies could pressure prices and reduce differentiation 1.
  • Economic instability, inflation and recession risk could slow customers' investment in automation 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on a few large customershigh

    Loss or reduced purchases by large customers in logistics, consumer electronics or automotive could materially affect revenue 2.

  • Geopolitical and trade riskshigh

    Conflicts, tariffs and export restrictions can affect the supply chain and sales in China 1.

  • Failure of new product launchesmedium

    If new AI-based products are not launched on time or do not gain adoption, the company could lose market share 1.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    Acquisitions may face integration difficulties, talent retention problems and failure to achieve expected synergies 1.

  • Leadership transition and talent retentionlow

    The change of chief executive and competition for AI specialists could put pressure on execution and company culture 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Strong quarterly growth with expanding operating margin suggests the 2026 guidance could be achieved if demand stays firm 23.
  • The debt-free balance sheet and high cash generation give flexibility for acquisitions and AI investment 3.
  • Expansion toward smaller customers and the OneVision platform could build a broader customer base and recurring revenue 13.

What would break the thesis

  • Part of the recent growth was supported by one-off factors, such as a one-time partnership revenue and currency effects, which could make future results more volatile 12.
  • Geopolitical and trade exposure could limit access to some markets and raise costs if tensions worsen 1.
  • Competition from free or low-cost AI solutions could pressure prices and margins over the longer term 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery against 2026 guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA marginQ3 2026
  • Trends in logistics and consumer electronics salesQ4 2026
  • Effects of the 35 to 40 million USD annualized operating expense reductions2026
  • Adoption of the OneVision platform and new customer acquisitionnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

Founded in 1981, Cognex combines hardware and software to capture and analyze visual information, helping manufacturers and logistics companies automate tasks such as locating, identifying, inspecting and measuring parts. Products include vision systems and sensors, vision software, barcode readers and optical accessories, ranging from deep learning solutions to simple presence sensors. Service revenue is below 10% of total revenue 1.

The company aims to lead in AI technology for industrial machine vision, deliver the best customer experience and double its customer base within five years. The OneVision cloud platform, launched in 2025 and generally available in 2026, combines AI model training with edge inference, and acquisitions are treated as a complement to organic growth, with Moritex as the largest example 13.

Revenue is concentrated in logistics, packaging, consumer electronics and automotive, which together represented about 85% of sales in fiscal 2025 1. The company has begun to reshape its portfolio, reducing focus on legacy products, and an operating model program targets further cost savings in 2026 1.

Segments

Logistics

According to the company, logistics is the end market with the highest potential growth over the medium to long term, mainly through barcode reading and AI vision for warehouses and parcel centers. Revenue from this area grew strongly in fiscal 2025 as large e-commerce customers increased spending 1.

Consumer electronics

Cognex sees a new wave of products, such as wearable and foldable devices, requiring high precision in manufacturing. Sales in this market grew in fiscal 2025, partly because customers shifted purchases from China to Europe 1.

Automotive

Automotive has historically been one of the largest markets but remained weak in fiscal 2025 due to geopolitical and trade uncertainty. The company believes the shift to electric and autonomous vehicles could create new demand for high-precision vision 1.

Market context

Industrial machine vision is a fragmented market in which system vendors, sensor makers and integrators compete alongside customers' internal engineering teams and open-source tools 1. The company sees its served market growing as automation spreads across factories and warehouses, although the pace depends on customers' investment cycles 1.

Most revenue comes from outside the United States: about two thirds of fiscal 2025 sales came from customers outside the country 1. Regional demand varied in 2025, with growth in the Americas and Europe and declines in Greater China and other Asian countries 1.

Trends

  • Logistics automationtailwind

    E-commerce and the need for fast delivery push warehouses toward automation, and the company considers this market still in its early stages. If investment continues, demand for barcode reading and AI vision could accelerate 1.

  • Stricter traceability and quality rulestailwind

    Regulations on traceability and compliance in packaging and healthcare increase the need for automated inspection, which could open new customers for the company 1.

  • Trade tensions and sanctionsheadwind

    Tariffs, export controls and sanctions on Chinese companies have already reduced sales in China and raised component costs. If tensions escalate, the effects could be considerably stronger 1.

  • Open-source AI accessmixed

    More accessible AI algorithms and open-source platforms can lower entry barriers and pressure prices, but they may also encourage smaller customers to adopt automated vision 1.

Competitive position

Competition comes from other machine vision system vendors, image processing system makers and system integrators, as well as large technology companies offering free or low-cost solutions 1. The company considers its main advantage to be the combination of AI performance and ease of use.

Consolidation in the industry could strengthen larger competitors and increase pricing pressure, so differentiation through innovation and service remains essential 1.

  • System integrators and original equipment manufacturers

    Partners that deliver complete solutions but can also compete for the same automation projects 1.

  • Image processing system and sensor suppliers

    Companies producing similar components and systems, competing on performance and price 1.

  • Customers' internal engineering departments

    Customers can build their own inspection solutions, especially when they have strong technical resources 1.

  • Large technology companies offering free solutions

    Firms with large financial resources can offer free or low-cost AI tools, which could reduce market share 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Current report04 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report22 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
  • Current report05 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report07 May 2026
  • Current report06 May 2026
    Results of operations · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report30 Apr 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement13 Mar 2026
  • Item 4.01 · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report17 Feb 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Cognex Corporation · 12 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-05 · SEC / Cognex Corporation · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cognex Corporation · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.